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Inflation
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Analysis points out a paradox in the Federal Reserve's policy: tightening credit for the private sector while remaining tolerant of expanding government deficits.
Wallstreetcn.com analysis points out that the Federal Reserve has failed to achieve its dual mandate over the past five years, with inflation consistently deviating from the 2% target, and small and m
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Resmed's stock falls 7% after forecasting a soft FY27 outlook
Resmed's shares fell by around 7% after the company projected fiscal year 2027 (FY27) revenue in the range of $5.75 billion to $5.85 billion, which is below analysts' expectations of $5.92 billion. Th
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US stock futures muted ahead of Wednesday's CPI data; Dow dips 0.1% as investors eye Iran's Strait of Hormuz deal tease
US stock futures were largely unchanged at the start of a week featuring key inflation data and earnings reports. Futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average edged lower by 0.1%, while S&P 500 and Nas
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Macquarie Strategist Wizman Says Fed Rate Hike in December Is Possible
Thierry Wizman, global FX and rates strategist at Macquarie, discussed the outlook for the US economy and inflation, stating that "December doesn't look like the wrong time" for a Federal Reserve inte
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Bank of Japan (BOJ) policymakers warn of rising inflation risks, may need to accelerate pace of rate hikes
The Bank of Japan (BOJ)'s summary of opinions from its July meeting showed policymakers warning that inflation risks are rising, which could necessitate a faster pace of interest rate hikes than expec
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Gold holds above $4,400 after its best weekly performance since January, with investors awaiting U.S. inflation data
Gold prices are maintaining above the $4,400-a-troy-ounce mark, having recorded their strongest weekly gain since January. Investors are now looking to key U.S. inflation data for further indications
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S&P 500 futures rise 0.2%, Nasdaq 100 futures gain 0.4% as tech rallies ahead of inflation data; Dow futures slip 0.1%
Investors are focusing on this week's consumer-price report, which is expected to influence the Federal Reserve's decision on whether to hold interest rates steady in September. The three major indexe
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U.S. government bond yields edged lower, with both the 10-year and 30-year yields falling by 1 basis point, as investors focused on key inflation data this week.
U.S. government bond yields edged lower earlier this week, with both 10-year and 30-year yields falling by 1 basis point. This followed last week's weaker-than-expected non-farm payrolls report, which
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Egypt Headline Inflation Quickens for the First Time Since March
Egypt's inflation rate accelerated for the first time since March, disrupting an easing streak that had lasted for much of the ongoing US-Iran war.
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Philippine Central Bank Keeps Rate Hike on Table Despite Weak GDP Growth
Philippine Central Bank Governor Eli Remolona stated the central bank is ready to tighten monetary policy further to guide inflation back to target, though less pressure exists after last quarter’s su
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Bitcoin tops $65,000 on Monday, up nearly 3% over the week, ahead of US July inflation data due Wednesday
Bitcoin's rise follows a weak US jobs report last Friday, which eased concerns about the Federal Reserve needing to raise interest rates. Other major cryptocurrencies also saw gains, with Ether up alm
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Cleveland Fed's August inflation forecast suggests reacceleration in monthly core CPI, potentially setting up a divided September FOMC meeting
The Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland's latest Inflation Nowcasting estimates project July CPI to rise 0.09% MoM and 3.42% YoY, with core CPI up 0.21% MoM and 2.52% YoY. The forecast also indicates a
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Bank of Japan (BOJ) expects underlying CPI inflation to gradually increase, reaching price stability target by late FY2026-FY2027, with significant upside risks to prices
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) released its Summary of Opinions from the July 30-31 Monetary Policy Meeting, projecting that underlying CPI inflation is likely to gradually increase, reaching a level consist
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Analysis: Delaying the claim for U.S. Social Security benefits until age 70, while foregoing approximately $158,000 in early benefits, still yields long-term returns superior to any annuity product on the market.
Analysis indicates that delaying Social Security benefit claims from age 62 to 70 means foregoing approximately $158,000 in upfront benefits, but this move can result in roughly 76% higher lifetime be
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LongHorn Steakhouse President Laura B. Williamson sold 1,553 shares of Darden Restaurants (DRI) stock on July 31 at an average price of $204.48, following LongHorn's 9.5% comparable sales gr
The sale, disclosed in a recent SEC Form 4 filing, occurred despite LongHorn Steakhouse being a strong performer for Darden, though the company noted it has been absorbing higher beef inflation which
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Bank of America's July Global Fund Manager Survey shows that 45% of respondents view the AI bubble as the biggest tail risk, up from 28% last month.
The ratio has replaced "second wave of inflation" as the top concern. The survey also points out that global semiconductor long positions are currently the most crowded trade in the market. Furthermor
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Renaissance Macro's Dutta: Strong Inflation Data Could Keep Fed Rate Hike in Play
Neil Dutta, Head of US Economic Research at Renaissance Macro, stated that upcoming inflation data is critical. He argued that another firm reading could keep a September rate hike firmly in play, des
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Iran food inflation soars, with some food prices up over 260% year-on-year
According to the latest data from the Statistical Center of Iran, the food inflation rate year-on-year increased by 128% in the Iranian month of Tir (June 21 to July 20). Among these, the prices of oi
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Next week's highlight: US July CPI data to be released, directly impacting expectations for the Federal Reserve's September rate cut path.
Next week (August 10-16) in macroeconomics, the US July CPI data will be released on August 12, followed by PPI data on August 13. CPI data is considered a key factor directly pricing the Federal Rese
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China's July Inflation Cools to Slowest Pace Since January as Iran War Impact Ebbs
China's July Inflation Cools to Slowest Pace Since January as Iran War Impact Ebbs
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China's National Bureau of Statistics: In July 2026, the national consumer price index (CPI) rose by 0.5% year-on-year and decreased by 0.1% month-on-month.
According to data released by the National Bureau of Statistics of China, in July 2026, the National Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 0.5% year-on-year, with an increase of 0.5% in urban areas and 0
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China's National Bureau of Statistics: In July, the Producer Price Index (PPI) rose by 3.5% year-on-year, and decreased by 0.7% month-on-month.
China's National Bureau of Statistics released data showing that in July 2026, the national industrial producer ex-factory price (PPI) increased by 3.5% year-on-year, and decreased by 0.7% month-on-mo
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Donald Trump once predicted that a war with Iran would cause the stock market to drop by 20%-25%, and analysis suggests his prediction could still come true.
Former U.S. President Donald Trump stated in May of this year, when discussing a war with Iran, that he had expected the stock market to fall by 20%-25% due to the war. Although the Dow Jones Industri
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CNBC: Financial advisors suggest retirees should continue to hold stocks, typically accounting for 40% to 80% of their portfolios.
The article points out that overly conservative investment strategies increase the risk of depleting retirement savings. The modern view is that stocks should be an important component of a retirement
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Asian Stocks, Bonds Set to Decline Thursday on Inflation Jitters
The decline tracks Wall Street losses as an oil rally and stronger-than-expected US economic data fueled inflation concerns and bets on further interest-rate hikes. The yen, near a three-week low, wil
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US Treasury yields soar, with 10-year note hitting 5.125% and 2-year note topping 4.9%, threatening higher borrowing costs for consumers
Government debt costs leaped higher on Wednesday, driven by factors including a report showing increased inflation pressures, surging expectations for an October Fed rate hike, and weak demand at a 5-
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Federal Reserve Governor Barr supports further interest rate hikes, S&P Global's inflation indicator hits a new high since October 2022, and market expectations for a Fed rate hike in October rise to 71%.
Federal Reserve Governor Michael Barr stated on Wednesday that policymakers may need to further adjust policy to ensure inflation returns to target in a timely manner. On the same day, S&P Global's fl
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ECB's Lane: Eurozone HICP inflation is projected at 3.0% in 2026 and 2.5% in 2027.
In a speech in Geneva, Philip R. Lane, Member of the Executive Board of the European Central Bank, unveiled the ECB's September macroeconomic projections, forecasting HICP inflation for the Eurozone a
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McDonald's CEO expects high inflation and flat traffic to persist in restaurant industry
McDonald's CEO Chris Kempczinski stated on Wednesday that the company does not anticipate a change in these conditions, viewing them as the new operating environment. He noted that in the most recent
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Fed Governor Barr: AI Boom, Tariffs, and Energy Prices Fueling Inflation; Further Policy Adjustments Likely Needed
Federal Reserve Governor Michael Barr stated that the AI boom and price pressures related to tariffs and energy have contributed to “upward price pressures.” He added that given rising inflation risks
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U.S. September PMI data surged to a five-year high, with input costs reaching their highest since 2022, intensifying inflation concerns.
U.S. business activity accelerated significantly in September, with the S&P Global Manufacturing PMI rising to 57.0, the Services PMI to 58.7, and the Composite PMI to 58.4. All figures substantially
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Germany's largest trade union, IG Metall, is seeking a 5% wage increase for 3.7 million workers, putting new pressure on the European Central Bank to raise interest rates again.
Germany's IG Metall union will launch a new round of wage negotiations in October, demanding a 5% pay raise for approximately 3.7 million workers in the metal and electrical components industries to c
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Eastmoney Securities Research Institute Report: The world has not yet entered a phase of full tightening, and there is room to increase allocation to US Treasury bonds.
Eastmoney Securities Research Institute released a macro special report on September 23, outlining the characteristics and patterns of ten global synchronized tightening cycles since the 1970s. The re
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh responded to Donald Trump's demand for interest rate cuts to 1%, emphasizing that inflation has exceeded targets for five consecutive years and that rate hikes were unanimously approved by the committee.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh stated clearly at the press conference that inflation has exceeded the target for over five consecutive years, and this 25 basis point rate hike to the 3.75%-4% range al
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Analysts conclude their longest upgrade cycle in five years, holding a net negative view on U.S. corporate earnings prospects for the first time.
For the first time in months, equity analysts have turned net negative on the outlook for U.S. corporate earnings, reflecting concerns about the impact of inflation and high interest rates on company
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Hong Kong's August overall consumer prices rose 1.7% YoY, underlying inflation 1.9%
Hong Kong's overall consumer prices rose by 1.7% year-on-year in August, matching July's figure. The underlying inflation rate, which excludes one-off government relief measures, also remained unchang
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Nomura economists say Federal Reserve Chair Warsh's new inflation tracking method lacks predictive power
Economists at Nomura state that the new method Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh uses to gauge underlying inflation does not have better predictive power than core readings. Warsh revealed this method
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U.S. Treasury yields held steady in early trading, oil prices fluctuated, and the market focused on speeches by Federal Reserve officials.
U.S. Treasury yields were largely stable in early trading on Wednesday, with the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield at 4.963%, the 2-year Treasury yield at 4.771%, and the 30-year Treasury yield at 5.3%
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Oaktree Capital's Howard Marks warns: Out-of-control US fiscal discipline is the fundamental reason for rising interest rates, with the current deficit at about 6% of GDP.
Oaktree Capital co-founder Howard Marks stated in his latest memo on Tuesday that the uncontrolled fiscal discipline in the U.S. is the fundamental reason for rising long-term interest rates, and that
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Boston Fed President Collins warns inflation could remain 'notably' above 2% target
Boston Federal Reserve President Susan Collins stated that there is "an increased likelihood" of inflation staying "notably" above the Federal Reserve's 2% target. She explained her reasoning for back
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Singapore Core Inflation Rises Third Month to 2.2% in August, Highest Since 2024
Singapore's core inflation, which excludes housing and private transportation costs, accelerated to 2.2% year-on-year in August, marking the third consecutive monthly increase and reaching its highest
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Soaring diesel prices are costing European drivers an extra €203 million per day.
Soaring diesel prices are costing European drivers an extra €203 million per day, with the cost of filling up a tank increasing by 40% since the beginning of the year.
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ADB Warns: Asian Inflationary Pressures to Persist Until 2027
ADB Warns: Asian Inflationary Pressures to Persist Until 2027
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U.S. Stocks Mixed as AI Buzz Stokes Tech Gains to Record Highs, Energy Inflation Fears Linger
U.S. Stocks Mixed as AI Buzz Stokes Tech Gains to Record Highs, Energy Inflation Fears Linger
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Citigroup Survey: Inflation Overtakes Tariffs as Family Offices' Top Concern, Wealthy Flock to Gold and US Equities
Inflation has supplanted trade wars and tariffs as the top risk concern for ultra-high-net-worth individuals this year, with interest rate changes and global financial system stability closely followi
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Richmond Fed President Barkin warned that inflationary pressures will take time to subside, and there is a risk of high inflation becoming entrenched.
Richmond Fed President Barkin warned that inflationary pressures will take time to subside, and there is a risk of high inflation becoming entrenched.
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Fed’s Collins Says Last Week’s Rate Hike Will Help Return Inflation to Goal
Federal Reserve Bank of Boston President Susan Collins said she supported last week’s decision to raise interest rates, which she said would help bring inflation back to the central bank’s 2% target.
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Demand Surges at South African Bond Auction Ahead of Rate Call
Demand surged at an auction of South African government bonds as investors sought relatively high yields ahead of inflation data and a central bank policy meeting scheduled for later this week.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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