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Inflation
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India's July inflation remained within the Reserve Bank's 2%-6% target range, cementing expectations for a prolonged pause in interest rate hikes.
India's July inflation remained within the Reserve Bank's 2%-6% target range, cementing expectations for a prolonged pause in interest rate hikes.
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Cleveland Fed President Hammack warns one rate hike likely insufficient to curb inflation, citing wage erosion
Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland President Beth Hammack stated in an interview that a single 25 basis point rate hike would likely not be enough to combat the current inflation, though she did not sp
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Pimco Sees Fed on Hold in 2026 as Inflation Moderates
Pimco Sees Fed on Hold in 2026 as Inflation Moderates
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U.S. stock index futures rise, oil prices climb on U.S.-Iran standoff; Donald Trump says U.S. controls Strait of Hormuz, threatens Iran
U.S. stock index futures rose ahead of a key U.S. inflation report for July. Meanwhile, oil prices rose due to the ongoing standoff between the U.S. and Iran. Former U.S. President Donald Trump said l
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Japan's long-term interest rates are projected to rise significantly in fiscal year 2025, reaching 2.35-2.40% by the end of March 2026, the highest level since February 1999.
The Bank of Japan (BOJ)'s market operations report for fiscal year 2025, released today, indicates a significant rise in long-term interest rates for FY2025, reaching a range of 2.35-2.40% by the end
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Treasury Yields and Dollar Remain Stable Ahead of U.S. Inflation Data, as Investors Await Clues on Fed's Rate Hike Path.
Treasury Yields and Dollar Remain Stable Ahead of U.S. Inflation Data, as Investors Await Clues on Fed's Rate Hike Path.
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Boston Fed President Susan Collins says poorer Americans are struggling to make ends meet, and she would back a September interest rate rise if inflation remains hot.
Boston Fed President Susan Collins says poorer Americans are struggling to make ends meet, and she would back a September interest rate rise if inflation remains hot.
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Deutsche Bank strategists warn: The market is pricing in a "non-existent perfect combination," simultaneously betting on strong growth, limited rate hikes, and controllable oil prices, leaving almost no room for error regarding policy, inflation, and geopolitical situations.
In his latest report, Deutsche Bank macro strategist Henry Allen points out that the current market is simultaneously betting on strong economic growth, limited interest rate hikes by the Federal Rese
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Yen Traders Boost Options Activity Ahead of US Inflation Data Amid Directional Uncertainty
Yen traders are ramping up options market activity ahead of key US inflation data, turning to derivatives for flexibility amid a lack of consensus on the currency’s direction.
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Bitcoin remains stuck in $62,000-$66,000 range as ETF inflows offset selling, with Wednesday's U.S. inflation report seen as next potential catalyst
Bitcoin has extended a five-week standstill, with steady demand from exchange-traded funds being offset by selling from miners and corporate holders. Trading volumes have fallen to their lowest levels
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U.S. stocks slid (Dow -0.34%, S&P 500 -0.32%, Nasdaq -0.6%) as Strait of Hormuz negotiations remain deadlocked, driving oil prices higher ahead of inflation data.
U.S. stocks slid (Dow -0.34%, S&P 500 -0.32%, Nasdaq -0.6%) as Strait of Hormuz negotiations remain deadlocked, driving oil prices higher ahead of inflation data.
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JPMorgan Chase Asset Management: The Federal Reserve is expected to continue raising interest rates until inflation cools, as core PCE remains above 3%
Kelsey Berro, a fixed income portfolio manager at JPMorgan Chase Asset Management, stated that despite recent signals of slowing inflation and market expectations of only a modest 0.2% month-over-mont
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Markets anticipate a modest increase in the U.S. July CPI month-over-month, with core CPI month-over-month projected at 0.2%.
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will release its July Consumer Price Index (CPI) report on Wednesday. The market generally expects the July overall CPI to increase by only 0.1% month-over-month, w
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FOMC members will be highly focused on Wednesday's July month-over-month inflation change to assess the feasibility of achieving the 2% inflation target without further policy tightening; the new Federal Reserve Chair has previously expressed disinterest in such high-frequency data-driven frameworks.
X platform commentator Nick Timiraos noted that more Federal Reserve Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) members have indicated they will closely monitor the next few price level readings to determin
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Fed's Goolsbee: Biggest Problem Facing the Economy Is Inflation
Fed's Goolsbee: Biggest Problem Facing the Economy Is Inflation
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The Motley Fool Analyst Predicts Gold Will Rebound to Over $5,000 Per Ounce Before Year-End
Analyst David Jagielski believes gold will return to its record highs, citing concerns about the stock market, potential interest rate hikes by the new Fed chair Kevin Warsh, ongoing U.S.-Iran deal ch
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New York Fed: U.S. Q2 credit card debt rises to $1.26 trillion, late delinquency rate climbs to 12.8%
New York Fed's quarterly report on household debt, released on Tuesday, showed that U.S. credit card balances increased by $21 billion in the middle of the second quarter of 2026, reaching a total of
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MarketWatch analysis: Fed's rate hike decision hinges on July CPI report
According to MarketWatch analysis, the Federal Reserve's upcoming interest rate decision will largely depend on the July consumer-price index (CPI) report, which is due out Wednesday. While a surprisi
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Atlanta Fed's Venable states inflation is too high, a sentiment echoed by contacts across the Southeast
Atlanta Fed's Venable states inflation is too high, a sentiment echoed by contacts across the Southeast
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S&P 500 opens higher, rising 0.1%, as Nvidia rallies over 1% on AI infrastructure deal worth over $500 billion
The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0.2%, while the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.1%. Nvidia's gains came after the company announced a partnership with six major asset managers aimed at channeling over
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JPMorgan Chase CEO Dimon warns investors: Inflation may not decline due to strong spending in AI sector
JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon stated that strong spending in artificial intelligence (AI) could prevent inflation from falling and might prompt Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh to raise interest
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U.S. stock index futures edged higher, with Dow futures up 22 points, and S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite futures rising 0.1% and 0.3% respectively, as oil prices retreated and inflation concerns eased.
U.S. stock index futures generally rose on Tuesday as investors' inflation concerns eased, despite the ongoing conflict in the Middle East. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures gained 22 points, S&P 5
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Kansas City Fed President Schmid calls inflation his primary concern, advocates for tighter policy; US 30-year fixed mortgage rate rises to 6.69%
Kansas City Federal Reserve President Jeff Schmid stated in an August 4 speech that inflation is his primary concern, deeming it "too high" and requiring "tighter policy" to bring it back to the Feder
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Fidelity's Director of Global Macro, Timmer, warns: Rising US Treasury yields are competing for funds with risk assets like stocks and Bitcoin, and history shows market corrections are often painful.
CoinDesk cited an analysis by Jurrien Timmer, Fidelity Investments' director of global macro, pointing out that U.S. government bond yields (the risk-free rate in financial markets) are rising again,
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Asian Stocks, Bonds Set to Decline Thursday on Inflation Jitters
The decline tracks Wall Street losses as an oil rally and stronger-than-expected US economic data fueled inflation concerns and bets on further interest-rate hikes. The yen, near a three-week low, wil
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US Treasury yields soar, with 10-year note hitting 5.125% and 2-year note topping 4.9%, threatening higher borrowing costs for consumers
Government debt costs leaped higher on Wednesday, driven by factors including a report showing increased inflation pressures, surging expectations for an October Fed rate hike, and weak demand at a 5-
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Federal Reserve Governor Barr supports further interest rate hikes, S&P Global's inflation indicator hits a new high since October 2022, and market expectations for a Fed rate hike in October rise to 71%.
Federal Reserve Governor Michael Barr stated on Wednesday that policymakers may need to further adjust policy to ensure inflation returns to target in a timely manner. On the same day, S&P Global's fl
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ECB's Lane: Eurozone HICP inflation is projected at 3.0% in 2026 and 2.5% in 2027.
In a speech in Geneva, Philip R. Lane, Member of the Executive Board of the European Central Bank, unveiled the ECB's September macroeconomic projections, forecasting HICP inflation for the Eurozone a
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McDonald's CEO expects high inflation and flat traffic to persist in restaurant industry
McDonald's CEO Chris Kempczinski stated on Wednesday that the company does not anticipate a change in these conditions, viewing them as the new operating environment. He noted that in the most recent
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Fed Governor Barr: AI Boom, Tariffs, and Energy Prices Fueling Inflation; Further Policy Adjustments Likely Needed
Federal Reserve Governor Michael Barr stated that the AI boom and price pressures related to tariffs and energy have contributed to “upward price pressures.” He added that given rising inflation risks
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U.S. September PMI data surged to a five-year high, with input costs reaching their highest since 2022, intensifying inflation concerns.
U.S. business activity accelerated significantly in September, with the S&P Global Manufacturing PMI rising to 57.0, the Services PMI to 58.7, and the Composite PMI to 58.4. All figures substantially
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Germany's largest trade union, IG Metall, is seeking a 5% wage increase for 3.7 million workers, putting new pressure on the European Central Bank to raise interest rates again.
Germany's IG Metall union will launch a new round of wage negotiations in October, demanding a 5% pay raise for approximately 3.7 million workers in the metal and electrical components industries to c
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Eastmoney Securities Research Institute Report: The world has not yet entered a phase of full tightening, and there is room to increase allocation to US Treasury bonds.
Eastmoney Securities Research Institute released a macro special report on September 23, outlining the characteristics and patterns of ten global synchronized tightening cycles since the 1970s. The re
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh responded to Donald Trump's demand for interest rate cuts to 1%, emphasizing that inflation has exceeded targets for five consecutive years and that rate hikes were unanimously approved by the committee.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh stated clearly at the press conference that inflation has exceeded the target for over five consecutive years, and this 25 basis point rate hike to the 3.75%-4% range al
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Analysts conclude their longest upgrade cycle in five years, holding a net negative view on U.S. corporate earnings prospects for the first time.
For the first time in months, equity analysts have turned net negative on the outlook for U.S. corporate earnings, reflecting concerns about the impact of inflation and high interest rates on company
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Hong Kong's August overall consumer prices rose 1.7% YoY, underlying inflation 1.9%
Hong Kong's overall consumer prices rose by 1.7% year-on-year in August, matching July's figure. The underlying inflation rate, which excludes one-off government relief measures, also remained unchang
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Nomura economists say Federal Reserve Chair Warsh's new inflation tracking method lacks predictive power
Economists at Nomura state that the new method Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh uses to gauge underlying inflation does not have better predictive power than core readings. Warsh revealed this method
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U.S. Treasury yields held steady in early trading, oil prices fluctuated, and the market focused on speeches by Federal Reserve officials.
U.S. Treasury yields were largely stable in early trading on Wednesday, with the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield at 4.963%, the 2-year Treasury yield at 4.771%, and the 30-year Treasury yield at 5.3%
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Oaktree Capital's Howard Marks warns: Out-of-control US fiscal discipline is the fundamental reason for rising interest rates, with the current deficit at about 6% of GDP.
Oaktree Capital co-founder Howard Marks stated in his latest memo on Tuesday that the uncontrolled fiscal discipline in the U.S. is the fundamental reason for rising long-term interest rates, and that
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Boston Fed President Collins warns inflation could remain 'notably' above 2% target
Boston Federal Reserve President Susan Collins stated that there is "an increased likelihood" of inflation staying "notably" above the Federal Reserve's 2% target. She explained her reasoning for back
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Singapore Core Inflation Rises Third Month to 2.2% in August, Highest Since 2024
Singapore's core inflation, which excludes housing and private transportation costs, accelerated to 2.2% year-on-year in August, marking the third consecutive monthly increase and reaching its highest
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Soaring diesel prices are costing European drivers an extra €203 million per day.
Soaring diesel prices are costing European drivers an extra €203 million per day, with the cost of filling up a tank increasing by 40% since the beginning of the year.
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ADB Warns: Asian Inflationary Pressures to Persist Until 2027
ADB Warns: Asian Inflationary Pressures to Persist Until 2027
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U.S. Stocks Mixed as AI Buzz Stokes Tech Gains to Record Highs, Energy Inflation Fears Linger
U.S. Stocks Mixed as AI Buzz Stokes Tech Gains to Record Highs, Energy Inflation Fears Linger
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Citigroup Survey: Inflation Overtakes Tariffs as Family Offices' Top Concern, Wealthy Flock to Gold and US Equities
Inflation has supplanted trade wars and tariffs as the top risk concern for ultra-high-net-worth individuals this year, with interest rate changes and global financial system stability closely followi
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Richmond Fed President Barkin warned that inflationary pressures will take time to subside, and there is a risk of high inflation becoming entrenched.
Richmond Fed President Barkin warned that inflationary pressures will take time to subside, and there is a risk of high inflation becoming entrenched.
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Fed’s Collins Says Last Week’s Rate Hike Will Help Return Inflation to Goal
Federal Reserve Bank of Boston President Susan Collins said she supported last week’s decision to raise interest rates, which she said would help bring inflation back to the central bank’s 2% target.
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Demand Surges at South African Bond Auction Ahead of Rate Call
Demand surged at an auction of South African government bonds as investors sought relatively high yields ahead of inflation data and a central bank policy meeting scheduled for later this week.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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