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Inflation
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U.S. July PCE inflation remained at 3.7% year-on-year, while core PCE was flat at 3.3% month-on-month. The Treasury Department announced it would double the size of long-term bond buybacks starting next month.
The U.S. Department of Commerce reported on Wednesday that the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index rose by 3.7% year-on-year in July, remaining flat with June and still well above the
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10-year Treasury yield flat at 4.645% after July PCE inflation report, with core PCE meeting expectations
Treasury yields were broadly flat on Wednesday as investors assessed the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation metric. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note was little changed at 4.645%, while the 30
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Capital Economics: July Core PCE Unlikely to Trigger Fed September Hike, Annual Inflation at 3.3% Supports Hold
Capital Economics states that July's core PCE increase is unlikely to trigger a Federal Reserve rate hike in September. However, with annual core inflation at 3.3% and economic growth remaining resili
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Trump says prices are coming down
Trump says prices are coming down
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The inaugural keynote speech by the Federal Reserve's Kevin Warsh at the Jackson Hole conference garnered significant attention.
Nick Timiraos analyzed that Kevin Warsh's first keynote speech at the Federal Reserve's annual economic symposium was more significant than it would have been weeks ago. His July press conference had
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US July core PCE price index rose 3.3% annually and 0.2% monthly, in line with forecasts
The Commerce Department reported that the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, showed core prices increased 3.3% year-over-year and 0.2% month-over
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Silver futures opened at $68.63 per ounce on Wednesday, holding steady at $68.62 during the session, with a monthly gain of 17%.
Silver futures for September delivery opened at $68.63 per ounce on Wednesday (August 26) ET, down 0.1% from Tuesday's closing price. As of 8:10 AM ET, silver prices held steady at $68.62. The market
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US July PCE price index rose 3.7% year-on-year, core PCE remained flat at 3.3% year-on-year, and consumer spending unexpectedly stalled.
Data released on Wednesday by the U.S. Department of Commerce's Bureau of Economic Analysis showed that the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index rose 0.2% month-over-month in July, with
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U.S. July core PCE price index rose 3.3% year-on-year and 0.2% month-on-month, as sticky inflation divided Federal Reserve officials on the eve of the Jackson Hole meeting.
Data released by the U.S. Department of Commerce showed that the core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index rose 3.3% year-on-year in July, flat with June and in line with expectations.
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US July core PCE rose 0.25% month-on-month, an annualized increase of 2.99%, and a 12-month change rate of 3.34%.
U.S. July core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) rose 0.25% month-over-month, with an annualized increase of 2.99%. This is largely consistent with the July 2025 data, keeping the 12-month chang
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US July annual PCE inflation unexpectedly held steady at 3.7%, remaining well above Fed's 2% target for 65th straight month
The Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, increased 3.7% in the 12 months through July, unchanged from June. This figure exceeded economists'
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Core PCE Price Index Shows No Relief From Price Pressures Ahead of Fed Chairman Warsh's Jackson Hole Speech, S&P 500 Futures Dip
The Federal Reserve's primary inflation gauge, the core PCE price index, indicated persistent price pressures, setting a high bar for Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh's upcoming speech at the annual Jackson H
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US Core PCE Rises 0.2% in July, Consumer Spending Stalls
The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation metric, the core PCE price index (excluding food and energy), rose 0.2% month-over-month in July and advanced 3.3% from a year ago. Inflation-adjusted consume
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US July PCE Index rose 0.2% month-on-month, higher than expected, sparking market concerns about a potential Federal Reserve rate hike.
Data released by the U.S. Department of Commerce on Wednesday showed that the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index rose by 0.2% month-over-month in July, higher than the 0.1% predicted
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US July PCE Price Index rises 0.2% M/M and 3.7% Y/Y, both exceeding estimates; Core PCE matches expectations at 0.2% M/M and 3.3% Y/Y
The US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index for July increased by 0.2% month-over-month, surpassing the estimated 0.1% rise. Annually, the PCE Price Index climbed 3.7%, also above the 3
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Gold price pulls back from morning high of $4,730.90 to $4,674.60 as of 7:51 a.m. ET on Wednesday
Gold December futures opened at $4,715.70 per troy ounce on Wednesday, up 0.5% from Tuesday's close, and briefly touched $4,730.90 in early trading. The precious metal has rallied following the U.S. T
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Dow futures steady, S&P 500 futures dip 0.1% as Wall Street awaits inflation data; Nvidia earnings due after close
Dow Jones Industrial Average futures traded mixed on Wednesday, while S&P 500 futures dipped 0.1% and Nasdaq-100 futures declined, as investors braced for a key inflation report. Meanwhile, Nvidia (NV
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CoinDesk identifies three key catalysts that could influence Bitcoin's next move this week, including US July PCE data, Nvidia's Q2 earnings, and Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's Jackson Hole speech.
CoinDesk's 'Daybook' newsletter highlights these macro events as crucial for Bitcoin's price action. The US July Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) reading, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflat
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U.S. July PCE inflation data will be released tonight, with core and overall inflation rates expected to remain above 3%.
The U.S. will release July Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation data later on Wednesday (26th). The market expects annualized core and headline inflation rates to remain above 3%, far exc
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Economist MacAdam from Capital Economics: European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Schnabel emphasizes need for further rate hikes to tackle inflation risks
Simon MacAdam, Deputy Chief Global Economist at Capital Economics, stated on Bloomberg that European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Isabel Schnabel emphasized the need for further interes
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U.S. stock futures hold steady ahead of key inflation data and NVIDIA earnings, core PCE expected to remain at 3.3%
Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 index futures were largely flat in pre-market trading, while Nasdaq100 index futures fell 0.2%. Investors are awaiting the release of personal consumption expe
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AUD/USD rose to a three-month high of 0.71865 after data showed Australia's core inflation exceeded expectations.
The AUD/USD rose 0.22% on Wednesday after Australia's trimmed mean CPI, the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) preferred measure of inflation, rose to an annual rate of 3.6%, exceeding expectations. An
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The policy objectives of the U.S. Treasury and the Federal Reserve are now clearly diverging, and the market is focused on Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's speech at Jackson Hole this Friday.
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced last week that the scale of long-term Treasury buybacks would at least double, an attempt to suppress continuously rising long-end yields, but with limi
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US PCE inflation data due today at 8:30 a.m. ET, with headline PCE expected to ease to 3.6% and core PCE forecast to remain at 3.3%
US PCE inflation data due today at 8:30 a.m. ET, with headline PCE expected to ease to 3.6% and core PCE forecast to remain at 3.3%. The Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge could shape interes
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Record diesel prices are exposing pain points in the stock market and economy
Record diesel prices are exposing pain points in the stock market and economy, with a major risk being that high diesel prices will continue to put upward pressure on inflation.
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Iran's car market prices surge 40-130% since February, with officials calling it a 'mafia system', highlighting cost-of-living crisis
Domestic car prices in Iran have mostly risen 40% to 80% since the start of the war in February, with some vehicles selling for over 130% of their September 2025 costs. This makes even locally made ca
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MarketWatch analysis: Warsh's Fed aims to tame inflation to 2% by 2029 with slightly higher rates, and Wall Street now believes it
MarketWatch analysis indicates that after more than five years of previous attempts, Federal Reserve leaders believe they can reduce the inflation rate to 2% by 2029 with only slightly higher U.S. int
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Goldman Sachs economist Joseph Briggs analyzed that despite strong economic performance, low consumer confidence may be attributed to a general "decline in well-being" across society.
Goldman Sachs economist Joseph Briggs informed clients that the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index fell to a historic low this year, dropping 13% year-over-year in September, with an almo
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US stocks were mixed, as inflation concerns and Middle East conflicts offset AI optimism.
US stocks were mixed, as inflation concerns and Middle East conflicts offset AI optimism.
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Polls show: US voters' opposition to war with Iran hits record high, 71% believe the Trump administration lacks a clear strategy
A Fox News poll released Thursday shows that 71% of American voters believe the Trump administration "lacks a clear strategy" to end the conflict with Iran, which has led to rising inflation and soari
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WuBlockchain: CoinShares Says Bitcoin Unlikely to Break $80K Without Inflation Improvement or Fed Shift
CoinShares stated that Bitcoin faces two major near-term headwinds: a more hawkish Federal Reserve and a setback to the CLARITY Act. The firm believes a decisive break above $80,000 is unlikely before
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Al Jazeera: Middle East conflict causes living costs to soar for 2 billion people in South Asia, disrupts energy supplies in multiple countries.
Al Jazeera reports that the escalating conflict in the Middle East is causing a worsening cost-of-living crisis for a quarter of the world's population, approximately 2 billion people in South Asia. C
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Soaring US Treasury yields offer a "silver lining," with some investors seeing a buying opportunity at 5% yields.
As the world's largest bond market remains under pressure, some investors see an attractive reason to buy U.S. Treasuries: yield. Driven by high inflation, ballooning budget deficits, and a surge in c
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The ECB's August Consumer Expectations Survey showed that inflation expectations for the next 12 months rose to 3.0%, with three-year and five-year inflation expectations also revised upwards.
A survey showed that consumers' inflation expectations for the next 12 months rose from 2.9% in July to 3.0%, three-year inflation expectations increased from 2.7% to 2.9%, and five-year inflation exp
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Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda: Does not rule out the possibility of a 50 basis point rate hike or consecutive rate hikes.
Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda stated at a press conference on Friday that there are no specific ideas regarding the pace of interest rate hikes, and policy will be decided after thorough dis
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Gasoline prices in Yemen's Houthi-controlled areas have increased by 10% for the first time in four years, sparking inflation concerns.
Houthi-controlled areas in Yemen announced on Monday a gasoline price hike of approximately 10%, from 4,750 Yemeni rials (approximately $8.90) to 5,250 Yemeni rials (approximately $9.80) per liter. Th
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ECB's Vujčić: Energy prices, now well above baseline, are driving market expectations for inflation and rate path; expects food inflation to peak at 3.4% in Q3 2027
European Central Bank Governing Council member Boris Vujčić stated in an interview with Reuters that energy prices have continued to increase and are now well above the baseline of the ECB's latest pr
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German PPI MoM 1.1%, expected 0.4%, prior 1.1%, above expectations
PPI MoM: 1.1%, Est. 0.4%, Prev. 1.1%, Above Expectations Release Time: 2026-09-18 06:00 UTC
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German PPI YoY 4.6%, expected 4.1%, previous 3%, above expectations
PPI YoY: 4.6%, expected 4.1%, prior 3%, above expectations Release Time: 2026-09-18 06:00 UTC
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Economist Mihir Torsekar warns economic squeeze from higher borrowing costs and weaker purchasing power could sway US midterm elections
Senior economist Mihir Torsekar told Al Jazeera’s ‘This is America’ that Americans on the lower end of the economy are feeling the impact of higher borrowing costs and weaker purchasing power, which c
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The Bank of Japan (BOJ) has raised interest rates to 1.25%, a 31-year high, to combat persistent inflation.
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) on Friday raised its policy interest rate from 1% to 1.25% with a 7-2 vote, reaching its highest level in 31 years. This move aims to counter persistent inflationary pressures
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Japan's central bank raises interest rate to 1.25%, a 31-year high, amid rising inflation
The Bank of Japan hiked its benchmark interest rate by 0.25 percentage points from 1% to 1.25% on Friday, marking the first increase since June and pushing borrowing costs to their highest level in 31
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Yen falls to 156.30 per dollar as softer August inflation dents BOJ aggressive tightening bets
The yen eased from 155.68-70 late Thursday, hours before the Bank of Japan's policy decision, after lower-than-expected consumer inflation in August dented expectations of aggressive tightening.
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RBA Governor Bullock: Australian Businesses Starting to Question if Inflation Will Return Below 3%
Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Michele Bullock told a parliamentary panel on Friday that Australian businesses are starting to "bubble up" a view that elevated inflation is not coming back down be
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South Korean stocks opened up 2.24% on Friday, boosted by falling oil prices and easing inflation concerns following the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike.
The Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) opened up 150.53 points, or 2.24%, at 6,865.94 points on Friday (9:15 AM KST). This followed an overnight rally on Wall Street, as falling oil prices and
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South Korea extends fuel tax cuts for two months until November to ease price pressures.
South Korea's Ministry of Finance announced on Friday that it would extend fuel tax cuts for another two months until November to ease price pressures stemming from ongoing tensions in the Middle East
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RBA Governor Bullock says board must decide if current rate is sufficient to cool prices
Australia’s central bank board needs to decide later this month whether its benchmark interest rate is at a level sufficient to restrain price pressures and return inflation to target, Governor Michel
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Japan's August inflation rate was 1.9% year-on-year, below expectations of 2.1% and matching the previous reading of 1.9%.
Japan's August inflation rate was 1.9% year-on-year, below expectations of 2.1% and matching the previous reading of 1.9%.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
Inflation
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Nippon Life plans to invest $12.7 billion (2 trillion yen) in infrastructure financing, primarily for data center construction in the US
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NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang rejected calls to slow down AI development, stating that AI should advance "as fast as possible" but emphasized that safety should not be sacrificed.
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The US, Denmark, and Greenland have reached a security agreement to expand the US military presence in Greenland, expected to be signed next week.
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