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Geopolitics
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CNBC reports: China expands controls over overseas deployment of tech talent, US tightens visas for Chinese students and journalists.
According to CNBC's "China Watch" newsletter, China officially began restricting citizens who violate technology export controls from leaving the country on Tuesday, aiming to plug loopholes in techno
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Finland becomes 10th European state to join French nuclear deterrence initiative amid Russian, US uncertainty
The move, formalised by the countries’ foreign ministers in Helsinki on Monday, extends the coverage of the French nuclear deterrent to eleven European countries. This comes as Russia is viewed as a g
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Iran's IRGC: Oil Tanker Exploded After Colliding with Mines in Strait of Hormuz and Caught Fire
Iran's IRGC: Oil Tanker Exploded After Colliding with Mines in Strait of Hormuz and Caught Fire
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The U.S. is reportedly considering a "phased" agreement with Iran to end the conflict.
Washington may be considering a "phased" agreement with Tehran aimed at ending the US-Iran conflict, according to Iranian media ILNA, citing Pakistani sources. The source cautioned that Donald Trump's
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EU member states agree to boost Arctic investment in response to Russian threats and geopolitical competition
Twelve EU member states unanimously agreed at a meeting on Monday that the Arctic has become a "geopolitical hotspot," calling for the EU to play a more strategic and proactive role in the region. Fin
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Brent crude settles at $105.34, up 0.7%, as Saudi Arabia's Hormuz bypass pipeline remains shut after drone strikes
The East-West pipeline, capable of carrying 7 million barrels per day, was hit by Iraq-launched drones last Thursday and has been taken offline. Analysts estimate repairs could take months, potentiall
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Oil Tanker Daily Hire Rate Tops $1 Million for First Time Amid Iran War and Hormuz Strait Ship Shortage
The cost of hiring an oil tanker on the industry’s benchmark trade route reached $1.035 million a day on Monday, according to data from the Baltic Exchange in London. This marks the first time the dai
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Brent crude rises above $100 as Iran war disrupts Hormuz shipping and Houthi capture of Mayun Island raises Bab al-Mandeb concerns
Al Jazeera reports that Brent crude has risen above $100 a barrel due to the war in Iran disrupting shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. Additionally, the Houthis' capture of Mayun Island is raising
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Trump: US producing and delivering weapons at fastest pace in history, including Patriots, THAAD, and Tomahawks
Donald Trump stated that the United States is producing more advanced weapons than ever before, with daily deliveries to forces in the Middle East and beyond. He added that defense factories are opera
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Houthi rebels launched a large-scale attack on a Saudi airbase and oil pipelines, causing international oil prices to surge over 4%, with Brent crude trading at $109.18 per barrel.
Yemen's Houthi rebels launched dozens of ballistic missiles and drones at Saudi Arabia's King Khalid Air Base in Khamis Mushait, southwestern Saudi Arabia, on September 14, and attacked a pumping stat
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The U.S. 10-year government bond yield surpassed the 5% mark on Monday, reaching a new high for 2023.
U.S. Treasuries faced a new round of aggressive selling, with the 10-year yield hitting a high of 5.01%. Steven Barrow, Head of G10 Strategy at Standard Bank, warned that the sell-off is far from over
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Prediction market traders expect U.S. gas prices to hit new highs for the year, with a 71% chance of surpassing $4.60/gallon
Traders on Kalshi also place 57% odds that prices will top $4.80 a gallon, and just over a 40% chance that they cross $5.00. This comes as U.S. oil prices are again above $100 per barrel, driven by es
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Iran War fiscal pressure may lead Gulf states to prioritize domestic investments over US commitments, PIIE report says
A new analysis from the Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE) indicates that the ongoing conflict between the United States and Iran is creating fiscal pressure for Saudi Arabia, Qatar
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S&P 500 falls as Brent crude jumps over 3% to $106 on Middle East hostilities, AI stocks decline
Markets started the week defensively, with escalating Middle East hostilities and hawkish central bank expectations weighing on risk appetite. Brent crude surged over 3% towards $106, having gained ne
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Costco rations Kirkland Signature motor oil and raises price to $57.99, citing global lubricant shortage and rising crude oil prices
The retailer has limited purchases to two units per customer per week for its Kirkland Signature full-synthetic motor oil, which jumped from approximately $30 to $57.99 per 10-quart case. This move co
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Saudi Arabia's East-West oil pipeline was shut down last Thursday after a drone attack, affecting 5% of global oil supply.
The 1,200-kilometer pipeline, with a daily capacity of approximately 4 million to 5 million barrels, connects Saudi Arabia's eastern oil-producing regions to the Red Sea port of Yanbu, allowing it to
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Brent crude rose 3.7% overnight, breaking above $108. Bernstein warned that the combined crises in the Strait of Hormuz and the Red Sea could push oil prices to $150.
Bernstein analysts point out that the closure of Saudi Arabia's East-West oil pipeline due to attacks, coupled with the delayed negotiations between Iran and Gulf states over the Strait of Hormuz, is
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Saudi Arabia's East-West oil pipeline could remain largely offline for 3-5 weeks following last week's drone attack, AP reports, adding further pressure to global oil supply.
Saudi Arabia's East-West oil pipeline could remain largely offline for 3-5 weeks following last week's drone attack, AP reports, adding further pressure to global oil supply. The pipeline can carry up
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Yahoo Finance Analysis: US FY2027 Defense Budget May Reach $1.15 Trillion, Analysts Bullish on Honeywell Aerospace (HONA)
Yahoo Finance analysis indicates that the proposed military spending in the US FY2027 National Defense Authorization Act will reach a record $1.15 trillion, driven by geopolitical pressures. Against t
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Bloomberg Intelligence's Sanders: Iran is exploiting Houthi attacks as a 'wildcard'
Col. Wayne Sanders (Ret.) of Bloomberg Intelligence examines the role being played by Yemen’s Houthis against Iran’s Gulf state neighbors and the importance of Oman to the US in the Middle East.
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FT: The Saudi relief valve is being closed, as Houthis’ Red Sea blockage remains largely an oil shock rather than a general threat to trade
FT: The Saudi relief valve is being closed, as Houthis’ Red Sea blockage remains largely an oil shock rather than a general threat to trade
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GasBuddy Analyst: Americans have spent an additional $109.2 billion on gasoline and diesel since March, with the daily increase currently around $730 million.
According to Patrick De Haan, head of petroleum analysis at GasBuddy, U.S. consumers and truckers have spent an estimated $109.2 billion more on gasoline and diesel since March 1 compared to the same
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Trump Rejects Warnings of AI Slowdown, Chinese State Media Calls AI Deceleration a "Cold War Playbook" Against China
Donald Trump, the US President, dismissed warnings about slowing down artificial intelligence (AI) development as "wacky." Meanwhile, Chinese state media described Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei's call fo
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A U.S. miner has signed a tungsten mining agreement with Rwanda, aiming to establish a Western supply chain and reduce reliance on China.
An American miner is partnering with the Rwandan government to source and process tungsten from the African nation, a move aimed at building Western supply chains for strategic metals to reduce relian
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Senior Advisor to the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps: Iran is reverse-engineering captured US military equipment
Ali Balali, an adviser to the Aerospace Force of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), stated that Iran is conducting reverse engineering on captured U.S. and hostile military equipment, and t
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Donald Trump will hold a closed-door meeting at the White House with the Prime of Qatar to discuss the Iran nuclear issue and conflict mediation.
Donald Trump will hold a closed-door meeting at the White House with the Prime of Qatar to discuss the Iran nuclear issue and conflict mediation.
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Donald Trump stated that he will meet with the leaders of China and Russia at the APEC summit next week to discuss ending the Iran war and denuclearization.
Donald Trump stated that he will meet with the leaders of China and Russia at the APEC summit next week to discuss ending the Iran war and denuclearization.
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US Secretary of State Rubio defends military action against Iran, stating that countering the "nuclear threat" is unpopular yet necessary
US Secretary of State Marco Rubio told reporters in Florida that he defended Donald Trump's decision to go to war with Iran, stating that the president recognized and addressed the real threat of a "n
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According to Al Jazeera on November 9, over 70% of the Kurdistan region in northern Iraq experienced power outages following a drone attack on the Khor Mor gas facility.
According to Al Jazeera on November 9, over 70% of the Kurdistan region in northern Iraq experienced power outages following a drone attack on the Khor Mor gas facility.
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IRGC: Three Oil Tankers Catch Fire in Strait of Hormuz Since Early Hours of Nov 8
According to a live broadcast by Al Jazeera on November 8, the Navy of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) of Iran stated in a Telegram statement that day that since the early morning, three
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Yemeni government forces announced the launch of the "Dawn of Yemen" military operation across multiple locations, resulting in 267 Houthi casualties or withdrawals.
The Yemeni government forces announced the launch of the "Yemeni Dawn" military operation across multiple regions, resulting in 267 Houthi casualties or retreats. Colonel Majeed Al-Nazili, the militar
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According to Deltaone, Rubio stated that the negotiations have yielded no results, and the demands put forward by Iran are "completely unacceptable."
According to Deltaone, Rubio stated that the negotiations have yielded no results, and the demands put forward by Iran are "completely unacceptable."
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Drone attack hits Khor Mor gas field in Iraqi Kurdistan, slashing power generation by about 2.8 gigawatts
Omid Ahmed, a spokesperson for the Ministry of Electricity in the Kurdistan Regional Government of Iraq, stated that a drone attack on the Khor Mor gas field in Iraq has resulted in a reduction of nea
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Iranian state media reports that the U.S. military launched "projectiles" at Qeshm Island
Citing Al Jazeera and Iranian state media reports, the U.S. military fired "projectiles" at Qeshm Island in the Strait of Hormuz on Sunday evening local time. The Islamic Republic News Agency (IRNA) p
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Trump stated that the U.S. military's "Iron Gate" Task Force is now fully operational, working in coordination with the maritime blockade to deter Iran.
Trump stated that the U.S. military's "Task Force Iron Gate" is now fully operational, working in coordination with a naval blockade to curb Iran; U.S. President Donald Trump posted on social media th
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Drone attack hits Khor Mor natural gas field in Iraq's Kurdistan region
A drone attack hit the Khor Mor gas field—one of the largest natural gas fields in the region—located in the Sulaymaniyah Governorate of the Iraqi Kurdistan Region. The party responsible for the attac
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Iraqi Kurdistan Region President Meets Iranian Delegation to Discuss Security Cooperation and Regional Stability
The President of the Kurdistan Regional Government of Iraq met with an Iranian delegation, with both sides discussing ways to improve security cooperation and mechanisms for maintaining regional stabi
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Houthis Claim Saudi-Led Coalition Carried Out 91 Airstrikes and Missile Attacks in Yemen Over Past 24 Hours
The Houthis stated that the Saudi-led coalition carried out 91 airstrikes and missile attacks in Yemen over the past 24 hours, affecting six Yemeni provinces and causing civilian casualties. The group
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According to the Islamic Republic News Agency (IRNA), explosions were heard on Iran's Qeshm Island, though there has been no official confirmation yet.
According to the Islamic Republic News Agency (IRNA), explosions were heard on Iran's Qeshm Island, though there has been no official confirmation yet.
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Saudi-led coalition says it destroyed a Houthi missile launcher in Sanaa, Yemen.
The Saudi-led coalition announced that it has destroyed a missile launcher belonging to the Houthis in Sana'a, Yemen. Coalition spokesman Turki al-Maliki stated that the launcher had previously been u
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Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi: US election results have led to the suspension of mediators' work
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi: US election results have led to the suspension of mediators' work
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Florida Governor-elect Byron Donalds: Conflict with Iran "is coming to an end"
In an interview with NBC News, Byron Donalds, the newly elected Republican Governor of Florida and a close ally of Donald Trump, stated that the conflict with Iran is "coming to an end" and that gasol
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Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi stated that negotiations to end hostility with the United States have not yet made progress, and they are waiting for the situation to become clearer following the U.S. midterm elections.
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi stated that negotiations to end hostility with the United States have not yet made progress, and they are awaiting clarification of the situation following the
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Israeli Prime Minister-designate Eisenkot stated that he is open to including Benjamin Netanyahu in the ruling coalition.
Israel's designated government-forming candidate Gadi Eisenkot stated that he is open to including Benjamin Netanyahu in a coalition government. Speaking at a ceremony at the President's Residence in
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Trump: Further strikes against Iran will be "highly unlikely" if progress is made on nuclear and Strait of Hormuz negotiations
Trump: Further strikes against Iran will be "highly unlikely" if progress is made on nuclear and Strait of Hormuz negotiations
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Adviser to Iran's Supreme Leader: US Midterm Election Results Will Not Change Tehran's Stance Toward the US
Mohammad Mokhber, an advisor to Iran’s Supreme Leader, stated on X that a Democratic victory in the US midterm elections will not change Tehran's stance toward Washington. He wrote, "It is naive to ti
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Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi warns: If the situation escalates, Tehran will "unleash hellfire"
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi warned in a post on X that U.S. voters have made their choice, and the White House must now make its own; if hostilities resume, Iran will "unleash hellfire." A
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Reform UK leader Farage predicts a surge in military action against Iran after the US midterms
In an interview with the BBC, Reform UK leader Nigel Farage predicted that following the US midterm election results, he "expects to see a very sharp increase in military action against Iran." Farage
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Reviewing Bitcoin's Historical Performance Amid Geopolitical Conflicts: From Flash Crash to V-Shaped Recovery—True Safe-Haven Asset or High Volatility?
Geopolitical crises are the ultimate litmus test for asset attributes. Looking back at events such as the Russia-Ukraine conflict in 2022 and the escalation of US-Iran tensions in 2026, Bitcoin's (BTC) performance exhibits a recurring pattern: during the initial outbreak of a crisis, market panic and liquidity squeezes often trigger "flash crashes," with intraday drops reaching 8%–10%. However, once sentiment is released, prices tend to stage a rapid "V-shaped recovery," regaining lost ground or even hitting new highs within days or weeks. This short-term high volatility makes it behave more like a risk asset, while its long-term "digital gold" narrative of resisting inflation and decentralization—coupled with institutional capital inflows that frequently follow crises—endows it with certain hedging characteristics. This article reviews key historical case studies to explore Bitcoin's dual identity in turbulent environments.
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May 2026 Crypto Market Review: Bitcoin Fluctuates Around $77,000 Amid Continuous ETF Outflows and Geopolitical Impacts
In May 2026, the crypto market experienced a correction after the Bitcoin price surpassed $80,000, leading to a tug-of-war between bulls and bears around $77,000. US spot Bitcoin ETFs saw net outflows for several consecutive days, totaling over $1.5 billion, while Ethereum ETFs also faced capital pressure. The escalation of geopolitical conflict between the US and Iran was considered one of the main drivers of cautious market sentiment and capital outflows. Despite the complex macroeconomic environment, venture capital funding in the crypto space rebounded significantly in May, demonstrating the industry's internal resilience and development.
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Bitcoin Back to $70,000: Amid Macroeconomic Pressures and Geopolitical Turmoil, What Is Supporting the Price?
After the price of Bitcoin once again surpassed $70,000 in March 2026, it has recently (July 2026) pulled back amid macroeconomic headwinds and geopolitical uncertainty, fluctuating around $64,000.Although the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF attracted significant institutional capital following its approval in early 2024, there have also been recent outflows. This article will conduct an in-depth analysis of current external pressures—including inflation, high interest rates, and geopolitical conflicts—and explore key supporting factors such as institutional investors, long-term holders, and the halving effect at Bitcoin, while examining the perspectives of both bulls and bears.
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