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Interest rate hike
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Analyst: If we see a few more nonfarm payroll reports like this, the baseline scenario will shift to several rate hikes
Svmuureports that institutional analyst Jersey commented on the US non-farm payroll data, stating that it is difficult to describe the job market as weak. For the interest rate market, the risk is bec
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U.S. job growth over the past three months has been the strongest in more than two years
According to U.S. media reports, U.S. employment growth in May exceeded all economists' expectations, with the unemployment rate remaining stable, further indicating that the labor market may be emerg
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The probability of a Fed rate hike in December rose to 63%
Svmuu reported that data from U.S. interest rate futures show the probability of a Fed rate hike in December has risen from 48% to 63%. (Jinshi)
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Moody's Warns: Federal Reserves May Be Forced to Raise Interest Rates as Inflation Expectations Soar
Svmuu News: Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's, pointed out that although U.S. GDP has risen this year and the economy appears resilient, warning signs are already flashing. Under the leadership o
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Federal Reserve Study: With the Logic of Monetary Policy Being Reshaped, the Dilemma Faced by Oil Price Shocks Is Easing, Allowing Prioritization of Inflation Control
Svmuureports that the Boston Federal Reserve released a new study on Thursday stating that fundamental changes in the U.S. energy structure have completely altered the transmission path of oil price s
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International Monetary Fund: Market Has Begun to Bet on Fed Rate Hike
Svmuu reports that the International Monetary Fund stated the expected timeline for the Federal Reserve's 2% inflation target return has been pushed back to the end of 2027, compared to a previous for
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World Gold Council: Fed rate hikes may unexpectedly benefit gold
Svmuu reported that the World Gold Council stated in its gold market commentary report released on June 4 that looking ahead, as inflationary pressures rise, the Federal Reserve may need to raise inte
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Svmuu Noon News
1. CryptoQuant Founder: Bitcoin OG selling is part of institutional accumulation process, next rally still expected; 2. Only about $20 away from liquidation price, Machi Big Brother continues to reduc
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Sources: The Bank of Japan (BOJ)s is considering a rate hike in June, with further increases possible thereafter
Svmuu News According to informed sources, Bank of Japan officials are preparing to consider a 25 basis point increase in the benchmark interest rate this month and believe further rate hikes are possi
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Federal Reserve's Logan: The Fed May Need to Raise Interest Rates This Year to Curb Prices
SvmuuNews, Federal Reserve's Logan stated that Fed officials may need to raise interest rates later this year to bring inflation down to the 2% target level. She noted that the U.S. labor market is "l
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ADP data suggests the US labor market may still be accelerating
According to Svmuu, U.S. companies added the highest number of new jobs in May since January 2025, indicating that the labor market may still be accelerating despite rising energy costs due to the war
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Svmuu Noon News
1. WLFI reminds users to comply with sanctions requirements; transactions involving sanctioned addresses may be rejected; 2. The "1011 insider whale" once transferred 1.35 billion USD worth of ETH to
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European Central Bank Governing Council member: Even if a US-Iran peace agreement is reached, it will not weaken the case for rate hikes
Svmuu reported on June 3rd that European Central Bank Governing Council member Wunsch stated that a US-Iran peace agreement reached before the ECB meeting next week will not weaken the rationale for r
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Goldman Sachs CEO: Greed outweighs fear in the market
Svmuureports that Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon stated that the stock market's boom is driven by a desire for profit, which outweighs concerns about economic turmoil and inflation risks. Solomon sai
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Traders Raise Fed Rate Hike Expectations, 50% Probability of Rate Hike as Early as October
Svmuu News Due to signs of a deadlock in peace negotiations between the United States and Iran, U.S. Treasury prices fell as concerns grow that high energy costs will exacerbate inflation and prompt t
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Former BOJ Board Member: BoJ’s June Rate Hike is Crucial to Avoid Falling Behind the Inflation Curve
Svmuureported that Makoto Sakurai, who served as a board member of the Bank of Japan (BoJ) from 2016 to 2021, stated that the central bank is highly likely to raise interest rates next month, and this
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Neel Kashkari of the Federal Reserve: It is too early to conclude that an immediate rate hike is needed after April PCE inflation data.
SvmuuNews: Neel Kashkari of the Federal Reserve stated that it is too early to conclude that an immediate rate hike is needed following the release of April PCE inflation data. (Jinshi)
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Federal Reserve's Musalem: Scenarios Requiring Rate Hikes Exist
Svmuureports that Federal Reserve official Musalem stated that scenarios exist where the economy may require rate hikes. He believes there is a risk that inflation may not converge to the target as de
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Federal Reserve's Musalem: Cannot Count on AI Boom to Solve Inflation Issues
Svmuu, Federal Reserve's Musalem stated that policymakers cannot rely on the potential productivity boom from artificial intelligence to alleviate persistently high inflation. Musalem noted: "I believ
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Federal Reserve’s Musalem: Higher real interest rates should be addressed through rate hike policies
Svmuu reported that Federal Reserve’s Musalem stated that higher real interest rates should be addressed through rate hike policies. It is currently unclear whether the U.S. is in a period of high pro
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PCE expected to rise to 3.8%, U.S. April PCE to be released at 8:30 PM tonight, with core PCE year-over-year expected at 3.3%
Svmuu reports that the U.S. April PCE data will be released at 8:30 PM Beijing time tonight. The market expects the April PCE year-over-year increase to be 3.8%, compared to the previous value of 3.5%
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Federal Reserve’s Kashkari: Prolonged Iran War Could Trigger a 'Series' of US Rate Hikes
Svmuu News: According to Nikkei Asia, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari stated that the Fed may implement a "series" of interest rate hikes in response to inflationary issues
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Economist: Japan's 10-Year Government Bond Yield May Rise to 3.1% in the Second Half of FY2027
Svmuu News According to economists at Daiwa Institute of Research, Japan's 10-year government bond yield is expected to rise to around 3.1% in the second half of fiscal year 2027. Fiscal year 2027 end
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Strategists warn: It is becoming increasingly likely that central banks such as the Federal Reserve, and others will raise interest rates rather than cut them
Svmuu strategists warn that the possibility of central banks like the Federal Reserve raising interest rates rather than cutting them is growing. Although there are concerns about war-induced inflatio
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Australia's second-largest pension fund, Australian Retirement Trust, is buying French government bonds, believing the market has overestimated France's fiscal problems and the likelihood of a European Central Bank rate hike.
Australia's second-largest pension fund, Australian Retirement Trust, is buying French government bonds, believing the market has overestimated France's fiscal problems and the likelihood of a Europea
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stated that they expect the Federal Reserve to skip the October meeting after its September rate hike
Goldman Sachs' economic research team, in their preview report for the October FOMC meeting, stated that they expect the Federal Reserve to skip the October meeting after its September rate hike, but
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Goldman Sachs warns that the market may be unprepared for either a December rate hike or no hike from the Federal Reserve
Goldman Sachs warns that the market may be unprepared for either a December rate hike or no hike from the Federal Reserve, potentially triggering a new risk repricing. Cosimo Codacci-Pisanelli, a stra
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Gold futures fell 1.10% to $3,980.80 per ounce, dropping below the $4,000 mark, as inflation concerns and interest rate hike expectations triggered a sell-off, with a weekly decline of nearly 4%.
Gold futures fell 1.10% to $3,980.80 per ounce, breaching the $4,000 mark, as inflation concerns and interest rate hike expectations triggered a sell-off, leading to a nearly 4% weekly decline. Rising
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U.S. Treasury yields saw their largest single-day drop since the Silicon Valley Bank crisis, as the market pushed back expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike to January next year.
On Thursday, the U.S. Treasury market experienced its most significant single-day rally in three years, driven by a triple whammy of AI tech stock sell-offs, escalating French sovereign debt concerns,
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Deutsche Bank expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged next week, as Warsh faces the challenge of solid inflation expectations.
Deutsche Bank expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged at next week's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. The bank's Chief U.S. Economist, Matthew Luzzetti, noted that de
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Japan's core CPI for September rose to 2.1%, exceeding 2% for the first time this year; over 80% of economists expect the Bank of Japan (BOJ) to raise interest rates in December.
Japan's core CPI rose 2.1% year-on-year in September, exceeding the Bank of Japan's 2% target for the first time in nine months, data from the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications showed to
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Japan's inflation rose above the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) target level for the first time this year, supporting expectations for a December rate hike.
Japan's inflation rose above the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) target level for the first time this year, supporting expectations for a December rate hike.
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Australian Treasurer Jim Chalmers stated that the country's economic growth could fall below the 1.75% forecast in the May budget, impacted by interest rate hikes and inflation.
Australian Treasurer Jim Chalmers stated that the country's economic growth could fall below the 1.75% forecast in the May budget, impacted by interest rate hikes and inflation.
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Markets are no longer fully pricing in a Federal Reserve rate hike by the end of 2026.
Markets are no longer fully pricing in a Federal Reserve rate hike by the end of 2026.
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Bitcoin slides towards $81,000 as rising oil prices above $110 revive rate-hike bets
Bitcoin's price slid on Thursday, erasing earlier gains, after oil prices jumped. The largest cryptocurrency was down by nearly 4% over a 24-hour period on Thursday in New York, trading as low as $81,
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The Philippine central bank raised interest rates by 50 basis points to 5.5% on Thursday to curb inflation, double the amount economists predicted, Nikkei Asia reported.
The Philippine central bank raised interest rates by 50 basis points to 5.5% on Thursday to curb inflation, double the amount economists predicted, Nikkei Asia reported.
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Bank of Korea maintains policy rate at 3%, following President Lee Jae-myung's call for increased housing supply.
The Bank of Korea announced on Thursday that it would keep its policy rate unchanged at 3%, in line with market expectations, following two consecutive rate hikes. This decision comes after President
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Sun Hung Kai Properties Sells Out 128 Hong Kong Apartments Amid Fed Rate Hike Expectations
Sun Hung Kai Properties (SHKP), one of Hong Kong's largest developers, sold out the latest batch of 128 apartments at its Sierra Sea project in the New Territories on Wednesday. The apartments were so
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UK September inflation jumps to 3.5%, highest since Oct 2025, fueling BoE rate hike bets; public debt surpasses £3 trillion
British consumer price inflation rose to 3.5% in September, up from 3.1% in August, exceeding economists' forecasts of 3.4% and the Bank of England's 3% prediction. This marks the highest inflation ra
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UK inflation jumps to 3.5% in September, highest in a year
U.K. inflation rose by a hotter-than-expected 3.5% in the 12 months to September, driven by surging motor fuel costs, cementing rate hike expectations. This marks a continuation of the upward trend, f
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US Housing Market Deteriorates in September, Flashing Warning Signs as Fed Weighs Rate Hikes
US housing data further deteriorated in September, with pending home sales hitting an all-time low since 2001, falling 7.3% month-over-month. Housing starts also declined 5.2% against expectations, wh
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Decrypt Analysis: Bitcoin Trades Below $83,000, Key Resistance and Support Levels in Focus
Decrypt's analysis indicates that Bitcoin is currently trading below $83,000, above both its short-term and long-term moving averages. The article lists key levels traders are watching: overhead resis
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Treasuries Rise as Oil Retreats From Highest Levels in Weeks, Prompting Traders to Trim Fed Rate Hike Bets
Treasuries rose as benchmark oil prices retreated from the highest levels in weeks, prompting traders to trim wagers on Federal Reserve interest-rate hikes over the coming year.
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The Bank of Japan (BOJ) may raise its core inflation forecast for fiscal year 2027, according to Reuters. The BOJ is expected to keep policy unchanged in October and could hike rates again as early as December.
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) may raise its core inflation forecast for fiscal year 2027, according to Reuters. The BOJ is expected to keep policy unchanged in October and could hike rates again as early as
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Ares Warns of Australian Private Credit Stress From Rising Rates Amid Struggling Real Estate Market
Peter Graf, partner and head of Asia direct lending at Ares Management Corp., warned that elevated interest rates, including Australia's central bank raising rates four times to 4.6% this year, threat
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Bank Indonesia faces mounting pressure to hike rates after MSCI downgrade threat
Bank Indonesia is under increasing pressure to raise interest rates on Wednesday, as global index provider MSCI warned it may downgrade the country's stock market from emerging-market to standalone st
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Gold maintained its decline as energy prices fueled inflation concerns and impacted the Federal Reserve's rate hike path.
Gold maintained its decline as energy prices fueled inflation concerns and impacted the Federal Reserve's rate hike path.
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New Zealand Q3 inflation seen easing to 3.8%, but Q4 acceleration is forecast to drive more rate hikes
New Zealand's third-quarter consumer price index is expected to rise 3.8% year-on-year, down from 4.1% in Q2 and slightly below the Reserve Bank's September projection. However, economists anticipate
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
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