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Interest rate hike
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The market faces multiple risk events this week: the Fed’s decision, earnings reports from tech giants, and oil price volatility, all at the same time.
Global markets will face multiple risk events this week, including the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision, a flurry of earnings reports from tech giants such as Microsoft, Meta, Apple, and Amazo
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BofA Expects Fed to Hold Rates in July, Citing Unprecedented Nature of Hike Below 60% Odds
Bank of America (BofA) expects the U.S. Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in July, despite markets pricing in a small chance of a hike. The bank states that a July increase would be "unpreced
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Analysis: Surprise Fed Rate Hike Cannot Be Ruled Out
An analysis suggests that a surprise interest rate hike by the U.S. Federal Reserve cannot be ruled out. The analysis also explores its potential implications for the S&P 500.
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World Stocks Hit One-Month Low as Chip Rout Worsens Amid AI Funding Concerns and Rate Hike Bets
Global stocks fell to a one-month low on Tuesday, driven by a significant sell-off in chipmakers due to concerns over Chinese competition and the funding of the AI boom. Rising odds of a U.S. interest
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US Dollar Nears Four-Week Peak as Markets Eye Potential Fed Rate Hike This Week
The U.S. dollar held steady near a four-week high on Tuesday, with the dollar index hovering around 101.50, as traders assessed the possibility of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike this week. Marke
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Fed Dissent Levels Eyed for September Rate Hike Clues
Investors are closely monitoring this week's US Federal Reserve (Fed) vote for indications on future interest rate movements. A 10-2 split is anticipated, with two officials expected to back a 25 basi
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Taiwan Five-Year Yield Jumps to Highest Since 2008 on Rate Bets
Taiwan’s five-year bond yield climbed to its highest level since 2008. This surge was driven by a disappointing 20-year bond sale last week and increasing expectations for an interest-rate hike by the
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Bitcoin Weakens in Asia Trading Ahead of Fed Rate Decision
Bitcoin declined in early Asia trading on Tuesday as investors fretted about the prospect of higher interest rates.
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Citadel Securities expects surprise Fed rate hike this week
Citadel Securities expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates this week. This would be a surprise move, which Citadel Securities believes would strengthen Chairman Kevin Warsh’s credibility i
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Citi Traders Bet Fed Will Hold Rates This Week
Citigroup Inc. traders are betting the Federal Reserve will leave interest rates unchanged this week. This expectation comes even as swap markets currently assign a more than one-in-three chance of a
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US Treasuries Rise, Oil Softens After US Pauses Iran Strikes; Fed Rate Hike Chance Eyed
US Treasuries edged higher as oil prices softened after the US paused its nearly two-week campaign of strikes against Iran. Meanwhile, traders are eyeing a roughly one-in-three chance of a Federal Res
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Federal Reserve Chair Warsh May Follow Greenspan's Lead and Consider Raising Interest Rates to Suppress Long-Term Rates
The new Federal Reserve Chair, Warsh, is facing a policy choice: whether to raise interest rates to suppress long-term rates in an effort to lower borrowing costs for the real economy, such as mortgag
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82% Chance of Fed Rate Hike by Mid-September
There is now an 82% chance of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike by mid-September.
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The Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates unchanged, but the possibility of a rate hike remains.
The Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates unchanged, but the possibility of a rate hike has not been completely ruled out.
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U.S. Bond Market Sends Signal to the Fed: "Hawkish" Rhetoric Alone Is Not Enough; Market Expects Rate Hikes to Combat Inflation
The U.S. Treasury market is sending a clear signal to Federal Reserve Chair Wash that strong anti-inflation rhetoric alone is not enough to reassure investors, as the market strongly anticipates inter
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Bitcoin ETFs End Inflow Streak Amid Fed Rate Concerns
US-listed Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) experienced heavy outflows late last week, ending their recent streak of inflows. This development highlights the fragility of Bitcoin's recent recovery,
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Analyst: Oil Prices Approach the 100-Yuan Mark Again; Alarm Bells Ring Once More as Global Central Banks Raise Interest Rates
Svmuu News: Central banks around the world are grappling with how to respond to oil prices returning to around $100 per barrel. The Federal Reserve, the Bank of England, and the Bank of Japan (BOJ) ma
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Morgan Stanley: The Fed is expected to hold rates steady next week
Svmuu News: Morgan Stanley strategists said in a report that recent data suggests the Federal Reserve will hold off on raising rates at its July meeting and is likely to keep rates unchanged for the r
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Analysis: The Fed Could Raise Rates as Early as Next Week; U.S. Treasury Yields Rise to Year-to-Date Highs
Svmuu News: As the threat of an escalation of the war in Iran pushed up oil prices, U.S. Treasury yields rose to their highest levels of the year, with the market anticipating that the Federal Reserve
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"The Fed's Voice": The July Policy Meeting Has Become One of the Most Unpredictable in Recent Years
Svmuu News: Nick Timiraos, known as the “Fed’s mouthpiece,” wrote in a post on July 23 (local time) that the Fed’s July policy meeting will be one of the most difficult to predict in recent years.Risi
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Head of Research at Grayscale: If the Fed Stops Raising Interest Rates, Bitcoin's Price May Have Already Bottomed Out
Svmuu News: Zach Pandl, Head of Research at Grayscale, wrote that there are currently two main views on when the Bitcoin bear market will end: one follows the “four-year cycle,” and the other views Bi
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Analysis: The U.S. Treasury yield curve may invert
Svmuu News: The yield spread between 10-year and 2-year U.S. Treasury bonds is expected to narrow further in the coming months, according to Capital Economics, which noted that escalating tensions in
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The President of the Cleveland Fed Hints at the Need for Rate Hikes to Combat Inflation; Markets See a 65% Probability of a Rate Hike in September
Svmuu News: Hamack, President of the Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank, recently hinted that the Federal Reserve may need to raise interest rates to curb persistently high inflation. Currently, interest
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Analysis: Expectations of interest rate hikes, combined with a shift in capital flows, have led tech giants to lead the decline in the broader U.S. stock market.
Svmuu News: On Friday, the three major U.S. stock indices opened lower, with tech stocks falling across the board.the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index has fallen more than 20% from its all-time closin
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stated that they expect the Federal Reserve to skip the October meeting after its September rate hike
Goldman Sachs' economic research team, in their preview report for the October FOMC meeting, stated that they expect the Federal Reserve to skip the October meeting after its September rate hike, but
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Goldman Sachs warns that the market may be unprepared for either a December rate hike or no hike from the Federal Reserve
Goldman Sachs warns that the market may be unprepared for either a December rate hike or no hike from the Federal Reserve, potentially triggering a new risk repricing. Cosimo Codacci-Pisanelli, a stra
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Gold futures fell 1.10% to $3,980.80 per ounce, dropping below the $4,000 mark, as inflation concerns and interest rate hike expectations triggered a sell-off, with a weekly decline of nearly 4%.
Gold futures fell 1.10% to $3,980.80 per ounce, breaching the $4,000 mark, as inflation concerns and interest rate hike expectations triggered a sell-off, leading to a nearly 4% weekly decline. Rising
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U.S. Treasury yields saw their largest single-day drop since the Silicon Valley Bank crisis, as the market pushed back expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike to January next year.
On Thursday, the U.S. Treasury market experienced its most significant single-day rally in three years, driven by a triple whammy of AI tech stock sell-offs, escalating French sovereign debt concerns,
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Deutsche Bank expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged next week, as Warsh faces the challenge of solid inflation expectations.
Deutsche Bank expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged at next week's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. The bank's Chief U.S. Economist, Matthew Luzzetti, noted that de
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Japan's core CPI for September rose to 2.1%, exceeding 2% for the first time this year; over 80% of economists expect the Bank of Japan (BOJ) to raise interest rates in December.
Japan's core CPI rose 2.1% year-on-year in September, exceeding the Bank of Japan's 2% target for the first time in nine months, data from the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications showed to
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Japan's inflation rose above the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) target level for the first time this year, supporting expectations for a December rate hike.
Japan's inflation rose above the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) target level for the first time this year, supporting expectations for a December rate hike.
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Australian Treasurer Jim Chalmers stated that the country's economic growth could fall below the 1.75% forecast in the May budget, impacted by interest rate hikes and inflation.
Australian Treasurer Jim Chalmers stated that the country's economic growth could fall below the 1.75% forecast in the May budget, impacted by interest rate hikes and inflation.
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Markets are no longer fully pricing in a Federal Reserve rate hike by the end of 2026.
Markets are no longer fully pricing in a Federal Reserve rate hike by the end of 2026.
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Bitcoin slides towards $81,000 as rising oil prices above $110 revive rate-hike bets
Bitcoin's price slid on Thursday, erasing earlier gains, after oil prices jumped. The largest cryptocurrency was down by nearly 4% over a 24-hour period on Thursday in New York, trading as low as $81,
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The Philippine central bank raised interest rates by 50 basis points to 5.5% on Thursday to curb inflation, double the amount economists predicted, Nikkei Asia reported.
The Philippine central bank raised interest rates by 50 basis points to 5.5% on Thursday to curb inflation, double the amount economists predicted, Nikkei Asia reported.
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Bank of Korea maintains policy rate at 3%, following President Lee Jae-myung's call for increased housing supply.
The Bank of Korea announced on Thursday that it would keep its policy rate unchanged at 3%, in line with market expectations, following two consecutive rate hikes. This decision comes after President
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Sun Hung Kai Properties Sells Out 128 Hong Kong Apartments Amid Fed Rate Hike Expectations
Sun Hung Kai Properties (SHKP), one of Hong Kong's largest developers, sold out the latest batch of 128 apartments at its Sierra Sea project in the New Territories on Wednesday. The apartments were so
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UK September inflation jumps to 3.5%, highest since Oct 2025, fueling BoE rate hike bets; public debt surpasses £3 trillion
British consumer price inflation rose to 3.5% in September, up from 3.1% in August, exceeding economists' forecasts of 3.4% and the Bank of England's 3% prediction. This marks the highest inflation ra
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UK inflation jumps to 3.5% in September, highest in a year
U.K. inflation rose by a hotter-than-expected 3.5% in the 12 months to September, driven by surging motor fuel costs, cementing rate hike expectations. This marks a continuation of the upward trend, f
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US Housing Market Deteriorates in September, Flashing Warning Signs as Fed Weighs Rate Hikes
US housing data further deteriorated in September, with pending home sales hitting an all-time low since 2001, falling 7.3% month-over-month. Housing starts also declined 5.2% against expectations, wh
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Decrypt Analysis: Bitcoin Trades Below $83,000, Key Resistance and Support Levels in Focus
Decrypt's analysis indicates that Bitcoin is currently trading below $83,000, above both its short-term and long-term moving averages. The article lists key levels traders are watching: overhead resis
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Treasuries Rise as Oil Retreats From Highest Levels in Weeks, Prompting Traders to Trim Fed Rate Hike Bets
Treasuries rose as benchmark oil prices retreated from the highest levels in weeks, prompting traders to trim wagers on Federal Reserve interest-rate hikes over the coming year.
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The Bank of Japan (BOJ) may raise its core inflation forecast for fiscal year 2027, according to Reuters. The BOJ is expected to keep policy unchanged in October and could hike rates again as early as December.
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) may raise its core inflation forecast for fiscal year 2027, according to Reuters. The BOJ is expected to keep policy unchanged in October and could hike rates again as early as
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Ares Warns of Australian Private Credit Stress From Rising Rates Amid Struggling Real Estate Market
Peter Graf, partner and head of Asia direct lending at Ares Management Corp., warned that elevated interest rates, including Australia's central bank raising rates four times to 4.6% this year, threat
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Bank Indonesia faces mounting pressure to hike rates after MSCI downgrade threat
Bank Indonesia is under increasing pressure to raise interest rates on Wednesday, as global index provider MSCI warned it may downgrade the country's stock market from emerging-market to standalone st
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Gold maintained its decline as energy prices fueled inflation concerns and impacted the Federal Reserve's rate hike path.
Gold maintained its decline as energy prices fueled inflation concerns and impacted the Federal Reserve's rate hike path.
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New Zealand Q3 inflation seen easing to 3.8%, but Q4 acceleration is forecast to drive more rate hikes
New Zealand's third-quarter consumer price index is expected to rise 3.8% year-on-year, down from 4.1% in Q2 and slightly below the Reserve Bank's September projection. However, economists anticipate
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Economists, Traders See Growing Bets for Bank of Canada Hike Next Week
More economists and traders expect the Bank of Canada to hike interest rates next week, after the central bank’s latest surveys showed inflation expectations rising.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Interest rate hike
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