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Interest rate hike
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Marathon Executive Richards: Stock Market Can Absorb 25 Basis Point Fed Rate Hike
Marathon Executive Richards: Stock Market Can Absorb 25 Basis Point Fed Rate Hike
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U.S. Treasury Yields Edge Lower in Asian Trade, 2-Year Yield Falls 1.3 Bps
U.S. Treasury yields edged lower in Asian trade after Monday's Labor Day holiday, shrugging off a slight increase in oil prices, as investors await Friday’s CPI reading. The two-year Treasury yield fe
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Spot gold rose 0.7% to $4435 on Tuesday, with a weaker dollar being the key driver; oil prices approached $100, and the probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike next week rose to 60%.
Spot gold rose as much as 0.7% to $4,435 per ounce in Asian trading on Tuesday, with analysts attributing its counter-trend rally to a weaker dollar. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index fell 0.1% on Tuesd
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Westpac Now Sees RBA Raising Cash Rate to 4.6% in November
Westpac Banking’s Luci Ellis cites more resilient household incomes and larger spillovers from the data center boom for the change of call for the Reserve Bank to raise cash rate to 4.6% in November.
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Bitcoin slips under $79,000, Zcash leads losses as Fed hike odds hold near 60%
Bitcoin slips under $79,000, Zcash leads losses as Fed hike odds hold near 60%
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The Japanese Yen rose to 152.89 against the US Dollar during Tuesday's trading, its highest level since February, bringing its cumulative gain for the month to 4.2%.
The Japanese Yen leads the G10 currencies in gains, as market expectations for a Bank of Japan (BOJ) rate hike intensify. A report released by the Japanese government on Tuesday showed that second-qua
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Global Markets' Summer Lull Ends, Volatility Mounts on Rate Hike Prospects, Fiscal Deficits, Middle East War
Global Markets' Summer Lull Ends, Volatility Mounts on Rate Hike Prospects, Fiscal Deficits, Middle East War
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Japan's nominal wage growth in July hit a new high since 1997, further supporting the central bank's interest rate hike.
Japan's nominal wages rose by 4.7% year-on-year in July, marking the largest single-month increase since January 1997 and significantly exceeding market expectations. Concurrently, real wages increase
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CoinShares: Bitcoin fund flows indicate investors are trading Fed rate path, not exiting market
CoinShares analysis shows that despite Bitcoin's struggle to break $80,000, fund flows suggest investors are positioning themselves based on the evolving Federal Reserve interest rate outlook rather t
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Federal Reserve officials are divided on their stance on interest rate hikes, with the market focusing on the August inflation data to be released this week.
On August 28, Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh stated that the Federal Reserve is focused on price stability and committed to curbing high inflation. Following his remarks, the CME FedWatch Tool s
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Deutsche Bank strategist Allen says traders are mistaken about interest rates or prices.
Deutsche Bank strategist Henry Allen states that investors are underestimating the scale of interest rate hikes needed to combat inflation, given the upward pressure on prices.
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Cointelegraph Analysis: Markets Tilt Toward September Rate Hikes, With Upcoming CPI/PPI and Fed Decision Crucial for Bitcoin's $80,000 Support
Cointelegraph analysis suggests that this week's CPI and PPI prints, along with the Federal Reserve's September 16 rate decision, could determine whether Bitcoin can secure $80,000 as a support level.
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If the Fed Hikes Interest Rates This Month, History Suggests Healthcare ETFs Like XLV Could Be a Smart Buy
Yahoo Finance reports that with a 59.4% implied chance of a rate hike at the Federal Reserve's September 16 meeting, and new Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh keen to curb rising Core PCE inflation, i
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CoinDesk Analysis: Friday's Jobs Report Did Not Substantially Increase the Probability of a Federal Reserve Rate Hike, Market Reaction May Be Overdone
CoinDesk analysis indicates that despite increased market discussion about a potential Federal Reserve rate hike later this month following Friday's strong jobs report, the market's implied probabilit
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U.S. August non-farm payrolls tripled expectations, raising the probability of a September rate hike to 58%; Bitcoin held steady at $79,000, and Zcash surged 45% in a week.
U.S. August non-farm payroll data tripled market expectations, pushing the market's anticipation of a Federal Reserve rate hike in September to 58%. This led to a sell-off in U.S. stocks, but the cryp
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Wall Street Investment Banks Bullish on Gold, Projecting $5,000/oz by End of 2026
Investment banks widely believe that despite strong US job growth data intensifying market concerns about Federal Reserve interest rate hikes, gold demand remains robust due to continuous diversificat
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Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index fell by as much as 239 points in early Monday trading due to concerns over US interest rate hikes and rising oil prices.
Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index opened Monday morning up 2 points (0.01%) at 25652 points before quickly turning lower, falling by as much as 239 points in early trading. The Hang Seng Tech Index opened d
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Seaport Research Golub: Strong Jobs Report Bolsters Case for September Fed Rate Hike, Despite Trump's Call for Cuts
Jonathan Golub, managing director and chief U.S. equity strategist at Seaport Research Partners, stated that a stronger-than-expected U.S. jobs report reinforces the Federal Reserve's rationale for ra
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Wall Street broadly expects the Federal Reserve to need to raise interest rates after a strong U.S. August non-farm payrolls report, with Macquarie bringing forward its rate hike forecast to September.
Following a robust U.S. August non-farm payrolls report (162,000 new jobs, significantly exceeding expectations) and a surge in government bond yields, Wall Street analysts widely believe the Federal
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Bank of America Securities and Citi have issued contrasting forecasts for the US August CPI data and its implications for the Federal Reserve's September rate hike. BofA expects the core CPI annual rate to rise to 3.4%, supporting a rate hike, while Citi anticipates a drop to 2.3%, advocating for a pause.
The US August CPI data, set to be released next Friday (September 12), will directly influence the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision at this month's meeting. BofA Securities predicts that the c
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Barclays analysts suggest that the August US non-farm payroll data may be overstated, but it still increases the likelihood of a September rate hike.
Barclays' Marc Giannoni team noted in their research report that the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics announced on September 4 that non-farm payrolls increased by 162,000 in August, significantly excee
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U.S. August non-farm payrolls increased by 162,000, significantly exceeding expectations. The probability of a September rate hike rose to approximately 60%, and U.S. Treasury yields generally moved higher.
Data released by the U.S. Department of Labor on Friday showed that non-farm payrolls increased by 162,000 in August, approximately three times economists' expectations, indicating resilience in the l
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Former Trump administration trade advisor Navarro warned that if the Federal Reserve raises interest rates now, it would hit critical sectors of the U.S. economy that most need to prosper, such as manufacturing and real estate. He expressed hope that Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh would stop "those clowns'" impulse to raise rates.
Peter Navarro, former trade advisor to the Trump administration, stated in a conversation with Steve Bannon that if the Federal Reserve were to raise interest rates rashly now, it would strike at the
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Canada's employment unexpectedly fell by 41,700 in August, significantly missing expectations. The Canadian dollar is under pressure and has declined, with market expectations for a Bank of Canada rate hike rapidly cooling.
Canada's employment fell by 41,700 in August, the first decline since April this year, far below the market expectation of a 15,000 increase, Statistics Canada reported on Friday. The unemployment rat
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US companies, especially manufacturers and retailers, are being squeezed by tariffs, soaring fuel costs from Iran war, and rising interest rates
American companies, particularly those in manufacturing, auto supply, retail, and transportation, are facing a triple squeeze. Tariffs under Trump's trade policies are increasing raw material costs, t
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Goldman Sachs: Market "pricing in 4 rate hikes" is overly pessimistic, expects only two rate hikes in this cycle.
Goldman Sachs strategists Dominic Wilson and Josh Schiffrin stated in a September 17 podcast that the current market pricing of four Federal Reserve rate hikes is overly pessimistic, and they believe
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Australia Home Auction Clearance Rates Fall Amid Rate Hike Fears
Australia's residential real estate market remained subdued this week, with auction clearance rates falling due to growing concerns that the central bank will increase interest rates later this month,
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Nick Timiraos reposted VKMacro's tweet: Japanese officials say failure to raise interest rates as demanded by the U.S. could escalate into a diplomatic issue.
Nick Timiraos reposted VKMacro's tweet: Japanese officials say failure to raise interest rates as demanded by the U.S. could escalate into a diplomatic issue.
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MarketWatch analysis: Warsh's Fed aims to tame inflation to 2% by 2029 with slightly higher rates, and Wall Street now believes it
MarketWatch analysis indicates that after more than five years of previous attempts, Federal Reserve leaders believe they can reduce the inflation rate to 2% by 2029 with only slightly higher U.S. int
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The dollar had its strongest week since June after the Federal Reserve's rate hike, with the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rising 1.1% this week.
The Federal Reserve announced its first interest rate hike in over three years this week, explicitly signaling more to come, which has become a core driver of dollar strength. JPMorgan Chase, Standard
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CNBC host Cramer expects a relatively calm week on Wall Street, but September has historically been tough.
CNBC host Jim Cramer said on Friday that investors could be in for a relatively calm period next week as Wall Street navigates a historically difficult September. He noted that this week, the Dow fell
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Wall Street concluded a volatile week with major indices showing flat performance on Friday.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average recorded its third consecutive weekly decline, while the Nasdaq Composite Index saw a slight gain. This week, Wall Street was impacted by calls from AI leaders to slow
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Dollar surges to its best weekly performance since June, driven by US central bank's signal for more rate hikes
The dollar is poised for its best weekly performance in three months after the US central bank signaled more interest-rate hikes are to come.
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Nikkei: BOJ's Friday rate hike was influenced by US pressure to shore up the yen, following Treasury Secretary Bessent's call for "decisive" action in August
The Bank of Japan's decision on Friday to raise interest rates, a departure from its usual cautious approach, was reportedly spurred by a "currency alliance" with the US. US Treasury Secretary Scott B
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MarketWatch analysis suggests investors' best move after Fed rate hike is to do nothing, as stocks should still outperform bonds.
MarketWatch analysis suggests investors' best move after Fed rate hike is to do nothing, as stocks should still outperform bonds. This is because the equity risk premium, which measures how much stock
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Fed Chair Warsh's "dose of accommodation" remark sparks Wall Street speculation on further rate hikes
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's description of this week's quarter-point interest rate hike as merely removing "a dose of accommodation" has led Wall Street to question the extent of future rat
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Inflation drives BOJ, Fed, ECB into historic alignment on rate hikes
The Bank of Japan's decision on Friday to join the U.S. and European central banks in rate hikes signals a new normal as they grapple with inflation amid political pressure and the impact of artificia
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Bank of America strategists warn: Investors should prepare for a Federal Reserve led by Warsh to raise the benchmark interest rate above 5%.
Bank of America strategists warn: Investors should prepare for a Federal Reserve led by Warsh to raise the benchmark interest rate above 5%.
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After the Bank of Japan meeting, Citi Research stated that expectations for further rate hikes have cooled, and the terminal interest rate cap may be locked below 2%.
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) decided to raise interest rates by 25 basis points to 1.25% at its September 17-18 meeting, with a 7-2 majority vote. However, the two dissenting votes have prompted the market
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Amundi Strategist Berardi: Global Markets Still Face Vulnerabilities
Alessia Berardi, Head of Global Macro and Emerging Market Strategy at Amundi Institute, stated that global markets still face vulnerabilities amid central bank rate hikes, high energy prices, and fisc
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The Japanese Yen (JPY) has touched 158 against the US Dollar (USD), as the market weighs the pace of further tightening by the Bank of Japan (BOJ).
The Japanese Yen weakened against the US Dollar in Tokyo on Friday, falling back to around 157.50 after several attempts to rebound, following the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) 25 basis point rate hike earlie
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Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda expressed caution regarding the future path of interest rate hikes, causing USD/JPY to rise by 1.33% to touch 158. Analysts suggest it may approach the 160 mark again.
Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda's cautious remarks on the future policy path during the post-meeting press conference failed to meet market expectations for continuous rate hikes, leading to a
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Bitcoin is down just 1.5% so far in September, and is still on track for a 32% gain this quarter.
Despite the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes, soaring oil prices, and a strong dollar, Bitcoin has only fallen by 1.5% so far in September—historically its weakest month—and is on track for its f
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Fed shows highest confidence in economic growth since 2011; KKR expects two more rate hikes by March 2027
Members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) have expressed their lowest level of concern about gross domestic product (GDP) growth since the Federal Reserve began releasing its outlook in 2011
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Bank of America calculates Fed's latest FOMC statement, explaining its quarter-point rate hike, is its most terse since 2007 at 130 words.
Bank of America calculates Fed's latest FOMC statement, explaining its quarter-point rate hike, is its most terse since 2007 at 130 words.
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JPMorgan expects the ECB to deliver another 25 basis point interest rate hike in March 2027, following a December hike, a shift from its prior forecast of rates on hold in 2027.
JPMorgan expects the ECB to deliver another 25 basis point interest rate hike in March 2027, following a December hike, a shift from its prior forecast of rates on hold in 2027.
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Fed rate hike to 3.75%-4.00% pushes 1-year Treasury yield to 4.45%, making crypto lending less attractive
The Federal Reserve's 25 basis point rate hike on September 16, which set the target range at 3.75%-4.00%, has driven the one-year Treasury yield to 4.45%. This move establishes a new benchmark for ri
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Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda: Does not rule out the possibility of a 50 basis point rate hike or consecutive rate hikes.
Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda stated at a press conference on Friday that there are no specific ideas regarding the pace of interest rate hikes, and policy will be decided after thorough dis
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Interest rate hike
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