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Interest rate hike
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Dogecoin fell to $0.093 today, influenced by a weaker-than-expected September jobs report, leading the market to believe that a Federal Reserve interest rate hike in October is highly unlikely.
Dogecoin fell to $0.093 today, influenced by a weaker-than-expected September jobs report. The market now sees a very low probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike in October, but investors are still
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Morgan Stanley: Macro Environment Is the Biggest Test for Investment-Grade Credit Market by Year-End, Expects the Federal Reserve to Hike Rates Only Twice More
Morgan Stanley emphasizes that for investment-grade credit markets, "the macro environment—not supply glut—is the biggest test through year-end." The bank's economists expect the Federal Reserve to hi
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The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics revised down July and August employment data by a total of 60,000, with previously optimistic figures having been a factor in the Federal Reserve's consideration of a September rate hike.
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) has revised down its previously reported job growth figures for July and August by a combined 60,000. These initially more optimistic numbers were a factor in
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Fed reporter Nick Timiraos: Ho-hum labor report doesn't change Fed's story, as officials signaled October rate hike unlikely; September CPI due Oct. 14 more important
Fed reporter Nick Timiraos stated that the recent ho-hum labor market report doesn't really change the narrative for the Federal Reserve, whose senior officials had indicated this week that an October
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Bond traders cut bets on Federal Reserve rate hikes after weak jobs data.
Bond traders cut bets on Federal Reserve rate hikes after weak jobs data.
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Fed-linked swaps no longer fully price in a full rate hike this year.
Fed-linked swaps no longer fully price in a full rate hike this year.
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Kalshi raised the probability of the Federal Reserve pausing interest rate hikes in October to 85% after a weak jobs report.
Kalshi has raised the probability of the Federal Reserve pausing interest rate hikes in October to 85% following a weak jobs report. This comes after the US added only 29,000 jobs in September, signif
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U.S. September non-farm payrolls rose by 29,000, significantly below expectations, and the unemployment rate climbed to 4.2%, potentially providing room for the Federal Reserve to pause interest rate hikes.
The U.S. Department of Labor's non-farm payroll report released on Friday showed that the U.S. added only 29,000 jobs in September, significantly below market expectations of 90,000 and the revised 13
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Nick Timiraos relayed the view of former Dallas Fed President Rob Kaplan: If supply shocks persist for several months, the Federal Reserve may need to act to prevent inflation from spreading.
Nick Timiraos, a reporter for The Wall Street Journal, relayed the views of former Dallas Federal Reserve President Rob Kaplan. Kaplan noted that if supply shocks only last two months, the Federal Res
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Widening Eurobond spreads are prompting traders to bet on fewer European Central Bank rate hikes.
Widening Eurobond spreads are prompting traders to bet on fewer European Central Bank rate hikes.
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US equity futures and European stocks rose, while Treasury yields stabilized as the market awaited US jobs data.
U.S. equity futures and European stocks rose, while Treasury yields stabilized, boosting market sentiment ahead of key employment data. The U.S. September non-farm payrolls report is due later on Frid
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South Korea's core inflation remained sticky at 2.8% in September, while exports hit a record $120.9 billion, fueling market expectations for a BOK rate hike in November.
South Korea's consumer price index (CPI) rose 2.9% year-on-year in September, in line with expectations, the Department of Data and Statistics announced on Friday. However, core inflation, excluding f
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Asia-Pacific equities were broadly under pressure on Friday, with the Nikkei 225 Index falling over 1% and the Hang Seng Tech Index dropping over 2%.
On Friday (October 2), Asia-Pacific equities collectively came under pressure, with South Korean and Japanese stock markets both falling. The Nikkei 225 Index and the Topix Index both dropped 1%, whil
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Dallas Federal Reserve President Logan: The Federal Reserve may need to raise interest rates by at least another 50 basis points to ensure inflation does not exceed the 2% target.
Dallas Federal Reserve President Lorie Logan stated that the Federal Reserve might need to raise interest rates by at least another 50 basis points to ensure inflation does not stabilize above the cen
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US stocks edge higher as Fed Vice Chair Jefferson suggests patience on rate hikes, easing bond yields
US stocks recovered from early losses to close slightly higher on Thursday, with the S&P 500 bouncing from a two-week low. This came as a global bond selloff reversed course after sending US Treasury
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U.S. Stocks Close Slightly Higher After Treasury Yields Retreat from Multiyear Highs
U.S. stocks ended a volatile trading session slightly higher after Treasury yields retreated from multiyear highs and expectations for another rate hike this month subsided. The S&P 500 rose 0.19%, th
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Wall Street expects 84,000 job growth in September report due Friday
Wall Street anticipates the U.S. September nonfarm payrolls report, due Friday, will show job growth of 84,000, with the unemployment rate holding at 4.1% and average hourly earnings rising 3.1% year-
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Fed's Kashkari open to October rate hike, warns of more if economy stays strong
Federal Reserve's Neel Kashkari stated he has "no strong view" on an October rate hike and remains open-minded on the pace of tightening. His September projections indicated one more hike in 2026 and
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Federal Reserve Vice Chair Jefferson: Next Rate Decision May Take More Time, Future Actions Will Depend on Data
Federal Reserve Vice Chair Jefferson stated that the Federal Reserve "may need more time" before making its next interest rate decision, and future actions will be data-driven. He noted that inflation
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Bitcoin ended September with a 6.33% gain, breaking the "Red September Curse," and entered "Uptober" but faces challenges from Federal Reserve rate hikes and high US Treasury yields.
Bitcoin recorded a 6.33% gain in September, breaking the historical "Red September" curse, and entered the traditionally strong "Uptober" at a price of $83,823. However, the market is facing macroecon
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Donald Trump criticized the Federal Reserve's continued interest rate hikes as "very bad" but defended Warsh.
U.S. President Donald Trump explicitly stated in a media interview on Thursday that the Federal Reserve's continuous interest rate hikes are "very bad." Although he defended Federal Reserve Chairman W
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Eurozone Manufacturing PMI rose to a 52-month high of 52.9 in September, as renewed inflation pressure led the market to expect three rate hikes from the ECB.
According to the S&P Global data cited in the source, the eurozone manufacturing PMI rose to 52.9 in September, increasing for a third consecutive month and exceeding the initial reading of 52.7. New
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The Bank of Japan's September meeting minutes revealed internal divisions on the pace of interest rate hikes, as the government's rare pressure on the weakening yen saw it fall below the 158 mark.
The Bank of Japan's (BOJ) September meeting minutes, released on Thursday, revealed a clear divergence within the Policy Board regarding the pace of interest rate hikes. Hawkish members called for an
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Global bond sell-off deepens as Japanese yields jump
Global sovereign debt markets are experiencing “relentless” pressure, with a deepening sell-off and a notable jump in Japanese bond yields, amid ongoing uncertainty about future interest rate rises.
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Gold futures fell 1.10% to $3,980.80 per ounce, dropping below the $4,000 mark, as inflation concerns and interest rate hike expectations triggered a sell-off, with a weekly decline of nearly 4%.
Gold futures fell 1.10% to $3,980.80 per ounce, breaching the $4,000 mark, as inflation concerns and interest rate hike expectations triggered a sell-off, leading to a nearly 4% weekly decline. Rising
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U.S. Treasury yields saw their largest single-day drop since the Silicon Valley Bank crisis, as the market pushed back expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike to January next year.
On Thursday, the U.S. Treasury market experienced its most significant single-day rally in three years, driven by a triple whammy of AI tech stock sell-offs, escalating French sovereign debt concerns,
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Deutsche Bank expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged next week, as Warsh faces the challenge of solid inflation expectations.
Deutsche Bank expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged at next week's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. The bank's Chief U.S. Economist, Matthew Luzzetti, noted that de
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Japan's core CPI for September rose to 2.1%, exceeding 2% for the first time this year; over 80% of economists expect the Bank of Japan (BOJ) to raise interest rates in December.
Japan's core CPI rose 2.1% year-on-year in September, exceeding the Bank of Japan's 2% target for the first time in nine months, data from the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications showed to
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Japan's inflation rose above the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) target level for the first time this year, supporting expectations for a December rate hike.
Japan's inflation rose above the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) target level for the first time this year, supporting expectations for a December rate hike.
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Australian Treasurer Jim Chalmers stated that the country's economic growth could fall below the 1.75% forecast in the May budget, impacted by interest rate hikes and inflation.
Australian Treasurer Jim Chalmers stated that the country's economic growth could fall below the 1.75% forecast in the May budget, impacted by interest rate hikes and inflation.
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Markets are no longer fully pricing in a Federal Reserve rate hike by the end of 2026.
Markets are no longer fully pricing in a Federal Reserve rate hike by the end of 2026.
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Bitcoin slides towards $81,000 as rising oil prices above $110 revive rate-hike bets
Bitcoin's price slid on Thursday, erasing earlier gains, after oil prices jumped. The largest cryptocurrency was down by nearly 4% over a 24-hour period on Thursday in New York, trading as low as $81,
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The Philippine central bank raised interest rates by 50 basis points to 5.5% on Thursday to curb inflation, double the amount economists predicted, Nikkei Asia reported.
The Philippine central bank raised interest rates by 50 basis points to 5.5% on Thursday to curb inflation, double the amount economists predicted, Nikkei Asia reported.
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Bank of Korea maintains policy rate at 3%, following President Lee Jae-myung's call for increased housing supply.
The Bank of Korea announced on Thursday that it would keep its policy rate unchanged at 3%, in line with market expectations, following two consecutive rate hikes. This decision comes after President
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Sun Hung Kai Properties Sells Out 128 Hong Kong Apartments Amid Fed Rate Hike Expectations
Sun Hung Kai Properties (SHKP), one of Hong Kong's largest developers, sold out the latest batch of 128 apartments at its Sierra Sea project in the New Territories on Wednesday. The apartments were so
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UK September inflation jumps to 3.5%, highest since Oct 2025, fueling BoE rate hike bets; public debt surpasses £3 trillion
British consumer price inflation rose to 3.5% in September, up from 3.1% in August, exceeding economists' forecasts of 3.4% and the Bank of England's 3% prediction. This marks the highest inflation ra
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UK inflation jumps to 3.5% in September, highest in a year
U.K. inflation rose by a hotter-than-expected 3.5% in the 12 months to September, driven by surging motor fuel costs, cementing rate hike expectations. This marks a continuation of the upward trend, f
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US Housing Market Deteriorates in September, Flashing Warning Signs as Fed Weighs Rate Hikes
US housing data further deteriorated in September, with pending home sales hitting an all-time low since 2001, falling 7.3% month-over-month. Housing starts also declined 5.2% against expectations, wh
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Decrypt Analysis: Bitcoin Trades Below $83,000, Key Resistance and Support Levels in Focus
Decrypt's analysis indicates that Bitcoin is currently trading below $83,000, above both its short-term and long-term moving averages. The article lists key levels traders are watching: overhead resis
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Treasuries Rise as Oil Retreats From Highest Levels in Weeks, Prompting Traders to Trim Fed Rate Hike Bets
Treasuries rose as benchmark oil prices retreated from the highest levels in weeks, prompting traders to trim wagers on Federal Reserve interest-rate hikes over the coming year.
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The Bank of Japan (BOJ) may raise its core inflation forecast for fiscal year 2027, according to Reuters. The BOJ is expected to keep policy unchanged in October and could hike rates again as early as December.
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) may raise its core inflation forecast for fiscal year 2027, according to Reuters. The BOJ is expected to keep policy unchanged in October and could hike rates again as early as
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Ares Warns of Australian Private Credit Stress From Rising Rates Amid Struggling Real Estate Market
Peter Graf, partner and head of Asia direct lending at Ares Management Corp., warned that elevated interest rates, including Australia's central bank raising rates four times to 4.6% this year, threat
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Bank Indonesia faces mounting pressure to hike rates after MSCI downgrade threat
Bank Indonesia is under increasing pressure to raise interest rates on Wednesday, as global index provider MSCI warned it may downgrade the country's stock market from emerging-market to standalone st
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Gold maintained its decline as energy prices fueled inflation concerns and impacted the Federal Reserve's rate hike path.
Gold maintained its decline as energy prices fueled inflation concerns and impacted the Federal Reserve's rate hike path.
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New Zealand Q3 inflation seen easing to 3.8%, but Q4 acceleration is forecast to drive more rate hikes
New Zealand's third-quarter consumer price index is expected to rise 3.8% year-on-year, down from 4.1% in Q2 and slightly below the Reserve Bank's September projection. However, economists anticipate
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Economists, Traders See Growing Bets for Bank of Canada Hike Next Week
More economists and traders expect the Bank of Canada to hike interest rates next week, after the central bank’s latest surveys showed inflation expectations rising.
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Bitcoin hovers around $82,000, testing key support amid rising oil prices, U.S. Treasury yields breaking 5%, and an AI stock sell-off.
Bitcoin hovered near $82,000 on Monday, up about 1% for the day, following weekend attacks on oil tankers in the Persian Gulf and Russian crude facilities, which pushed Brent crude prices close to $10
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Bank of America Still Expects Fed Rate Hike on October 28
Bank of America maintains its forecast for a Fed rate hike on October 28, despite markets pricing in only a 20% probability. The bank warns that persistent inflation and strong economic activity could
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Interest rate hike
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