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New Jersey petitions Supreme Court to hear prediction market case, raising stakes for industry
New Jersey last week filed a petition for a writ of certiorari with the U.S. Supreme Court, asking the high court to decide whether prediction markets' sports-related contracts are gambling products r
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Kalshi's US Web Traffic Soars 1,500%, Trading Volume Grows Even Faster Amid Mounting Regulatory Pressure
Kalshi's US Web Traffic Soars 1,500%, Trading Volume Grows Even Faster Amid Mounting Regulatory Pressure
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American Gaming Association Analysis Finds Underage Bettors Wagered Over $5 Billion on Kalshi Due to Sportsbook Restrictions
A new analysis by the American Gaming Association reveals that individuals under 21, who are restricted from most sportsbooks, have instead wagered over $5 billion on prediction market Kalshi.
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Michigan Court Orders Kalshi to Continue Blocking Sports Prediction Markets, Citing Violations of State Betting Law
A Michigan state court has issued a preliminary injunction requiring prediction markets platform Kalshi to continue blocking state residents from accessing sports-related event contracts. The order, i
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Kalshi to seek U.S. regulatory approval for WTI crude oil perpetual futures
Kalshi is preparing to seek U.S. regulatory approval for WTI crude oil perpetual futures, potentially as early as next week. If approved by the CFTC, Kalshi could launch the first oil-linked perpetual
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Kalshi and Polymarket’s combined volume falls 15% in August to $45.33 billion, marking first monthly decline in a year
The combined monthly volume at Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US fell 14.5% in August to $45.33 billion, marking the first decline since August 2025. Specifically, Kalshi recorded $37.17 billion in
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Prediction Market Traders See 50-50 Odds for U.S. Economy Adding Over 50,000 Jobs in August
Prediction market traders on platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket assign roughly 50% likelihood to the U.S. economy adding more than 50,000 jobs in August. This outlook implies a slightly lower job cr
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Kalshi reports nearly $13.7 billion in perpetual futures volume over past three weeks, almost double July's total
Prediction market platform Kalshi stated that its perpetual futures volume reached nearly $13.7 billion over the past three weeks, which is almost double the full-month volume recorded in July. The co
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Prediction market startup Kalshi permanently bans ex-US lawmaker George Santos from trading, imposes $71,356 penalty
Kalshi cited insider trading as the reason for the ban and penalty. The company had previously reported Santos to the U.S. Department of Justice in June after detecting suspicious trading activity fro
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Prediction Market Platform Kalshi Partners with Brokerage Alpaca to Expand Event Contracts to Global Investors
The partnership aims to bring Kalshi's event contracts to an international audience by leveraging Alpaca's financial infrastructure, which serves 14 million brokerage accounts globally through over 30
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Kalshi becomes exclusive prediction market partner of US Open, reportedly barring rival platforms from advertising at tournament and on ESPN broadcasts
Kalshi has signed an exclusive deal with the U.S. Tennis Association (USTA) for the US Open tennis tournament, whose main draw began Sunday. The agreement, which went into effect immediately, reported
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US Appeals Court Rules Kalshi Sports Prediction Contracts Are Sports Gambling, Not Federal Commodity Law Swaps
The U.S. Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals ruled on August 28, local time, that prediction contracts on sports events offered by prediction market company Kalshi are essentially sports betting, not swap
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Prediction market Kalshi shows a low probability of Federal Reserve Chair Warsh mentioning "bond market" or "rate cuts" at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium.
As of Thursday afternoon, prediction market traders put the probability of Warsh mentioning "bond market" at the Jackson Hole annual meeting early Friday at just 16%, "yield curve" at 8%, and "rate cu
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Donald Trump Jr. advised Republican state attorneys general not to fight prediction markets, NYT reports
The New York Times reported on Thursday that Donald Trump Jr., an advisor to two major prediction market platforms (Kalshi and Polymarket), told Republican attorneys general in March to back off the i
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Kalshi and The Weather Co. Join Forces on Climate Trades
The trading platform Kalshi is now getting input from The Weather Co., which operates a leading weather app, to verify increasingly popular climate-prediction markets. The partnership aims to broaden
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Connecticut sues Kalshi over sports event contracts
The lawsuit is part of a months-long legal feud. Kalshi's Head of Litigation, Jovy Dedaj, called the move "arbitrary and inconsistent enforcement," noting that other platforms continue to operate in t
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Kalshi's $1.5B Equity Offering Three-Quarters Sold, Raising $1.12B
The offering, which lists 71 investors, relies on an exemption allowing certain private offerings without U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) registration.
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Kalshi has raised $1.12 billion through a private equity offering since April, according to its latest SEC filing.
The filing indicates that the derivatives exchange has secured $1.12 billion in capital since April. This development follows earlier reports this month that Kalshi was seeking to raise $750 million i
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Kalshi traders see low odds of major US crypto bill passing this year
Kalshi traders predict less than a 25% chance of the White House-backed Digital Assets Market Clarity Act becoming law by the end of this year, and less than a 50% chance of its implementation by Apri
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Kalshi seeks regulatory delay for Cboe's competing product
Kalshi seeks regulatory delay for Cboe's competing product
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Prediction markets doubt Treasury Secretary Bessent's bond interventions, see 10-year yield hitting new highs in 2026
Prediction market traders on platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket are skeptical that Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's bond interventions will significantly lower yields. Speculators on Kalshi see a
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Needham Says Crypto Rally Has Strong Momentum, Prediction Market Kalshi Expects Bitcoin to Reach $90,000 This Year
Needham stated that the cryptocurrency rebound is strong, believing that the large-scale sell-off has largely ended and investor attention is shifting towards digital assets. The prediction market Kal
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Prediction Market Kalshi Faces Bans in Multiple US States Amid Legal Battles, While CFTC Defends Industry and Proposes New Rules
Kalshi, a prediction market platform, is currently blocked for customers in Washington, Michigan, and Nevada, with Washington state authorities accusing the company of operating an illegal gambling bu
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Kalshi traders predict Bitcoin to end 2026 near current levels, around $75,000
Speculators on the prediction market platform estimate Bitcoin's price at the end of 2026 will be approximately $75,000, based on an average of contracts. This forecast suggests a slight decline from
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Kalshi and Polymarket Secure Media Deals Ahead of Midterm Elections
Prediction market operators Kalshi Inc. and Polymarket have struck business partnerships with several media companies, including CNN, CBS News, Dow Jones, and CNBC, ahead of the midterm elections. The
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Kalshi's Senate contracts face settlement risk, with the same election potentially yielding different outcomes.
Prediction market Kalshi's Senate market showed on October 28 that its Senate control contract and Democratic seat count contract could yield different outcomes for the same election event due to diff
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Senators Warren and Curtis Press Kalshi and Polymarket on Election Trading Safeguards
Senators Elizabeth Warren and Katie Britt have pressed prediction market platforms Kalshi and Polymarket for information on their election trading safeguards. The senators have set a November 3 deadli
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CFTC Chairman Calls Utah Lawsuit Against Prediction Market Platform Kalshi "Blatant Overreach"
The Chairman of the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) stated that Utah's lawsuit against prediction market platform Kalshi is a "blatant overreach." This follows a federal lawsuit that
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Event prediction platform Kalshi completes $1 billion funding round, reaching a valuation of $40 billion, with non-sports revenue run rate exceeding $1 billion.
Event prediction platform Kalshi has completed a $1 billion funding round, valuing the company at $40 billion, with non-sports revenue run rate exceeding $1 billion. This funding comes as the company
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Prediction-market platform Kalshi reaches $40 billion valuation after $1 billion funding round co-led by Wellington and Sequoia
Prediction-market platform Kalshi has reached a $40 billion valuation after raising $1 billion in a funding round co-led by Wellington and Sequoia. Additional investors include Andreessen Horowitz, Mo
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Prediction market platform Kalshi has completed a $1 billion funding round, bringing its post-money valuation to $40 billion, a significant increase from $5 billion a year ago.
Prediction market platform Kalshi has completed a $1 billion funding round, valuing the company at $40 billion post-money, a significant increase from $5 billion a year ago. The round was co-led by Se
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Prediction market platform Kalshi has completed a Series G funding round of $1 billion, reaching a post-money valuation of $40 billion, led by Sequoia and Wellington Management.
Prediction market platform Kalshi has completed a Series G funding round of $1 billion, reaching a post-money valuation of $40 billion, led by Sequoia and Wellington Management.
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Utah Files Criminal Charges Against Prediction Market Platform Kalshi and Its Co-Founders
Utah has filed criminal charges against prediction market platform Kalshi and its two co-founders, Tarek Mansour (CEO) and Luana Lopes Lara (COO), alleging illegal promotion of gambling. This follows
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Utah Files Criminal Charges Against Prediction Market Platform Kalshi and Its Co-Founders
Utah has filed criminal charges, including 13 felonies and one misdemeanor, against prediction market platform Kalshi and its co-founders. This action comes as the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commi
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Phantom launches CFTC-regulated prediction markets for US users via Kalshi
Crypto wallet Phantom has launched prediction markets for its US users, powered by Kalshi. The new integration offers event contracts that are regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CF
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Phantom Widens US Rollout of Kalshi Prediction Markets, Excluding Michigan, Nevada, and Washington
Phantom Widens US Rollout of Kalshi Prediction Markets, Excluding Michigan, Nevada, and Washington
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Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour said the company is seeking additional measures to protect customers, after a study showed customers lost money betting on the prediction market platform.
Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour said the company is seeking additional measures to protect customers, after a study showed customers lost money betting on the prediction market platform.
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Democratic win in midterms could increase scrutiny of prediction markets and CFTC, raising questions about Trump Jr.'s advisory role
A Democratic-controlled House after the midterms could intensify scrutiny of prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket, as well as the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). Lawmakers may fo
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Kalshi Inc., a leading U.S. prediction market operator, announced new restrictions for users aged 18 to 20, including a monthly deposit limit of $2,500.
Kalshi Inc., a leading U.S. prediction market operator, announced new restrictions for users aged 18 to 20, including a monthly deposit limit of $2,500.
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CFTC files complaint against Utah over prediction market enforcement
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has filed a federal complaint against Utah, seeking to block the state's enforcement actions against prediction markets. The lawsuit specifically t
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A week before the midterm elections, prediction markets show Democrats are favored to control both chambers of the U.S. Congress. Prediction platform Kalshi data indicates Democrats have a 63% chance of winning control of both the House and the Senate.
A week before the midterm elections, prediction markets show Democrats are favored to control both chambers of the U.S. Congress. Prediction platform Kalshi data indicates Democrats have a 63% chance
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S&P Dow Jones Indices (S&P DJI) has partnered with Kalshi to create new financial indices powered by Kalshi’s prediction markets
S&P Dow Jones Indices (S&P DJI) has partnered with Kalshi to create new financial indices powered by Kalshi’s prediction markets, potentially bringing prediction markets closer to mainstream finance.
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Kalshi, a prediction market platform, has reached an agreement with S&P Dow Jones Indices to incorporate S&P Dow Jones gauges into its financial event contracts. This partnership adds S&P Dow Jones to a growing list of Wall Street firms expanding their involvement in prediction markets.
Kalshi, a prediction market platform, has reached an agreement with S&P Dow Jones Indices to incorporate S&P Dow Jones gauges into its financial event contracts. This partnership adds S&P Dow Jones to
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The NBA has designated Kalshi and Polymarket as preferred prediction market exchanges. This agreement will provide Kalshi with official league data and NBA branding, while Polymarket has also received the same preferred designation.
The NBA has designated Kalshi and Polymarket as preferred prediction market exchanges. This agreement will provide Kalshi with official league data and NBA branding, while Polymarket has also received
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Bitcoin price bets drive record $2.7 billion weekly trading volume on crypto prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket
Weekly notional trading volume for crypto-related contracts on Kalshi and Polymarket reached a record $2.7 billion last week, Bloomberg reported, citing Dune Analytics data. This surge was primarily d
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Bank of America analyst Shaun Kelley states prediction markets are disrupting the sports betting industry, with platforms like Kalshi challenging traditional sportsbooks.
Bank of America analyst Shaun Kelley states prediction markets are disrupting the sports betting industry, with platforms like Kalshi challenging traditional sportsbooks such as DraftKings and FanDuel
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Phantom launches Kalshi prediction markets for US users
Phantom has rolled out Kalshi prediction markets to its US users, stating it is “confident and comfortable” amidst ongoing state lawsuits. Users will fund trades with CASH stablecoins, with market res
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Bloomberg Markets reports that prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket are outperforming traditional polls in election forecasting, but critics warn they pose new risks to democracy.
Bloomberg Markets reports that prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket are outperforming traditional polls in election forecasting, but critics warn they pose new risks to democracy.
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Prediction Market Trading Platforms: An Overview of Four Core Platforms
Prediction market platforms allow users to bet on or trade the outcomes of future events, aggregating collective intelligence to forecast trends. This article will delve into four core platforms: Kalshi, regulated by the U.S. CFTC; Polymarket, a crypto-native platform based on Polygon; Augur, a decentralized pioneer on Ethereum; and Zeitgeist, which employs a Futarchy governance model within the Kusama ecosystem. We will analyze their operational models, regulatory compliance, technical characteristics, and current development status to help readers understand the diverse landscape of this emerging field.
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Polymarket vs. Kalshi Valuation Showdown: An In-depth Analysis of Prediction Market Platform Investment Value
Decentralized prediction market Polymarket and regulated platform Kalshi are competing in the rapidly evolving event contracts sector. Polymarket is seeking a $21 billion valuation, while Kalshi is targeting $40 billion. This article will provide a comprehensive comparison of their valuations, regulatory compliance, market share, trading volume, revenue models, and potential risks, offering readers a complete perspective to explore which holds greater investment potential in the current market environment.
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Kalshi prediction market valuation soars to $22 billion, institutional demand drives strong growth
Prediction market platform Kalshi has reached a valuation of $22 billion after completing a $1 billion Series F funding round in May 2026, doubling its valuation in just five months. This significant growth is primarily attributed to accelerating institutional demand, with institutional trading volume surging by 800% over the past six months. As a platform federally regulated by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), Kalshi has captured over 90% of the U.S. prediction market share and plans to utilize the new capital to expand its product suite, including block trading and risk products, to meet growing market demand. Despite a brief slowdown in overall industry growth, Kalshi itself has demonstrated strong growth momentum.
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Hyperliquid, Polymarket, and Kalshi: A Competitive Analysis of Prediction Markets and Perpetual Contracts
Decentralized perpetual contract giant Hyperliquid is entering the prediction market space with its HIP-4 proposal, directly challenging industry leaders Polymarket and regulated platform Kalshi. Meanwhile, Polymarket and Kalshi have also announced their expansion into perpetual contracts, intensifying the competition among the three. This article will delve into the unique advantages, technical architecture, regulatory status, and market data of each platform to explore the future direction of this multi-dimensional competition.
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