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U.S. Treasuries
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The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rose above 4.76% on Monday ET, reaching a new 20-month high, driven by hawkish comments from Warsh and a rebound in crude oil prices. The probability of a September rate hike climbed to 64%.
U.S. Treasury yields rose across the board, with the 5-year yield climbing to its highest level since early 2025. This followed Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh's distinctly hawkish remarks at the Jacks
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Analysis indicates that the 30-year US Treasury yield has surged by approximately 10 basis points from its low last Friday, with half of that increase occurring on Monday, now approaching 5.27%. This rise is primarily driven by an increase in real yields, rather than inflation expectations.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh warned last Friday at the Jackson Hole conference that inflation remains too high, but analysis suggests that long-term inflation expectations have barely changed, and t
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US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent: The Treasury's bond buyback program has impacted market expectations, with the 10-year US Treasury yield trading at 4.73% on Monday.
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent explained that the Treasury's announcement of an expanded bond buyback program may have already had an effect, as the Treasury has not yet purchased any bonds und
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10-Year Treasury Yield Hits 19-Month High, Challenging Treasury Secretary Bessent's Efforts to Control Long-Term Bond Yields
The 10-year Treasury yield reached a 19-month high on Monday morning, posing a challenge to Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's initiatives aimed at asserting control over long-term government bond yie
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Treasury Secretary Bessent Defends U.S. Bond Intervention Against Druckenmiller's Criticism
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent defended his U.S. bond-market intervention after criticism from veteran investor Stanley Druckenmiller. Bessent suggested Druckenmiller "lost money" around the ti
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US Treasury Secretary Bessent: US bond market is the best performing, 30-year yield is down
US Treasury Secretary Bessent: US bond market is the best performing, 30-year yield is down
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Bessent: Don't believe I can change equilibrium price in U.S. bond market
Bessent: Don't believe I can change equilibrium price in U.S. bond market
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US 10-YEAR YIELD RISES TO 4.75%, HIGHEST SINCE JANUARY 2025
US 10-YEAR YIELD RISES TO 4.75%, HIGHEST SINCE JANUARY 2025
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Apollo Chief Economist Torsten Slok warns that whether AI successfully brings disinflation or fails and triggers risk aversion, U.S. Treasury yields will decline by 2027.
In his latest report on August 31, Torsten Slok pointed out that if AI commercialization succeeds, trillions of dollars in revenue for tech companies will generate a large-scale deflationary effect, p
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Topdown Charts: US equities have outperformed US Treasuries by an average of 15 percentage points annually over the past decade, but warns that stocks appear expensive relative to bonds.
Topdown Charts, an analysis firm, noted that over the past decade, the S&P 500's inflation-adjusted annualized total return was approximately 12%, while U.S. Treasuries yielded about negative 3%. This
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Nikkei Asia Review: Japan should not use foreign exchange reserves to finance food tax cuts, as this could push up US Treasury yields and weaken the yen.
Nikkei Asia Review: Japan should not use foreign exchange reserves to finance food tax cuts, as this could push up US Treasury yields and weaken the yen.
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Bloomberg strategist Simon White warns: US fiscal fundamentals are more fragile than France's, and US Treasuries face a greater test.
Simon White points out that while France's budget crisis is escalating and its sovereign bond spreads are widening, the US's fiscal fundamentals are actually more fragile. Data shows that the US gover
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Wall Street institutions anticipate that the U.S. Treasury Department may shift towards issuing short-term bonds and reducing long-term bonds in its November debt issuance plan, in order to alleviate pressure on long-term yields.
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent (Scott Bessent) has upended the predictability of the U.S. bond market by adopting a more proactive debt management strategy, including the "Treasury Twist" bond
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US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced an expansion of the long-term US Treasury buyback program, which analysts say could challenge Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's hawkish stance.
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent recently announced that the Treasury will expand its long-term bond buyback program from approximately $2 billion to at least $4 billion per month, aiming to alle
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U.S. July inflation was slightly higher than expected, with a 1.2% increase in financial services and insurance fees being the main driver.
The US July inflation report showed that overall inflation was slightly higher than Wall Street expectations, mainly driven by a 1.2% increase in financial services and insurance fees, which was the l
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U.S. July PCE inflation remained at 3.7% year-on-year, while core PCE was flat at 3.3% month-on-month. The Treasury Department announced it would double the size of long-term bond buybacks starting next month.
The U.S. Department of Commerce reported on Wednesday that the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index rose by 3.7% year-on-year in July, remaining flat with June and still well above the
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Moody's economist Mark Zandi warns: Conditions for a US economic crisis are forming, with debt-to-GDP ratio exceeding 100%.
Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Analytics, stated in a recent podcast that the United States is facing an economic "reckoning day," with all necessary conditions forming. He pointed out that th
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The policy objectives of the U.S. Treasury and the Federal Reserve are now clearly diverging, and the market is focused on Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's speech at Jackson Hole this Friday.
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced last week that the scale of long-term Treasury buybacks would at least double, an attempt to suppress continuously rising long-end yields, but with limi
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Analysis claims US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent may be orchestrating a US Treasury short squeeze, aiming to push 10-year yields to 4.3% before the midterm elections.
Fox Business reporter Charlie Gasparino, citing informed Wall Street executives, stated that U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is attempting to artificially trigger a massive short squeeze by util
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Prominent investor Druckenmiller criticizes US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent for using Treasury buybacks to suppress yields, stating that market prices are the only fiscal discipline
Prominent investor Stanley Druckenmiller, via a retweet from Nick Timiraos, expressed his displeasure with U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's use of Treasury buybacks to combat higher yields in a
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Wall Street institutions pour cold water on the U.S. Treasury's use of the trillion-dollar Treasury General Account (TGA) to buy back U.S. bonds: "It's difficult to suppress long-term bond yields."
CNBC reported that the U.S. Treasury Department is considering using funds from its nearly $1 trillion Treasury General Account (TGA) to support Treasury bond buybacks. In response, Deutsche Bank beli
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Citadel Securities Warns: U.S. Treasury's Expanded Buybacks of Treasuries Constitute "Financial Repression," Risk Shifting Pressure to Exchange Rates and Fueling Inflation
Citadel Securities, a top Wall Street market maker, stated in a client report that the U.S. Treasury's expansion of 10-year to 30-year Treasury buybacks aims to lower long-term borrowing costs, but th
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US stocks midday: Dow up 0.27% to 53,419.17 points, Nasdaq Composite down 0.44% due to weak chip stocks, gold price up 1.20%
As of 11:37 AM ET on August 24, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.27%, outperforming the S&P 500's 0.23% decline and the Nasdaq Composite's 0.44% drop, as tech sector volatility offset blue-chip
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Prediction markets doubt Treasury Secretary Bessent's bond interventions, see 10-year yield hitting new highs in 2026
Prediction market traders on platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket are skeptical that Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's bond interventions will significantly lower yields. Speculators on Kalshi see a
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Following the release of US economic data, Treasury yields broadly declined, with the 10-year Treasury yield falling 6.22 basis points to 4.927% and the 2-year Treasury yield dropping 7.05 basis points to 4.586%.
Following the release of US economic data, Treasury yields broadly declined, with the 10-year Treasury yield falling 6.22 basis points to 4.927% and the 2-year Treasury yield dropping 7.05 basis point
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U.S. Treasury Yields Fall to Multiweek Lows in Asian Trade Following Key Central Bank Rate Decisions
U.S. Treasury Yields Fall to Multiweek Lows in Asian Trade Following Key Central Bank Rate Decisions
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Singapore dollar strengthens against the US dollar, influenced by falling US Treasury yields.
Singapore dollar strengthens against the US dollar, influenced by falling US Treasury yields.
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The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield is down approximately 8 basis points from its previous close, currently at 4.96%.
The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield is down approximately 8 basis points from its previous close, currently at 4.96%.
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US-Friendly Nations Slash Treasury Purchases by 60%, Led by Asia
US-Friendly Nations Slash Treasury Purchases by 60%, Led by Asia
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US 30-year Treasury bond yield rises to 5.304% and 10-year yield rises 0.86 basis points to 4.995% after economic data.
US 30-year Treasury bond yield rises to 5.304% and 10-year yield rises 0.86 basis points to 4.995% after economic data.
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U.S. Treasury yields edged higher on Monday, aligning with a broader rise in most Eurozone government bond yields, while French government bonds outperformed after Moody's affirmed France's credit rating.
U.S. Treasury yields edged higher on Monday, aligning with a broader rise in most Eurozone government bond yields, while French government bonds outperformed after Moody's affirmed France's credit rat
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U.S. equity futures and Treasury bonds were largely stable after the unexpected victory of leftist President Lula in Brazil led to a sharp decline in Brazilian assets.
U.S. equity futures and Treasury bonds were largely stable after the unexpected victory of leftist President Lula in Brazil led to a sharp decline in Brazilian assets.
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Despite soaring U.S. Treasury yields, some of the world's largest asset managers are increasing their exposure to emerging market bonds, weakening traditional correlations in financial markets.
Despite soaring U.S. Treasury yields, some of the world's largest asset managers are increasing their exposure to emerging market bonds, weakening traditional correlations in financial markets.
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Nomura: AI Capital Expenditure Faces a Dilemma, Market Experiences Cross-Asset Deleveraging
Nomura Securities cross-asset strategist Charlie McElligott noted in a report that the AI investment narrative is facing an inherent contradiction, as hyperscale cloud providers are caught in a dilemm
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The AI sector saw a significant downturn this week, with Meta's stock price plummeting over 9%; U.S. Treasury yields fell below 5%, signaling a shift towards defensive capital.
This week, the Nasdaq 100 Index recorded its worst two-week performance since April last year, with a basket of AI-related stocks plummeting 4.9% in a single week. Following Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg's
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Gold fell below $4,000 on Friday to a more than three-month low, while the Japanese Yen rose to a one-year high against the Euro, and U.S. Treasury bonds were sought after, indicating a divergence in safe-haven assets.
Global market risk aversion surged this week, yet traditional safe-haven assets showed significant divergence: Gold fell below $4,000 per troy ounce on Friday, hitting a three-month low of $3,986.50,
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Investors pour billions into bond market, anticipating yield peak
Despite a recent rout, investors are increasingly finding opportunities in the U.S. bond market, with Bank of America's Michael Hartnett declaring the Treasury market's "price is right" after its wors
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Wallstreetcn analysis: U.S. tech stocks plunged on Thursday, with the Nasdaq Composite falling 2.6%, and the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield seeing its largest single-day drop since March 2023.
Wallstreetcn.com analysis indicates a clear divergence in the US stock market on Thursday (October 22), with technology stocks experiencing a significant downturn. The Nasdaq Composite Index fell by 2
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US 10-year Treasury yield drops below 5% this week on AI worries, rises slightly to 4.997% on Friday
The benchmark 10-year US Treasury yield fell below 5% on Thursday for the first time in a month, as investors sought safety amid concerns over the massive debt taken on by technology companies to fina
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U.S. Treasury yields saw their largest single-day drop since the Silicon Valley Bank crisis, as the market pushed back expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike to January next year.
On Thursday, the U.S. Treasury market experienced its most significant single-day rally in three years, driven by a triple whammy of AI tech stock sell-offs, escalating French sovereign debt concerns,
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JPMorgan Chase: U.S. Treasury yields saw their largest single-day drop since March 2023, making it inadvisable to short this rebound easily.
JPMorgan Chase noted in a research report on October 22 that the U.S. Treasury market experienced its largest single-day yield decline since the regional banking crisis in March 2023, with yields acro
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U.S. Treasury yields edged higher, having previously fallen sharply due to turmoil in the French bond market, with the bond market's focus remaining on France.
U.S. Treasury yields edged higher, having previously fallen sharply due to turmoil in the French bond market, with the bond market's focus remaining on France.
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Nomura: AI growth panic replaces inflation narrative, U.S. Treasuries regain hedging function; Thursday's 10-year U.S. Treasury yield plunged over 15 basis points, Nasdaq Composite plummeted 2.6%.
Nomura cross-asset strategist Charlie McElligott noted in his latest report that market drivers have shifted from the inflation narrative to a systemic re-evaluation of AI-driven growth prospects. Thi
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Japanese government bond yields fell across the board on Friday, driven by safe-haven demand stemming from AI concerns and the spillover of U.S. Treasury gains into the Japanese market.
Japanese government bond yields fell across the board on Friday, driven by safe-haven demand stemming from AI concerns and the spillover of U.S. Treasury gains into the Japanese market.
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According to Nick Timiraos, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield fell by 0.193 percentage points to 4.952% on Thursday, marking its largest single-day drop since March 10, 2023 (the day Silicon Valley Bank collapsed).
According to Nick Timiraos, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield fell by 0.193 percentage points to 4.952% on Thursday, marking its largest single-day drop since March 10, 2023 (the day Silicon Valley Bank
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The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield fell below 5% to a nearly one-month low, with Goldman Sachs analysts characterizing the ebbing AI capital expenditure as "alternative quantitative easing" for the bond market.
On Thursday, U.S. Treasury yields across the board fell sharply, driven by market doubts about the sustainability of AI capital expenditures following earnings reports from several tech giants. The da
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U.S. tech stocks fell on Thursday due to concerns over AI investment returns, with Meta's stock price dropping and Treasury yields falling below 5%.
U.S. tech stocks fell on Thursday due to concerns over AI investment returns, with Meta's stock price dropping and Treasury yields falling below 5%.
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The cost of options to hedge against rising U.S. government bonds has surged to its highest level since March, as investors seek refuge in Treasuries due to rising oil prices and deepening fiscal concerns in France.
The cost of options to hedge against rising U.S. government bonds has surged to its highest level since March, as investors seek refuge in Treasuries due to rising oil prices and deepening fiscal conc
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U.S. Treasuries
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