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Polymarket
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On Polymarket, the probability of “LeBron James joining the Philadelphia 76ers” has risen sharply to 18%, up from just 0.3% two days ago.
According to PPP’s prediction market tracking, in the multiple-choice prediction event on Polymarket titled “Which team will LeBron James play for next season?”, the probability of him joining the Phi
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Weekly Profit of $1.5 Million; Bought Tickets for $330,000; Won During Regular Time in an Argentine Match
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket prediction event “World Cup Round of 16: Argentina vs. Cape Verde,” an address that made a profit of $1.13 million over the past week
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A "smart money" investor bet $130,000 on Colombia to beat Ghana in the World Cup Round of 16.
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket prediction event “2026 World Cup Round of 16: Colombia vs. Ghana,” the account “hot2trot” (address: 0xb61b2079b95f6b7476fd3203e0274ff
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A "smart money" investor bet $290,000 on Argentina to defeat Cape Verde in the World Cup Round of 16
According to PPP prediction market monitoring data, in the Polymarket prediction event “2026 World Cup Round of 16: Argentina vs. Cape Verde,” the account shijiebeifacai, which has generated total pro
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Another Case of Prediction Market Manipulation: Over 500,000 Fake Plays Removed; Spotify Discovers That Manipulation of Malcolm Todd’s Song Plays Is Linked to Kalshi Bets
Svmuu News: Music streaming platform Spotify has removed over 500,000 fraudulent plays from musician Malcolm Todd’s song “Earrings.” The song had previously been propelled to the top of the charts. Sp
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$570,000 profit in one week; bet $340,000 on "Over 2.5 goals" in Portugal vs. Croatia
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket event “World Cup Round of 16: Portugal vs. Croatia” total goals prediction, an address that earned $570,000 in one week held a $360,0
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$310,000 profit in one week; purchased for $240,000; no wins in Austrian regular-season games
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket prediction event “World Cup Round of 16: Spain vs. Austria,” an address that had earned $310,000 in one week purchased $240,000 worth
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A "smart money" bettor placed a $112,000 bet on Spain to win the World Cup Round of 16 match.
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket prediction event “2026 World Cup Round of 16: Spain vs. Austria,” smart money generated total profits of nearly $163,000 (Address: 0x
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Investigative Reporter: Polymarket’s Official Startup Narrative Is False; It Has Deep Ties to Peter Thiel and Israeli Interests
Svmuu News: Investigative journalist Whitney Webb has published a series of investigative articles on Polymarket’s origins and growth ambitions, casting doubt on the company’s official founding narrat
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After losing over $3 million, a top contrarian trader bought $180,000 worth of Senegal shares, which failed to win during regular time.
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket prediction event “World Cup Round of 16: Belgium vs. Senegal,” the address 0x224a89db28ac7a407d9c634a6e4c426c428c242f purchased 180,0
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Newly established in 9 days with $620,000 in profits; "smart money" buys $280,000; Bosnia and Herzegovina takes the 1.5-goal handicap against the U.S.
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket “World Cup Round of 16: USA vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina” handicap prediction event, the account hot2trot (address: 0xb61b2079b95f6b747
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Svmuu Noon News
1. CRCL has been removed from several Russell growth indices, including the Russell 1000 and Russell 3000; 2. dYdX may be set to launch a new product; its token price rose by over 35% at one point; 3.
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On Polymarket, the probability of "James staying with the team" has dropped to 1%; the Warriors, Cavaliers, and Heat are the top contenders to sign him
According to monitoring data from the PPP prediction market tool, in the multiple-choice prediction event on Polymarket titled “Which team will LeBron James play for next season?”, the probability of
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A "smart money" bettor placed a $145,000 bet that France would not win in the World Cup Round of 16.
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket prediction event “2026 World Cup Round of 16: France vs. Sweden,” the account BreakTheBank (address: 0xf0318c32136c2db7fec88b84869aee
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A "smart money" bettor placed a $450,000 bet that Norway would not win in the World Cup Round of 16.
According to monitoring data from the PPP prediction market tool, in the Polymarket prediction event “2026 World Cup Round of 16: Norway vs. Ivory Coast,” the account “lighthousefamily” (address: 0x98
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$6.2 million in profits in 5 days; a certain address achieved a 93% win rate on Polymarket’s World Cup trading
Svmuu News: According to Lookonchain’s monitoring, an address created a new wallet five days ago and deposited $1.5 million into Polymarket, after which it began trading on World Cup matches. Currentl
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The U.S. CFTC has launched a broad investigation into Polymarket, covering social media activities and fictitious trades
Svmuu News: The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) is conducting a broad investigation into the prediction market platform Polymarket, covering various aspects of its business, including
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A "smart money" bettor placed a $116,000 bet on the Netherlands to defeat Morocco in the World Cup Round of 16.
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket prediction event “2026 World Cup Round of 16: Netherlands vs. Morocco,” total profits exceeded $229,000 from “smart money” (Address:
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A "smart money" investor bet $160,000 that Brazil would not win in the World Cup Round of 16.
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket prediction event “2026 World Cup Round of 16: Brazil vs. Japan,” the account ChinesePro (address: 0x37e053beabee77acc15e641dfe8e395b2
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Prizes totaling up to $2 million! Polymarket Launches “World Cup Knockout Stage Perfect Prediction Contest” in Select U.S. Regions
Svmuu News: Polymarket has officially announced the launch of the “World Cup Knockout Stage Perfect Prediction Contest,” with a total prize pool of $2 million. This contest is open to legal residents
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A "smart money" investor bet $106,000 that France would win the World Cup
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in Polymarket’s “2026 World Cup Winner” prediction event, the probability of winning is 48% Smart money (address: 0x84cfffc3f16dcc353094de30d4a45226ecc
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U.S. Senator Urges CFTC to Investigate Polymarket for Fraudulent Marketing
Svmuu News: On Thursday, Republican Senator John Curtis and Democratic Senator Adam Schiff sent a letter to Mike Selig, Chairman of the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission, urging the agency to
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Zuckerberg: Instructs Meta to Explore Partnerships with Polymarket and Kalshi
Svmuu News: Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg has urged his team to explore partnerships with prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi. Meanwhile, Meta is developing a prediction market-style app called Arena.
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Several U.S. lawmakers have called for an investigation into Polymarket over allegations of misleading advertising
Svmuu News: Several U.S. lawmakers have called for an investigation into the prediction market platform Polymarket, citing allegations that its advertising may contain misleading content. According to
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The U.S. 10-year government bond yield rose to 4.97% on Monday, and Goldman Sachs expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates this week.
The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield rose to 4.97% on Monday, just 3 basis points shy of the 5% threshold, while the 30-year Treasury yield hovered at 5.35%. Brent crude prices climbed to $107 per barrel,
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Prediction markets are becoming more professionalized, making it harder for traders to profit, experts say
Experts note that the institutionalization of prediction markets is eroding the edge of skilled traders. According to an academic paper analyzing $13.76 billion in Polymarket trades, roughly 27% of do
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A Cluster of Polymarket Accounts Won ~$22,000 on Companies Audited by KPMG, Per Bubblemaps Analysis
A mysterious Polymarket user earned approximately $22,000 through a series of nearly perfect bets on the quarterly earnings of 18 companies audited by KPMG, including Wells Fargo, Home Depot, and Door
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Europe’s top regulator ESMA questions Polymarket and Kalshi’s EU access, warning event contracts may fall under binary-options bans, MiCA or gambling laws
Europe’s top regulator ESMA questions Polymarket and Kalshi’s EU access, warning event contracts may fall under binary-options bans, MiCA or gambling laws
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Polymarket, a crypto prediction market, has appointed Warren Jenson, former Amazon CFO, as its first Chief Financial Officer.
Polymarket announced the appointment of veteran executive Warren Jenson as its first Chief Financial Officer. Jenson previously served as CFO at Amazon and currently sits on the boards of companies su
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Adobe reports Q3 earnings after market close, with prediction markets betting on CEO Narayen's key phrases
Polymarket traders give Adobe roughly a 92% chance of beating the market's $6.08 non-GAAP EPS benchmark. On Kalshi, traders are betting on specific words CEO Shantanu Narayen and his team will say on
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Anthropic's IPO is still most likely to occur in October, with Polymarket data indicating a delay in the roadshow.
Polymarket data indicates that Anthropic's IPO is most likely to occur in October, with an implied probability of 63%, despite reports of a delayed roadshow. The roadshow is not expected to begin befo
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Micron (MU) stock surged 256% in 2026, with analysts raising consensus target to $1,513 and FY2027 EPS estimates from $103 to $155.
Micron Technology's stock closed Friday at $1,016.59, driven by record DRAM pricing and AI datacenter memory demand. The company reported fiscal Q3 2026 revenue of $41.46 billion, up 345.7% year-over-
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UK regulator FCA weighs easing ban on financial prediction markets, reportedly held talks with trading platforms as Britons turn to Polymarket and Kalshi
The UK's Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) is reportedly considering easing its ban on financial prediction markets. The regulator held talks with trading platforms, as British citizens have increasin
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LeBron James teases Polymarket partnership in new social media video, six weeks after his free agency decision generated $273 million in prediction market volume
Philadelphia 76ers forward LeBron James posted a 14-second video on X and Instagram showing him entering a stylized Polymarket office with the caption "Welcome to Polymarket HQ. Coming soon," and "In
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Prediction market Polymarket launches cryptocurrency perpetual contracts, offering 20x leverage.
Prediction market Polymarket has launched perpetual futures contracts covering 10 cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin and Ethereum, offering investors up to 20x leverage. Users can open long or short
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Polymarket Launches Perpetual Oil Futures in 24/7 Trading Push
The move sees Polymarket stepping into a market that rival Kalshi Inc. is also seeking to enter, as trading venues compete to offer round-the-clock access to the commodity.
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Kalshi and Polymarket’s combined volume falls 15% in August to $45.33 billion, marking first monthly decline in a year
The combined monthly volume at Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US fell 14.5% in August to $45.33 billion, marking the first decline since August 2025. Specifically, Kalshi recorded $37.17 billion in
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Donald Trump's son's co-owned fund, 1789 Capital, led Polymarket's $1 billion funding round, valuing the latter at $21 billion.
1789 Capital, a venture capital fund co-founded by Donald Trump's son, is leading a funding round of approximately $1 billion for prediction market platform Polymarket, with the fund contributing arou
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Donald Trump Jr.'s fund, 1789 Capital, has made an additional investment of approximately $300 million into the prediction market Polymarket. This funding round will bring Polymarket's valuation to about $21 billion.
Donald Trump Jr.'s fund, 1789 Capital, has made an additional investment of approximately $300 million into the prediction market Polymarket. This funding round will bring Polymarket's valuation to ab
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Anthropic IPO Process Accelerates: Plans to Allow Early Shareholders to Cash Out and Extend Lock-up Period; Prospectus Expected After US Labor Day on September 7, with Listing as Early as Late September
AI startup Anthropic is considering allowing existing shareholders to sell some shares in its IPO, while also exploring a lock-up period exceeding 180 days to balance the monetization needs of early i
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Donald Trump Jr. advised Republican state attorneys general not to fight prediction markets, NYT reports
The New York Times reported on Thursday that Donald Trump Jr., an advisor to two major prediction market platforms (Kalshi and Polymarket), told Republican attorneys general in March to back off the i
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Ahead of NVIDIA's earnings report, prediction market traders are betting on the company to beat earnings expectations, with a 97% probability of success.
Traders on the online prediction market Polymarket believe there’s a 97% chance NVIDIA will beat Wall Street’s adjusted earnings per share (EPS) expectations when it reports earnings after market clos
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Judge stays CFTC's civil case against US soldier over illegal Polymarket bet, regulator now seeks to weigh in on criminal proceedings
A judge stayed the CFTC’s civil case against a US soldier accused of using nonpublic information for a Polymarket bet, while the regulator is attempting to weigh in on the related criminal case.
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Prediction markets doubt Treasury Secretary Bessent's bond interventions, see 10-year yield hitting new highs in 2026
Prediction market traders on platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket are skeptical that Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's bond interventions will significantly lower yields. Speculators on Kalshi see a
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Analysts believe Salesforce (CRM) stock is poised for a rally after its earnings release on August 26, driven by strong AI business growth and Polymarket's prediction of a 91% probability of an earnings beat.
Analysis indicates that Salesforce (CRM) stock performs well ahead of its Q2 FY2027 earnings report on August 26, citing reasons such as its Agentforce annual recurring revenue (ARR) surpassing $1 bil
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Prediction markets show Anthropic is poised to surpass Elon Musk's SpaceX as the largest IPO in 2026.
According to Polymarket data, prediction markets show that AI company Anthropic is rapidly closing the gap with SpaceX, with the potential to become the largest initial public offering (IPO) of 2026 a
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South Korea moves to block Polymarket over gambling concerns
The Korea Media and Communications Commission stated that Polymarket's structure and operations amount to illegal gambling, despite its noncustodial design and smart contracts.
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JPMorgan Chase stopped providing banking services to prediction market platform Polymarket last October due to regulatory concerns.
According to The Wall Street Journal, JPMorgan Chase severed banking services with prediction market platform Polymarket in October last year, citing regulatory concerns. Despite the disruption in ban
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Polymarket Once Reached a Weekly Trading Volume Milestone of $2.1 Billion: Exploring Its Rise as the World's Largest Blockchain Prediction Market
Decentralized prediction market Polymarket set a new record in March 2026 with over $2.1 billion in weekly trading volume, solidifying its position as the world's largest blockchain prediction market. Founded in 2020 by Shayne Coplan, the platform operates on the Polygon network and uses USDC for transactions. Polymarket successfully operates compliantly in the United States by acquiring a CFTC-licensed entity and obtaining a "no-action" letter. Despite facing regulatory scrutiny and insider trading concerns, Polymarket has attracted prominent investors such as Intercontinental Exchange and established partnerships with X (Twitter) and Blockchain.com, continuously expanding its market influence.
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Hyperliquid, Polymarket, and Kalshi: A Competitive Analysis of Prediction Markets and Perpetual Contracts
Decentralized perpetual contract giant Hyperliquid is entering the prediction market space with its HIP-4 proposal, directly challenging industry leaders Polymarket and regulated platform Kalshi. Meanwhile, Polymarket and Kalshi have also announced their expansion into perpetual contracts, intensifying the competition among the three. This article will delve into the unique advantages, technical architecture, regulatory status, and market data of each platform to explore the future direction of this multi-dimensional competition.
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Polymarket: How the Prediction Market Giant Is Unlocking a Hundred-Billion-Level Fund Pool and Reaping the Benefits of Globalization
Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market platform, is rapidly emerging as a major force in the Web3 space. The platform allows users to predict and trade on the outcomes of global events; its trading volume has surged to the tens of billions of dollars, attracting a large number of users worldwide. This article will delve into Polymarket’s operational mechanisms, its staggering capital scale, and how it is achieving growth through a global strategy, while also addressing the regulatory challenges the platform faces.
Polymarket
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