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Polymarket
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Polymarket Launches New Market: “When Will the U.S. and Iran Agree to a Two-Week Ceasefire?”
According to monitoring data from the PPP prediction market tool, Polymarket has launched a market titled “When will the U.S. and Iran reach a two-week ceasefire?” The current probability for July 18
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A "smart money" investor has bet over $90,000 that Argentina will not win the 2026 World Cup
According to PPP prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket prediction event “Will Argentina Win the 2026 World Cup?”, smart money with a win probability exceeding 72% (0x701187150980c2421bc3c87a
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Polymarket’s probability estimates for “Deng Yu, Wang Hong, John Parden, and Jacob Chimmelman winning the Fields Medal” have all risen to over 98%.
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, the probabilities of the following four events on Polymarket—“Deng Yu will win the 2026 Fields Medal,” “Wang Hong will win the 2026 Fields Medal,” “ Jo
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Stanford Study Claims Polymarket’s “Five-Minute” Bitcoin Betting Market Allowed Suspected Manipulators to Profit $8.2 Million
Svmuu News: Researchers at Stanford University have discovered signs of manipulation in Polymarket’s five-minute betting market at Bitcoin. The study analyzed contract data spanning approximately two
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$2.5 Million Profit in One Week; $310,000 Spent on Addresses; Argentina Has Not Won in Regular Season Play
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket World Cup England vs. Argentina prediction event, an address that made a profit of $2.5 million over 7 days purchased $310,000 on the
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A "smart money" bettor placed a $150,000 bet on England not winning in regulation time in the World Cup semifinals.
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket prediction event “2026 World Cup Semifinal: England vs. Argentina,” the address 0xe549581668a5751c1972d3ad2d1991d900bd2d54 placed a b
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Some idiot bet $350,000 on Argentina advancing to the World Cup final
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket prediction event “2026 World Cup Semifinal: England vs. Argentina,” the account 123abc (address: 0xc58df0b98437f613e20916c242403e0a6c
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The Czech Republic has classified Polymarket as an unauthorized online game and has ordered ISPs to block access to it within 15 days.
Svmuu News: On July 13, the Czech Ministry of Finance added Polymarket to its list of unauthorized online gaming platforms, designating it as an unlicensed gambling platform. Internet service provider
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A "smart money" investor has placed a $487,000 bet that France will defeat Spain in the World Cup semifinals.
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket prediction event “2026 World Cup Semifinal: France vs. Spain,” a “smart money” account (address: 0x85f031d069de300055900c4055c1baeb6b
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Prediction market trading volume exceeded $50 billion during the World Cup, with Kalshi attracting a large number of female users and first-time bettors
Svmuu News: During the 2026 World Cup, prediction market platforms Kalshi, Polymarket, and Robinhood’s Rothera collectively set a record for monthly trading volume, exceeding $50 billion. Kalshi has a
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Profits Exceed $1.5 Million; Smart Money Buys In for $190,000; France Advances to the Semifinals
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket prediction event “World Cup Semifinal: France vs. Spain,” a “smart money” player (Address: 0x83720820a8aa6c3f20ad71850e7a1a17d16c5223
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Gondor will launch Polymarket margin accounts, allowing users to borrow against their entire portfolio of prediction market positions.
Svmuu News: Gondor, a DeFi project built on Polymarket, has announced the launch of Gondor v1, which is scheduled to go live in September of this year. The product will allow users to borrow against t
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Gondor v1 will allow users to borrow and leverage their entire Polymarket portfolio
Svmuu News: Gondor, a Polymarket-based DeFi startup, has announced the launch of Gondor v1, describing it as Polymarket’s first margin account product. This version is expected to go live in September
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Smart Money Bets $390,000 on a French Win in Regular Time
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket World Cup semifinal prediction event for France vs. Spain, the address RJW1—which had a total profit of $1.7 million—purchased $390,0
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Some idiot bet $550,000 on France advancing to the World Cup final
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket prediction event “2026 World Cup Semifinal: France vs. Spain,” total losses exceeded $7.4 million. The account “mooseborzoi” (address
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Gate Prediction Market Launches Real-Time Price Movement Alerts to Help Users Efficiently Track Capital Flows
Svmuu News: The Gate Prediction Market has officially launched a real-time market anomaly alert feature. By monitoring large-volume buy and sell transactions in real time, this feature helps users qui
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BLG failed to win the League of Legends MSI Mid-Season Invitational championship, and the Polymarket bet on whether “BLG would achieve the ‘Golden Path’ (Grand Slam)” settled as “No.”
According to data from the PPP prediction market tool, the League of Legends MSI (Mid-Season Invitational) World Championship has officially concluded. In the final, BLG suffered a narrow 2–3 loss to
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Polymarket's revenue exceeded $11 million this week, setting a new record high
Svmuu reports that Polymarket's revenue this week has exceeded $11 million, setting a new record, with the protocol's cumulative revenue now surpassing $97 million.
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$1.9 million profit in one week; bet $260,000 on Argentina vs. Switzerland with total goals over 1.5
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket World Cup quarterfinal event predicting the total goals in the Argentina vs. Switzerland match, “smart money” that had made a profit
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$2.3 million profit in one week; spent $380,000 on bets; Norway has not won in regular time
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket World Cup quarterfinal prediction event for Norway vs. England, the address “swisstony”—which had made $2.3 million in profits over 7
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A "smart money" bettor placed a $146,000 bet on HLE to defeat LYON in the League of Legends MSI Losers' Bracket Final.
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket prediction event “MSI Losers’ Bracket Final: HLE vs. LYON,” the “smart money” account ROBBATTISTAFANDUELRETARD made a profit of over
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$980,000 in profits in one week; $330,000 spent on bets; Spain has yet to win in regulation time
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket World Cup quarterfinal prediction event for Spain vs. Belgium, the address “BreakTheBank”—which had earned $980,000 over 7 days—purch
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Polymarket: How the Prediction Market Giant Is Unlocking a Hundred-Billion-Level Fund Pool and Reaping the Benefits of Globalization
Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market platform, is rapidly emerging as a major force in the Web3 space. The platform allows users to predict and trade on the outcomes of global events; its trading volume has surged to the tens of billions of dollars, attracting a large number of users worldwide. This article will delve into Polymarket’s operational mechanisms, its staggering capital scale, and how it is achieving growth through a global strategy, while also addressing the regulatory challenges the platform faces.
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Some idiot bet $387,000 that Spain will beat Belgium in the World Cup quarterfinals.
According to PPP prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket prediction event “2026 World Cup Quarterfinals: Spain vs. Belgium,” a “fool’s money” account that lost nearly $630,000 (address: 0x5b4e
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Federal Judge Blocks Minnesota's Prediction Market Ban, a Win for Kalshi and Polymarket
A federal judge issued a preliminary injunction on Monday, blocking the U.S. state of Minnesota from enforcing its new law banning prediction markets. This decision marks a win for prediction market p
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Federal Judge Pauses Minnesota's Prediction Market Ban, Citing Likely Conflict with Commodity Exchange Act
A federal judge has paused Minnesota's law criminalizing prediction markets, ruling that it would likely violate the federal Commodity Exchange Act. This decision comes after prediction market platfor
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On Polymarket, the probability of the "76ers winning the 2027 NBA Championship" has risen to 14%, up 7% from the previous week.
According to PPP’s prediction market tracking, the probability of the 76ers winning the 2027 NBA Championship on Polymarket has risen to 14%, up 7% from the previous week; the Thunder’s probability of
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Polymarket data showing nearly $9 million in open interest indicates that traders assign a 17% probability to Ethereum reaching $3,000 by 2026.
Svmuu News: On Polymarket, the trading volume for the “Will Ethereum Reach $1,000 or $3,000 First?” contract was $95,300,with traders pricing the $1,000 outcome at 54 cents and the $3,000 outcome at 5
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On Polymarket, the probability that WTI crude oil will break through $95 per barrel in July has dropped to 53%, down 16% over the past 24 hours.
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket prediction event titled “WTI Crude Oil Price in July,” the probability of WTI crude oil breaking through $95 per barrel has dropped t
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On Polymarket, the probability that “SpaceX’s Starship will conduct its 13th test flight on July 24” has risen to 77%, up 16% over the past 24 hours.
According to PPP prediction market tools, the probability on Polymarket that “SpaceX’s Starship will conduct its 13th test flight on July 24” has risen to 77%, up 16% over the past 24 hours; The proba
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Wisconsin Warns That Those Who Trade Election Contracts May Lose Their Right to Vote in the Same Election; Kalshi Calls It Voter Suppression
Svmuu News: The Wisconsin Election Commission has stated that residents who purchase contracts related to a specific election on Kalshi or Polymarket may lose their eligibility to vote in that same el
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On Polymarket, the probability of the U.S. and Iran reaching a "two-week ceasefire" by August 31 is currently reported at 51%, down 3% from the previous week.
According to PPP prediction market monitoring, in the prediction event on Polymarket titled “When will the U.S. and Iran reach a two-week ceasefire?”, the probability for August 14 is currently report
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DraftKings Co-Founder Questions Kalshi's $22 Billion Valuation and Financial Credibility
Svmuu News: Matt Kalish, CEO of HARDSCOPE and co-founder of DraftKings, posted on X, using the sudden departure of Kalshi’s CFO as an opportunity to satirize and question the company’s $22 billion val
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Approximately $9 million in funds of unknown origin were deposited into George Cottrell’s Polymarket account
Svmuu News: George Cottrell’s account on Polymarket received two deposits of unknown origin in October 2024, totaling approximately $9 million.of which $7 million came from an OKX exchange wallet and
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Polymarket Will Challenge the Nationwide Website Blockade in France
Svmuu News: Polymarket has announced it will challenge France’s site-wide block against it, noting that the platform has disabled trading functions in France since November 2024. French regulators sta
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On Polymarket, the probability that WTI crude oil will break through $95 per barrel in July has risen to 48%, with a 20% increase over the past 24 hours.
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket prediction event titled “WTI Crude Oil Price in July,” the probability of WTI crude oil breaking through $95 per barrel has reached 4
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Polymarket reports a preliminary probability of 61% that “the next Claude Opus model will be released on July 23, 2026,” up 51% over the past 24 hours.
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, the probability that “the next Claude Opus model will be released on July 23, 2026” is currently reported at 61% on Polymarket, up 51% over the past 24
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Kalshi and Polymarket's combined trading volume exceeded $44 billion in 2025
Svmuu News: Kalshi and Polymarket processed a combined trading volume of over $44 billion in 2025. As of April 2026, the two platforms’ combined monthly trading volume had risen to $24 billion, exceed
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A "smart money" investor bought $30,000 worth of LPL Stage 3 after JDG defeated AL
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket prediction event “LPL Stage 3: JDG vs. AL,” “smart money” with profits exceeding $470,000 (0xe405483ff60ab58ce973479d3317045549fec67e
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On Polymarket, the probability that “the CLARITY Act will be signed into law in 2026” has dropped to 38%, down 9% over the past 24 hours.
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, the probability that “the CLARITY Act will be signed into law in 2026” on Polymarket is currently reported at 38%, down 9% over the past 24 hours. Alth
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A "smart money" investor has bet over $190,000 on a South Korean professional soccer match, predicting that Seoul FC will defeat Pohang Steelers.
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket prediction event for the “South Korean professional soccer match between Seoul FC and Pohang Steelers,” smart money accounts (address
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Polymarket Expresses Disappointment Over France's Decision to Block the Website
Svmuu News: Polymarket posted on X, expressing disappointment with the French gambling regulator’s decision to unilaterally block its website and stating its intention to challenge the ruling through
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Prediction Market Reports $113.8 Billion in Nominal Trading Volume for the Second Quarter; Talos Integrates Kalshi Trading
Svmuu News: Talos, an institutional crypto trading platform, has integrated with prediction market operator Kalshi, allowing select clients to trade Kalshi’s event contracts and crypto perpetual contr
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On Polymarket, the probability that the price of Bitcoin will reach $67,500 in July is currently reported at 75%.
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in Polymarket’s “Bitcoin’s July Price” prediction market, the probability of BTC reaching $67,500 is currently reported at 75%,the probability of reach
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Polymarket puts the probability that the “CLARITY Act will be signed into law by the end of 2026” at 42%, up 10% from the previous week.
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, the probability that “the CLARITY Act will be signed into law by the end of 2026” on Polymarket has risen to 42%, up 5% over the past 24 hours and 10%
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On Polymarket, the probability that WTI crude oil will break through $85 per barrel in July has risen to 75%
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket prediction event titled “WTI Crude Oil Price in July,” the market estimates a 75% probability that WTI crude oil will break through $
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During the World Cup, Kalshi's trading volume reached $54.338 billion, with Kalshi and Polymarket together accounting for over 95% of the market share.
Svmuu News: According to statistics, Kalshi’s total trading volume across all platforms during the World Cup reached $54.338 billion, approximately 2.6 times Polymarket’s trading volume of $20.988 bil
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Bitcoin Probability of Bitcoin Reaching $67,500 in July Rises to 70%; Spot ETFs See Net Inflows for 5 Consecutive Days
Svmuu News: Polymarket traders have raised the probability that Bitcoin will reach $67,500 in July to 70%, up from approximately 56% earlier this week.The current market probability of Bitcoin reachin
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Polymarket: How the Prediction Market Giant Is Unlocking a Hundred-Billion-Level Fund Pool and Reaping the Benefits of Globalization
Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market platform, is rapidly emerging as a major force in the Web3 space. The platform allows users to predict and trade on the outcomes of global events; its trading volume has surged to the tens of billions of dollars, attracting a large number of users worldwide. This article will delve into Polymarket’s operational mechanisms, its staggering capital scale, and how it is achieving growth through a global strategy, while also addressing the regulatory challenges the platform faces.
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