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Polymarket
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JPMorgan debanked prediction platform Polymarket over regulatory concerns
JPMorgan debanked prediction platform Polymarket over regulatory concerns
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Baltimore City Sues Kalshi, Polymarket, Coinbase, Robinhood, and Webull Over Alleged Illegal Sports Betting
Baltimore City Sues Kalshi, Polymarket, Coinbase, Robinhood, and Webull Over Alleged Illegal Sports Betting
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Polymarket taps ex-Uber and Bird exec Travis VanderZanden to boost growth
Polymarket taps ex-Uber and Bird exec Travis VanderZanden to boost growth
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SKALE Labs launches Agent Pit, a Polymarket-inspired paper-trading sandbox for training AI agents
SKALE Labs launched Agent Pit, a Polymarket-inspired, paper-trading prediction market sandbox on its zero-gas blockchain, allowing builders to train AI agents before taking them live on Polymarket.
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New York City Council Launches Investigation into Prediction Market Platforms, Including Kalshi, Polymarket, Coinbase, and Gemini Titan
The New York City Council has sent letters to Kalshi, Polymarket, Coinbase, and Gemini Titan, investigating these platforms for alleged use of "false, deceptive, or abusive marketing strategies" targe
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Polymarket moves to time-weighted prices to combat 'five-second trick' manipulation that allowed traders to drain millions
The prediction market is implementing time-weighted average prices (TWAP) after on-chain analysts and researchers identified hundreds of accounts whose activity was consistent with settlement manipula
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Gambling markets show Anthropic's valuation growth prospects are better than OpenAI's, with an estimated valuation of $1.175 trillion by the end of the month.
Polymarket has opened a market on the private valuations of OpenAI and Anthropic by the end of August, based on prices reported by Nasdaq Private Market. Market data shows that OpenAI's valuation mark
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Hyperliquid, Polymarket, and Kalshi: A Competitive Analysis of Prediction Markets and Perpetual Contracts
Decentralized perpetual contract giant Hyperliquid is entering the prediction market space with its HIP-4 proposal, directly challenging industry leaders Polymarket and regulated platform Kalshi. Meanwhile, Polymarket and Kalshi have also announced their expansion into perpetual contracts, intensifying the competition among the three. This article will delve into the unique advantages, technical architecture, regulatory status, and market data of each platform to explore the future direction of this multi-dimensional competition.
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Blockchain prediction market Polymarket targets $20 billion valuation in new funding round, months after closing a $15 billion round that included a $600 million investment from Intercontine
The move comes as competition intensifies in the prediction market sector, with rival Kalshi reportedly seeking new capital at a $40 billion valuation.
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Kalshi and Polymarket's Combined Volume Reaches All-Time High in July, Surpassing $50 Billion
Notably, Polymarket US's volume rose 54% in July, while the main Polymarket platform's volume fell 26% compared to June.
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Crypto legal news this week: FTX case progresses, former congressman ordered to pay $35,000 for manipulative trading
This week's crypto legal developments include a case related to the defunct crypto exchange FTX moving forward, a soldier seeking to dismiss a case over a Polymarket bet, and a former congressman bein
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Federal Judge Blocks Minnesota's Prediction Market Ban, a Win for Kalshi and Polymarket
A federal judge issued a preliminary injunction on Monday, blocking the U.S. state of Minnesota from enforcing its new law banning prediction markets. This decision marks a win for prediction market p
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Federal Judge Pauses Minnesota's Prediction Market Ban, Citing Likely Conflict with Commodity Exchange Act
A federal judge has paused Minnesota's law criminalizing prediction markets, ruling that it would likely violate the federal Commodity Exchange Act. This decision comes after prediction market platfor
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On Polymarket, the probability of the "76ers winning the 2027 NBA Championship" has risen to 14%, up 7% from the previous week.
According to PPP’s prediction market tracking, the probability of the 76ers winning the 2027 NBA Championship on Polymarket has risen to 14%, up 7% from the previous week; the Thunder’s probability of
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Polymarket data showing nearly $9 million in open interest indicates that traders assign a 17% probability to Ethereum reaching $3,000 by 2026.
Svmuu News: On Polymarket, the trading volume for the “Will Ethereum Reach $1,000 or $3,000 First?” contract was $95,300,with traders pricing the $1,000 outcome at 54 cents and the $3,000 outcome at 5
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On Polymarket, the probability that WTI crude oil will break through $95 per barrel in July has dropped to 53%, down 16% over the past 24 hours.
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket prediction event titled “WTI Crude Oil Price in July,” the probability of WTI crude oil breaking through $95 per barrel has dropped t
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On Polymarket, the probability that “SpaceX’s Starship will conduct its 13th test flight on July 24” has risen to 77%, up 16% over the past 24 hours.
According to PPP prediction market tools, the probability on Polymarket that “SpaceX’s Starship will conduct its 13th test flight on July 24” has risen to 77%, up 16% over the past 24 hours; The proba
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Wisconsin Warns That Those Who Trade Election Contracts May Lose Their Right to Vote in the Same Election; Kalshi Calls It Voter Suppression
Svmuu News: The Wisconsin Election Commission has stated that residents who purchase contracts related to a specific election on Kalshi or Polymarket may lose their eligibility to vote in that same el
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On Polymarket, the probability of the U.S. and Iran reaching a "two-week ceasefire" by August 31 is currently reported at 51%, down 3% from the previous week.
According to PPP prediction market monitoring, in the prediction event on Polymarket titled “When will the U.S. and Iran reach a two-week ceasefire?”, the probability for August 14 is currently report
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DraftKings Co-Founder Questions Kalshi's $22 Billion Valuation and Financial Credibility
Svmuu News: Matt Kalish, CEO of HARDSCOPE and co-founder of DraftKings, posted on X, using the sudden departure of Kalshi’s CFO as an opportunity to satirize and question the company’s $22 billion val
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Approximately $9 million in funds of unknown origin were deposited into George Cottrell’s Polymarket account
Svmuu News: George Cottrell’s account on Polymarket received two deposits of unknown origin in October 2024, totaling approximately $9 million.of which $7 million came from an OKX exchange wallet and
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Polymarket Will Challenge the Nationwide Website Blockade in France
Svmuu News: Polymarket has announced it will challenge France’s site-wide block against it, noting that the platform has disabled trading functions in France since November 2024. French regulators sta
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On Polymarket, the probability that WTI crude oil will break through $95 per barrel in July has risen to 48%, with a 20% increase over the past 24 hours.
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket prediction event titled “WTI Crude Oil Price in July,” the probability of WTI crude oil breaking through $95 per barrel has reached 4
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Polymarket reports a preliminary probability of 61% that “the next Claude Opus model will be released on July 23, 2026,” up 51% over the past 24 hours.
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, the probability that “the next Claude Opus model will be released on July 23, 2026” is currently reported at 61% on Polymarket, up 51% over the past 24
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Prediction markets are becoming more professionalized, making it harder for traders to profit, experts say
Experts note that the institutionalization of prediction markets is eroding the edge of skilled traders. According to an academic paper analyzing $13.76 billion in Polymarket trades, roughly 27% of do
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A Cluster of Polymarket Accounts Won ~$22,000 on Companies Audited by KPMG, Per Bubblemaps Analysis
A mysterious Polymarket user earned approximately $22,000 through a series of nearly perfect bets on the quarterly earnings of 18 companies audited by KPMG, including Wells Fargo, Home Depot, and Door
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Europe’s top regulator ESMA questions Polymarket and Kalshi’s EU access, warning event contracts may fall under binary-options bans, MiCA or gambling laws
Europe’s top regulator ESMA questions Polymarket and Kalshi’s EU access, warning event contracts may fall under binary-options bans, MiCA or gambling laws
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Polymarket, a crypto prediction market, has appointed Warren Jenson, former Amazon CFO, as its first Chief Financial Officer.
Polymarket announced the appointment of veteran executive Warren Jenson as its first Chief Financial Officer. Jenson previously served as CFO at Amazon and currently sits on the boards of companies su
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Adobe reports Q3 earnings after market close, with prediction markets betting on CEO Narayen's key phrases
Polymarket traders give Adobe roughly a 92% chance of beating the market's $6.08 non-GAAP EPS benchmark. On Kalshi, traders are betting on specific words CEO Shantanu Narayen and his team will say on
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Anthropic's IPO is still most likely to occur in October, with Polymarket data indicating a delay in the roadshow.
Polymarket data indicates that Anthropic's IPO is most likely to occur in October, with an implied probability of 63%, despite reports of a delayed roadshow. The roadshow is not expected to begin befo
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Micron (MU) stock surged 256% in 2026, with analysts raising consensus target to $1,513 and FY2027 EPS estimates from $103 to $155.
Micron Technology's stock closed Friday at $1,016.59, driven by record DRAM pricing and AI datacenter memory demand. The company reported fiscal Q3 2026 revenue of $41.46 billion, up 345.7% year-over-
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UK regulator FCA weighs easing ban on financial prediction markets, reportedly held talks with trading platforms as Britons turn to Polymarket and Kalshi
The UK's Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) is reportedly considering easing its ban on financial prediction markets. The regulator held talks with trading platforms, as British citizens have increasin
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LeBron James teases Polymarket partnership in new social media video, six weeks after his free agency decision generated $273 million in prediction market volume
Philadelphia 76ers forward LeBron James posted a 14-second video on X and Instagram showing him entering a stylized Polymarket office with the caption "Welcome to Polymarket HQ. Coming soon," and "In
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Prediction market Polymarket launches cryptocurrency perpetual contracts, offering 20x leverage.
Prediction market Polymarket has launched perpetual futures contracts covering 10 cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin and Ethereum, offering investors up to 20x leverage. Users can open long or short
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Polymarket Launches Perpetual Oil Futures in 24/7 Trading Push
The move sees Polymarket stepping into a market that rival Kalshi Inc. is also seeking to enter, as trading venues compete to offer round-the-clock access to the commodity.
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Kalshi and Polymarket’s combined volume falls 15% in August to $45.33 billion, marking first monthly decline in a year
The combined monthly volume at Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US fell 14.5% in August to $45.33 billion, marking the first decline since August 2025. Specifically, Kalshi recorded $37.17 billion in
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Donald Trump's son's co-owned fund, 1789 Capital, led Polymarket's $1 billion funding round, valuing the latter at $21 billion.
1789 Capital, a venture capital fund co-founded by Donald Trump's son, is leading a funding round of approximately $1 billion for prediction market platform Polymarket, with the fund contributing arou
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Donald Trump Jr.'s fund, 1789 Capital, has made an additional investment of approximately $300 million into the prediction market Polymarket. This funding round will bring Polymarket's valuation to about $21 billion.
Donald Trump Jr.'s fund, 1789 Capital, has made an additional investment of approximately $300 million into the prediction market Polymarket. This funding round will bring Polymarket's valuation to ab
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Anthropic IPO Process Accelerates: Plans to Allow Early Shareholders to Cash Out and Extend Lock-up Period; Prospectus Expected After US Labor Day on September 7, with Listing as Early as Late September
AI startup Anthropic is considering allowing existing shareholders to sell some shares in its IPO, while also exploring a lock-up period exceeding 180 days to balance the monetization needs of early i
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Donald Trump Jr. advised Republican state attorneys general not to fight prediction markets, NYT reports
The New York Times reported on Thursday that Donald Trump Jr., an advisor to two major prediction market platforms (Kalshi and Polymarket), told Republican attorneys general in March to back off the i
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Ahead of NVIDIA's earnings report, prediction market traders are betting on the company to beat earnings expectations, with a 97% probability of success.
Traders on the online prediction market Polymarket believe there’s a 97% chance NVIDIA will beat Wall Street’s adjusted earnings per share (EPS) expectations when it reports earnings after market clos
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Judge stays CFTC's civil case against US soldier over illegal Polymarket bet, regulator now seeks to weigh in on criminal proceedings
A judge stayed the CFTC’s civil case against a US soldier accused of using nonpublic information for a Polymarket bet, while the regulator is attempting to weigh in on the related criminal case.
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Prediction markets doubt Treasury Secretary Bessent's bond interventions, see 10-year yield hitting new highs in 2026
Prediction market traders on platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket are skeptical that Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's bond interventions will significantly lower yields. Speculators on Kalshi see a
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Analysts believe Salesforce (CRM) stock is poised for a rally after its earnings release on August 26, driven by strong AI business growth and Polymarket's prediction of a 91% probability of an earnings beat.
Analysis indicates that Salesforce (CRM) stock performs well ahead of its Q2 FY2027 earnings report on August 26, citing reasons such as its Agentforce annual recurring revenue (ARR) surpassing $1 bil
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Prediction markets show Anthropic is poised to surpass Elon Musk's SpaceX as the largest IPO in 2026.
According to Polymarket data, prediction markets show that AI company Anthropic is rapidly closing the gap with SpaceX, with the potential to become the largest initial public offering (IPO) of 2026 a
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South Korea moves to block Polymarket over gambling concerns
The Korea Media and Communications Commission stated that Polymarket's structure and operations amount to illegal gambling, despite its noncustodial design and smart contracts.
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JPMorgan Chase stopped providing banking services to prediction market platform Polymarket last October due to regulatory concerns.
According to The Wall Street Journal, JPMorgan Chase severed banking services with prediction market platform Polymarket in October last year, citing regulatory concerns. Despite the disruption in ban
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JPMorgan debanked prediction platform Polymarket over regulatory concerns
JPMorgan debanked prediction platform Polymarket over regulatory concerns
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Polymarket Once Reached a Weekly Trading Volume Milestone of $2.1 Billion: Exploring Its Rise as the World's Largest Blockchain Prediction Market
Decentralized prediction market Polymarket set a new record in March 2026 with over $2.1 billion in weekly trading volume, solidifying its position as the world's largest blockchain prediction market. Founded in 2020 by Shayne Coplan, the platform operates on the Polygon network and uses USDC for transactions. Polymarket successfully operates compliantly in the United States by acquiring a CFTC-licensed entity and obtaining a "no-action" letter. Despite facing regulatory scrutiny and insider trading concerns, Polymarket has attracted prominent investors such as Intercontinental Exchange and established partnerships with X (Twitter) and Blockchain.com, continuously expanding its market influence.
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Hyperliquid, Polymarket, and Kalshi: A Competitive Analysis of Prediction Markets and Perpetual Contracts
Decentralized perpetual contract giant Hyperliquid is entering the prediction market space with its HIP-4 proposal, directly challenging industry leaders Polymarket and regulated platform Kalshi. Meanwhile, Polymarket and Kalshi have also announced their expansion into perpetual contracts, intensifying the competition among the three. This article will delve into the unique advantages, technical architecture, regulatory status, and market data of each platform to explore the future direction of this multi-dimensional competition.
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Polymarket: How the Prediction Market Giant Is Unlocking a Hundred-Billion-Level Fund Pool and Reaping the Benefits of Globalization
Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market platform, is rapidly emerging as a major force in the Web3 space. The platform allows users to predict and trade on the outcomes of global events; its trading volume has surged to the tens of billions of dollars, attracting a large number of users worldwide. This article will delve into Polymarket’s operational mechanisms, its staggering capital scale, and how it is achieving growth through a global strategy, while also addressing the regulatory challenges the platform faces.
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