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Bonds
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Prediction markets doubt Treasury Secretary Bessent's bond interventions, see 10-year yield hitting new highs in 2026
Prediction market traders on platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket are skeptical that Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's bond interventions will significantly lower yields. Speculators on Kalshi see a
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New Century Advisors Chief Economist Claudia Sahm Argues US Treasury Buybacks Are Not 'QE Lite' and Will Have Limited Market Impact
New Century Advisors Chief Economist Claudia Sahm Argues US Treasury Buybacks Are Not 'QE Lite' and Will Have Limited Market Impact
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For the first time, the U.S. national debt has exceeded $40 trillion, reaching $40.047 trillion on August 18. The yield on 30-year U.S. Treasury bonds rose to around 5.34%, a new high since 2007.
U.S. Treasury Department data shows that as of August 18, the total U.S. national debt reached $40.047 trillion, double the $19.95 trillion when Donald Trump first took office in January 2017. In the
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German Finance Minister Klingbeil states the surge in bond yields is a result of Trump's war
German Finance Minister Klingbeil states the surge in bond yields is a result of Trump's war
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The U.S. Treasury General Account balance has increased to approximately $950 billion, which will be used to fund an expanded bond buyback program. The yield on 30-year U.S. Treasury bonds rose to 5.23%, a new high since 2007.
The U.S. Treasury General Account (TGA) balance has quietly surged to approximately $950 billion, nearly double the Biden administration's target of $550-600 billion. According to informed officials,
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JPMorgan Chase Asset Management portfolio manager Berro said the bond market can handle a large issuance of highly-rated bonds
Kelsey Berro, a portfolio manager at JPMorgan Chase Asset Management, noted that the investment-grade bond market faces a busy September, but demand for corporate bonds suggests that concerns about he
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Zambia's Bond Sale Draws Robust Demand After Hichilema Wins Vote, Borrowing Costs Fall
Zambia's borrowing costs fell in the first bond auction since this month's elections, as investors bet that political continuity will bolster the prospects of Africa's second-biggest copper producer.
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The US 30-year government bond yield has become the market's new fear gauge, as concerns about government debt and fiscal credibility intensify.
A Bloomberg survey showed that 66% of respondents expect the 10-year government bond yield to break above 5% this year. However, KB Securities believes investors are overly pessimistic, pointing out t
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Chile's long-term swap rates rose to an 18-month high last week, as investors remain confident about the economic recovery.
Chile's long-term swap rates rose to an 18-month high last week, reflecting investors' continued confidence in the country's economic recovery, despite recent negative news, persistent weak fiscal con
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Bond yields reach multi-year highs, but Barclays finds bonds at fair value and not yet cheap
Bond yields have climbed to their highest levels in years. However, Barclays strategists assess that bonds are currently at fair value, indicating they are not yet considered cheap enough to buy.
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The U.S. Treasury Department is considering utilizing nearly a trillion dollars from its Treasury General Account to fund an expanded Treasury buyback program.
The U.S. Treasury Department is considering using its Treasury General Account (TGA), which holds nearly $950 billion, to support its expanded long-dated off-the-run Treasury buyback program, accordin
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US Treasury Official Says Treasury Could Use General Account to Fund Bond Buyback
US Treasury Official Says Treasury Could Use General Account to Fund Bond Buyback
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Moody’s Upgrades Pakistan to B3 as External Risks Ease
The upgrade reflects Pakistan's efforts to rebuild its foreign exchange reserves and advance economic reforms.
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Dollar Rises, U.S. Treasury Yields Fall
The DXY dollar index rose, and U.S. Treasury yields fell.
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Exclusive: India plans to issue its first tokenized corporate bonds in September, to be issued by state-owned REC, worth less than $57 million, and will be settled using central bank digital currency
The move aims to test the application of blockchain technology for instant settlement in bond trading, placing India alongside markets such as Europe and Hong Kong in adopting the technology. The bond
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Morgan Stanley says the post-World War II market shift has arrived, and bond yields could go even higher.
Morgan Stanley believes the current market is undergoing a major transformation not seen since World War II, and expects bond yields still have room to rise.
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Treasuries Gain as US Treasury Secretary Bessent and Fed Chairman Warsh are Due to Set Direction for Bond Market
Treasuries gained at the start of a potentially pivotal week for the US bond market, with remarks from US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh likely to determine
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The Wall Street Journal: Donald Trump's Crypto Push Linked to Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's T-Bond Strategy, stablecoins May Boost Short-Term T-Bond Demand
The article points out that U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has previously mentioned the importance of stablecoins as a potential new source of demand for Treasury bills. In the context of the T
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The U.S. dollar hovered near multi-month lows after the U.S. Treasury announced it would double the size of long-dated bond buybacks to $4 billion per operation, sparking concerns about debt.
The dollar recorded its largest weekly drop against Bitcoin in nearly three and a half years on Sunday, and also fell sharply against gold, as markets worried that a U.S. attempt to depress yields wou
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BNP: Upward Trend in Yields Hard to Stop
BNP: Upward Trend in Yields Hard to Stop
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U.S. government bond yields fell on Monday, with the 10-year yield dropping over 2 basis points to 4.7120%, as investors focused on Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's speech later this week in Jackson Hole.
The US 10-year government bond yield fell over 2 basis points to 4.7120%, the 30-year government bond yield fell over 2 basis points to 5.2497%, and the 2-year government bond yield fell over 1 basis
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Two Japanese bond auctions next week may challenge US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s efforts to subdue longer-maturity Treasury yields.
Two Japanese bond auctions next week may challenge US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s efforts to subdue longer-maturity Treasury yields.
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Indonesian government bonds draw highest foreign inflows since 2019 on rupiah gains and steady rate expectations
The inflows were supported by a stronger rupiah and expectations that the central bank will maintain interest rates after a 100-basis-point increase this year.
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Morgan Stanley: U.S. federal debt exceeding $40 trillion will "put the brakes" on the economy, but "won't collapse" because household and corporate balance sheets remain healthy.
Andrew Sheets, Head of Global Fixed Income Research at Morgan Stanley, stated in his latest report that despite the US federal debt increasing by $20 trillion over the past decade and surpassing $40 t
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Wall Street expects US to issue about $1tn of short-term debt as borrowing costs climb
The growing reliance on Treasury bills comes as US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent seeks to curb the rise in long-term rates.
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Emerging market investors are favoring local currency sovereign bonds, as surging U.S. Treasury yields diminish the appeal of dollar-denominated debt.
Emerging market investors are favoring local currency sovereign bonds, as surging U.S. Treasury yields diminish the appeal of dollar-denominated debt.
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Cracks are appearing in Europe's junk real estate bond market, with risky bonds plummeting and new issuances canceled.
Europe's real estate debt market is starting to show the strain of high interest rates, with prices for riskier bonds falling sharply and a rare cancellation of a new junk-rated bond issuance. Net Zer
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Bloomberg Markets: Investors are eager for long-term bonds, but companies are reluctant to sell
Investors currently have strong demand for long-term bonds, but companies are reluctant to issue such bonds, leading to a supply-demand mismatch in the market.
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Moody's downgrades Mozambique's credit rating to Caa3 due to increased Eurobond restructuring risk.
Moody's Investors Service downgraded Mozambique's credit rating by one notch to Caa3, citing increased risk of the country restructuring its sole Eurobond. The Caa3 rating is deep into junk territory.
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JPMorgan Chase expects investment-grade corporate credit markets to provide over $2.1 trillion in financing for data centers over the next five years.
AI investments continue to expand, but funding is not without bottlenecks. The combined capital expenditure guidance for the top five US cloud computing companies is projected to exceed $750 billion i
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Oracle's $18 billion AI loan is struggling to sell, with banks quoting prices down to 89-91 cents on the dollar, signaling emerging pressure in the AI financing chain.
Distribution of Oracle's approximately $18 billion syndicated loan for its Project Jupiter data center in New Mexico has stalled, with bank bids falling to 89-91 cents on the dollar, valuing the loan
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WSJ analysis suggests healthy economy and reduced tech issuance could support corporate bonds, advising against counting them out despite Fed rate hikes.
WSJ analysis suggests healthy economy and reduced tech issuance could support corporate bonds, advising against counting them out despite Fed rate hikes.
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U.S. stocks were mixed on Friday, with the S&P 500 edging up 0.2%, but weighed down by rising Treasury yields and oil prices.
U.S. stocks closed mixed on Friday, with the S&P 500 index edging up 0.2% to 7,650.50 points, the Dow Jones Industrial Average falling 0.2% to 51,682.64 points, and the Nasdaq Composite index rising 0
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Investors pulled approximately $1.8 billion from the municipal bond market this week, as state and local government debt returns are on track for a third consecutive monthly decline.
Investors pulled approximately $1.8 billion from the municipal bond market this week, as state and local government debt returns are on track for a third consecutive monthly decline.
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Partners Group is exploring an €800 million ($917 million) fund to hold its private credit loans longer
Partners Group AG is exploring a deal to shift around €800 million ($917 million) of its private credit loans into a continuation vehicle, according to people familiar with the matter.
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Bitcoin hits $81K as US bond yields rebound on global oil woes
Bitcoin price action made swift gains at the start of Friday’s Wall Street trading session as US 30-year bond yields began rising again.
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Short-Term Treasury Borrowing Costs Jump in Repo as Yields Surge
The cost to borrow key short-term Treasuries is jumping as investors load up on certain recently issued securities to set short positions, a move that could support next week’s US government debt auct
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Wall Street expert Harley Bassman warns flattening Treasury yield curve could deteriorate mortgage bonds, potentially impacting entire fixed-income market
Bond-market veteran Harley Bassman, creator of the MOVE Index, stated in a podcast interview published Thursday that mortgage-backed securities are increasingly risky for investors, citing a flattenin
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After U.S. Treasury yields surged past 5% to a new high not seen since 2007, funds have been "rushing into bonds," with year-to-date inflows reaching $625 billion, the highest for the same period since 2010.
The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield surpassed 5% this week, reaching its highest level since 2007, attracting a significant influx of capital into U.S. bond mutual funds and exchange-traded funds. Accordi
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Bloomberg Strategist Mike McGlone: 5% US Treasury Yields Warrant Selling Bitcoin and Gold
Bloomberg Senior Macro Strategist Mike McGlone stated that after the Federal Reserve's 25 basis point rate hike on September 16, bringing the federal funds rate to 3.75%-4%, the 10-year US Treasury yi
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Bonds of Brazilian steelmaker CSN performed strongly after the appointment of a new CEO, as investors are optimistic about its asset sale plan.
Bonds of Brazilian steelmaker Cia. Siderúrgica Nacional SA (CSN) have been among the best performers in emerging markets since the appointment of a new chief executive officer. Investors are betting t
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Dollar bonds of India's Shapoorji Group hit a record high as investors bet on a potential listing of Tata Sons.
Dollar bonds of Indian construction giant Shapoorji Pallonji Group hit a record high this week, as investors bet that the potential listing of Tata Sons Pvt. could help the Shapoorji Group unlock valu
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French bond risk premium rises to one percentage point amid debt risks, budget deficit and political uncertainty
A measure of French bond risk rose to one percentage point, a sign of growing caution among investors given the country’s large budget deficit and ongoing political uncertainty.
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Bybit to list TLTUSDT TradFi Perpetual Contract with up to 25x leverage
Bybit will list the TLTUSDT TradFi Perpetual Contract, offering up to 25x leverage. TLT is an ETF that tracks the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index.
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India's Shapoorji Pallonji Group seeks bond payment delay for one unit
India's Shapoorji Pallonji Group, known for the country's largest private credit deal, is in discussions with lenders to one of its units to extend a bond payment due at the end of September. This com
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Bloomberg Markets: U.S. Treasury yields have rarely broken above 5% since 2007, and bond income is alleviating some of the pain from the Treasury sell-off.
Bloomberg Markets: U.S. Treasury yields have rarely broken above 5% since 2007, and bond income is alleviating some of the pain from the Treasury sell-off.
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Amundi Strategist Berardi: Global Markets Still Face Vulnerabilities
Alessia Berardi, Head of Global Macro and Emerging Market Strategy at Amundi Institute, stated that global markets still face vulnerabilities amid central bank rate hikes, high energy prices, and fisc
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Soaring US Treasury yields offer a "silver lining," with some investors seeing a buying opportunity at 5% yields.
As the world's largest bond market remains under pressure, some investors see an attractive reason to buy U.S. Treasuries: yield. Driven by high inflation, ballooning budget deficits, and a surge in c
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Bonds
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