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10/19
09:07
Morgan Stanley's first-ever chart of 2027 AI capital expenditure flows shows that NVIDIA alone is projected to capture approximately $690 billion out of the $1.58 trillion spent by hyperscale cloud service providers. This amount represents two-thirds of the benefits accrued to the S&P 500, with the remaining 499 constituent companies collectively receiving only about $339 billion. The report indicates that AI capital expenditure will directly drive approximately 25% of S&P 500 sales growth and contribute 78% of the S&P index's earnings growth in 2027. Concurrently, the report reveals that hyperscale cloud service providers have disclosed over $1.1 trillion in uncommenced lease commitments, a form of "synthetic capital expenditure" that is economically equivalent to debt financing. It is anticipated that 2027 will see the largest free cash flow deficit, leading to a significant increase in debt financing pressure. Morgan Stanley also projects that the growth rate of AI capital expenditure will sharply decelerate from approximately 60% in 2027 to about 14% in 2028, and warns that the market may be underestimating the risk of both volume and price declines.
09:07
Hong Kong-based activist investor Oasis Management, Nidec's largest single shareholder with a 9% stake, is considering calling an extraordinary general meeting to overhaul oversight at the Japanese motor maker. Nidec reported a historic loss last month amid a massive accounting scandal.
09:02
The AI company has provided few details on the dynamics of a five-person trust that is empowered to shape its board and block major moves, according to WSJ Markets.
08:56
Howard Marks, Co-Chairman of Oaktree Capital, stated in an interview on October 18, as reported by Bloomberg, that he does not currently believe the market has reached a true bubble state. He pointed out that one of the essential characteristics of a bubble is investors' "unawareness" of risk, and the fact that Wall Street is widely alert to bubble risks precisely indicates the absence of such "unawareness." He believes that if enough people cautiously question whether there is a bubble, the market will behave with restraint. He cited data indicating that the average forward P/E ratio for the five largest tech stocks by market capitalization in the S&P 500 is currently 23x, significantly lower than the 65x seen before the peak of the dot-com bubble in 2000, despite the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings (CAPE) ratio being near its historical high of 41x.
08:56
Wallstreetcn, citing Huatai Research, analyzed that two nationwide real estate policies introduced by China's central government since late August (the 828 sales system reform and the 929 resident mortgage interest subsidy) are driving the stabilization of the real estate sector. The report pointed out that after the policies were implemented, the market has shown positive changes, with a 33% year-on-year increase in the number of pre-owned home transactions at real estate agencies in 25 cities from October 1-13. It is expected that the transaction volume in the national real estate market will reach a new level by 2027, and housing prices in more cities will bottom out.
08:40
Seoul stocks opened sharply lower on Monday following a technology-centered sell-off on Wall Street, as mounting concerns over whether heavy investment in artificial intelligence infrastructure can generate sufficient returns weighed on sentiment. The benchmark Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) opened 3.17% lower and narrowed losses to trade down 95.95 points, or 1.69%, at 5,572.10 as of 9:15 a.m. local time.
08:33
Binance founder CZ commented on Peter Schiff's consistent bearish stance on Bitcoin, stating that Schiff "will be right one day, after he changes his mind." This was in response to a post highlighting Peter Schiff's 13-year history of predicting Bitcoin would go to zero.
08:29
BlackRock believes Wall Street's application of blockchain technology is moving beyond creating digital versions of stocks, bonds, and money market funds, towards the larger goal of transforming how these assets flow through the financial system.
08:23
The Airbus A320, carrying 6 crew members and 51 passengers, was en route to Vienna when the crew received a bomb threat. Bulgarian authorities confirmed the emergency landing in Sofia, with the country's air force escorting the plane. A security search of the aircraft has been conducted, and passengers will be rebooked on alternative flights.
08:12
UBS trading desk trader Torsten Sippel noted in his latest weekly report that last week's US stock market was not a broad sell-off, but rather a targeted position reset, with its trajectory highly similar to the deleveraging event triggered by the AI quantitative fund Situational Awareness several months ago. The report stated that the AI and momentum sectors continued to be under pressure, with the storage sector falling 16% in a single week, and funds rotating towards defensive and less crowded sectors. Hedge fund net exposure has fallen to the 30th percentile of its five-year history, but gross exposure remains above the 90th percentile, indicating a market landscape that is "fragile rather than outright bearish" and still faces the risk of further deleveraging.
08:09
The BBC World Service has reported on two Russian men, identified by pseudonyms Ivan and Foma, who claim to be secretly working for Ukraine's military intelligence (GUR) to conduct sabotage operations against Russian military assets and personnel. Ivan claims involvement in drone attacks on strategic bombers and munitions factories, while Foma, operating from Poland, runs a network of volunteers in Russia to surveil high-level officers. The GUR has confirmed both men are working for the agency, though it cannot fully verify their claims. Foma admitted to providing intelligence on Lt Gen Fanil Sarvarov, who was assassinated in Moscow in December last year.
08:02
Russia’s Vladimir Putin proposed a meeting with President Donald Trump and China’s Xi Jinping next month to discuss ending the war in Ukraine, the Wall Street Journal reported Sunday.
08:01
Jeff Yan, co-founder and CEO of Hyperliquid Labs, stated on a Bloomberg podcast on October 15 that U.S. users accessing their services via VPN are violating the terms of service. He believes that providing compliant access for U.S. users requires bridging the understanding gap between regulators and on-chain technology, and determining whether it aligns with the core principles of the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). He cited an example where anyone can verify that the total user balance equals the amount of USDC held at a specific address, a feature that helps regulators recognize the benefits of this technology.
08:00
Gold opened the week higher, trading around $4,180 an ounce, as traders pared bets on the Federal Reserve raising interest rates this month. Following remarks by Chair Kevin Warsh, the probability of a quarter-point hike has fallen to less than one-in-five, with his comments interpreted as supporting the case to keep rates on hold at next week's meeting.
07:59
Yuriy Ryzhenkov, CEO of Metinvest, one of Ukraine's largest steel companies, urged the European Union to lift import restrictions on Ukrainian steel, arguing the country has been "bundled together" in measures primarily aimed at curbing cheap imports from China and Turkey. The EU recently capped tax-free steel imports at 18.3 million tonnes annually, a 47% reduction from 2024 levels, which could lead to a 50-60% drop in Ukraine's steel exports to the EU. An EU Commission spokesperson stated they considered Ukraine's difficult situation but acknowledged the specific quota is lower than in past years.
07:33
Saudi Arabia's National Center for Security Operations issued a warning on Sunday, stating that anyone who "photographs, publishes, or shares information related to anti-missile and drone activities and their impact locations" could face punishment and legal liability. The government agency, which is affiliated with the Ministry of Interior, published this information in seven different languages.
07:33
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission's (SEC) new framework for trading tokenized stocks is encountering resistance from companies whose shares could trade. Broadcom, Verizon, UnitedHealth, and five other issuers have objected to trading on the planned OKX-ICE venue, a joint venture between crypto exchange OKX and New York Stock Exchange parent Intercontinental Exchange (ICE). Separately, Nasdaq has also said it would opt out of having its own shares tokenized under the framework, citing concerns about real-time best price display and consolidated tape reporting.

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