Federal Reserve
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Federal Reserve The probability that interest rates will remain unchanged in July is 65.8%
Svmuu News: According to CME’s “Federal Reserve”: Federal Reserve The probability that interest rates will remain unchanged in July is 65.8%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basi
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Polymarket Launches New “Federal Reserve: Number of Interest Rate Hikes in 2026”
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer channel, Polymarket has launched a prediction event titled “Federal Reserve: Number of Interest Rate Hikes in 2026.” Looking at the interest rate path, the ma
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QCP: Market Risk Shifts from News-Driven to Execution Risk Phase
Svmuu News: QCP Capital’s latest weekly macro report indicates that global market risks are shifting from easing geopolitical tensions to more complex execution risks. Although the U.S. and Iran have
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U.S. House of Representatives Passes Housing Bill That Includes a CBDC Ban
Svmuu News: On Tuesday, the U.S. House of Representatives passed the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act by a vote of 358 to 32, following its passage in the Senate by a vote of 85 to 5.The bill, which p
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Bitcoin The price fell below $63,000, possibly due to continuous outflows from ETFs and the expiration of $10.6 billion in options weighing on the market
Svmuu News Bitcoin On Tuesday, the price fell further toward the $62,000 level, continuing its weak consolidation amid outflows from spot ETFs for the sixth consecutive week, hawkish shifts in macro i
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Serenity: This pullback appears to be a clear buying opportunity. I’m bullish on Micron, Intel, and TSMC
Svmuu News: Serenity posted, “To me personally, this pullback looks like a clear buying opportunity, with targets including Micron Technology (MU), Intel (INTC), and TSMC (TSM). This decline stems pri
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Bitget CFD Chief Analyst: PCE Data Will Serve as a Policy Barometer for Federal Reserve; Be Wary of Downside Risks for Gold
Svmuu News: Lewis Huang, Chief Analyst of CFDs at Bitget, pointed out during an online livestream titled “Analyzing the Logic Behind Gold’s Trends” that market focus this week will be on the U.S. May
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Galaxy Research Director: U.S. Senate Passes Housing Bill That Prohibits Federal Reserve the Issuance of a CBDC Before 2030
Svmuu News: The head of research at Galaxy posted on X, stating that the U.S. Senate passed a major housing bill with bipartisan support last night. The bill is expected to pass quickly in the House o
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U.S. stock futures plummeted, with big tech stocks once again leading the decline
Svmuu News: U.S. stock futures fell on Tuesday as a sell-off in large-cap tech stocks spilled over into Asian AI-related stocks, while investors awaited further developments in U.S.-Iran negotiations.
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QCP: Market Sentiment Improves After Strategy Increases Its BTC Holdings; Crypto Market Continues to Trade Within a Range
Svmuu News: QCP Capital released a market analysis stating that Bitcoin has reclaimed the $65,000 level, driven primarily by Strategy’s purchase of 520 BTC and an increase in its cash reserves by $300
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Gray Scale: If Federal Reserve postpones interest rate hikes, Bitcoin may catch up to stock performance
Svmuu News: Zach Pandl, Head of Research at Grayscale, wrote that since the war in Iran began in late February, U.S. stocks have risen 9%, the Bitcoins has fallen 1%, and gold has dropped 20%.Although
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Bank of America forecasts that Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by 75 basis points in 2026
Svmuu News: Due to resilient economic data and rising market expectations of a hawkish stance Federal Reserve under the leadership of new Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh, Bank of America expects
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Former Federal Reserve Chairman Greenspan has died at the age of 100
Svmuu News: Former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan has died at the age of 100. According to NBC News, citing his wife, the network’s chief foreign affairs correspondent and chief Washington co
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Morgan Stanley: ETF Demand Is the Key Factor Driving Gold to $5,200
Svmuu News: Morgan Stanley stated that without a significant rebound in ETF inflows, its bullish price target of $5,200 for gold in the second half of the year would become much harder to achieve.Morg
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BIT: Institutional capital flows have turned to net outflows over the past month, and buying interest may be slow to recover
Svmuu News: BIT released an analysis today stating that over the past 30 days, combined capital flows for stablecoins, Strategy, and the “Bitcoin” ETF have shifted to net outflows, reaching a record h
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Standard Chartered: Expects Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged this year, with the first actual rate cut coming in the second quarter of next year
Svmuu News: Standard Chartered believes that the Federal Reserve may keep interest rates unchanged for the rest of the year and begin cutting rates in earnest in the second quarter of next year. Stand
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ICBA Asks the Kansas City Fed to Reevaluate Kraken's Limited-Use Fed Account
Svmuu News: The Independent Community Bankers of America (ICBA) has sent a letter to the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, requesting that it reassess Kraken Financial’s compliance prior to the exp
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Svmuu Noon News
1: Polymarket is accused of marketing to U.S. users through simulated trades and fake profit videos; 2: “New Stock Guru” Serenity: Donald Trump’s tariff strategy may backfire; cutting-edge supply chai
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Deutsche Bank has raised its U.S. inflation forecast and expects a total of 50 basis points in interest rate hikes in 2026 Federal Reserve
Svmuu News: Deutsche Bank has raised its U.S. inflation forecast and comprehensively revised its policy outlook Federal Reserve. It now expects a total of 50 basis points in rate hikes by 2026 Federal
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Analysis: The U.S. Dollar Index is nearing a breakout above the upper boundary of its trading range; BTC is under pressure and may continue its negative correlation with the DXY.
Svmuu News: Bitcoin, often viewed as the “rival” to the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), is facing sustained pressure, with the market watching closely as the DXY approaches a breakout above the upper boundar
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Market pricing indicates Federal Reserve that expectations for an interest rate hike are rising, and a 25-basis-point rate hike in September has already been fully priced in.
Svmuu News: Market pricing indicates that bets on interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve. are rising, with expectations of a 25-basis-point rate hike in September now fully priced in. (Jin Shi)
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Svmuu Evening Brief
1: The 2026 U.S. primary funding battle intensifies: A crypto super PAC is accused of “covertly shaping candidates’ narratives,” sparking controversy; 2: Bloomberg analysts: The Hong Kong 2x SK Hynix
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Federal Reserve Hawkish Dot Plot Shocks the Market: Gold Stages a V-Shaped Rebound; Bitcoin’s Key Range Is $64,000–$65,000
Svmuu News: CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler posted that Bitcoin fell sharply after the Federal Reserve (Federal Reserve) kept interest rates unchanged at 3.50%–3.75% and released a hawkish dot plot, br
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Analysis: The continued flattening of the U.S. Treasury yield curve sends a hawkish signal; Bitcoin’s short-term rebound potential may be limited.
Svmuu News: The bond market is sending signals of tighter monetary policy, which may continue to weigh on risk assets such as Bitcoin.Currently, the yield spread between U.S. 2-year and 10-year Treasu
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SoFi Technologies (SOFI) Stock Drops 13% Despite Reporting Record Q2 Revenue of $1.2B (+40% YoY) and EPS of $0.12 (+50%)
SoFi Technologies (NASDAQ: SOFI) reported record second-quarter results, with adjusted net revenue increasing 40% year-over-year to $1.2 billion and adjusted earnings per share (EPS) rising 50% to $0.
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The Federal Reserve has cut interest rates three times since September 2025, lowering the upper limit of the federal funds rate to 3.75%; the real estate market has responded positively, with three related ETFs posting strong performance, including the Hoya Capital High Dividend Yield ETF (RIET), which has yielded nearly 10.5%.
Since September 2025, the Federal Reserve has cut interest rates three times, lowering the upper limit of the federal funds rate target to 3.75%. As a result, the real estate market has been active. T
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U.S. President Donald Trump has once again criticized the Federal Reserve, saying its board is “highly politicized” and that interest rates should be lowered.
U.S. President Donald Trump once again publicly criticized the Federal Reserve this week, calling its board members “highly politicized” and stating that interest rates should be lowered. Donald Trump
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Fed Chair Wash is considering reducing the number of policy meetings, and S&P traders are concerned that the market will experience sharp volatility
Bloomberg Markets reported that Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh is considering reducing the number of policy meetings, a move interpreted by the market as a form of “silent treatment” that has he
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Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh Considers Reducing Policy Meetings, Raising Concerns Over Market Volatility
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh is reportedly considering reducing the number of Federal Reserve policy meetings. This potential move has drawn concern from economists and market strategists, who
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Synchrony Bank Offers 4.15% APY on 14-Month CD, Topping Today's Best Rates
Synchrony Bank is offering a 4.15% annual percentage yield (APY) on its 14-month certificate of deposit (CD), marking the highest CD rate available as of Saturday, August 1, 2026. This comes after the
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Fed Hawks Push for More Rate Hikes, Driving US 10-Year Yield to 4.727% (Highest Since Jan 2025); BOJ Holds Rates But Signals Future Hikes
Several Federal Reserve officials, including Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan, Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack, and Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari, publicly advocated for further interes
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Fed Governor Lorie Logan Backs Immediate 25 Basis Point Rate Hike, Citing Inflation Off Track from 2% Target
US Federal Reserve Governor Lorie Logan stated her preference for an immediate 25 basis point rate hike, arguing that inflation is not on track to sustainably return to the Fed's 2% target. Logan emph
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Federal Reserve Board seeks comment on proposal to modernize rules for bank insider credit
The Federal Reserve Board has requested public comment on a proposal to modernize its Regulation O, which governs the extension of credit to bank 'insiders' including executives, board members, and ma
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Federal Reserve Board Proposes to Modernize Rules Governing Mutual Banks and Seeks Public Comment
On Friday, July 31, the Federal Reserve Board issued a proposal aimed at modernizing the regulatory rules governing mutual banks and sought public comment on the matter. These institutions are owned b
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Fed Dissenters Explain Support for Higher Rates, Citing Persistent Inflation
Federal Reserve officials who dissented from the recent policy decision explained their rationale for backing higher interest rates, pointing to inflation having exceeded the Fed's 2% target for over
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Fed Holds Rates Steady, But Market Odds for a September Hike Rise to 53%
The US Federal Reserve maintained its interest rates, but market expectations for a September rate hike have increased. Despite the Fed holding rates steady and offering no guidance, Kalshi now prices
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Cleveland Fed President Hammack preferred to take action at recent meeting, viewing current policy as not restrictive enough.
Cleveland Fed President Hammack preferred to take action at recent meeting, viewing current policy as not restrictive enough.
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Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari Prefers Incremental Policy Tightening to Combat Inflation Risk
Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari stated he would rather tighten policy incrementally as more data on inflation and employment becomes available, to manage the risk of high inflation becoming en
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Bitcoin Sentiment in the options market has turned bearish, with the $60,000 put option expiring in August becoming the most popular trade on Deribit.
As July came to a close, the Bitcoins options market saw significant changes. On Deribit, the world’s largest cryptocurrency options exchange, the August-expiring Bitcoin put option (a position that h
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Bitcoin and Ether Fall as July Ends, While Equities Rally; Broader Crypto Market Still Poised for Best Month in a Year
Bitcoin (BTC) fell 1.31% to $63,870 and Ether (ETH) dropped 1.40% to $1,890 as July drew to a close. This divergence occurred as equities rallied, with South Korea's Kospi surging over 15% and U.S. in
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U.S. Treasury Yields Rise Following Fed Decision
U.S. Treasury yields rose, particularly short-dated yields, as investors continued to process the Federal Reserve's decision on Wednesday to keep interest rates unchanged and Chairman Kevin Warsh's st
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RBC's Calvasina: Fresh Volatility in U.S. Stocks Presents 'Valuation Opportunity'
RBC analyst Calvasina states that recent volatility in U.S. stocks is creating a "valuation opportunity" for investors. He adds that it is normal for equities to face challenges during Federal Reserve
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The dollar may post its worst performance in three months this week amid market concerns that the Federal Reserve is failing to curb inflation effectively
The U.S. dollar is on track for its worst week in three months, largely due to growing market concerns about whether the Federal Reserve can effectively curb inflation.
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White House officials have spoken out one after another: Hassett said the PCE data makes things “easier” for Fed Chair Wash, while Navarro called on the Fed to consider cutting interest rates
Kevin Hassett, Director of the White House National Economic Council, said that the recently released inflation data (the June PCE price index) has made Fed Chair Wash’s job “a little easier” and expr
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Investors doubt former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh's confidence in the Fed's inflation-fighting resolve
Former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh insists the Fed will do whatever it takes to reduce U.S. inflation to its 2% target. However, investors are reportedly skeptical of the central bank's resol
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Fed Holds Interest Rates Steady in July, Wall Street Reacts Negatively on Inflation Fears
The U.S. Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted 9-3 on July 29 to hold benchmark short-term interest rates steady. Despite the pause, Wall Street reacted negatively, with the Dow
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Bitcoin presses toward $65,000 as Treasuries out-yield carry trade for only second time on record
Bitcoin firmed toward $65,000 on Thursday. This movement occurred as softer economic data eased fears of a September interest rate hike by the US Federal Reserve, with spot trading volume near multi-y
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Federal Reserve Board issues enforcement actions against former employees of Regions Bank and First Interstate Bank
The Federal Reserve Board on Thursday announced it has issued consent prohibition orders against Simon Alberto Gonzalez, a former employee of Regions Bank, and Ralph A. Mojica, a former employee of Fi
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Federal Reserve
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Liquidity Crunch in Cryptocurrency Mining: Causes and Analysis of the Current Situation in 2026
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Billionaire investor Chase Coleman’s Tiger Global fund disclosed in its latest 13F filing that its top five growth stocks are all focused on AI infrastructure, including TSMC, NVIDIA, Amazon, Meta, and Google.
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The analysis points out that Iran’s overlapping centers of power complicate efforts to end the war with the United States, and that the Revolutionary Guards possess significant operational autonomy.
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