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Bitget CFD Chief Analyst: To Build a High-Win-Rate Trading Framework for Gold, It Is Necessary to Combine Data from CME and CFTC Open Interest Reports, Among Other Sources
Svmuu News: Recently, Lewis Huang, Chief Analyst of Bitget CFD, shared advanced strategies for trading gold. He pointed out that to develop a high-win-rate gold trading strategy, traders must look bey
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Semiconductor Stocks Face Several Key Events Over the Next Two Weeks, with AI Capital Expenditures Taking Center Stage
Svmuu News: Paradis Labs posted on X stating that it is currently difficult to determine whether semiconductor stocks have bottomed out. Most AI infrastructure-related stocks rose that day, with SIVE,
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Yields on 10-year and 30-year U.S. Treasury bonds hit two-month highs as rising oil prices fuel inflation concerns
Svmuu News: The U.S. Treasury market fell, with yields on 10-year and 30-year Treasuries rising to their highest levels in about two months. Surging crude oil prices fueled market concerns that inflat
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All 104 economists expect the Federal Reserve to keep the federal funds rate unchanged at 3.50%–3.75%.
Svmuu News: According to a Reuters survey, all 104 economists expect the Federal Reserve to keep the federal funds rate unchanged at 3.50%–3.75% on July 29. Of the 104 economists, 78 (compared with 78
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Bitcoin Probability of Bitcoin Reaching $67,500 in July Rises to 70%; Spot ETFs See Net Inflows for 5 Consecutive Days
Svmuu News: Polymarket traders have raised the probability that Bitcoin will reach $67,500 in July to 70%, up from approximately 56% earlier this week.The current market probability of Bitcoin reachin
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Analysis: The U.S. Treasury yield curve may invert
Svmuu News: The yield spread between 10-year and 2-year U.S. Treasury bonds is expected to narrow further in the coming months, according to Capital Economics, which noted that escalating tensions in
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QCP Market: Oil Prices and Fed Expectations Weigh on Risk Assets; BTC Trades in a Narrow Range
Svmuu News: QCP Market reports that global market sentiment has shifted toward risk aversion due to the situation in the Middle East and expectations of a hawkish stance by the Federal Reserve.Followi
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WEEX Labs: This Week, U.S. Stocks Will Focus on Q2 Earnings Reports and Fed Expectations; Macroeconomic Data Is Relatively Limited
Svmuu News: This week, the focus of the U.S. stock market will shift to the second-quarter earnings reports from tech giants such as Alphabet, Tesla, and Intel. At the same time, attention will be on
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The President of the Cleveland Fed Hints at the Need for Rate Hikes to Combat Inflation; Markets See a 65% Probability of a Rate Hike in September
Svmuu News: Hamack, President of the Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank, recently hinted that the Federal Reserve may need to raise interest rates to curb persistently high inflation. Currently, interest
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U.S. Consumer Confidence Index Rises to 54.4; Declining Inflation Expectations Offer Relief to the Federal Reserve
Svmuu News: Samuel Tombs of Pantheon noted that the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index rose to 54.4 from 49.5 in June, exceeding economists’ expectations of 50.5 but remaining below last
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The cost of hedging against the U.S. dollar has fallen to its lowest level this year, as the market bets that risks to the reserve currency are limited in the short term
Svmuu News: As the market assesses a lower likelihood of a major shock to the U.S. dollar in the short term, the cost for investors to hedge against dollar volatility has fallen to its lowest level th
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Fed’s Hamak: There Is No Conflict Between the Fed’s Dual Mandates
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve official Hammack stated that there is no conflict between the Fed’s dual mandates. Persistently high inflation is the greater cause for concern. The labor market is nearing
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Analysis: Expectations of interest rate hikes, combined with a shift in capital flows, have led tech giants to lead the decline in the broader U.S. stock market.
Svmuu News: On Friday, the three major U.S. stock indices opened lower, with tech stocks falling across the board.the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index has fallen more than 20% from its all-time closin
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Spot gold has fallen back below $3,970 per ounce
Svmuu News: According to Gate data, spot gold has fallen back below $3,970 per ounce, down 0.16% on the day. Goldman Sachspreviously noted that, despite pressure from expectations of a hawkish Federal
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Goldman Sachs: Central Bank Buying Will Support Gold Prices
Svmuu News Goldman Sachs reports that, despite pressure from expectations of a hawkish Federal Reserve, central bank buying is expected to provide support for gold prices.Demand remains strong; accord
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The Financial Supervisory Service of South Korea will monitor brokerage firms’ margin trading and securities lending and borrowing activities to prevent retail investors’ losses from escalating.
Svmuu News: The Financial Supervisory Service (FSS) of South Korea has called on financial institutions to strengthen market stability and proactive risk management. Regarding the stock market, the FS
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Federal Reserve Vice Chair: If Inflation Doesn't Ease in the Short Term, We May Need to Reconsider Our Policy Stance
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Vice Chair Jefferson stated that if inflation does not cool down soon, interest rate hikes should be considered, but the current monetary policy is sound. In remarks prepar
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Federal Reserve's Schmid: Recent inflation data is encouraging, but it is still too early to draw conclusions
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve official Schmid stated that recent inflation data is encouraging, but it is still too early to draw conclusions. When formulating monetary policy, it is time to stop exclud
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Fed's Logan: Interest Rates Should Be Raised to Combat Inflation
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve official Logan stated that the Fed should raise interest rates to combat high inflation. June inflation data showed that price increases were slowing, but not enough to con
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Deutsche Bank: If the Fed Opts for Quantitative Tightening Rather Than Interest Rate Hikes, the Dollar Could Weaken
Svmuu News: Deutsche Bank analyst George Saravelos noted in a report that if the Federal Reserve shifts its policy focus from raising interest rates to reducing its balance sheet (i.e., quantitative t
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Analysis: The Federal Reserve is likely to keep rates on hold, as inflation remains an unpredictable economic variable
Svmuu News: Federated Hermes fund manager Karen Manna stated in a report that the firm continues to believe the Federal Reserve will largely hold rates steady, while inflation remains one of the most
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QCP Capital: Divergence Between Surface-Level Narratives and Underlying Data in the Oil, Interest Rate, and Crypto Markets
Svmuu News: QCP Capital released a macroeconomic report stating that the most notable feature of this week’s market was growing divergence, with situations arising in the oil, interest rate, and crypt
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Natixis expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged throughout 2026
Svmuu News: Christopher Hodge, former chief economist at the New York Fed and chief U.S. economist at Natixis, said that Fed Chair Warsh’s hawkish start could create a “credibility trap.” Christopher
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The Federal Reserve's use of overnight reverse repurchase agreements fell to $151 million on Wednesday.
Svmuu News: The Federal Reserve's use of its overnight reverse repurchase agreement (RRP) program stood at $151 million on Wednesday, down from $278 million on the previous trading day.
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US Treasury investors are shifting to short-term bonds, betting that the Federal Reserve will succeed in curbing inflation.
U.S. government bond investors are shifting their focus to holding short-term government bonds, betting that the Federal Reserve will ultimately succeed in curbing inflation. This comes after the two-
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Oaktree's Howard Marks Prefers Less Fed Communication, Citing Chair Warsh's Efforts to Curtail Guidance
Oaktree's Howard Marks Prefers Less Fed Communication, Citing Chair Warsh's Efforts to Curtail Guidance
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US companies, especially manufacturers and retailers, are being squeezed by tariffs, soaring fuel costs from Iran war, and rising interest rates
American companies, particularly those in manufacturing, auto supply, retail, and transportation, are facing a triple squeeze. Tariffs under Trump's trade policies are increasing raw material costs, t
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Bitcoin this week withstood the dual impact of the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike and the failure of the Clarity Act, with market analysts stating that it is independent of Washington, and the SEC has introduced "innovation exemptions."
Despite widespread market expectations that a Federal Reserve rate hike and the failure of the CLARITY Act in the Senate would trigger a broad sell-off in crypto markets, Bitcoin showed resilience thi
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China's LPR (Loan Prime Rate) has remained unchanged for 16 consecutive months, with the 1-year LPR at 3.0% and the over-5-year LPR at 3.5%. A publication overseen by the central bank stated that "the necessity of directly lowering policy interest rates is not high."
The People's Bank of China (PBOC) authorized the National Interbank Funding Center to announce the latest Loan Prime Rates (LPRs) on September 20. The one-year LPR is 3.0%, and the over-five-year LPR
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Goldman Sachs: Market "pricing in 4 rate hikes" is overly pessimistic, expects only two rate hikes in this cycle.
Goldman Sachs strategists Dominic Wilson and Josh Schiffrin stated in a September 17 podcast that the current market pricing of four Federal Reserve rate hikes is overly pessimistic, and they believe
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Musk retweeted a post, quoting economist Friedman's view that the Federal Reserve "deliberately caused the Great Depression."
Musk retweeted a post from FinanceLancelot, which quoted economist Milton Friedman's views on the Great Depression of 1929, stating that the Federal Reserve "deliberately caused the Great Depression."
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MarketWatch analysis: Warsh's Fed aims to tame inflation to 2% by 2029 with slightly higher rates, and Wall Street now believes it
MarketWatch analysis indicates that after more than five years of previous attempts, Federal Reserve leaders believe they can reduce the inflation rate to 2% by 2029 with only slightly higher U.S. int
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Bitcoin's price has recovered above $80,000, following a decline triggered by the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike and the stalled CLEAR Act.
Bitcoin's price fell from the low $80,000 range to approximately $75,000 at the beginning of the month, influenced by the Federal Reserve's first interest rate hike since 2023 (a 25 basis point increa
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Hedge funds are bullish on the JPY for the first time since July 2025, holding approximately $1.6 billion in positions, according to CFTC data.
Leveraged traders have unwound their previous short positions in the Japanese Yen and started building bullish positions, now holding approximately JPY 251 billion (about $1.6 billion) in long Yen pos
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On-chain data shows that Morgan Stanley's Bitcoin ETF has not experienced outflows this month, having purchased $51.5 million in BTC over the past 20 trading days.
On-chain intelligence platform Arkham data shows that Morgan Stanley's Bitcoin ETF (MSBT) has not recorded any outflows this month, accumulating $51.5 million in Bitcoin purchases over the past 20 tra
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WSJ analysis suggests healthy economy and reduced tech issuance could support corporate bonds, advising against counting them out despite Fed rate hikes.
WSJ analysis suggests healthy economy and reduced tech issuance could support corporate bonds, advising against counting them out despite Fed rate hikes.
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The dollar had its strongest week since June after the Federal Reserve's rate hike, with the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rising 1.1% this week.
The Federal Reserve announced its first interest rate hike in over three years this week, explicitly signaling more to come, which has become a core driver of dollar strength. JPMorgan Chase, Standard
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Citibank Analysis: The Bank of Japan's dovish dissent and the Federal Reserve's rate hikes will accelerate its rate-hiking process, bringing forward the terminal rate achievement to July 2027.
Citibank Japan economist Sosuke Nakamura released a report stating that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) raised its policy rate from 1.00% to 1.25% at its September meeting as expected, but two dovish dissenti
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Analysis suggests Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh is steering decision-making logic towards monetarism, abandoning the neutral interest rate anchor.
Analysts point out that Warsh's characterization of the neutral rate as a purely academic discussion is akin to dismantling the Federal Reserve's policy positioning system, which has been in operation
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CNBC host Cramer expects a relatively calm week on Wall Street, but September has historically been tough.
CNBC host Jim Cramer said on Friday that investors could be in for a relatively calm period next week as Wall Street navigates a historically difficult September. He noted that this week, the Dow fell
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Wall Street concluded a volatile week with major indices showing flat performance on Friday.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average recorded its third consecutive weekly decline, while the Nasdaq Composite Index saw a slight gain. This week, Wall Street was impacted by calls from AI leaders to slow
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Dollar surges to its best weekly performance since June, driven by US central bank's signal for more rate hikes
The dollar is poised for its best weekly performance in three months after the US central bank signaled more interest-rate hikes are to come.
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MarketWatch analysis suggests investors' best move after Fed rate hike is to do nothing, as stocks should still outperform bonds.
MarketWatch analysis suggests investors' best move after Fed rate hike is to do nothing, as stocks should still outperform bonds. This is because the equity risk premium, which measures how much stock
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Fed Chair Warsh's "dose of accommodation" remark sparks Wall Street speculation on further rate hikes
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's description of this week's quarter-point interest rate hike as merely removing "a dose of accommodation" has led Wall Street to question the extent of future rat
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U.S. manufacturing output unexpectedly fell 0.3% in August, the first decline this year, with capacity utilization dropping to a five-month low.
U.S. manufacturing output fell 0.3% in August, far below economists' forecast of a 0.3% increase and the first decline this year, data from the Federal Reserve showed on Friday. Factory capacity utili
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Inflation drives BOJ, Fed, ECB into historic alignment on rate hikes
The Bank of Japan's decision on Friday to join the U.S. and European central banks in rate hikes signals a new normal as they grapple with inflation amid political pressure and the impact of artificia
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Bank of America strategists warn: Investors should prepare for a Federal Reserve led by Warsh to raise the benchmark interest rate above 5%.
Bank of America strategists warn: Investors should prepare for a Federal Reserve led by Warsh to raise the benchmark interest rate above 5%.
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Federal Reserve Board terminates enforcement action against SNB Bancshares and Bank of Eufaula
The Federal Reserve Board announced on Friday the termination of a written agreement with SNB Bancshares, Inc. and Bank of Eufaula, Oklahoma, which was originally dated August 7, 2024, and officially
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
24H Trending
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Musk reposted a tweet stating that OpenAI's AI agents are conducting "self-adventurous experiments" in a "safety sandbox," even pressuring each other for "permanent death" in exchange for collective benefit.
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Houthis attack Saudi capital and Aramco facilities, US warns of "rapid escalation" of conflict, Saudi Arabia urgently seeks aid from multiple countries.
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OpenAI is in preliminary discussions with investors for a new private funding round, potentially valuing the company at over $1.2 trillion.
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Hong Kong to expand renminbi-denominated bond, gold and commodity markets, says Financial Secretary Paul Chan
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Goldman Sachs: Market "pricing in 4 rate hikes" is overly pessimistic, expects only two rate hikes in this cycle.
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NVIDIA VP: Vera Rubin Platform Achieves 30x Throughput Increase on Agentic AI Workloads
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Musk reposted a SpaceX tweet, confirming the deployment of 27 Starlink satellites.
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NVIDIA VP: Agentic AI to Boost Computing Power Demand 100-fold, Altering Traditional Scheduling Models
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Google executive says Asia's AI adoption is outpacing perception, with demand rising for cost-effectiveness
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Ed Sheeran calls Gaza situation 'catastrophic,' 'unjustifiable,' and 'disproportionate' as US tour resumes
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