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Federal Reserve Beige Book: U.S. Economic Activity Sees Modest Growth, Data Center Demand a Key Driver
The Federal Reserve's Beige Book, released on Friday, indicated modest growth in U.S. economic activity over the past two months, with an overall positive but complex outlook. Data centers and defense
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BloFin Analysis: US National Debt Surpasses $40 Trillion, But Bitcoin's "Debasement Trade" Enters Second Phase as Investors Focus on Government Efforts to Control Borrowing Costs
BloFin analysts point out that despite the US federal debt exceeding $40 trillion, Bitcoin's "debasement trade" has not been as strong as expected. Their latest report suggests that this trade has ent
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Seaport Research Golub: Strong Jobs Report Bolsters Case for September Fed Rate Hike, Despite Trump's Call for Cuts
Jonathan Golub, managing director and chief U.S. equity strategist at Seaport Research Partners, stated that a stronger-than-expected U.S. jobs report reinforces the Federal Reserve's rationale for ra
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Wall Street broadly expects the Federal Reserve to need to raise interest rates after a strong U.S. August non-farm payrolls report, with Macquarie bringing forward its rate hike forecast to September.
Following a robust U.S. August non-farm payrolls report (162,000 new jobs, significantly exceeding expectations) and a surge in government bond yields, Wall Street analysts widely believe the Federal
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Yahoo Finance Analysis: Bitcoin Rebounds 38% from July Lows to Approximately $79,700, BlackRock's IBIT ETF Assets Grow to $60.2 Billion, but Macro Headwinds May Hinder Its Return to $100,000
Yahoo Finance analysis indicates that Bitcoin has rebounded approximately 38% from its July 1 low of about $57,700, having surpassed $80,000 last week before falling back to around $79,700 on Friday.
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Bank of America Securities and Citi have issued contrasting forecasts for the US August CPI data and its implications for the Federal Reserve's September rate hike. BofA expects the core CPI annual rate to rise to 3.4%, supporting a rate hike, while Citi anticipates a drop to 2.3%, advocating for a pause.
The US August CPI data, set to be released next Friday (September 12), will directly influence the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision at this month's meeting. BofA Securities predicts that the c
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Citi expects the Strait of Hormuz to reopen in Q4 2026, raising its 0-3 month gold target price to $4,800/oz.
Citigroup stated in its latest commodity outlook that its core scenario is the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz to shipping in Q4 2026. The bank believes that if the strait reopens, a decline in oil
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The Wall Street Journal: Many Retail Traders Turn to Prediction Markets as Crypto's Appeal Fades
The Wall Street Journal reported that as Bitcoin loses its appeal, retail traders are dedicating more time and capital to prediction markets covering sports events, elections, and Federal Reserve inte
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U.S. August non-farm payrolls increased by 162,000, significantly exceeding expectations. The probability of a September rate hike rose to approximately 60%, and U.S. Treasury yields generally moved higher.
Data released by the U.S. Department of Labor on Friday showed that non-farm payrolls increased by 162,000 in August, approximately three times economists' expectations, indicating resilience in the l
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Former Trump administration trade advisor Navarro warned that if the Federal Reserve raises interest rates now, it would hit critical sectors of the U.S. economy that most need to prosper, such as manufacturing and real estate. He expressed hope that Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh would stop "those clowns'" impulse to raise rates.
Peter Navarro, former trade advisor to the Trump administration, stated in a conversation with Steve Bannon that if the Federal Reserve were to raise interest rates rashly now, it would strike at the
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Wall Street Risk Complex Defies Rate Threat After Jobs Blowout, Global Bond Selloff Proves No Wrecking Ball
Wall Street Risk Complex Defies Rate Threat After Jobs Blowout, Global Bond Selloff Proves No Wrecking Ball
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Ketaki Sharma, CEO of Algorithm Research, stated that inflation is the primary factor in assessing the bond market and the Federal Reserve's next moves.
Ketaki Sharma, CEO of Algorithm Research, stated that inflation is the primary factor in assessing the bond market and the Federal Reserve's next moves.
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Emerging market currency indices have risen for 10 consecutive weeks, marking their longest winning streak since 2007, with the rally unbroken even by strong US non-farm payroll data.
The MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index rose 0.4% on Friday, accumulating a 0.7% gain for the week, marking its 10th consecutive week of increases, the longest winning streak for the index since 2007
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US stocks fall and yields jump after blowout jobs report, with White House economic adviser Chris Phelan to discuss labor market, inflation and rates.
The strong jobs report has rekindled expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike. Separately, Anthropic is nearing a mega IPO, OpenAI has unveiled its latest model, Morgan Stanley is cracking down on
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Analysis suggests Fed Chair Warsh's 'regime change' promise to defeat inflation faces challenges, with July PCE at 3.7% and Warsh himself acknowledging more work is needed.
A recent analysis evaluates Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's performance since taking office on May 22, noting that despite his promise of a policy 'regime change' to conquer inflation, the Fed's p
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U.S. Employers Added 162,000 Jobs in August, Marking a Hiring Rebound and Stronger Summer Job Market Than Previously Thought
The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported on September 4 that U.S. employers added 162,000 jobs in August, exceeding some forecasters' expectations. Revisions to previous months' totals also indicated a
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Micron Jumps 5% and SanDisk 8% on Friday, Outperforming Broader Market Despite Strong Jobs Report Reviving Fed Rate Hike Odds
Micron Technology Inc. and SanDisk Corp. saw significant gains in early trading on Friday, with Micron up 5% and SanDisk up 8%, sharply outperforming the S&P 500 which slipped 0.2%. This surge occurre
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Federal Reserve Board announces termination of enforcement actions with United Texas Bank, Quontic Bank Acquisition Corp., and Quontic Bank Holdings Corp.
The Federal Reserve Board announced on Friday the termination of enforcement actions against United Texas Bank, Quontic Bank Acquisition Corp., and Quontic Bank Holdings Corp. The actions, which inclu
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Fed source Nick Timiraos: U.S. August wage growth slowed to 3.1%, the lowest in the current cycle; private sector aggregate weekly payrolls index rose 4.3% year-over-year.
Fed insider Nick Timiraos cited data indicating that U.S. wage growth over the past 12 months slowed to 3.1% in August, marking a new low for the current cycle. Specifically, wage growth for private s
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U.S. stocks opened lower on Friday, with the Dow falling 0.4%, as a strong August jobs report reignited rate hike expectations; Lululemon plunged after its earnings report, and Tesla's stock declined.
Following the opening of U.S. stock markets on Friday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.4%, and the S&P 500 also broadly declined. The market reacted to a stronger-than-expected August jobs rep
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CNBC Analysis: Trump-Era Policy Risks, High Government Borrowing, and AI-Driven Corporate Debt Are Pushing Up Long-Term US Treasury Yields
CNBC analysis suggests that lower US government bond yields may require a weaker economy, and Donald Trump's policies would not help address this. The article states that the 10-year US Treasury yield
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Trump demands Fed slash interest rates or he will cut off trade with countries with which the U.S. has trade deficits
President Donald Trump on Friday issued a sweeping ultimatum in a Truth Social post, reacting to a much-stronger-than-expected monthly jobs report. He urged the central bank and its chairman, Kevin Wa
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BlackRock portfolio manager Rosenberg stated that a 25 basis point rate hike by the Federal Reserve would have little impact on risk assets.
Jeffrey Rosenberg, portfolio manager for BlackRock's Systematic Multi-Strategy Fund, told Bloomberg Television that a 25 basis point rate hike by the Federal Reserve would not pose a significant probl
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Bitcoin Drops Below $80,000, Falling Nearly 3% to $79,197, as Strong US Jobs Data Revives Fed-Hike Bets
Bitcoin dropped nearly 3% to $79,197, abruptly reversing its latest push above $80,000, after stronger-than-expected US jobs data for August revived bets on a September Federal Reserve rate hike. Nonf
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US companies, especially manufacturers and retailers, are being squeezed by tariffs, soaring fuel costs from Iran war, and rising interest rates
American companies, particularly those in manufacturing, auto supply, retail, and transportation, are facing a triple squeeze. Tariffs under Trump's trade policies are increasing raw material costs, t
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Bitcoin this week withstood the dual impact of the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike and the failure of the Clarity Act, with market analysts stating that it is independent of Washington, and the SEC has introduced "innovation exemptions."
Despite widespread market expectations that a Federal Reserve rate hike and the failure of the CLARITY Act in the Senate would trigger a broad sell-off in crypto markets, Bitcoin showed resilience thi
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China's LPR (Loan Prime Rate) has remained unchanged for 16 consecutive months, with the 1-year LPR at 3.0% and the over-5-year LPR at 3.5%. A publication overseen by the central bank stated that "the necessity of directly lowering policy interest rates is not high."
The People's Bank of China (PBOC) authorized the National Interbank Funding Center to announce the latest Loan Prime Rates (LPRs) on September 20. The one-year LPR is 3.0%, and the over-five-year LPR
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Goldman Sachs: Market "pricing in 4 rate hikes" is overly pessimistic, expects only two rate hikes in this cycle.
Goldman Sachs strategists Dominic Wilson and Josh Schiffrin stated in a September 17 podcast that the current market pricing of four Federal Reserve rate hikes is overly pessimistic, and they believe
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Musk retweeted a post, quoting economist Friedman's view that the Federal Reserve "deliberately caused the Great Depression."
Musk retweeted a post from FinanceLancelot, which quoted economist Milton Friedman's views on the Great Depression of 1929, stating that the Federal Reserve "deliberately caused the Great Depression."
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MarketWatch analysis: Warsh's Fed aims to tame inflation to 2% by 2029 with slightly higher rates, and Wall Street now believes it
MarketWatch analysis indicates that after more than five years of previous attempts, Federal Reserve leaders believe they can reduce the inflation rate to 2% by 2029 with only slightly higher U.S. int
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Bitcoin's price has recovered above $80,000, following a decline triggered by the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike and the stalled CLEAR Act.
Bitcoin's price fell from the low $80,000 range to approximately $75,000 at the beginning of the month, influenced by the Federal Reserve's first interest rate hike since 2023 (a 25 basis point increa
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Hedge funds are bullish on the JPY for the first time since July 2025, holding approximately $1.6 billion in positions, according to CFTC data.
Leveraged traders have unwound their previous short positions in the Japanese Yen and started building bullish positions, now holding approximately JPY 251 billion (about $1.6 billion) in long Yen pos
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On-chain data shows that Morgan Stanley's Bitcoin ETF has not experienced outflows this month, having purchased $51.5 million in BTC over the past 20 trading days.
On-chain intelligence platform Arkham data shows that Morgan Stanley's Bitcoin ETF (MSBT) has not recorded any outflows this month, accumulating $51.5 million in Bitcoin purchases over the past 20 tra
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WSJ analysis suggests healthy economy and reduced tech issuance could support corporate bonds, advising against counting them out despite Fed rate hikes.
WSJ analysis suggests healthy economy and reduced tech issuance could support corporate bonds, advising against counting them out despite Fed rate hikes.
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The dollar had its strongest week since June after the Federal Reserve's rate hike, with the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rising 1.1% this week.
The Federal Reserve announced its first interest rate hike in over three years this week, explicitly signaling more to come, which has become a core driver of dollar strength. JPMorgan Chase, Standard
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Citibank Analysis: The Bank of Japan's dovish dissent and the Federal Reserve's rate hikes will accelerate its rate-hiking process, bringing forward the terminal rate achievement to July 2027.
Citibank Japan economist Sosuke Nakamura released a report stating that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) raised its policy rate from 1.00% to 1.25% at its September meeting as expected, but two dovish dissenti
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Analysis suggests Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh is steering decision-making logic towards monetarism, abandoning the neutral interest rate anchor.
Analysts point out that Warsh's characterization of the neutral rate as a purely academic discussion is akin to dismantling the Federal Reserve's policy positioning system, which has been in operation
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CNBC host Cramer expects a relatively calm week on Wall Street, but September has historically been tough.
CNBC host Jim Cramer said on Friday that investors could be in for a relatively calm period next week as Wall Street navigates a historically difficult September. He noted that this week, the Dow fell
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Wall Street concluded a volatile week with major indices showing flat performance on Friday.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average recorded its third consecutive weekly decline, while the Nasdaq Composite Index saw a slight gain. This week, Wall Street was impacted by calls from AI leaders to slow
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Dollar surges to its best weekly performance since June, driven by US central bank's signal for more rate hikes
The dollar is poised for its best weekly performance in three months after the US central bank signaled more interest-rate hikes are to come.
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MarketWatch analysis suggests investors' best move after Fed rate hike is to do nothing, as stocks should still outperform bonds.
MarketWatch analysis suggests investors' best move after Fed rate hike is to do nothing, as stocks should still outperform bonds. This is because the equity risk premium, which measures how much stock
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Fed Chair Warsh's "dose of accommodation" remark sparks Wall Street speculation on further rate hikes
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's description of this week's quarter-point interest rate hike as merely removing "a dose of accommodation" has led Wall Street to question the extent of future rat
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U.S. manufacturing output unexpectedly fell 0.3% in August, the first decline this year, with capacity utilization dropping to a five-month low.
U.S. manufacturing output fell 0.3% in August, far below economists' forecast of a 0.3% increase and the first decline this year, data from the Federal Reserve showed on Friday. Factory capacity utili
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Inflation drives BOJ, Fed, ECB into historic alignment on rate hikes
The Bank of Japan's decision on Friday to join the U.S. and European central banks in rate hikes signals a new normal as they grapple with inflation amid political pressure and the impact of artificia
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Bank of America strategists warn: Investors should prepare for a Federal Reserve led by Warsh to raise the benchmark interest rate above 5%.
Bank of America strategists warn: Investors should prepare for a Federal Reserve led by Warsh to raise the benchmark interest rate above 5%.
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Federal Reserve Board terminates enforcement action against SNB Bancshares and Bank of Eufaula
The Federal Reserve Board announced on Friday the termination of a written agreement with SNB Bancshares, Inc. and Bank of Eufaula, Oklahoma, which was originally dated August 7, 2024, and officially
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The Federal Reserve has taken enforcement actions against three former bank employees for misappropriation of customer funds, misuse of funds, and check fraud.
The Federal Reserve Board announced at 11:00 AM ET on Friday that it has taken enforcement actions against Charles Alan Wright, a former employee of Northstar Bank (alleged misappropriation of custome
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Federal Reserve's Bowman: Third-party reports challenge claims that social media amplified Silicon Valley Bank's run, defending the 2018 regulatory law, contrary to previous Fed reports.
Federal Reserve Vice Chair Michelle Bowman detailed the preliminary findings of a third-party review into the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank. She stated that the report challenges the narrative that
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
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Anthropic's potential $2 trillion IPO fuels nearly $80 million in crypto derivatives bets
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Nippon Life plans to invest $12.7 billion (2 trillion yen) in infrastructure financing, primarily for data center construction in the US
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NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang rejected calls to slow down AI development, stating that AI should advance "as fast as possible" but emphasized that safety should not be sacrificed.
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VICA Token: Ethereum-Based "Noflation" Concept Token and Its Market Status
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Axelar (AXL) In-depth Analysis: The Cross-Chain Interoperability Protocol Connecting the Multi-Chain World
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What is Shiba Inu (SHIB)? An Analysis of Shiba Inu's Current Status and Trading Channels
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The US, Denmark, and Greenland have reached a security agreement to expand the US military presence in Greenland, expected to be signed next week.
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The Senate failed to pass a cryptocurrency ethics rule because it did not cover the interests of officials' adult children.
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ODMCoin (ODMC) Project Review: A Blockchain Attempt at Oil and Gas Waste Treatment
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ATMOS Coin Analysis: Market Status and Historical Performance of Novusphere's Native Token
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