Federal Reserve
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US August CPI Report Preview: Market expects headline CPI to rise 0.4% month-over-month, core CPI to rise 0.2%, potentially influencing the Federal Reserve's rate hike decision next week.
A preview of the US August CPI report indicates that the market generally expects headline CPI to rise by approximately 0.4% month-over-month, a significant acceleration from July's 0.1%; core CPI is
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Yahoo Finance analysis favors Solana over XRP ahead of Fed decision, citing XRP's high regulatory risk from upcoming Senate vote
Yahoo Finance analysis indicates that while both XRP and Solana have surged over 30% in the past month, Solana presents a stronger investment case ahead of the Federal Reserve's September 16 rate deci
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Analysts: US stock corporate earnings expectations are experiencing a rare sustained upward revision, with fundamentals "too strong to be true," but high interest rates and Federal Reserve decisions still pose a drag.
Patrick Palfrey, Head of Strategy at Seaport Research Partners, noted that the current fundamentals of U.S. corporate earnings are exceptionally strong, with analysts' earnings expectations continuous
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JPMorgan Asset Management's Stephanie Aliaga believes a rate hike will re-establish Fed credibility
JPMorgan Asset Management's Stephanie Aliaga believes a rate hike will re-establish Fed credibility
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Reuters Poll: Most Strategists Expect US 10-Year Government Bond Yield to Rise to 5% Within Three Months
A Reuters poll of 31 bond strategists found that 17 of them expect the U.S. 10-year government bond yield could reach 5% within the next three months. The yield recently climbed to 4.86%, primarily dr
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Fed-funds futures now price in a 70% chance of a September hike, as Nick Timiraos shares August core CPI estimates with a median of 0.22%
Fed-funds futures have shifted to a 70% chance of a September rate hike this morning, reflecting market calculations. Meanwhile, Nick Timiraos, a prominent Fed reporter, shared August core CPI estimat
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US Bond Yields Extend Climb to Fresh Multiyear Highs as Oil Advance Stokes Rate-Hike Bets for Fed Hike as Soon as Next Week
US Bond Yields Extend Climb to Fresh Multiyear Highs as Oil Advance Stokes Rate-Hike Bets for Fed Hike as Soon as Next Week
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Memory chip stocks fell in early trading on Thursday, with SK Hynix down 5%, and Micron and Western Digital both down 3%, as surging government bond yields and oil prices overshadowed JPMorgan Chase's overweight rating.
Macro factors are dominating the market, with the US 10-year government bond yield rising to 4.91% (nearing a three-year high) and WTI crude oil breaking above $100 per barrel. The market widely expec
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US 10-year Treasury yield rises to 4.91%, highest since 2023, as Brent crude oil jumps to $105
The US 10-year Treasury yield rose to 4.91%, marking its highest level since 2023. Concurrently, the 30-year Treasury yield climbed to 5.35%. Treasury prices were under pressure as Brent crude oil sur
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U.S. August PPI rose 0.4% month-over-month, meeting market expectations.
U.S. August Producer Price Index (PPI) rose 0.4% month-over-month, in line with Dow Jones consensus estimates. Investors are closely watching a series of key inflation reports to assess the Federal Re
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US Stocks Kick Off 4th Straight Session of Losses, Nasdaq Falls 1% as Rising Oil, Yields and ECB Rate Hike Fuel Fed Tightening Expectations
US Stocks Kick Off 4th Straight Session of Losses, Nasdaq Falls 1% as Rising Oil, Yields and ECB Rate Hike Fuel Fed Tightening Expectations. The S&P 500 dropped 0.6% and the Dow Jones Industrial Avera
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Analysis: The Federal Reserve faces a dilemma in its September decision, torn between raising rates and holding steady. Kevin Warsh's hawkish remarks and strong employment data support a rate hike, but cooling inflation and doubts about the reliability of employment data argue against it.
Wallstreetcn.com analysis indicates that as the Federal Reserve's September 16 FOMC meeting approaches, the debate over interest rate hikes is intensifying. The federal funds futures market shows an a
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Brent Crude Oil Tops $105 a Barrel Amid Rising Middle East Tensions, US Gasoline Prices Hit Record High
Brent crude oil prices have exceeded $105 a barrel as escalating tensions in the Middle East intensify concerns about global supplies, with Iran showing no signs of de-escalation. Concurrently, US gas
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Bitcoin and Ethereum prices retreated, with Bitcoin down 0.2% to $77,941.56 and Ethereum down 0.7% to $2,464.92, as the market focuses on inflation data.
As of 7:19 AM ET, Bitcoin's price fell to $77,941.56, down 0.2% from Wednesday's opening price; Ethereum's price dropped to $2,464.92, down 0.7% from Wednesday's opening price. Both cryptocurrencies h
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Analysis suggests Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh's speech was overinterpreted by the market; Friday's inflation report becomes key for rate hikes.
Markets have overreacted to Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh's Jackson Hole speech, with investors perceiving a higher likelihood of interest rate hikes and beginning to price in increases that Warsh ne
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Fed September 25-bp Hike Odds Surge to 64% After ECB's 25-bp Rate Increase
Fed September 25-bp Hike Odds Surge to 64% After ECB's 25-bp Rate Increase
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Bank of America analysts say a "credibility shock" hit Wall Street after Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh's latest interest rate decision.
Bank of America's economics team noted that the market's muted reaction to Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's July 29 press conference led to a "central bank inflation credibility shock." Warsh re
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Goldman Sachs Chief Economist Hatzius warns: Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh's policy strategy could lead to "unhelpful volatility" in the markets.
Goldman Sachs Chief Economist Jan Hatzius stated that Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's more opaque approach to policy guidance could be counterproductive. Hatzius believes that while forward gui
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US August PPI accelerated to 5.4% YoY, exceeding expectations, with core PPI at 4.6% YoY, leading to a sharp increase in Federal Reserve rate hike expectations.
Data released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics on Thursday showed that the Producer Price Index (PPI) for August rose by 5.4% year-on-year, exceeding market expectations of 5.3% and significantly
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Key Gauge of US Producer Prices Rises Less Than Forecast
A key measure of US producer prices in August was lower than forecast, offering limited guidance as Federal Reserve officials debate whether to raise interest rates next week.
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U.S. August wholesale costs rose 0.4% month-over-month, as the Iran conflict and rising oil prices pushed inflation higher again.
U.S. government data released on Thursday showed that the Producer Price Index (PPI) rose 0.4% month-over-month in August, primarily driven by an increase in gasoline prices. This follows two months o
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UBS's Reiman Expects Two Fed Rate Hikes This Year, Says US Economy Can Withstand Them
Kurt Reiman, head of fixed income at UBS Global Wealth Management, expects two interest-rate hikes from the Federal Reserve this year, stating that the US economy can withstand them. He attributes ris
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Bitcoin traders reduced bullish bets ahead of US inflation data, with Bitcoin pulling back from $80,000 to $78,000.
AI trading terminal OrderX data shows that as Bitcoin retreated from $80,000 to approximately $78,000, bullish option skew continued to soften, and traders are reducing their long exposure. The US is
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US CPI Report to Guide Fed Decision on Rates; Officials Prepared to Raise Rates if Inflation Doesn't Improve Soon
Federal Reserve officials have signaled they are prepared to raise interest rates if inflation does not improve soon, though they acknowledge their main policy tool may do little to restrain some of t
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Bitcoin ETF Holders Back in Profit as Price Surges Towards $87,000, Reaching $86,837 Earlier Monday
Bloomberg ETF analyst James Seyffart noted that Bitcoin exchange-traded fund holders are now in profit for the first time since January, as the cryptocurrency's rally on Monday morning pushed the aver
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Fed's Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Likely Needed to Cool Prices, Policy May Still Be Stimulative
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President Alberto Musalem said additional interest rate increases may be needed to achieve the central bank’s inflation goal, adding that monetary policy may still be
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The Federal Reserve's preliminary SVB report has not been publicly released, requiring journalists to register for access; the current head of the Fed's supervision department previously served as an executive at the law firm reviewing the report, raising conflict of interest concerns.
Journalist Nick Timiraos tweeted that the Federal Reserve's preliminary report on Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) has not yet been made public through official Fed channels, and he had to register for a non
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Deutsche Bank macro strategists warn: Markets may again be underestimating the terminal interest rate after synchronized rate hikes by the world's three major central banks.
Deutsche Bank macro strategist Henry Allen warned on Monday that despite the Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank, and the Bank of Japan all raising interest rates in the past two weeks, the mar
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Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee: Higher interest rates will have to slow the economy to combat supply shocks, which will be "painful."
Austan Goolsbee stated that central banks have reached their limit in waiting for supply shocks, meaning higher interest rates will have to slow down sectors of the economy that may not be pushing up
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Bitcoin hit an eight-month high of $86,332 on Monday, with short liquidations exceeding $740 million, driven by falling oil prices and a retreat in US Treasury yields.
Bitcoin reached a high of $86,332 on Monday, marking an eight-month high and its first since January this year. Over the past 24 hours, total crypto market liquidations amounted to $877.31 million, wi
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Bitcoin price surges nearly 7% to break $86,000, shrugging off last week's setback for the Crypto-Asset Clarity Act.
Bitcoin's price briefly touched $86,247 in early New York trading on Monday, rising nearly 7% in the past 24 hours, despite the highly anticipated Crypto-Asset Clarity Act failing to pass through the
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Fed's Goolsbee Says 'Aggressive' Action Needed on Inflation, Citing Overheating Demand and Iran Supply Shock
Fed's Goolsbee Says 'Aggressive' Action Needed on Inflation, Citing Overheating Demand and Iran Supply Shock
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U.S. fuel prices are surging, with diesel nearing $6.50/gallon and gasoline rising to $4.48/gallon, which could push inflation expectations higher and reinforce the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance.
U.S. diesel prices have surged to nearly $6.50/gallon, up approximately 18% from the August average, while gasoline prices have climbed to $4.48/gallon. Consumer surveys have not yet fully reflected t
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US Treasury Secretary Bessent expresses confidence in Fed Chair Warsh regarding Fed rate hikes
US Treasury Secretary Bessent expresses confidence in Fed Chair Warsh regarding Fed rate hikes
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Fed's Goolsbee warns: Returning to 2% inflation target "will not be without pain," employment and wages may pay the price.
Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee stated on Monday that supply shocks have become more frequent and persistent in recent years, and the Federal Reserve can no longer simply "look through" them as
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Fed's Goolsbee: Rate cuts would be "no problem" if inflation clearly returns to 2%.
The Federal Reserve's Austan Goolsbee stated he would have "no problem" with cutting interest rates if inflation clearly returns to the 2% target. He believes the Fed is currently facing an inflation
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Bitcoin breaks $80,000 as $148 billion US liquidity shock fails to crack market
According to Federal Reserve data, the U.S. Treasury General Account increased by $148.003 billion before September 16, causing commercial bank deposits at the Federal Reserve to decrease by $114.971
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Bitcoin surges above $83,500, Monero (XMR) up 13%, as falling oil prices lift risk assets; Trump-Xi summit eyed
Bitcoin traded just under $84,000 on Monday, extending gains from late last week, with Monero's XMR leading larger tokens with a 13% rise. Broader risk assets also climbed, including S&P 500 and Nasda
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US Treasury yields ease on Monday, with 10-year note falling 3 bps to 4.967%
US Treasury yields were lower on Monday, tracking a global easing of government borrowing costs amid falling oil prices. The benchmark 10-year Treasury note yield fell by around 3 basis points to 4.96
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Citi Raises 10-Year U.S. Treasury Yield Forecast to 5.0% by Year-End
Citi's strategist Jason Williams explained that the world is now fundamentally different compared to the July FOMC, leading to the revised outlook. The bank assumes Fed rate hike pricing will remain u
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Bloomberg Markets Analysis: The market can handle the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance, but not uncertainty.
Bloomberg Markets analysis indicates that the Federal Reserve's increasing clarity in its commitment to combating inflation provides a bullish case for investors, but risks related to oil prices and a
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Fed and BoE step up scrutiny of banks' exposure to trading firms after Jane Street loss
The US Federal Reserve and the Bank of England are intensifying their questioning of prime brokers regarding banks' exposure to trading firms, following a loss at Jane Street and the blow-up of AI-foc
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Morgan Stanley: The core of Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh's policy lies in the balance sheet; the market may be overestimating the extent of interest rate hikes.
Morgan Stanley stated in its latest research report that the Federal Reserve's 25 basis point rate hike last week was not the start of a new tightening cycle, but rather a "policy fine-tuning" to main
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Asian stock markets generally rose on Monday, with the Hang Seng Index in Hong Kong once gaining 140 points during intraday trading; oil prices pulled back, with Brent crude falling 2.1% to $101.63.
Asian equities mostly rose on Monday, with chipmakers boosted by AI data demand, while better-than-expected crude oil supply from the Middle East eased market concerns about oil prices. Hong Kong's Ha
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Deutsche Bank: Gold Price Rally Driven by Reserve Management Institutions, Strait of Hormuz Conflict and Oil Price Decline Outweigh Federal Reserve Rate Hikes
Deutsche Bank's latest metal flow report indicates an anomalous rise in gold prices following the Federal Reserve's rate hike, despite no significant increase in volume from conventional buyers (comme
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Wall Street's three major banks predict the U.S. Treasury will issue approximately $1 trillion in short-term Treasury bills over the next year, posing a dilemma for Scott Bessent's policy.
Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase, and Goldman Sachs latest forecasts indicate that the U.S. Treasury will net borrow approximately $1 trillion through the issuance of short-term Treasury bills in the c
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Gold holds steady as traders weigh inflation and Federal Reserve rate hike prospects.
Gold prices held steady as traders weighed the risks of persistent inflation against the Federal Reserve's path for interest rate hikes. This follows the Fed's first rate hike since 2023, with a unani
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US Treasury investors are shifting to short-term bonds, betting that the Federal Reserve will succeed in curbing inflation.
U.S. government bond investors are shifting their focus to holding short-term government bonds, betting that the Federal Reserve will ultimately succeed in curbing inflation. This comes after the two-
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
24H Trending
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JPMorgan CEO Dimon to Visit India This Week, Ramping Up Push for Deal Boom
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XRP is testing the $1.50 resistance level, a key threshold that has capped its advances for roughly 230 days, with a break potentially leading to $1.80+
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Seoul stocks rise 1.65% on chip gains despite Middle East tensions
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Novo Nordisk, the Danish pharmaceutical giant, saw its shares fall by 7% despite setting a $23 billion sales target for its weight-loss drug.
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Binance Stock Trading Platform Adds 25 New Stocks
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Morgan Stanley’s Wilson Says US Stocks Risk 7% Drop in Near Term
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A Hong Kong hotel has been put up for sale by Nanyang Commercial Bank for HK$1.87 billion after being taken over, reflecting a trend of converting hotels into student dormitories.
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US equity futures rise, led by AI stocks; oil prices fall over 2% to around $101; US Treasury yields decline; US and Chinese officials discuss AI national security "notification mechanism."
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BofA Estimates: AI Infrastructure May Require $1.2 Trillion in External Financing Over Next 5 Years, With Over $300 Billion in Annual Incremental Debt Supply
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Commodities trader Trafigura plans to float its supertanker arm Volare Shipping in Oslo, marking the business's first IPO
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