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Federal Reserve
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Fed Whisperer Nick Timiraos: Initial core PCE forecast range is 0.22%-0.26%, due to higher-than-usual uncertainty from NIPA revisions.
Fed Whisperer Nick Timiraos: Initial core PCE forecast range is 0.22%-0.26%, due to higher-than-usual uncertainty from NIPA revisions.
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Druckenmiller Says US Borrowing Costs Still 'A Little Low': FT
Druckenmiller Says US Borrowing Costs Still 'A Little Low': FT
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US August CPI Report Preview: Market expects headline CPI to rise 0.4% month-over-month, core CPI to rise 0.2%, potentially influencing the Federal Reserve's rate hike decision next week.
A preview of the US August CPI report indicates that the market generally expects headline CPI to rise by approximately 0.4% month-over-month, a significant acceleration from July's 0.1%; core CPI is
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Yahoo Finance analysis favors Solana over XRP ahead of Fed decision, citing XRP's high regulatory risk from upcoming Senate vote
Yahoo Finance analysis indicates that while both XRP and Solana have surged over 30% in the past month, Solana presents a stronger investment case ahead of the Federal Reserve's September 16 rate deci
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Analysts: US stock corporate earnings expectations are experiencing a rare sustained upward revision, with fundamentals "too strong to be true," but high interest rates and Federal Reserve decisions still pose a drag.
Patrick Palfrey, Head of Strategy at Seaport Research Partners, noted that the current fundamentals of U.S. corporate earnings are exceptionally strong, with analysts' earnings expectations continuous
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JPMorgan Asset Management's Stephanie Aliaga believes a rate hike will re-establish Fed credibility
JPMorgan Asset Management's Stephanie Aliaga believes a rate hike will re-establish Fed credibility
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Reuters Poll: Most Strategists Expect US 10-Year Government Bond Yield to Rise to 5% Within Three Months
A Reuters poll of 31 bond strategists found that 17 of them expect the U.S. 10-year government bond yield could reach 5% within the next three months. The yield recently climbed to 4.86%, primarily dr
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Fed-funds futures now price in a 70% chance of a September hike, as Nick Timiraos shares August core CPI estimates with a median of 0.22%
Fed-funds futures have shifted to a 70% chance of a September rate hike this morning, reflecting market calculations. Meanwhile, Nick Timiraos, a prominent Fed reporter, shared August core CPI estimat
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US Bond Yields Extend Climb to Fresh Multiyear Highs as Oil Advance Stokes Rate-Hike Bets for Fed Hike as Soon as Next Week
US Bond Yields Extend Climb to Fresh Multiyear Highs as Oil Advance Stokes Rate-Hike Bets for Fed Hike as Soon as Next Week
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Memory chip stocks fell in early trading on Thursday, with SK Hynix down 5%, and Micron and Western Digital both down 3%, as surging government bond yields and oil prices overshadowed JPMorgan Chase's overweight rating.
Macro factors are dominating the market, with the US 10-year government bond yield rising to 4.91% (nearing a three-year high) and WTI crude oil breaking above $100 per barrel. The market widely expec
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US 10-year Treasury yield rises to 4.91%, highest since 2023, as Brent crude oil jumps to $105
The US 10-year Treasury yield rose to 4.91%, marking its highest level since 2023. Concurrently, the 30-year Treasury yield climbed to 5.35%. Treasury prices were under pressure as Brent crude oil sur
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U.S. August PPI rose 0.4% month-over-month, meeting market expectations.
U.S. August Producer Price Index (PPI) rose 0.4% month-over-month, in line with Dow Jones consensus estimates. Investors are closely watching a series of key inflation reports to assess the Federal Re
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US Stocks Kick Off 4th Straight Session of Losses, Nasdaq Falls 1% as Rising Oil, Yields and ECB Rate Hike Fuel Fed Tightening Expectations
US Stocks Kick Off 4th Straight Session of Losses, Nasdaq Falls 1% as Rising Oil, Yields and ECB Rate Hike Fuel Fed Tightening Expectations. The S&P 500 dropped 0.6% and the Dow Jones Industrial Avera
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Analysis: The Federal Reserve faces a dilemma in its September decision, torn between raising rates and holding steady. Kevin Warsh's hawkish remarks and strong employment data support a rate hike, but cooling inflation and doubts about the reliability of employment data argue against it.
Wallstreetcn.com analysis indicates that as the Federal Reserve's September 16 FOMC meeting approaches, the debate over interest rate hikes is intensifying. The federal funds futures market shows an a
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Brent Crude Oil Tops $105 a Barrel Amid Rising Middle East Tensions, US Gasoline Prices Hit Record High
Brent crude oil prices have exceeded $105 a barrel as escalating tensions in the Middle East intensify concerns about global supplies, with Iran showing no signs of de-escalation. Concurrently, US gas
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Bitcoin and Ethereum prices retreated, with Bitcoin down 0.2% to $77,941.56 and Ethereum down 0.7% to $2,464.92, as the market focuses on inflation data.
As of 7:19 AM ET, Bitcoin's price fell to $77,941.56, down 0.2% from Wednesday's opening price; Ethereum's price dropped to $2,464.92, down 0.7% from Wednesday's opening price. Both cryptocurrencies h
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Analysis suggests Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh's speech was overinterpreted by the market; Friday's inflation report becomes key for rate hikes.
Markets have overreacted to Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh's Jackson Hole speech, with investors perceiving a higher likelihood of interest rate hikes and beginning to price in increases that Warsh ne
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Fed September 25-bp Hike Odds Surge to 64% After ECB's 25-bp Rate Increase
Fed September 25-bp Hike Odds Surge to 64% After ECB's 25-bp Rate Increase
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Bank of America analysts say a "credibility shock" hit Wall Street after Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh's latest interest rate decision.
Bank of America's economics team noted that the market's muted reaction to Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's July 29 press conference led to a "central bank inflation credibility shock." Warsh re
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Goldman Sachs Chief Economist Hatzius warns: Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh's policy strategy could lead to "unhelpful volatility" in the markets.
Goldman Sachs Chief Economist Jan Hatzius stated that Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's more opaque approach to policy guidance could be counterproductive. Hatzius believes that while forward gui
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US August PPI accelerated to 5.4% YoY, exceeding expectations, with core PPI at 4.6% YoY, leading to a sharp increase in Federal Reserve rate hike expectations.
Data released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics on Thursday showed that the Producer Price Index (PPI) for August rose by 5.4% year-on-year, exceeding market expectations of 5.3% and significantly
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Key Gauge of US Producer Prices Rises Less Than Forecast
A key measure of US producer prices in August was lower than forecast, offering limited guidance as Federal Reserve officials debate whether to raise interest rates next week.
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U.S. August wholesale costs rose 0.4% month-over-month, as the Iran conflict and rising oil prices pushed inflation higher again.
U.S. government data released on Thursday showed that the Producer Price Index (PPI) rose 0.4% month-over-month in August, primarily driven by an increase in gasoline prices. This follows two months o
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UBS's Reiman Expects Two Fed Rate Hikes This Year, Says US Economy Can Withstand Them
Kurt Reiman, head of fixed income at UBS Global Wealth Management, expects two interest-rate hikes from the Federal Reserve this year, stating that the US economy can withstand them. He attributes ris
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Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
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Donald Trump's special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook has been postponed to December 14.
The special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, initiated by Donald Trump, has been postponed to December 14, White House officials revealed on Wednesday. Donald Trump esta
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Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate would pose the strongest check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve
Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate victory would serve as the most powerful check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve. If any Federal Reserve Board of Governors vacancies arise in the f
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Lombard Odier Economists: A Democratic Senate Win Helps Reduce Uncertainty Around Fed Independence
According to Dow Jones Market Talk, Samy Chaar, Chief Economist at Lombard Odier, believes that a Democratic victory in the Senate would provide a check on Donald Trump's key institutional personnel n
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According to a Federal Reserve survey on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, which could restrict financing for Bitcoin investors.
According to a lending survey released by the Federal Reserve on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, while demand from commercial lenders and priva
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U.S. Treasuries fell due to strong U.S. job openings data and oil price volatility.
US job openings data exceeded economists' expectations, indicating a still robust labor market, which could give the Federal Reserve room to raise interest rates to curb inflation. Meanwhile, oil pric
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U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Manufacturing PMI rising to 59.0, which could complicate Bitcoin's hopes for interest rate cuts.
U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Production Index rising to 59.0, potentially complicating Bitcoin's hopes for rate cuts. A report released by the Institute for Supply Manag
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Bitcoin Trades Near $77,500 as US Midterm Voting Begins, Influenced by Binance Hack and Macro Factors
Bitcoin traded near $77,500 on Tuesday morning as polls opened for the U.S. midterm elections, down about 0.6% on the day. The price action is pressured by factors including a record $6.3 billion Bina
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Nick Timiraos reposts a 2000 news article: Tech bubble executives ignored rate hike risks, companies went bankrupt nine months later.
Nick Timiraos reposted an old news story from 2000, recalling the tale of Sy Picon during the dot-com bubble. In January 2000, The Wall Street Journal reported that Sy Picon, founder of Sy Picon, a di
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US Treasuries Rise, Yields Extend Slide as Oil Prices Tumble
US Treasuries rose, extending their biggest monthly advance in over two years, as tumbling oil prices eased concerns about inflation pressure potentially leading to additional Federal Reserve interest
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Citi FX traders see continued carry trade opportunities
Citigroup Inc.'s US currency desk expects the carry trade to keep offering opportunities for investors, even though the strategy may struggle to replicate a period of standout returns. Fuad Muvdi, hea
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh plans to reduce the number of interest rate votes to just six times per year starting in 2028, which economists say could delay relief for borrowers.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh announced plans to reduce the number of interest rate setting votes over the next two years. Specifically, in 2027, one of the Federal Reserve's eight meetings will not
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S&P 500 historically sees strong gains after midterm elections, averaging 13.7% one year later
A CNBC analysis of S&P 500 returns from 1980 through 2024 shows the index rose an average of 13.7% one year after midterm elections, with positive returns in 91% of cases. The S&P 500 was up after all
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OPEC+ maintained its oil production targets, which could exacerbate inflation concerns and limit the Federal Reserve's monetary policy easing, posing a new macro test for Bitcoin.
OPEC+ decided on November 1 to maintain its oil production targets for December, despite ongoing supply disruptions in the Middle East, a move that could exacerbate inflationary pressures and strength
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Fed study finds Treasury dealers' financing burden can outlast their bond holdings, potentially impacting crypto credit markets
A Federal Reserve staff research, published on October 30, indicates that Treasury dealers may continue to finance customer bonds even after their own auction inventory has largely cleared. This linge
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Industry Insiders: Hong Kong Family Offices Still Interested in Overseas Real Estate Investment
According to the South China Morning Post, industry professionals interviewed believe that Hong Kong family offices' interest in real estate investments in Europe, the US, and Japan may not wane even
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US banks are owed $349B by private credit funds, as PIK interest payments rise to 10% of loans
US-domiciled private credit vehicles owed banks $349 billion at the end of 2025, according to a Federal Reserve report published on October 16, 2026. The report highlights that private credit funds ca
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U.S. stocks fell, Intel's share price plummeted, and Federal Reserve officials hinted at supporting interest rate hikes.
U.S. stocks fell, with Intel's share price dropping sharply, as Federal Reserve officials hinted at support for interest rate hikes, and a tech stock sell-off boosted U.S. Treasuries. Additionally, Bi
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Dallas Fed President Logan supported this week's Federal Reserve decision but still believes two more rate hikes are needed.
Dallas Federal Reserve President Lorie Logan expressed support for the Fed's decision to maintain interest rates this week, but she continues to believe the Federal Reserve still needs to raise rates
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: It will be necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon" to address high inflation and loose financial conditions.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem said on Friday that he judges it necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon." He noted that despite the Federal Reserve's decision this week to keep int
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: Judged it necessary to further tighten monetary policy "soon," otherwise inflation could be too high unless the Federal Reserve raises rates further.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem stated that he judges it necessary to "soon" further tighten monetary policy. He outlined two inflation scenarios, with the one he considers more likely being:
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Federal Reserve official Musalem called for prompt interest rate hikes to restore price stability, stating that inflation risks persist and financial conditions remain loose.
Federal Reserve official Alberto Musalem stated that given persistent and still upward-biased inflation risks, the Federal Reserve needs to raise interest rates again "soon" to restore price stability
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Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos: US Q3 employer benefit costs rose by 3.9%, exceeding wage growth of 3.1%, due to a surge in health insurance costs.
Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos, citing Employment Cost Index (ECI) data, noted that U.S. employer benefit costs surged by 3.9% in the third quarter, surpassing the 3.1% growth in wages and sala
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
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How to buy and sell HERO? First distinguish the project, then check the listing channels
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CVS Health plans to split into two independent publicly traded companies by early 2028, reversing its $78 billion acquisition of Aetna.
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