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US stocks rebound on Friday, S&P 500 up 0.9% and Nasdaq 1%, as Brent crude falls 2.8% to $104.61
US stocks rebounded on Friday, regaining much of their weekly losses, as Brent crude oil prices eased 2.8% to settle at US$104.61 per barrel after nearing US$110 overnight. The S&P 500 climbed 0.9%, s
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Nick Timiraos quotes Goldman Sachs: The firm is reluctant to change its call, seeing no strong economic case for a rate hike and a less clear-cut Fed decision than market pricing implies.
Goldman Sachs believes some FOMC participants may agree there is no strong economic case for raising the funds rate. However, most FOMC participants are likely concerned about the potential market rea
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The Federal Reserve is poised to raise interest rates for the first time in years
The Federal Reserve is poised to raise interest rates for the first time in years
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Former New York Fed President Dudley: He would be shocked if the Federal Reserve did not raise interest rates by 25 basis points at its next meeting.
Former New York Fed President Dudley: He would be shocked if the Federal Reserve did not raise interest rates by 25 basis points at its next meeting.
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Following the higher-than-expected US August core CPI, investment banks including TD Securities, JPMorgan Chase, MUFG, and Citi have adjusted their Federal Reserve interest rate hike predictions, with most institutions now expecting a 25 basis point hike in September.
Following a 0.3% month-over-month increase in the US core CPI for August (above the 0.2% expectation), Wall Street investment banks swiftly revised their forecasts for the Federal Reserve's interest r
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Fed insider Nick Timiraos relayed the view that while US inflation has not significantly worsened, it has not improved either. If it does not move towards the target, the duration of its deviation from the target will become important.
Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos posted on X, relaying market sentiment that while U.S. inflation rose earlier this year and has not significantly worsened, it has also not improved. He noted tha
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Bitcoin and Ethereum rose after the release of US August CPI data, with analysts believing the data will have little impact on the Federal Reserve's interest rate outlook.
According to data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 0.4% month-over-month and 3.4% year-over-year in August, with energy prices being the primary driver.
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US September consumer confidence index falls to a new low of 47.8 in recent years, inflation expectations rise to 4.6%, with soaring gasoline prices and US-Iran conflict weighing.
Preliminary survey results released by the University of Michigan on Friday showed that the US consumer sentiment index for September fell to 47.8 from 51.7 in August, lower than all economists' forec
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Analysis: BOJ's hawkish remarks lead to rapid market repricing of rate hike expectations, JPY strengthens significantly
Financial markets have rapidly repriced the likelihood of a Bank of Japan (BOJ) rate hike next week, following hawkish comments from several BOJ policymakers over the past week, leading to a significa
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Odds of Fed Rate Hike for Sept. 16 FOMC Meeting Surge to Over 85%
CME FedWatch data shows the probability of a quarter-point rate hike at the Federal Open Market Committee's Sept. 16 meeting has risen to 85.6%. This marks a significant shift from Aug. 11, when the o
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U.S. and UK financial regulators conducted a central counterparty (CCP) resolution tabletop exercise on September 3.
Senior officials from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), the Board of Governors of th
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Wheaton Precious Metals (WPM) Stock Trades Around Buy Point, Attracting Funds
Gold miner Wheaton Precious Metals (WPM) is seeing its stock trade around a buy point, attracting funds ahead of the Federal Reserve's September rate-setting meeting. The company is listed among Inves
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US September consumer confidence index fell to 47.8, the second-lowest level in history, and inflation expectations rose to 4.6%.
U.S. consumer sentiment fell to 47.8 in September, down 7.5% from August and 13.2% from a year ago, marking the second-lowest level since records began in 1952, according to the University of Michigan
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US stocks rose on Friday, ending a four-day losing streak, led by tech shares. Oil prices fell, offsetting the impact of persistent inflation, as expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike next week increased.
U.S. stocks rebounded on Friday, snapping a four-day losing streak. Technology stocks rose over 1%, with Oracle jumping 2% on strong AI cloud infrastructure revenue. NVIDIA and the "Magnificent Seven"
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The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), the Federal Reserve, and other agencies are seeking comments on proposed guidance for managing third-party risks and have issued a statement on community banks' engagement with core service providers.
The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, the National Credit Union Administration, and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (collective
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White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett: Inflation has "significantly decelerated," adding that Donald Trump may comment on the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes.
White House economic advisor Kevin Hassett stated that inflation has "decelerated significantly" over the past three months and emphasized that the Federal Reserve's independence should be respected.
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S&P 500 remains 5.4% away from 8,000 milestone, CFRA targets 8,050 by year-end but warns of 5%-10% correction
The S&P 500's rally is being stalled by rising bond yields, sticky inflation, and a hawkish Fed outlook. Despite these macro risks, Wall Street remains relatively calm, with the VIX below 20 and corpo
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Analysis: Fed Chair Warsh's Credibility on the Line Ahead of Next Week's Rate Decision Following August CPI Data Release
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh faces a severe test for next week's interest rate decision after the August CPI data release. The latest data shows that the US August core CPI rose by 0.3% month-on-mon
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Dollar Wavers as Inflation Aids Fed Hike Bets While Oil Falls
The dollar oscillated Friday after a key gauge of US consumer prices rose by more than expected pushing traders to add to bets that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates next week.
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US August core CPI boosted by record 5.9% surge in wireless phone service prices, adding 0.08 percentage points; housing inflation softer but Fed pressure remains
US August core CPI boosted by record 5.9% surge in wireless phone service prices, adding 0.08 percentage points; housing inflation softer but Fed pressure remains
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U.S. inflation accelerated in August, with the overall CPI rising 0.4% month-over-month and 3.4% year-over-year, strengthening the case for a Federal Reserve rate hike next week.
U.S. inflation accelerated in August, strengthening the case for a Federal Reserve rate hike next week. Data showed that the overall CPI rose 0.4% month-over-month and 3.4% year-over-year in August; c
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Traders now anticipate a 90% probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike next week, up from 70% before the inflation report was released.
Traders now anticipate a 90% probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike next week, up from 70% before the inflation report was released.
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US August CPI (YoY) was 3.4%, in line with expectations of 3.4%, and the previous value (revised) was 3.4%.
US August CPI YoY 3.4% (expected 3.4%, revised prior 3.4%, in line with expectations); CPI MoM 0.4% (expected 0.4%, revised prior 0.1%, in line with expectations); Core CPI YoY 2.4% (expected 2.4%, re
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U.S. equity futures rebound 0.4% ahead of the August inflation report, while oil prices retreat to $105/barrel.
US equities and government bonds found respite, and oil prices pulled back, as traders awaited the August US inflation report to gauge whether the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates next week.
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US companies, especially manufacturers and retailers, are being squeezed by tariffs, soaring fuel costs from Iran war, and rising interest rates
American companies, particularly those in manufacturing, auto supply, retail, and transportation, are facing a triple squeeze. Tariffs under Trump's trade policies are increasing raw material costs, t
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Bitcoin this week withstood the dual impact of the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike and the failure of the Clarity Act, with market analysts stating that it is independent of Washington, and the SEC has introduced "innovation exemptions."
Despite widespread market expectations that a Federal Reserve rate hike and the failure of the CLARITY Act in the Senate would trigger a broad sell-off in crypto markets, Bitcoin showed resilience thi
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China's LPR (Loan Prime Rate) has remained unchanged for 16 consecutive months, with the 1-year LPR at 3.0% and the over-5-year LPR at 3.5%. A publication overseen by the central bank stated that "the necessity of directly lowering policy interest rates is not high."
The People's Bank of China (PBOC) authorized the National Interbank Funding Center to announce the latest Loan Prime Rates (LPRs) on September 20. The one-year LPR is 3.0%, and the over-five-year LPR
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Goldman Sachs: Market "pricing in 4 rate hikes" is overly pessimistic, expects only two rate hikes in this cycle.
Goldman Sachs strategists Dominic Wilson and Josh Schiffrin stated in a September 17 podcast that the current market pricing of four Federal Reserve rate hikes is overly pessimistic, and they believe
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Musk retweeted a post, quoting economist Friedman's view that the Federal Reserve "deliberately caused the Great Depression."
Musk retweeted a post from FinanceLancelot, which quoted economist Milton Friedman's views on the Great Depression of 1929, stating that the Federal Reserve "deliberately caused the Great Depression."
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MarketWatch analysis: Warsh's Fed aims to tame inflation to 2% by 2029 with slightly higher rates, and Wall Street now believes it
MarketWatch analysis indicates that after more than five years of previous attempts, Federal Reserve leaders believe they can reduce the inflation rate to 2% by 2029 with only slightly higher U.S. int
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Bitcoin's price has recovered above $80,000, following a decline triggered by the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike and the stalled CLEAR Act.
Bitcoin's price fell from the low $80,000 range to approximately $75,000 at the beginning of the month, influenced by the Federal Reserve's first interest rate hike since 2023 (a 25 basis point increa
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Hedge funds are bullish on the JPY for the first time since July 2025, holding approximately $1.6 billion in positions, according to CFTC data.
Leveraged traders have unwound their previous short positions in the Japanese Yen and started building bullish positions, now holding approximately JPY 251 billion (about $1.6 billion) in long Yen pos
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On-chain data shows that Morgan Stanley's Bitcoin ETF has not experienced outflows this month, having purchased $51.5 million in BTC over the past 20 trading days.
On-chain intelligence platform Arkham data shows that Morgan Stanley's Bitcoin ETF (MSBT) has not recorded any outflows this month, accumulating $51.5 million in Bitcoin purchases over the past 20 tra
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WSJ analysis suggests healthy economy and reduced tech issuance could support corporate bonds, advising against counting them out despite Fed rate hikes.
WSJ analysis suggests healthy economy and reduced tech issuance could support corporate bonds, advising against counting them out despite Fed rate hikes.
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The dollar had its strongest week since June after the Federal Reserve's rate hike, with the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rising 1.1% this week.
The Federal Reserve announced its first interest rate hike in over three years this week, explicitly signaling more to come, which has become a core driver of dollar strength. JPMorgan Chase, Standard
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Citibank Analysis: The Bank of Japan's dovish dissent and the Federal Reserve's rate hikes will accelerate its rate-hiking process, bringing forward the terminal rate achievement to July 2027.
Citibank Japan economist Sosuke Nakamura released a report stating that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) raised its policy rate from 1.00% to 1.25% at its September meeting as expected, but two dovish dissenti
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Analysis suggests Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh is steering decision-making logic towards monetarism, abandoning the neutral interest rate anchor.
Analysts point out that Warsh's characterization of the neutral rate as a purely academic discussion is akin to dismantling the Federal Reserve's policy positioning system, which has been in operation
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CNBC host Cramer expects a relatively calm week on Wall Street, but September has historically been tough.
CNBC host Jim Cramer said on Friday that investors could be in for a relatively calm period next week as Wall Street navigates a historically difficult September. He noted that this week, the Dow fell
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Wall Street concluded a volatile week with major indices showing flat performance on Friday.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average recorded its third consecutive weekly decline, while the Nasdaq Composite Index saw a slight gain. This week, Wall Street was impacted by calls from AI leaders to slow
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Dollar surges to its best weekly performance since June, driven by US central bank's signal for more rate hikes
The dollar is poised for its best weekly performance in three months after the US central bank signaled more interest-rate hikes are to come.
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MarketWatch analysis suggests investors' best move after Fed rate hike is to do nothing, as stocks should still outperform bonds.
MarketWatch analysis suggests investors' best move after Fed rate hike is to do nothing, as stocks should still outperform bonds. This is because the equity risk premium, which measures how much stock
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Fed Chair Warsh's "dose of accommodation" remark sparks Wall Street speculation on further rate hikes
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's description of this week's quarter-point interest rate hike as merely removing "a dose of accommodation" has led Wall Street to question the extent of future rat
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U.S. manufacturing output unexpectedly fell 0.3% in August, the first decline this year, with capacity utilization dropping to a five-month low.
U.S. manufacturing output fell 0.3% in August, far below economists' forecast of a 0.3% increase and the first decline this year, data from the Federal Reserve showed on Friday. Factory capacity utili
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Inflation drives BOJ, Fed, ECB into historic alignment on rate hikes
The Bank of Japan's decision on Friday to join the U.S. and European central banks in rate hikes signals a new normal as they grapple with inflation amid political pressure and the impact of artificia
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Bank of America strategists warn: Investors should prepare for a Federal Reserve led by Warsh to raise the benchmark interest rate above 5%.
Bank of America strategists warn: Investors should prepare for a Federal Reserve led by Warsh to raise the benchmark interest rate above 5%.
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Federal Reserve Board terminates enforcement action against SNB Bancshares and Bank of Eufaula
The Federal Reserve Board announced on Friday the termination of a written agreement with SNB Bancshares, Inc. and Bank of Eufaula, Oklahoma, which was originally dated August 7, 2024, and officially
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The Federal Reserve has taken enforcement actions against three former bank employees for misappropriation of customer funds, misuse of funds, and check fraud.
The Federal Reserve Board announced at 11:00 AM ET on Friday that it has taken enforcement actions against Charles Alan Wright, a former employee of Northstar Bank (alleged misappropriation of custome
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Federal Reserve's Bowman: Third-party reports challenge claims that social media amplified Silicon Valley Bank's run, defending the 2018 regulatory law, contrary to previous Fed reports.
Federal Reserve Vice Chair Michelle Bowman detailed the preliminary findings of a third-party review into the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank. She stated that the report challenges the narrative that
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
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