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Federal Reserve
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Fed unanimously raises benchmark rate by 25 bps to 3.75%-4% range
Fed unanimously raises benchmark rate by 25 bps to 3.75%-4% range
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FOMC median forecast shows one additional 25 bps hike in 2026
FOMC median forecast shows one additional 25 bps hike in 2026
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Atlanta Fed GDPNow Q3 Growth Estimate Surges to 5.1%, Up From 4.42%
The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow estimate for Q3 growth jumped to 5.1% from 4.42%, largely driven by stronger consumer spending following today's retail sales data. Real consumption is now expected to contrib
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Deutsche Bank corrects Fed hike forecast, now expects two hikes this year and one in 2027
The bank clarified that it added a hike in 2027, not a third hike for 2026 as an earlier version of its forecast incorrectly stated.
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Wall Street's major banks widely expect Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh's speech today to emphasize economic growth and inflation issues.
Against the backdrop of a potential Federal Reserve rate hike today, several major Wall Street banks, including Barclays, BMO, Bank of America, Citi, Deutsche Bank, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase, Nomu
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Global Stocks Rise Ahead of Fed Rate Decision; S&P 500 Gains 0.26%, Nasdaq 0.60%, 10-Year Treasury Yield Retreats to 4.963%, Brent Oil Falls 2.4%
Global stocks moved higher ahead of the Fed's rate decision, with markets pricing more than a 90% chance of a 25 basis point hike. The S&P 500 gained 0.26% and Nasdaq 0.60%, while the 10-year Treasury
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Goldman Sachs Chief US Economist David Mericle stated that the US economy is not overheating, inflation pressures are manageable, and the labor market is healthy.
Mericle believes the Federal Reserve can raise interest rates without committing to further action, but rising oil prices could complicate the Fed's policy path.
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Analysts warn: The Federal Reserve is over 92% likely to raise interest rates by 25 basis points on Wednesday, but a dovish stance from Chair Warsh could trigger a sell-off in long-term US Treasuries.
Wallstreetcn.com cited analysts' views that the market widely expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by 25 basis points on Wednesday, bringing the benchmark rate to the 3.75%-4.00% range,
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Goldman Sachs Partner Bobby Molavi: AI regulatory disputes, oil prices breaking $100, US Treasury yields surpassing 5%, and Federal Reserve rate hike expectations are disrupting markets.
Goldman Sachs partner Bobby Molavi noted in his latest market commentary that while the S&P 500 index shows limited surface volatility, the market is undergoing a dramatic revaluation internally. He b
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Dell Rises 5% to $568.52, Super Micro Climbs 3% to $36.87, and Hewlett Packard Enterprise Ticks Up, Despite Silver Lake's Fresh Share Sale Filings
Dell Technologies (NYSE:DELL) shares are up 5% to $568.52, extending a 356% year-to-date advance, while Super Micro Computer (NASDAQ:SMCI) stock gains 3% to $36.87, and Hewlett Packard Enterprise (NYS
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Ahead of the Federal Reserve's decision, the US 10-year government bond yield fell below 5%; Intel rose over 1%, and SK Hynix gained 3%.
The market widely expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by 25 basis points after its policy meeting on Wednesday. Brent crude futures fell to $107 per barrel, influenced by a pullback in
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Consumer-linked stocks like Walmart face pressure as Fed rate hike looms on Wednesday
Stocks closely tied to the health of the US consumer have significantly underperformed the broader market this year. A potential Federal Reserve interest-rate hike on Wednesday may further stress this
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JPMorgan Chase Predicts: Fed's Warsh Speech to Determine S&P 500 Trajectory, Potentially Volatile by 1% to 2%
JPMorgan Chase analysts note that while the market widely expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by 25 basis points on Wednesday, Chairman Kevin Warsh's rhetoric regarding this action wil
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Societe Generale strategist Albert Edwards, who previously believed inflation was controllable, now thinks the Federal Reserve may pursue aggressive rate hikes due to the widening divergence between crude oil and refined energy prices.
Societe Generale global strategist Albert Edwards previously advocated for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates at their current level of 3.5% to 3.75%. He stated that he is starting to feel
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Traders are betting Trump may soon turn on Fed chair Kevin Warsh as interest-rate hikes loom
Traders are betting Trump may soon turn on Fed chair Kevin Warsh as interest-rate hikes loom
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Reuters Breakingviews Analysis: Markets May Be Overestimating Rate Hikes by the Federal Reserve, ECB, and Bank of England
Reuters Breakingviews notes that markets currently anticipate the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates four times over the next year, each by 25 basis points, bringing the rate to approximately 4
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Dow Rises Ahead Of Likely Fed Hike And Warsh Comments; Intel, SK Hynix Jump
Futures for the Dow Jones Industrial Average and other major stock indexes traded higher Wednesday as Wall Street braced for a likely Federal Reserve rate hike and Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's press confer
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Unusual $6M VIX Put Purchase Signals Declining Volatility Bet Ahead of Fed Decision
On Tuesday, a trader made an unusual $6 million purchase of deep in-the-money VIX puts, including 563 110-strike puts expiring Oct. 21 and 130-strike puts expiring Nov. 18. The VIX closed at 17.2, and
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US Fed's next interest-rate hike expected to 'bite' consumers; MarketWatch offers money prep advice
The US Federal Reserve appears to be nearing its first interest-rate hike in three years. Economists and financial experts suggest that many Americans will need a different game plan to navigate incre
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U.S. stock futures rise ahead of Fed rate decision, with market widely expecting first hike since 2023
S&P 500 futures gained 0.2%, Nasdaq-100 futures climbed 0.4%, and Dow Jones Industrial Average futures added 0.2%. According to the CME FedWatch tool, traders assign a 92.5% probability to a quarter-p
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Bitcoin's correlation with Dollar Index and U.S. stocks collapses ahead of Fed meeting, as Clarity Act focus overshadows macro influences.
Bitcoin's short-window correlation with the Dollar Index has fallen to +0.08 from -0.54 over the past 30 days, while its link to the S&P 500 dropped to 0.43 from 0.75 yesterday, and to the Nasdaq to 0
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Bitcoin hovers around $80,000 ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, as traders turn to stablecoins for safety, with an unexpected decision not to raise rates potentially posing a greater risk.
CoinDesk reported that the Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates on Wednesday, with the market pricing in a 92.5% probability of a 25 basis point hike. Ahead of the decision, Bitcoin's p
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Zcash climbs nearly 6% to $1,200 as most major cryptocurrencies slide ahead of Fed rate decision
Zcash was the only major cryptocurrency in the green, rising to just above $1,200. XRP led the decliners, down over 7% to $1.29, while Ether and Solana each fell about 3%. Bitcoin, BNB, and Tron were
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Bitcoin ETFs have attracted $3.8 billion in inflows over the past three weeks, marking their best performance of the year.
Yahoo Finance analysis indicates that with Bitcoin's 25% surge in August, funds are flowing back into Bitcoin ETFs. Data from the Kalshi online prediction market shows a 21% probability of Bitcoin rea
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U.Today Analysis: Bollinger Bands and Supply Alert – XRP's Rise to $2 May Take Two Years
U.Today analysis suggests that it could take two years for XRP to return to a price of $2, primarily because the Bollinger Bands indicate it has entered an extreme compression phase. Currently priced
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Chipmakers post longest weekly drop since November
A gauge of chipmakers edged up but posted its longest weekly drop since November, as a resurgence in oil prices dragged down stocks and bonds, stoking inflation concerns just days ahead of the Federal
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U.S. October Flash PMI Signals Strong Growth Amid Accelerating Inflation
The S&P Global Flash U.S. PMI for October indicates robust economic expansion, with the Composite PMI at 57.6 and the Services PMI at 57.9. The Manufacturing PMI reached 56.0, marking a 53-month high.
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Parker Lewis Predicts Bitcoin Will Settle All Global Payments as $107 Trillion Debt Intensifies Credit System Strain
Bitcoin Magazine reported that author Parker Lewis believes that as $107 trillion in debt strains the credit system, merchants will shift to zero-fee payments, and ultimately Bitcoin will settle 100%
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Bloomberg analyst Mike McGlone warns that Bitcoin could fall to $10,000, citing reasons such as depleted ETF funds, increased correlation with the stock market, Federal Reserve interest rate hikes, and macroeconomic headwinds.
Bloomberg analyst Mike McGlone warns that Bitcoin could fall to $10,000, citing reasons such as depleted ETF funds, increased correlation with the stock market, Federal Reserve interest rate hikes, an
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American Express was fined $350 million by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency and the Federal Reserve for deficiencies in its anti-money laundering system.
The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) and the Federal Reserve took enforcement action against American Express earlier this month, alleging deficiencies in its anti-money laundering syst
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Bitcoin consolidates above $81,000, AI-related tech stock sell-off slows, Brent crude hits highest since early May.
Bitcoin traded in a range of less than $1,000 early Friday, near $81,500, after falling to $81,000 on Thursday, ending a volatile week that saw swings of $3,000. Nasdaq 100 futures were little changed
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Bitcoin stabilizes near $81,700, altcoins rebound, PEPE up 13%
Bitcoin has risen 0.5% since UTC midnight, trading at around $81,700, but its gains lag behind altcoins. Ethereum is up 0.9%, the CoinDesk 80 Index is up 0.7%, while the Memecoin Index has gained 2.9%
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U.S. Treasury yields saw their largest single-day drop since the Silicon Valley Bank crisis, as the market pushed back expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike to January next year.
On Thursday, the U.S. Treasury market experienced its most significant single-day rally in three years, driven by a triple whammy of AI tech stock sell-offs, escalating French sovereign debt concerns,
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Analyst: Bitcoin Market in "Wait-and-See Mode," Potentially Signaling Bull Run Nearing
Decrypt reports that the crypto market has been largely calm recently, with Bitcoin's volatility not exceeding 6% over the past month, currently priced at approximately $81,735, down 1.2% on the day.
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Deutsche Bank expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged next week, as Warsh faces the challenge of solid inflation expectations.
Deutsche Bank expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged at next week's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. The bank's Chief U.S. Economist, Matthew Luzzetti, noted that de
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Nomura: AI growth panic replaces inflation narrative, U.S. Treasuries regain hedging function; Thursday's 10-year U.S. Treasury yield plunged over 15 basis points, Nasdaq Composite plummeted 2.6%.
Nomura cross-asset strategist Charlie McElligott noted in his latest report that market drivers have shifted from the inflation narrative to a systemic re-evaluation of AI-driven growth prospects. Thi
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The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield fell below 5% to a nearly one-month low, with Goldman Sachs analysts characterizing the ebbing AI capital expenditure as "alternative quantitative easing" for the bond market.
On Thursday, U.S. Treasury yields across the board fell sharply, driven by market doubts about the sustainability of AI capital expenditures following earnings reports from several tech giants. The da
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US Fed Balance Sheet as of October 22, 2026: $6.75 trillion, prior $6.76 trillion.
US Fed Balance Sheet as of October 22, 2026: $6.75 trillion, prior $6.76 trillion.
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Markets are no longer fully pricing in a Federal Reserve rate hike by the end of 2026.
Markets are no longer fully pricing in a Federal Reserve rate hike by the end of 2026.
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Bitcoin slides towards $81,000 as rising oil prices above $110 revive rate-hike bets
Bitcoin's price slid on Thursday, erasing earlier gains, after oil prices jumped. The largest cryptocurrency was down by nearly 4% over a 24-hour period on Thursday in New York, trading as low as $81,
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US October 22, 2026 Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index 16, prior 20
US October 22, 2026 Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index 16, prior 20
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US October 22, 2026 Kansas Fed Composite Index 11, prior 14
US October 22, 2026 Kansas Fed Composite Index 11, prior 14
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Gold falls 1.3% to $4,083 as rising oil prices complicate Fed rate outlook
Gold slipped 1.3% to $4,083, pressured by concerns that higher oil prices could fuel inflation and delay Federal Reserve rate cuts. Capital.com's Monte Safieddine warns that gold faces a "difficult co
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Bitcoin holds key $80,000 support, but ETF inflows slow, with Friday's inflation data posing a test.
Bitcoin is currently holding in the $80,000 region, which Glassnode estimates to be the average acquisition cost for U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs and publicly listed corporate treasuries, CryptoSlate report
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Bitcoin reclaims $84,500 as crypto market rebounds from October dip.
Bitcoin traded near $84,500 on Wednesday, up 2.5% in 24 hours, as the crypto market rebounded from a mid-October dip below $80,000. Ethereum rose 2.5% to $2,504, Solana gained 2.2% to $108.18, and BNB
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K33 Research noted that Bitcoin's volatility is approaching 2026 lows, and market trading activity is weak, as traders prepare for the Federal Reserve's decision and the US midterm elections.
K33 Research noted that Bitcoin's volatility is approaching 2026 lows, and market trading activity is weak, as traders prepare for the Federal Reserve's decision and the US midterm elections.
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Sun Hung Kai Properties Sells Out 128 Hong Kong Apartments Amid Fed Rate Hike Expectations
Sun Hung Kai Properties (SHKP), one of Hong Kong's largest developers, sold out the latest batch of 128 apartments at its Sierra Sea project in the New Territories on Wednesday. The apartments were so
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Gold steadies as conflicting Iran signals cloud Fed rate path
Gold held a decline, trading around $4,115 an ounce, as conflicting signals on efforts to end the Iran war clouded the outlook for inflation and the Federal Reserve’s path for interest rates. An unnam
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
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