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Federal Reserve
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FOMC members see median federal funds rate at 4.1% by end-2026, longer-run rate revised up to 3.2%
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) members project the median federal funds rate at 4.1% by end-2026, 4.1% by end-2027, and 3.9% by end-2028. The median longer-run federal funds rate was revised
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Fed unanimously raises benchmark rate by 25 bps to 3.75%-4% range
Fed unanimously raises benchmark rate by 25 bps to 3.75%-4% range
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FOMC median forecast shows one additional 25 bps hike in 2026
FOMC median forecast shows one additional 25 bps hike in 2026
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Atlanta Fed GDPNow Q3 Growth Estimate Surges to 5.1%, Up From 4.42%
The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow estimate for Q3 growth jumped to 5.1% from 4.42%, largely driven by stronger consumer spending following today's retail sales data. Real consumption is now expected to contrib
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Deutsche Bank corrects Fed hike forecast, now expects two hikes this year and one in 2027
The bank clarified that it added a hike in 2027, not a third hike for 2026 as an earlier version of its forecast incorrectly stated.
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Wall Street's major banks widely expect Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh's speech today to emphasize economic growth and inflation issues.
Against the backdrop of a potential Federal Reserve rate hike today, several major Wall Street banks, including Barclays, BMO, Bank of America, Citi, Deutsche Bank, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase, Nomu
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Global Stocks Rise Ahead of Fed Rate Decision; S&P 500 Gains 0.26%, Nasdaq 0.60%, 10-Year Treasury Yield Retreats to 4.963%, Brent Oil Falls 2.4%
Global stocks moved higher ahead of the Fed's rate decision, with markets pricing more than a 90% chance of a 25 basis point hike. The S&P 500 gained 0.26% and Nasdaq 0.60%, while the 10-year Treasury
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Goldman Sachs Chief US Economist David Mericle stated that the US economy is not overheating, inflation pressures are manageable, and the labor market is healthy.
Mericle believes the Federal Reserve can raise interest rates without committing to further action, but rising oil prices could complicate the Fed's policy path.
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Analysts warn: The Federal Reserve is over 92% likely to raise interest rates by 25 basis points on Wednesday, but a dovish stance from Chair Warsh could trigger a sell-off in long-term US Treasuries.
Wallstreetcn.com cited analysts' views that the market widely expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by 25 basis points on Wednesday, bringing the benchmark rate to the 3.75%-4.00% range,
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Goldman Sachs Partner Bobby Molavi: AI regulatory disputes, oil prices breaking $100, US Treasury yields surpassing 5%, and Federal Reserve rate hike expectations are disrupting markets.
Goldman Sachs partner Bobby Molavi noted in his latest market commentary that while the S&P 500 index shows limited surface volatility, the market is undergoing a dramatic revaluation internally. He b
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Dell Rises 5% to $568.52, Super Micro Climbs 3% to $36.87, and Hewlett Packard Enterprise Ticks Up, Despite Silver Lake's Fresh Share Sale Filings
Dell Technologies (NYSE:DELL) shares are up 5% to $568.52, extending a 356% year-to-date advance, while Super Micro Computer (NASDAQ:SMCI) stock gains 3% to $36.87, and Hewlett Packard Enterprise (NYS
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Ahead of the Federal Reserve's decision, the US 10-year government bond yield fell below 5%; Intel rose over 1%, and SK Hynix gained 3%.
The market widely expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by 25 basis points after its policy meeting on Wednesday. Brent crude futures fell to $107 per barrel, influenced by a pullback in
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Consumer-linked stocks like Walmart face pressure as Fed rate hike looms on Wednesday
Stocks closely tied to the health of the US consumer have significantly underperformed the broader market this year. A potential Federal Reserve interest-rate hike on Wednesday may further stress this
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JPMorgan Chase Predicts: Fed's Warsh Speech to Determine S&P 500 Trajectory, Potentially Volatile by 1% to 2%
JPMorgan Chase analysts note that while the market widely expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by 25 basis points on Wednesday, Chairman Kevin Warsh's rhetoric regarding this action wil
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Societe Generale strategist Albert Edwards, who previously believed inflation was controllable, now thinks the Federal Reserve may pursue aggressive rate hikes due to the widening divergence between crude oil and refined energy prices.
Societe Generale global strategist Albert Edwards previously advocated for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates at their current level of 3.5% to 3.75%. He stated that he is starting to feel
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Traders are betting Trump may soon turn on Fed chair Kevin Warsh as interest-rate hikes loom
Traders are betting Trump may soon turn on Fed chair Kevin Warsh as interest-rate hikes loom
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Reuters Breakingviews Analysis: Markets May Be Overestimating Rate Hikes by the Federal Reserve, ECB, and Bank of England
Reuters Breakingviews notes that markets currently anticipate the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates four times over the next year, each by 25 basis points, bringing the rate to approximately 4
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Dow Rises Ahead Of Likely Fed Hike And Warsh Comments; Intel, SK Hynix Jump
Futures for the Dow Jones Industrial Average and other major stock indexes traded higher Wednesday as Wall Street braced for a likely Federal Reserve rate hike and Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's press confer
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Unusual $6M VIX Put Purchase Signals Declining Volatility Bet Ahead of Fed Decision
On Tuesday, a trader made an unusual $6 million purchase of deep in-the-money VIX puts, including 563 110-strike puts expiring Oct. 21 and 130-strike puts expiring Nov. 18. The VIX closed at 17.2, and
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US Fed's next interest-rate hike expected to 'bite' consumers; MarketWatch offers money prep advice
The US Federal Reserve appears to be nearing its first interest-rate hike in three years. Economists and financial experts suggest that many Americans will need a different game plan to navigate incre
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U.S. stock futures rise ahead of Fed rate decision, with market widely expecting first hike since 2023
S&P 500 futures gained 0.2%, Nasdaq-100 futures climbed 0.4%, and Dow Jones Industrial Average futures added 0.2%. According to the CME FedWatch tool, traders assign a 92.5% probability to a quarter-p
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Bitcoin's correlation with Dollar Index and U.S. stocks collapses ahead of Fed meeting, as Clarity Act focus overshadows macro influences.
Bitcoin's short-window correlation with the Dollar Index has fallen to +0.08 from -0.54 over the past 30 days, while its link to the S&P 500 dropped to 0.43 from 0.75 yesterday, and to the Nasdaq to 0
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Bitcoin hovers around $80,000 ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, as traders turn to stablecoins for safety, with an unexpected decision not to raise rates potentially posing a greater risk.
CoinDesk reported that the Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates on Wednesday, with the market pricing in a 92.5% probability of a 25 basis point hike. Ahead of the decision, Bitcoin's p
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Zcash climbs nearly 6% to $1,200 as most major cryptocurrencies slide ahead of Fed rate decision
Zcash was the only major cryptocurrency in the green, rising to just above $1,200. XRP led the decliners, down over 7% to $1.29, while Ether and Solana each fell about 3%. Bitcoin, BNB, and Tron were
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US companies, especially manufacturers and retailers, are being squeezed by tariffs, soaring fuel costs from Iran war, and rising interest rates
American companies, particularly those in manufacturing, auto supply, retail, and transportation, are facing a triple squeeze. Tariffs under Trump's trade policies are increasing raw material costs, t
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Bitcoin this week withstood the dual impact of the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike and the failure of the Clarity Act, with market analysts stating that it is independent of Washington, and the SEC has introduced "innovation exemptions."
Despite widespread market expectations that a Federal Reserve rate hike and the failure of the CLARITY Act in the Senate would trigger a broad sell-off in crypto markets, Bitcoin showed resilience thi
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China's LPR (Loan Prime Rate) has remained unchanged for 16 consecutive months, with the 1-year LPR at 3.0% and the over-5-year LPR at 3.5%. A publication overseen by the central bank stated that "the necessity of directly lowering policy interest rates is not high."
The People's Bank of China (PBOC) authorized the National Interbank Funding Center to announce the latest Loan Prime Rates (LPRs) on September 20. The one-year LPR is 3.0%, and the over-five-year LPR
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Goldman Sachs: Market "pricing in 4 rate hikes" is overly pessimistic, expects only two rate hikes in this cycle.
Goldman Sachs strategists Dominic Wilson and Josh Schiffrin stated in a September 17 podcast that the current market pricing of four Federal Reserve rate hikes is overly pessimistic, and they believe
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Musk retweeted a post, quoting economist Friedman's view that the Federal Reserve "deliberately caused the Great Depression."
Musk retweeted a post from FinanceLancelot, which quoted economist Milton Friedman's views on the Great Depression of 1929, stating that the Federal Reserve "deliberately caused the Great Depression."
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MarketWatch analysis: Warsh's Fed aims to tame inflation to 2% by 2029 with slightly higher rates, and Wall Street now believes it
MarketWatch analysis indicates that after more than five years of previous attempts, Federal Reserve leaders believe they can reduce the inflation rate to 2% by 2029 with only slightly higher U.S. int
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Bitcoin's price has recovered above $80,000, following a decline triggered by the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike and the stalled CLEAR Act.
Bitcoin's price fell from the low $80,000 range to approximately $75,000 at the beginning of the month, influenced by the Federal Reserve's first interest rate hike since 2023 (a 25 basis point increa
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Hedge funds are bullish on the JPY for the first time since July 2025, holding approximately $1.6 billion in positions, according to CFTC data.
Leveraged traders have unwound their previous short positions in the Japanese Yen and started building bullish positions, now holding approximately JPY 251 billion (about $1.6 billion) in long Yen pos
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On-chain data shows that Morgan Stanley's Bitcoin ETF has not experienced outflows this month, having purchased $51.5 million in BTC over the past 20 trading days.
On-chain intelligence platform Arkham data shows that Morgan Stanley's Bitcoin ETF (MSBT) has not recorded any outflows this month, accumulating $51.5 million in Bitcoin purchases over the past 20 tra
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WSJ analysis suggests healthy economy and reduced tech issuance could support corporate bonds, advising against counting them out despite Fed rate hikes.
WSJ analysis suggests healthy economy and reduced tech issuance could support corporate bonds, advising against counting them out despite Fed rate hikes.
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The dollar had its strongest week since June after the Federal Reserve's rate hike, with the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rising 1.1% this week.
The Federal Reserve announced its first interest rate hike in over three years this week, explicitly signaling more to come, which has become a core driver of dollar strength. JPMorgan Chase, Standard
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Citibank Analysis: The Bank of Japan's dovish dissent and the Federal Reserve's rate hikes will accelerate its rate-hiking process, bringing forward the terminal rate achievement to July 2027.
Citibank Japan economist Sosuke Nakamura released a report stating that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) raised its policy rate from 1.00% to 1.25% at its September meeting as expected, but two dovish dissenti
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Analysis suggests Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh is steering decision-making logic towards monetarism, abandoning the neutral interest rate anchor.
Analysts point out that Warsh's characterization of the neutral rate as a purely academic discussion is akin to dismantling the Federal Reserve's policy positioning system, which has been in operation
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CNBC host Cramer expects a relatively calm week on Wall Street, but September has historically been tough.
CNBC host Jim Cramer said on Friday that investors could be in for a relatively calm period next week as Wall Street navigates a historically difficult September. He noted that this week, the Dow fell
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Wall Street concluded a volatile week with major indices showing flat performance on Friday.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average recorded its third consecutive weekly decline, while the Nasdaq Composite Index saw a slight gain. This week, Wall Street was impacted by calls from AI leaders to slow
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Dollar surges to its best weekly performance since June, driven by US central bank's signal for more rate hikes
The dollar is poised for its best weekly performance in three months after the US central bank signaled more interest-rate hikes are to come.
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MarketWatch analysis suggests investors' best move after Fed rate hike is to do nothing, as stocks should still outperform bonds.
MarketWatch analysis suggests investors' best move after Fed rate hike is to do nothing, as stocks should still outperform bonds. This is because the equity risk premium, which measures how much stock
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Fed Chair Warsh's "dose of accommodation" remark sparks Wall Street speculation on further rate hikes
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's description of this week's quarter-point interest rate hike as merely removing "a dose of accommodation" has led Wall Street to question the extent of future rat
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U.S. manufacturing output unexpectedly fell 0.3% in August, the first decline this year, with capacity utilization dropping to a five-month low.
U.S. manufacturing output fell 0.3% in August, far below economists' forecast of a 0.3% increase and the first decline this year, data from the Federal Reserve showed on Friday. Factory capacity utili
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Inflation drives BOJ, Fed, ECB into historic alignment on rate hikes
The Bank of Japan's decision on Friday to join the U.S. and European central banks in rate hikes signals a new normal as they grapple with inflation amid political pressure and the impact of artificia
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Bank of America strategists warn: Investors should prepare for a Federal Reserve led by Warsh to raise the benchmark interest rate above 5%.
Bank of America strategists warn: Investors should prepare for a Federal Reserve led by Warsh to raise the benchmark interest rate above 5%.
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Federal Reserve Board terminates enforcement action against SNB Bancshares and Bank of Eufaula
The Federal Reserve Board announced on Friday the termination of a written agreement with SNB Bancshares, Inc. and Bank of Eufaula, Oklahoma, which was originally dated August 7, 2024, and officially
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The Federal Reserve has taken enforcement actions against three former bank employees for misappropriation of customer funds, misuse of funds, and check fraud.
The Federal Reserve Board announced at 11:00 AM ET on Friday that it has taken enforcement actions against Charles Alan Wright, a former employee of Northstar Bank (alleged misappropriation of custome
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Federal Reserve's Bowman: Third-party reports challenge claims that social media amplified Silicon Valley Bank's run, defending the 2018 regulatory law, contrary to previous Fed reports.
Federal Reserve Vice Chair Michelle Bowman detailed the preliminary findings of a third-party review into the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank. She stated that the report challenges the narrative that
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
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