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US initial jobless claims fell to 196,000 last week, the lowest level since 1969.
U.S. Department of Labor data shows that initial jobless claims in the U.S. fell to 196,000 for the week ending September 12, a decrease of 10,000 from the previous week, marking one of the lowest lev
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The Wall Street Journal Analysis: Federal Reserve Rate Hikes to Worsen Private Equity Market Woes
The Federal Reserve's decision to raise interest rates on Wednesday is expected to exacerbate problems within private equity funds' portfolios. Investors are rushing to withdraw capital from a record
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Iran's Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf Mocks US Interest Rate Hike, Fed Raises Rates by 25bps Citing Iran Conflict
Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf posted on X, citing the Taylor equation to mock US interest rates and claiming Iran sets the Strait of Hormuz risk premium. Hours later, the US Fede
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ECRI COO Lakshman Achuthan stated that inflationary pressures remain in a "cyclical upswing."
ECRI Chief Operating Officer and co-founder Lakshman Achuthan stated that inflationary pressures are still in a "cyclical upswing" after the Federal Reserve's rate hike, and commented on the situation
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US stocks and bonds rose as markets remained optimistic about the Federal Reserve's fight against inflation, following the Fed's rate hike and hints of further tightening.
U.S. stocks and bonds both rose a day after the Federal Reserve hiked interest rates and signaled further monetary policy tightening. Falling oil prices supported market optimism that inflation is und
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Standard Chartered expects the US Fed to deliver a 25 bp rate hike in December 2026, revising its prior forecast of no policy change this year
Standard Chartered expects the US Fed to deliver a 25 bp rate hike in December 2026, revising its prior forecast of no policy change this year
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The cryptocurrency market rebounded after the Federal Reserve's first interest rate hike since 2023, with major crypto assets and altcoins leading the charge.
Decrypt's analysis indicates that despite the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes and the failure of the Transparency Act to pass, the cryptocurrency market has shown resilience, with major crypto a
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USD/JPY falls below 156. The probability of the Bank of Japan (BOJ) raising interest rates by 25 basis points at its September meeting reaches 98.2%.
Expectations for an widening of the U.S.-Japan interest rate differential have resurfaced after the Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 25 basis points and delivered hawkish signals, causing USD/
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The Federal Reserve's Warsh and colleagues unanimously voted to raise interest rates, signaling further hikes; U.S. stock futures rose and long-term bonds were sought after as the market digested the "hawkish rate hike."
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh and his colleagues unanimously voted to raise interest rates at Wednesday's meeting, signaling more hikes to come. After Warsh's press conference, markets were ini
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Hong Kong's major banks maintained their prime rates unchanged on Thursday, despite the Federal Reserve's 25 basis point interest rate hike, temporarily sparing the property market from direct impact.
Despite the Federal Reserve raising its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points on Wednesday (ET), HSBC and other major Hong Kong banks on Thursday opted to keep their prime rates unchanged, tempor
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Traders applaud Fed Chair Warsh’s fight against inflation, saying he has bolstered his credibility as stocks and bonds rally
Traders applaud Fed Chair Warsh’s fight against inflation, saying he has bolstered his credibility as stocks and bonds rally
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Citi Research: The Federal Reserve's hawkish rate hike in September exceeded expectations, with the DXY technically confirming a double bottom pointing to 101.15.
Citi Research noted that the Federal Reserve's September FOMC meeting sent a strong hawkish signal, leading the market to price in another rate hike of approximately 13 basis points in October. The DX
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Investors worry rising food prices could become a fresh inflation risk for global bonds after this year's energy-driven selloff
Investors are concerned that factors such as a "Super" El Niño, tight fertilizer supplies, shipping attacks, and the fallout from Europe's record hot summer could drive up the cost of everyday staples
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S&P 500 could still advance after a Fed hike, according to a Jefferies strategist
A Jefferies strategist believes the S&P 500 is poised to advance, citing expectations for a less aggressive tightening cycle by the Federal Reserve and strong earnings. The investment bank expects the
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U.S. equity futures rose, with Nasdaq 100 futures up nearly 1%, and the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield falling below 5%.
Investors shook off post-Federal Reserve rate hike jitters, with U.S. stock futures rising. Nasdaq 100 futures gained nearly 1%, and the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield fell back below 5%. Brent crude oil
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US equity futures rose and the 10-year Treasury yield fell below 5%, as declining oil prices boosted market sentiment.
U.S. equity futures rose in early European trading, and the 10-year Treasury yield fell back below 5%, as market sentiment was boosted by falling oil prices following the Federal Reserve's rate hike o
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CoinDesk analysis: Bitcoin's current drawdown mirrors 2022 pre-Fed hike, raising possibility of relief rally before further losses
CoinDesk analysis points out that Bitcoin's current ~40% drawdown from its October high of $126,000 parallels its position before the Fed's first rate hike in March 2022. Following that 2022 hike, Bit
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Analysis: If the Bank of Japan delivers a "dovish rate hike" on Friday, USD/JPY may break below 158 and retest 160.
The Federal Reserve's recent interest rate hike and hints of further tightening are expected to keep the US-Japan interest rate differential high for an extended period, limiting the Bank of Japan's a
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Fundstrat's Tom Lee says the 'face-ripping' rally he predicted is merely delayed, putting a positive spin on the Fed's rate decision
Fundstrat's Tom Lee says the 'face-ripping' rally he predicted is merely delayed, putting a positive spin on the Fed's rate decision
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Seoul Stocks Close Almost Flat Thursday, KOSPI Down 0.04% to 6,715.41, as Investors Weigh Fed's First Rate Hike in 3 Yrs
The benchmark Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) closed down 2.56 points, or 0.04 percent, to 6,715.41. The Korean won fell against the US dollar, as investors digested the Federal Reserve's de
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U.S. diesel prices surged to a record high of $6.29 per gallon, and the Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 25 basis points to a range of 3.75%-4% on Thursday.
The average price of diesel in the U.S. reached a record $6.29 per gallon this week, up nearly 80% year-to-date, exacerbating inflation concerns. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve raised interest rates b
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Asian Bonds Decline, Dollar Jumps As Fed Hikes
Asian Bonds Decline, Dollar Jumps As Fed Hikes
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U.S. Treasury Yields Little Changed in Asian Session After Fed Hike
Two-year Treasury yield falls 0.7 basis point to 4.719%, while the 10-year yield is flat at 5.003%, as markets absorb the Federal Reserve’s 25-basis-point interest-rate hike on Wednesday and the prosp
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Trump Threatens to End Trade with Mexico, Europe, and Canada After Federal Reserve Rate Hike
Previously, US President Donald Trump attempted to pressure the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, but the Federal Reserve unanimously voted to raise them. In response, Donald Trump is now threate
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The Federal Reserve's preliminary SVB report has not been publicly released, requiring journalists to register for access; the current head of the Fed's supervision department previously served as an executive at the law firm reviewing the report, raising conflict of interest concerns.
Journalist Nick Timiraos tweeted that the Federal Reserve's preliminary report on Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) has not yet been made public through official Fed channels, and he had to register for a non
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Deutsche Bank macro strategists warn: Markets may again be underestimating the terminal interest rate after synchronized rate hikes by the world's three major central banks.
Deutsche Bank macro strategist Henry Allen warned on Monday that despite the Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank, and the Bank of Japan all raising interest rates in the past two weeks, the mar
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Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee: Higher interest rates will have to slow the economy to combat supply shocks, which will be "painful."
Austan Goolsbee stated that central banks have reached their limit in waiting for supply shocks, meaning higher interest rates will have to slow down sectors of the economy that may not be pushing up
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Bitcoin hit an eight-month high of $86,332 on Monday, with short liquidations exceeding $740 million, driven by falling oil prices and a retreat in US Treasury yields.
Bitcoin reached a high of $86,332 on Monday, marking an eight-month high and its first since January this year. Over the past 24 hours, total crypto market liquidations amounted to $877.31 million, wi
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Bitcoin price surges nearly 7% to break $86,000, shrugging off last week's setback for the Crypto-Asset Clarity Act.
Bitcoin's price briefly touched $86,247 in early New York trading on Monday, rising nearly 7% in the past 24 hours, despite the highly anticipated Crypto-Asset Clarity Act failing to pass through the
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Fed's Goolsbee Says 'Aggressive' Action Needed on Inflation, Citing Overheating Demand and Iran Supply Shock
Fed's Goolsbee Says 'Aggressive' Action Needed on Inflation, Citing Overheating Demand and Iran Supply Shock
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U.S. fuel prices are surging, with diesel nearing $6.50/gallon and gasoline rising to $4.48/gallon, which could push inflation expectations higher and reinforce the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance.
U.S. diesel prices have surged to nearly $6.50/gallon, up approximately 18% from the August average, while gasoline prices have climbed to $4.48/gallon. Consumer surveys have not yet fully reflected t
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US Treasury Secretary Bessent expresses confidence in Fed Chair Warsh regarding Fed rate hikes
US Treasury Secretary Bessent expresses confidence in Fed Chair Warsh regarding Fed rate hikes
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Fed's Goolsbee warns: Returning to 2% inflation target "will not be without pain," employment and wages may pay the price.
Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee stated on Monday that supply shocks have become more frequent and persistent in recent years, and the Federal Reserve can no longer simply "look through" them as
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Fed's Goolsbee: Rate cuts would be "no problem" if inflation clearly returns to 2%.
The Federal Reserve's Austan Goolsbee stated he would have "no problem" with cutting interest rates if inflation clearly returns to the 2% target. He believes the Fed is currently facing an inflation
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Bitcoin breaks $80,000 as $148 billion US liquidity shock fails to crack market
According to Federal Reserve data, the U.S. Treasury General Account increased by $148.003 billion before September 16, causing commercial bank deposits at the Federal Reserve to decrease by $114.971
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Bitcoin surges above $83,500, Monero (XMR) up 13%, as falling oil prices lift risk assets; Trump-Xi summit eyed
Bitcoin traded just under $84,000 on Monday, extending gains from late last week, with Monero's XMR leading larger tokens with a 13% rise. Broader risk assets also climbed, including S&P 500 and Nasda
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US Treasury yields ease on Monday, with 10-year note falling 3 bps to 4.967%
US Treasury yields were lower on Monday, tracking a global easing of government borrowing costs amid falling oil prices. The benchmark 10-year Treasury note yield fell by around 3 basis points to 4.96
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Citi Raises 10-Year U.S. Treasury Yield Forecast to 5.0% by Year-End
Citi's strategist Jason Williams explained that the world is now fundamentally different compared to the July FOMC, leading to the revised outlook. The bank assumes Fed rate hike pricing will remain u
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Bloomberg Markets Analysis: The market can handle the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance, but not uncertainty.
Bloomberg Markets analysis indicates that the Federal Reserve's increasing clarity in its commitment to combating inflation provides a bullish case for investors, but risks related to oil prices and a
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Fed and BoE step up scrutiny of banks' exposure to trading firms after Jane Street loss
The US Federal Reserve and the Bank of England are intensifying their questioning of prime brokers regarding banks' exposure to trading firms, following a loss at Jane Street and the blow-up of AI-foc
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Morgan Stanley: The core of Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh's policy lies in the balance sheet; the market may be overestimating the extent of interest rate hikes.
Morgan Stanley stated in its latest research report that the Federal Reserve's 25 basis point rate hike last week was not the start of a new tightening cycle, but rather a "policy fine-tuning" to main
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Asian stock markets generally rose on Monday, with the Hang Seng Index in Hong Kong once gaining 140 points during intraday trading; oil prices pulled back, with Brent crude falling 2.1% to $101.63.
Asian equities mostly rose on Monday, with chipmakers boosted by AI data demand, while better-than-expected crude oil supply from the Middle East eased market concerns about oil prices. Hong Kong's Ha
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Deutsche Bank: Gold Price Rally Driven by Reserve Management Institutions, Strait of Hormuz Conflict and Oil Price Decline Outweigh Federal Reserve Rate Hikes
Deutsche Bank's latest metal flow report indicates an anomalous rise in gold prices following the Federal Reserve's rate hike, despite no significant increase in volume from conventional buyers (comme
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Wall Street's three major banks predict the U.S. Treasury will issue approximately $1 trillion in short-term Treasury bills over the next year, posing a dilemma for Scott Bessent's policy.
Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase, and Goldman Sachs latest forecasts indicate that the U.S. Treasury will net borrow approximately $1 trillion through the issuance of short-term Treasury bills in the c
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Gold holds steady as traders weigh inflation and Federal Reserve rate hike prospects.
Gold prices held steady as traders weighed the risks of persistent inflation against the Federal Reserve's path for interest rate hikes. This follows the Fed's first rate hike since 2023, with a unani
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US Treasury investors are shifting to short-term bonds, betting that the Federal Reserve will succeed in curbing inflation.
U.S. government bond investors are shifting their focus to holding short-term government bonds, betting that the Federal Reserve will ultimately succeed in curbing inflation. This comes after the two-
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Oaktree's Howard Marks Prefers Less Fed Communication, Citing Chair Warsh's Efforts to Curtail Guidance
Oaktree's Howard Marks Prefers Less Fed Communication, Citing Chair Warsh's Efforts to Curtail Guidance
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US companies, especially manufacturers and retailers, are being squeezed by tariffs, soaring fuel costs from Iran war, and rising interest rates
American companies, particularly those in manufacturing, auto supply, retail, and transportation, are facing a triple squeeze. Tariffs under Trump's trade policies are increasing raw material costs, t
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
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