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Federal Reserve
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Asian stocks generally rose and bond yields fell on weakening expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate hikes.
New York Fed President John Williams said on Tuesday that the Federal Reserve is in no hurry to raise interest rates, suggesting a potential wait until December, which eased market expectations for an
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Wallstreetcn: Short positions in US Treasury futures continue to accumulate, with asset managers adding over 100,000 new short contracts in 10-year Treasury futures, increasing the risk of a short squeeze.
According to Wallstreetcn, short positions in US Treasury futures continue to accumulate, with asset managers adding over 100,000 10-year Treasury futures short contracts in the week ending September
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U.S. Treasury sell-off continues, with the 30-year yield hitting a 24-year high of 5.621% and the 10-year yield rising to its highest level since 2002.
U.S. Treasury sell-off continued on Tuesday, with the 30-year Treasury yield briefly touching 5.621% during trading, a 24-year high, and currently standing at 5.564%. The 10-year Treasury yield closed
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Dollar Records Best Month Since June as Fed's Inflation Fight Pushes Yields Higher
The dollar is wrapping up its best month since June as the Federal Reserve’s renewed focus on taming inflation pushed interest-rate expectations and US bond yields higher.
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Hedge Funds Hold Record Share of US Treasury Market, Federal Reserve and BIS Warn of Potential Financial Risks
According to CNBC, hedge funds are playing an increasingly important role in the $30 trillion U.S. Treasury market, with their holdings of cash Treasuries reaching $2 trillion by the end of 2025, acco
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US September consumer confidence index fell to 81.9, the lowest since 2014, with a comprehensive contraction in consumer willingness.
U.S. consumer confidence fell by 6.7 points to 81.9 in September, significantly below expectations and marking its lowest level since 2014, according to data released Tuesday by the Conference Board.
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Fed's Bowman: AI Presents Both Opportunities and Risks for Banking Sector, Urges Enhanced System Security
Michelle Bowman, the Federal Reserve's Vice Chair for Supervision, stated in remarks prepared for an event in Colorado on Tuesday that artificial intelligence (AI) is "both a defensive tool and an evo
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U.S. Stocks Edge Lower as Consumer Confidence Sinks, Offset by Fed Official's Caution Against Hasty Rate Hikes
U.S. stocks ended modestly lower on Tuesday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 131.6 points, or 0.26%, to 51349.92. The S&P 500 slipped 12.85 points, or 0.17%, to 7670.84, and the Nasdaq shed 22.8
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The Federal Reserve and the FDIC issued feedback letters on resolution plans for 15 banking organizations, finding no deficiencies.
The Federal Reserve and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) on September 29, ET, released feedback letters for the resolution plans (also known as "living wills") submitted in October 202
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The Federal Reserve proposed that stablecoin issuers must complete redemptions within 2 business days, yet on-chain data shows $76 billion in stablecoins remain on centralized exchanges.
The Federal Reserve's stablecoin proposal, released on September 29, requires payment stablecoin issuers under its regulation to process redemption requests within a normal period not exceeding two bu
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Fed's preferred inflation gauge PCE due Wednesday, expected to show persistent price pressures and strong consumer spending
The personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, the Federal Reserve's primary inflation gauge, is expected to show increases of 0.3% month-over-month for both all-items and core levels. On an
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Federal Reserve Vice Chair Williams pushed back against market expectations for an October rate hike, stating there is "no urgency to act" and that "it may be appropriate to raise rates one more time later this year."
Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Vice Chairman John Williams explicitly pushed back against market pricing for an October rate hike, stating there is "no urgency to act" and the Federal Reserve ha
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Euro falls to 16-month low as hawkish Fed-hike bets boost dollar
The euro fell to its weakest level in 16 months, driven by expectations that the Federal Reserve will further boost interest rates, which supports the US dollar.
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Fed Governor Barr Sees More Rate Hikes Ahead, Warns of Increased Inflation Risks and No Clear Path to 2% Target
Federal Reserve Governor Michael Barr stated that further policy adjustments are likely necessary, citing increased inflation risks and receding labor-market risks. Barr anticipates U.S. economic grow
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Futures markets price 70.3% chance of another Fed rate hike ahead of key US economic data
Futures markets indicate a 70.3% chance of another quarter-point Fed rate increase, up from 55.4% a week ago and 17.7% a month ago, according to CME's FedWatch tool. This comes ahead of upcoming US ec
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Deutsche Bank expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by 25 basis points each in December and March next year, not ruling out a rate hike in October.
Following the surge in U.S. Treasury yields, the market is closely watching statements from Federal Reserve officials. Deutsche Bank stated that policymakers generally hold a hawkish stance and expect
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The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rose 27.5 basis points over four days, its largest increase since April 2025.
The Wall Street Journal reported that the rise in U.S. government bond yields is starting to show signs of panic. Without new news on inflation, growth, Federal Reserve tightening, budget deficits, or
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Bitcoin faces a critical test at $85,000, with Wall Street focused on multiple US inflation and employment data releases this week.
Glassnode analysis shows that the $84,000-$85,000 range is a concentrated buying area for Bitcoin long-term holders, and Bitcoin is now testing this critical price zone after hitting an intraday low o
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Analysts forecast 10-year Treasury yield to hit 6%, with implications for Bitcoin
10x Research founder Markus Thielen and Niles Investment Management founder Dan Niles predict the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield could reach 6% in the coming months, a level last seen in 2000. Thielen no
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U.S. Treasury yields dip early Tuesday, with 10-year note down 1 bp to 5.2278%
U.S. Treasury yields dipped early Tuesday amid persistent concerns over inflationary pressures. The 10-year U.S. Treasury note yield fell about 1 basis point to 5.2278%, while the 30-year Treasury bon
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UBS: The market is overestimating the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates in October before the election; historical data shows no October rate hikes in 35 years.
UBS analyst Simon Penn noted in a Monday morning report that while the market is currently pricing in about a 69% probability of a rate hike at the October 28 meeting, this expectation significantly o
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Bitcoin holds above $83,000 as ZEC drops 12%, oil climbs to nearly $107, and global stocks hit one-week low amid rising bond yields
Bitcoin slipped under 1% to just above $83,100 in Asian morning hours, testing last week's range floor, as the 10-year Treasury yield touched 5.25%, its highest since 2007. ZEC fell 12% to about $1,38
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Citi Research: Employment Data Unlikely to Alter Federal Reserve's October Rate Hike Expectations; September Core CPI Becomes Key
Citigroup Research noted in a September 28 report that the Federal Reserve's policy reaction function has become more sensitive to immediate inflation data and energy prices. The bank anticipates that
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US stocks fall sharply on Monday, S&P 500 sees largest daily drop since Aug 20; oil prices and Treasury yields rise amid Iran war uncertainty
The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 347 points (0.7%) to 51,481, the S&P 500 lost 59 points (0.8%) to 7,683, and the Nasdaq Composite lost 248 points (0.9%) to 26,820. The S&P 500's decline was its
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U.Today Analysis: Bollinger Bands and Supply Alert – XRP's Rise to $2 May Take Two Years
U.Today analysis suggests that it could take two years for XRP to return to a price of $2, primarily because the Bollinger Bands indicate it has entered an extreme compression phase. Currently priced
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Chipmakers post longest weekly drop since November
A gauge of chipmakers edged up but posted its longest weekly drop since November, as a resurgence in oil prices dragged down stocks and bonds, stoking inflation concerns just days ahead of the Federal
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U.S. October Flash PMI Signals Strong Growth Amid Accelerating Inflation
The S&P Global Flash U.S. PMI for October indicates robust economic expansion, with the Composite PMI at 57.6 and the Services PMI at 57.9. The Manufacturing PMI reached 56.0, marking a 53-month high.
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Parker Lewis Predicts Bitcoin Will Settle All Global Payments as $107 Trillion Debt Intensifies Credit System Strain
Bitcoin Magazine reported that author Parker Lewis believes that as $107 trillion in debt strains the credit system, merchants will shift to zero-fee payments, and ultimately Bitcoin will settle 100%
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American Express was fined $350 million by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency and the Federal Reserve for deficiencies in its anti-money laundering system.
The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) and the Federal Reserve took enforcement action against American Express earlier this month, alleging deficiencies in its anti-money laundering syst
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Bitcoin consolidates above $81,000, AI-related tech stock sell-off slows, Brent crude hits highest since early May.
Bitcoin traded in a range of less than $1,000 early Friday, near $81,500, after falling to $81,000 on Thursday, ending a volatile week that saw swings of $3,000. Nasdaq 100 futures were little changed
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Bitcoin stabilizes near $81,700, altcoins rebound, PEPE up 13%
Bitcoin has risen 0.5% since UTC midnight, trading at around $81,700, but its gains lag behind altcoins. Ethereum is up 0.9%, the CoinDesk 80 Index is up 0.7%, while the Memecoin Index has gained 2.9%
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U.S. Treasury yields saw their largest single-day drop since the Silicon Valley Bank crisis, as the market pushed back expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike to January next year.
On Thursday, the U.S. Treasury market experienced its most significant single-day rally in three years, driven by a triple whammy of AI tech stock sell-offs, escalating French sovereign debt concerns,
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Analyst: Bitcoin Market in "Wait-and-See Mode," Potentially Signaling Bull Run Nearing
Decrypt reports that the crypto market has been largely calm recently, with Bitcoin's volatility not exceeding 6% over the past month, currently priced at approximately $81,735, down 1.2% on the day.
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Deutsche Bank expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged next week, as Warsh faces the challenge of solid inflation expectations.
Deutsche Bank expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged at next week's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. The bank's Chief U.S. Economist, Matthew Luzzetti, noted that de
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Nomura: AI growth panic replaces inflation narrative, U.S. Treasuries regain hedging function; Thursday's 10-year U.S. Treasury yield plunged over 15 basis points, Nasdaq Composite plummeted 2.6%.
Nomura cross-asset strategist Charlie McElligott noted in his latest report that market drivers have shifted from the inflation narrative to a systemic re-evaluation of AI-driven growth prospects. Thi
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The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield fell below 5% to a nearly one-month low, with Goldman Sachs analysts characterizing the ebbing AI capital expenditure as "alternative quantitative easing" for the bond market.
On Thursday, U.S. Treasury yields across the board fell sharply, driven by market doubts about the sustainability of AI capital expenditures following earnings reports from several tech giants. The da
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US Fed Balance Sheet as of October 22, 2026: $6.75 trillion, prior $6.76 trillion.
US Fed Balance Sheet as of October 22, 2026: $6.75 trillion, prior $6.76 trillion.
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Markets are no longer fully pricing in a Federal Reserve rate hike by the end of 2026.
Markets are no longer fully pricing in a Federal Reserve rate hike by the end of 2026.
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Bitcoin slides towards $81,000 as rising oil prices above $110 revive rate-hike bets
Bitcoin's price slid on Thursday, erasing earlier gains, after oil prices jumped. The largest cryptocurrency was down by nearly 4% over a 24-hour period on Thursday in New York, trading as low as $81,
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US October 22, 2026 Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index 16, prior 20
US October 22, 2026 Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index 16, prior 20
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US October 22, 2026 Kansas Fed Composite Index 11, prior 14
US October 22, 2026 Kansas Fed Composite Index 11, prior 14
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Gold falls 1.3% to $4,083 as rising oil prices complicate Fed rate outlook
Gold slipped 1.3% to $4,083, pressured by concerns that higher oil prices could fuel inflation and delay Federal Reserve rate cuts. Capital.com's Monte Safieddine warns that gold faces a "difficult co
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Bitcoin holds key $80,000 support, but ETF inflows slow, with Friday's inflation data posing a test.
Bitcoin is currently holding in the $80,000 region, which Glassnode estimates to be the average acquisition cost for U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs and publicly listed corporate treasuries, CryptoSlate report
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Bitcoin reclaims $84,500 as crypto market rebounds from October dip.
Bitcoin traded near $84,500 on Wednesday, up 2.5% in 24 hours, as the crypto market rebounded from a mid-October dip below $80,000. Ethereum rose 2.5% to $2,504, Solana gained 2.2% to $108.18, and BNB
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K33 Research noted that Bitcoin's volatility is approaching 2026 lows, and market trading activity is weak, as traders prepare for the Federal Reserve's decision and the US midterm elections.
K33 Research noted that Bitcoin's volatility is approaching 2026 lows, and market trading activity is weak, as traders prepare for the Federal Reserve's decision and the US midterm elections.
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Sun Hung Kai Properties Sells Out 128 Hong Kong Apartments Amid Fed Rate Hike Expectations
Sun Hung Kai Properties (SHKP), one of Hong Kong's largest developers, sold out the latest batch of 128 apartments at its Sierra Sea project in the New Territories on Wednesday. The apartments were so
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Gold steadies as conflicting Iran signals cloud Fed rate path
Gold held a decline, trading around $4,115 an ounce, as conflicting signals on efforts to end the Iran war clouded the outlook for inflation and the Federal Reserve’s path for interest rates. An unnam
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US Housing Market Deteriorates in September, Flashing Warning Signs as Fed Weighs Rate Hikes
US housing data further deteriorated in September, with pending home sales hitting an all-time low since 2001, falling 7.3% month-over-month. Housing starts also declined 5.2% against expectations, wh
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
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