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Inflation
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India's central bank keeps benchmark interest rate unchanged for fourth consecutive time to observe impact of Iran war on inflation; Standard Chartered says India's inflation buffer "thinner than it looks"
India's central bank today kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged for the fourth consecutive time to observe whether rising energy costs due to the Iran war would spread to broader inflation. Prev
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India's central bank keeps benchmark rates steady at 5.25% for fifth consecutive time, despite retail inflation crossing its 4% target
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) held its benchmark interest rate at 5.25% for the fifth time in a row, even as the country's retail inflation has surpassed the central bank's medium-term target of 4%.
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Kansas City Fed President Schmid (non-voter) states tighter policy is needed to bring inflation to 2%, becoming the fifth Fed president to express desire for rate hikes since last week's mee
Schmid believes the current monetary policy stance is not restrictive, "given the strength of demand and investment," and that a tighter policy will be required to achieve the Fed's 2% inflation objec
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DeItaone reports: US Treasury Secretary Bessent attributes Japan's inflation uptick to weak yen and energy prices.
DeItaone reports: US Treasury Secretary Bessent attributes Japan's inflation uptick to weak yen and energy prices.
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Fed reporter Nick Timiraos notes market participants believe inflation data is paramount, with Fed Governor Waller potentially casting the decisive vote in a tie, and highlights the Septembe
Timiraos adds that an 8-4 decision to hold rates, with Waller joining the three presidents, would not be favorable for the Fed leadership. He emphasizes that the September Summary of Economic Projecti
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Markets view Fed's inflation credibility with skepticism, seeing "all hat, no cattle" as 30-year Treasury yield hits highest since 2007
Despite Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's recent pledge to deliver 2% inflation and "not a whisper more," markets responded with a clear warning, pushing long-dated bond yields higher. The 30-yea
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DeItaone quotes Fed's Paulson: If progress not made on inflation, the Fed will need to act
DeItaone quotes Fed's Paulson: If progress not made on inflation, the Fed will need to act
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Fed's Paulson: Monetary policy is in a 'complicated time,' inflation is 'too high' and needs to be brought down, Fed likely has the 'mildly restrictive' policy required.
Fed's Paulson: Monetary policy is in a 'complicated time,' inflation is 'too high' and needs to be brought down, Fed likely has the 'mildly restrictive' policy required.
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Japan's 10-year government bond auction met with a sharp setback, with yields jumping 5 basis points to 2.87%, nearing the July peak of 2.90%.
On Tuesday, the results of Japan's first 10-year government bond auction since its recent large-scale currency intervention greatly disappointed the market. The accepted price fell by the second-highe
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Philadelphia Fed President Paulson supported last week's decision to hold rates steady, keeping an open mind on future policy, and estimates underlying inflation at 2.4-2.8%.
Paulson outlined two potential paths for policy: one where inflation continues to decline, allowing the Fed to maintain current rates, and another where inflation progress stalls, suggesting policy ma
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Bank of Korea meeting minutes show the majority of members supported further rate hikes, as inflation, growth threats, and financial stability risks continue to accumulate.
Bank of Korea meeting minutes show the majority of members supported further rate hikes, as inflation, growth threats, and financial stability risks continue to accumulate.
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Bank of Japan Review: JGB purchase reductions have gradually impacted interest rate formation, with market functioning improving
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) stated in its latest review that its gradual reductions in Japanese government bond (JGB) purchases since summer 2024 have gradually influenced interest rate formation. The rev
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Deutsche Bank Says Gold Is Still in Its ‘Explosive Phase,’ Maintains Year-End Target
Deutsche Bank stated that gold continues to be in an 'explosive phase' and confirmed it is sticking to its year-end target. The bank noted that gold has historically tended to outperform the Consumer
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DeItaone forwarded that UBS (UBS) expects food inflation to remain high for longer, mainly driven by climate-related supply shocks, rising labor costs, and strong demand.
UBS believes that while agricultural technology advancements may improve efficiency, they are unlikely to significantly reduce food prices. Persistent food inflation may benefit supermarkets but will
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DeItaone reports: Fed's John Williams backs current policy, stating it's well-positioned to return inflation to 2%, and sees no financial stability threat from AI investment.
New York Fed President John Williams strongly supported the latest FOMC decision, adding that the Fed will act if inflation stalls. He also expects Middle East-driven price pressures to fade and stres
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Bank of Japan (BOJ) expects CPI to accelerate above 2% in H2 FY2026, then decline towards 2%; risks to CPI outlook skewed to upside
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) released its July 2026 Outlook for Economic Activity and Prices, projecting that the year-on-year rate of increase in the consumer price index (CPI, all items less fresh food)
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Analysis Suggests Bitcoin Could Drop to $58,281 in August, Historically Its Weakest Month
An analysis by Yahoo Finance indicates that Bitcoin (BTC) could fall to $58,281 by the end of August, based on its historical median August loss of 7.49%. Bitcoin has closed August in the red in nine
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Fed Chair Warsh is considering reducing the number of policy meetings, and S&P traders are concerned that the market will experience sharp volatility
Bloomberg Markets reported that Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh is considering reducing the number of policy meetings, a move interpreted by the market as a form of “silent treatment” that has he
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US Treasury Yields Rise as TIPS Data Suggests Increasing Real Yields, Weighing on Non-Yielding Assets Like Bitcoin
US Treasury yields have risen, with data from Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) indicating that the increase is driven by rising real yields rather than inflation. This dynamic is seen as
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Fed Hawks Push for More Rate Hikes, Driving US 10-Year Yield to 4.727% (Highest Since Jan 2025); BOJ Holds Rates But Signals Future Hikes
Several Federal Reserve officials, including Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan, Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack, and Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari, publicly advocated for further interes
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Fed Governor Lorie Logan Backs Immediate 25 Basis Point Rate Hike, Citing Inflation Off Track from 2% Target
US Federal Reserve Governor Lorie Logan stated her preference for an immediate 25 basis point rate hike, arguing that inflation is not on track to sustainably return to the Fed's 2% target. Logan emph
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The U.S. Employment Cost Index (ECI) rose 0.9% in the second quarter, slightly above the expected 0.8%, with wage growth accelerating in the private sector.
According to data from the U.S. Department of Labor, the Employment Cost Index (ECI) rose 0.9% quarter-over-quarter in the second quarter, slightly exceeding the 0.8% increase expected by economists s
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Fed Dissenters Explain Support for Higher Rates, Citing Persistent Inflation
Federal Reserve officials who dissented from the recent policy decision explained their rationale for backing higher interest rates, pointing to inflation having exceeded the Fed's 2% target for over
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Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari Prefers Incremental Policy Tightening to Combat Inflation Risk
Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari stated he would rather tighten policy incrementally as more data on inflation and employment becomes available, to manage the risk of high inflation becoming en
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Japan's 10-year government bond yield rose to 3.055%, the highest since August 1996.
Japan's 10-year government bond yield rose 8 basis points to 3.055% on Thursday, reaching its highest level since August 1996. This followed a surge in U.S. Treasury yields, driven by a rebound in oil
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Asian Stocks, Bonds Set to Decline Thursday on Inflation Jitters
The decline tracks Wall Street losses as an oil rally and stronger-than-expected US economic data fueled inflation concerns and bets on further interest-rate hikes. The yen, near a three-week low, wil
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US Treasury yields soar, with 10-year note hitting 5.125% and 2-year note topping 4.9%, threatening higher borrowing costs for consumers
Government debt costs leaped higher on Wednesday, driven by factors including a report showing increased inflation pressures, surging expectations for an October Fed rate hike, and weak demand at a 5-
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Federal Reserve Governor Barr supports further interest rate hikes, S&P Global's inflation indicator hits a new high since October 2022, and market expectations for a Fed rate hike in October rise to 71%.
Federal Reserve Governor Michael Barr stated on Wednesday that policymakers may need to further adjust policy to ensure inflation returns to target in a timely manner. On the same day, S&P Global's fl
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ECB's Lane: Eurozone HICP inflation is projected at 3.0% in 2026 and 2.5% in 2027.
In a speech in Geneva, Philip R. Lane, Member of the Executive Board of the European Central Bank, unveiled the ECB's September macroeconomic projections, forecasting HICP inflation for the Eurozone a
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McDonald's CEO expects high inflation and flat traffic to persist in restaurant industry
McDonald's CEO Chris Kempczinski stated on Wednesday that the company does not anticipate a change in these conditions, viewing them as the new operating environment. He noted that in the most recent
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Fed Governor Barr: AI Boom, Tariffs, and Energy Prices Fueling Inflation; Further Policy Adjustments Likely Needed
Federal Reserve Governor Michael Barr stated that the AI boom and price pressures related to tariffs and energy have contributed to “upward price pressures.” He added that given rising inflation risks
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U.S. September PMI data surged to a five-year high, with input costs reaching their highest since 2022, intensifying inflation concerns.
U.S. business activity accelerated significantly in September, with the S&P Global Manufacturing PMI rising to 57.0, the Services PMI to 58.7, and the Composite PMI to 58.4. All figures substantially
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Germany's largest trade union, IG Metall, is seeking a 5% wage increase for 3.7 million workers, putting new pressure on the European Central Bank to raise interest rates again.
Germany's IG Metall union will launch a new round of wage negotiations in October, demanding a 5% pay raise for approximately 3.7 million workers in the metal and electrical components industries to c
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Eastmoney Securities Research Institute Report: The world has not yet entered a phase of full tightening, and there is room to increase allocation to US Treasury bonds.
Eastmoney Securities Research Institute released a macro special report on September 23, outlining the characteristics and patterns of ten global synchronized tightening cycles since the 1970s. The re
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh responded to Donald Trump's demand for interest rate cuts to 1%, emphasizing that inflation has exceeded targets for five consecutive years and that rate hikes were unanimously approved by the committee.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh stated clearly at the press conference that inflation has exceeded the target for over five consecutive years, and this 25 basis point rate hike to the 3.75%-4% range al
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Analysts conclude their longest upgrade cycle in five years, holding a net negative view on U.S. corporate earnings prospects for the first time.
For the first time in months, equity analysts have turned net negative on the outlook for U.S. corporate earnings, reflecting concerns about the impact of inflation and high interest rates on company
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Hong Kong's August overall consumer prices rose 1.7% YoY, underlying inflation 1.9%
Hong Kong's overall consumer prices rose by 1.7% year-on-year in August, matching July's figure. The underlying inflation rate, which excludes one-off government relief measures, also remained unchang
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Nomura economists say Federal Reserve Chair Warsh's new inflation tracking method lacks predictive power
Economists at Nomura state that the new method Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh uses to gauge underlying inflation does not have better predictive power than core readings. Warsh revealed this method
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U.S. Treasury yields held steady in early trading, oil prices fluctuated, and the market focused on speeches by Federal Reserve officials.
U.S. Treasury yields were largely stable in early trading on Wednesday, with the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield at 4.963%, the 2-year Treasury yield at 4.771%, and the 30-year Treasury yield at 5.3%
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Oaktree Capital's Howard Marks warns: Out-of-control US fiscal discipline is the fundamental reason for rising interest rates, with the current deficit at about 6% of GDP.
Oaktree Capital co-founder Howard Marks stated in his latest memo on Tuesday that the uncontrolled fiscal discipline in the U.S. is the fundamental reason for rising long-term interest rates, and that
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Boston Fed President Collins warns inflation could remain 'notably' above 2% target
Boston Federal Reserve President Susan Collins stated that there is "an increased likelihood" of inflation staying "notably" above the Federal Reserve's 2% target. She explained her reasoning for back
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Singapore Core Inflation Rises Third Month to 2.2% in August, Highest Since 2024
Singapore's core inflation, which excludes housing and private transportation costs, accelerated to 2.2% year-on-year in August, marking the third consecutive monthly increase and reaching its highest
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Soaring diesel prices are costing European drivers an extra €203 million per day.
Soaring diesel prices are costing European drivers an extra €203 million per day, with the cost of filling up a tank increasing by 40% since the beginning of the year.
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ADB Warns: Asian Inflationary Pressures to Persist Until 2027
ADB Warns: Asian Inflationary Pressures to Persist Until 2027
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U.S. Stocks Mixed as AI Buzz Stokes Tech Gains to Record Highs, Energy Inflation Fears Linger
U.S. Stocks Mixed as AI Buzz Stokes Tech Gains to Record Highs, Energy Inflation Fears Linger
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Citigroup Survey: Inflation Overtakes Tariffs as Family Offices' Top Concern, Wealthy Flock to Gold and US Equities
Inflation has supplanted trade wars and tariffs as the top risk concern for ultra-high-net-worth individuals this year, with interest rate changes and global financial system stability closely followi
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Richmond Fed President Barkin warned that inflationary pressures will take time to subside, and there is a risk of high inflation becoming entrenched.
Richmond Fed President Barkin warned that inflationary pressures will take time to subside, and there is a risk of high inflation becoming entrenched.
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Fed’s Collins Says Last Week’s Rate Hike Will Help Return Inflation to Goal
Federal Reserve Bank of Boston President Susan Collins said she supported last week’s decision to raise interest rates, which she said would help bring inflation back to the central bank’s 2% target.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
Inflation
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