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Inflation
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Wolfe Research expects US August payrolls to add 65,000 jobs, above consensus, with unemployment rising to 4.16% and wage growth at 0.35% MoM.
Wolfe Research forecasts private payrolls to add 75,000 jobs, partly offset by a 10,000 decline in government employment. The firm noted that markets may react significantly only if payrolls fall outs
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European Stocks Advance as Oil Prices Drop, Easing Inflation Concerns; Siemens Energy Up
European stocks advanced as a pullback in oil prices offered some relief from inflation concerns and bond-market pressures that have weighed on the region in recent sessions. Siemens Energy was up.
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Bank of America Warns: If the Federal Reserve's Kevin Warsh Does Not Signal Rate Hikes at Jackson Hole, 30-Year Treasury Yields Could Surge to 5.5%
Bank of America released a research report on August 24, pointing out that market expectations for the Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's speech at the Jackson Hole annual meeting have shifted. If
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Demiralp: Turkey's Inflation Outlook Is Blocking Interest Rate Easing
Demiralp: Turkey's Inflation Outlook Is Blocking Interest Rate Easing
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US grain farmers pummelled as Iran war triggers surge in costs
US grain farmers pummelled as Iran war triggers surge in costs
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Wall Street institutions pour cold water on the U.S. Treasury's use of the trillion-dollar Treasury General Account (TGA) to buy back U.S. bonds: "It's difficult to suppress long-term bond yields."
CNBC reported that the U.S. Treasury Department is considering using funds from its nearly $1 trillion Treasury General Account (TGA) to support Treasury bond buybacks. In response, Deutsche Bank beli
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A record $8.44 trillion is parked in money markets, with the 3.5% yield completely offset by inflation, resulting in zero real returns.
Currently, a record $8.44 trillion is parked in money market funds, yielding approximately 3.5%, which is exactly on par with the current annual inflation rate (headline CPI) of about 3.5%, resulting
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Analysis indicates that Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) are currently the only asset guaranteeing a positive real yield.
This analysis, based on August 20th data, indicates that with current core PCE inflation at 3.3% and a 32% tax rate, the real after-tax return on a savings account is negative 0.72%. The real yield on
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Analysis suggests that as inflation rises again, Vertex Pharmaceuticals and Visa are two effective safe-haven investments, as indicated by historical experience.
Analysis indicates that inflation in 2026 has risen compared to last year, primarily due to soaring energy and oil prices. Biotechnology company Vertex Pharmaceuticals holds a monopoly in cystic fibro
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U.S. 30-year fixed mortgage rate averages 6.71% as of August 24
The average rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage in the U.S. was 6.71% as of August 24, according to Bankrate's lender survey. This rate is up from the beginning of 2026 and higher than the 2025 average
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Morgan Stanley Wilson: Oil Price Resurgence Is the Biggest Risk Facing US Equities
Oil’s renewed rise could push yields higher and ultimately force the Federal Reserve to act to help Chairman Kevin Warsh bring inflation back to target, according to Morgan Stanley strategist Michael
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U.S. government bond yields fell on Monday, with the 10-year yield dropping over 2 basis points to 4.7120%, as investors focused on Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's speech later this week in Jackson Hole.
The US 10-year government bond yield fell over 2 basis points to 4.7120%, the 30-year government bond yield fell over 2 basis points to 5.2497%, and the 2-year government bond yield fell over 1 basis
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European Central Bank (ECB) official Cipollone: European corporate competitiveness should be enhanced by removing internal restrictions in the single market
In an interview, Piero Cipollone, a member of the European Central Bank (ECB) Executive Board, stated that Europe should fully leverage its vast single market advantage by reducing barriers to the fre
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Singapore's July inflation hits near two-year high at 2.2%, but undershoots economists' 2.3% forecast
Consumer prices rose 2.2% year-on-year last month, up from 1.9% in June, driven by higher energy prices due to the Iran war. Core inflation, excluding private transport and accommodation, rose 2%, mis
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Analysis shows that former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh remained persistently pessimistic about economic productive capacity after the financial crisis and did not believe that high unemployment would curb prices.
According to an analysis by Nick Timiraos's colleagues Anthony DeBarros and Peter Santilli of former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh's predictions, Kevin Warsh remained consistently pessimistic a
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The global diesel crisis is intensifying, with prices in Europe soaring by 70% and US crack spreads reaching new highs. This situation is expected to persist for several months, potentially even longer than the conflict in the Middle East.
The global diesel supply crunch is worsening, and the crisis could persist for months even if the conflict in the Middle East ends. Currently, European diesel prices have surged 70% above pre-war leve
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Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong says crypto, especially stablecoins, offers a way for people in high-inflation countries to hold stronger global fiat currencies like USD.
Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong says crypto, especially stablecoins, offers a way for people in high-inflation countries to hold stronger global fiat currencies like USD.
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U.S. House Speaker Johnson said Republicans "absolutely" can win the midterm elections, but an end to the Iran conflict before November would be "helpful."
Johnson, an ally of Donald Trump, acknowledged the unpopularity of the war with Iran but remained confident that Republicans could take control of the House. He noted that the conflict had caused oil
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Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari says he has "no confidence right now" in the inflation outlook
Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Neel Kashkari stated that despite improved inflation data since the Federal Reserve's last meeting, the ongoing price pressures from the war in Iran, tariffs (new
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Iran government signals fuel price hike on eve of new US sanctions
The move comes as the country faces soaring food and other item prices, with July inflation at 88% year-on-year and food inflation over 128%. The Iranian rial also hit a new all-time low of 2 million
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The Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh faces high scrutiny at the Jackson Hole conference, as Treasury intervention in the bond market raises questions about policy boundaries. Investors will be watching how he addresses inflation, market volatility, and the independence of the Federal Reserve.
The Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh faces high scrutiny at the Jackson Hole conference, as Treasury intervention in the bond market raises questions about policy boundaries. Investors will be wat
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Bank of Japan (BOJ) Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino is set to speak, with markets looking for clues on inflation and the interest rate outlook.
Bank of Japan (BOJ) Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino will meet with local leaders and deliver a speech in Saitama Prefecture. As expectations of an upside risk to inflation potentially prompting faster ra
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Analysis indicates that Home Depot's growth prospects are primarily influenced by Federal Reserve policy and macroeconomic conditions, rather than its 2.67% dividend yield and 17 consecutive years of dividend increases.
The analysis suggests that despite Home Depot's Q2 revenue of $47.9 billion and adjusted diluted EPS of $4.92 both exceeding expectations, and its stock price rising after the earnings release, its fu
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JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon warns that margin debt has reached an all-time high
JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon stated during the company's second-quarter earnings release and in an interview with CNBC that, in addition to geopolitical tensions, inflation, fiscal deficits, and hig
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Record diesel prices are exposing pain points in the stock market and economy
Record diesel prices are exposing pain points in the stock market and economy, with a major risk being that high diesel prices will continue to put upward pressure on inflation.
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Iran's car market prices surge 40-130% since February, with officials calling it a 'mafia system', highlighting cost-of-living crisis
Domestic car prices in Iran have mostly risen 40% to 80% since the start of the war in February, with some vehicles selling for over 130% of their September 2025 costs. This makes even locally made ca
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MarketWatch analysis: Warsh's Fed aims to tame inflation to 2% by 2029 with slightly higher rates, and Wall Street now believes it
MarketWatch analysis indicates that after more than five years of previous attempts, Federal Reserve leaders believe they can reduce the inflation rate to 2% by 2029 with only slightly higher U.S. int
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Goldman Sachs economist Joseph Briggs analyzed that despite strong economic performance, low consumer confidence may be attributed to a general "decline in well-being" across society.
Goldman Sachs economist Joseph Briggs informed clients that the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index fell to a historic low this year, dropping 13% year-over-year in September, with an almo
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US stocks were mixed, as inflation concerns and Middle East conflicts offset AI optimism.
US stocks were mixed, as inflation concerns and Middle East conflicts offset AI optimism.
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Polls show: US voters' opposition to war with Iran hits record high, 71% believe the Trump administration lacks a clear strategy
A Fox News poll released Thursday shows that 71% of American voters believe the Trump administration "lacks a clear strategy" to end the conflict with Iran, which has led to rising inflation and soari
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WuBlockchain: CoinShares Says Bitcoin Unlikely to Break $80K Without Inflation Improvement or Fed Shift
CoinShares stated that Bitcoin faces two major near-term headwinds: a more hawkish Federal Reserve and a setback to the CLARITY Act. The firm believes a decisive break above $80,000 is unlikely before
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Al Jazeera: Middle East conflict causes living costs to soar for 2 billion people in South Asia, disrupts energy supplies in multiple countries.
Al Jazeera reports that the escalating conflict in the Middle East is causing a worsening cost-of-living crisis for a quarter of the world's population, approximately 2 billion people in South Asia. C
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Soaring US Treasury yields offer a "silver lining," with some investors seeing a buying opportunity at 5% yields.
As the world's largest bond market remains under pressure, some investors see an attractive reason to buy U.S. Treasuries: yield. Driven by high inflation, ballooning budget deficits, and a surge in c
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The ECB's August Consumer Expectations Survey showed that inflation expectations for the next 12 months rose to 3.0%, with three-year and five-year inflation expectations also revised upwards.
A survey showed that consumers' inflation expectations for the next 12 months rose from 2.9% in July to 3.0%, three-year inflation expectations increased from 2.7% to 2.9%, and five-year inflation exp
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Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda: Does not rule out the possibility of a 50 basis point rate hike or consecutive rate hikes.
Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda stated at a press conference on Friday that there are no specific ideas regarding the pace of interest rate hikes, and policy will be decided after thorough dis
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Gasoline prices in Yemen's Houthi-controlled areas have increased by 10% for the first time in four years, sparking inflation concerns.
Houthi-controlled areas in Yemen announced on Monday a gasoline price hike of approximately 10%, from 4,750 Yemeni rials (approximately $8.90) to 5,250 Yemeni rials (approximately $9.80) per liter. Th
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ECB's Vujčić: Energy prices, now well above baseline, are driving market expectations for inflation and rate path; expects food inflation to peak at 3.4% in Q3 2027
European Central Bank Governing Council member Boris Vujčić stated in an interview with Reuters that energy prices have continued to increase and are now well above the baseline of the ECB's latest pr
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German PPI MoM 1.1%, expected 0.4%, prior 1.1%, above expectations
PPI MoM: 1.1%, Est. 0.4%, Prev. 1.1%, Above Expectations Release Time: 2026-09-18 06:00 UTC
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German PPI YoY 4.6%, expected 4.1%, previous 3%, above expectations
PPI YoY: 4.6%, expected 4.1%, prior 3%, above expectations Release Time: 2026-09-18 06:00 UTC
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Economist Mihir Torsekar warns economic squeeze from higher borrowing costs and weaker purchasing power could sway US midterm elections
Senior economist Mihir Torsekar told Al Jazeera’s ‘This is America’ that Americans on the lower end of the economy are feeling the impact of higher borrowing costs and weaker purchasing power, which c
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The Bank of Japan (BOJ) has raised interest rates to 1.25%, a 31-year high, to combat persistent inflation.
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) on Friday raised its policy interest rate from 1% to 1.25% with a 7-2 vote, reaching its highest level in 31 years. This move aims to counter persistent inflationary pressures
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Japan's central bank raises interest rate to 1.25%, a 31-year high, amid rising inflation
The Bank of Japan hiked its benchmark interest rate by 0.25 percentage points from 1% to 1.25% on Friday, marking the first increase since June and pushing borrowing costs to their highest level in 31
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Yen falls to 156.30 per dollar as softer August inflation dents BOJ aggressive tightening bets
The yen eased from 155.68-70 late Thursday, hours before the Bank of Japan's policy decision, after lower-than-expected consumer inflation in August dented expectations of aggressive tightening.
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RBA Governor Bullock: Australian Businesses Starting to Question if Inflation Will Return Below 3%
Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Michele Bullock told a parliamentary panel on Friday that Australian businesses are starting to "bubble up" a view that elevated inflation is not coming back down be
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South Korean stocks opened up 2.24% on Friday, boosted by falling oil prices and easing inflation concerns following the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike.
The Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) opened up 150.53 points, or 2.24%, at 6,865.94 points on Friday (9:15 AM KST). This followed an overnight rally on Wall Street, as falling oil prices and
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South Korea extends fuel tax cuts for two months until November to ease price pressures.
South Korea's Ministry of Finance announced on Friday that it would extend fuel tax cuts for another two months until November to ease price pressures stemming from ongoing tensions in the Middle East
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RBA Governor Bullock says board must decide if current rate is sufficient to cool prices
Australia’s central bank board needs to decide later this month whether its benchmark interest rate is at a level sufficient to restrain price pressures and return inflation to target, Governor Michel
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Japan's August inflation rate was 1.9% year-on-year, below expectations of 2.1% and matching the previous reading of 1.9%.
Japan's August inflation rate was 1.9% year-on-year, below expectations of 2.1% and matching the previous reading of 1.9%.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
Inflation
24H Trending
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Anthropic's potential $2 trillion IPO fuels nearly $80 million in crypto derivatives bets
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Nippon Life plans to invest $12.7 billion (2 trillion yen) in infrastructure financing, primarily for data center construction in the US
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NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang rejected calls to slow down AI development, stating that AI should advance "as fast as possible" but emphasized that safety should not be sacrificed.
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VICA Token: Ethereum-Based "Noflation" Concept Token and Its Market Status
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What is Shiba Inu (SHIB)? An Analysis of Shiba Inu's Current Status and Trading Channels
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The US, Denmark, and Greenland have reached a security agreement to expand the US military presence in Greenland, expected to be signed next week.
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The Senate failed to pass a cryptocurrency ethics rule because it did not cover the interests of officials' adult children.
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ODMCoin (ODMC) Project Review: A Blockchain Attempt at Oil and Gas Waste Treatment
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ATMOS Coin Analysis: Market Status and Historical Performance of Novusphere's Native Token
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Decentralized Applications (DApps) Explained: Reshaping the Foundation of the Web3 Ecosystem
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