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Inflation
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Citi raises corn, wheat, soybean price targets, expects agricultural products to enter a price hike cycle in the next six months.
In their latest report published on August 25, the team led by Citi's Chief Analyst Arkady Gevorkyan maintained a bullish stance on grains and oilseeds, and comprehensively raised price targets for co
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Citadel Securities' Frank Flight reverses bearish call on long bonds, now sees risks tilted toward a rally citing crowded bearish positioning and improving inflation data
Citadel Securities' Frank Flight reverses bearish call on long bonds, now sees risks tilted toward a rally citing crowded bearish positioning and improving inflation data
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Bank of Japan (BOJ) announced that the Services Producer Price Index for July increased by 3.6% year-on-year.
Preliminary data released by the Bank of Japan (BOJ) showed that the services producer price index (all items) increased by 3.6% year-on-year in July. Excluding international transportation, the index
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Analyst Louis Navellier stated before the NVIDIA earnings report that despite NVIDIA's potential to dominate the market for over 20 years, its stock rating is a "C," with an estimated price of $500 by the end of this decade.
Navellier noted that NVIDIA is increasingly vertically integrating data center development, which will ensure its market dominance. However, its stock rating is "C" due to factors including lower earn
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Asian stocks are set to rise as falling oil prices ease inflation concerns and drive bond yields lower; traders focus on NVIDIA earnings
Asian equities are poised to rise after WTI crude oil fell 5.13% to $80.650 during the day, with persistent declines in oil prices easing inflation concerns and pushing down bond yields, Bloomberg Mar
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U.S. consumer confidence fell to a seven-month low of 89.4 points in August, the lowest since January this year, due to increasing pessimism about employment and economic prospects.
U.S. consumer confidence fell by 0.8 points to 89.4 in August, following a downward revision in the previous month, data from the Conference Board showed on Tuesday. Meanwhile, the University of Michi
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IMF Chief Urges Governments to Tackle Rising Fiscal Risks and Central Banks to Stay Focused on Inflation
International Monetary Fund (IMF) Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva stated that all countries need to address their fiscal problems and formulate credible plans to ensure their debt and deficits
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IMF Warns Oil Price Gains, Rising Debt, and Stalled Disinflation Threaten Global Outlook
IMF chief Kristalina Georgieva stated that while the global economy has weathered the Iran energy shock better than feared, aided by AI investment and increased non-Gulf energy supply, renewed oil pri
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RXO Reports: U.S. Truckload Spot Rate Index Continues to Soar in Q3, Up 43% Year-Over-Year
Freight brokerage RXO said on Tuesday that its truckload spot rate index recorded its largest quarter-over-quarter increase in five years in the second quarter and continued to rise in the third quart
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Donald Trump Retweets Wayne Root Claiming "US Business Is Booming," Accuses Media of "Gaslighting" the US Economy
Donald Trump retweeted a Wayne Root tweet from his friend and financial advisor Kip Herriage (VRAinsider), which stated that American business is booming, with large-cap stocks, profits, and earnings
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Federal Reserve's Collins: Supports current decision to hold interest rates steady, but needs to see more progress on inflation returning to the 2% target.
Boston Federal Reserve President Susan Collins said she supports keeping interest rates steady for now, but only if inflation makes more progress toward returning to the Federal Reserve's 2% target.
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Boston Fed President Collins says it's appropriate to raise interest rates "soon" absent evidence of sustained disinflation
Boston Fed President Collins says it's appropriate to raise interest rates "soon" absent evidence of sustained disinflation
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Boston Fed President Collins: Inflation is Still Too High, Concerned About the Price Stability Part of the Fed's Mandate
Boston Fed President Collins: Inflation is Still Too High, Concerned About the Price Stability Part of the Fed's Mandate
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U.S. Treasuries Gain as Oil Drop Eases Inflation Pressure
The rise in Treasuries comes as a decline in crude oil prices has eased inflation concerns, reducing pressure on Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent. Bessent has been working to halt a months-long sellof
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Silver prices pull back slightly to $68.07 per ounce on Tuesday, holding weekly and monthly gains ahead of key inflation data and Fed speech
Silver September futures opened at $68.96 per ounce on Tuesday, up 0.5% from Monday's close, before falling slightly to $68.07 as of 8:08 a.m. ET. Despite the slight pullback, silver maintains weekly
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Hungary's central bank delivers third consecutive interest rate cut as inflation falls to decade-low
Hungary's central bank delivers third consecutive interest rate cut as inflation falls to decade-low
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Wolfe Research expects US August payrolls to add 65,000 jobs, above consensus, with unemployment rising to 4.16% and wage growth at 0.35% MoM.
Wolfe Research forecasts private payrolls to add 75,000 jobs, partly offset by a 10,000 decline in government employment. The firm noted that markets may react significantly only if payrolls fall outs
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European Stocks Advance as Oil Prices Drop, Easing Inflation Concerns; Siemens Energy Up
European stocks advanced as a pullback in oil prices offered some relief from inflation concerns and bond-market pressures that have weighed on the region in recent sessions. Siemens Energy was up.
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Bank of America Warns: If the Federal Reserve's Kevin Warsh Does Not Signal Rate Hikes at Jackson Hole, 30-Year Treasury Yields Could Surge to 5.5%
Bank of America released a research report on August 24, pointing out that market expectations for the Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's speech at the Jackson Hole annual meeting have shifted. If
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Demiralp: Turkey's Inflation Outlook Is Blocking Interest Rate Easing
Demiralp: Turkey's Inflation Outlook Is Blocking Interest Rate Easing
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US grain farmers pummelled as Iran war triggers surge in costs
US grain farmers pummelled as Iran war triggers surge in costs
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Wall Street institutions pour cold water on the U.S. Treasury's use of the trillion-dollar Treasury General Account (TGA) to buy back U.S. bonds: "It's difficult to suppress long-term bond yields."
CNBC reported that the U.S. Treasury Department is considering using funds from its nearly $1 trillion Treasury General Account (TGA) to support Treasury bond buybacks. In response, Deutsche Bank beli
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A record $8.44 trillion is parked in money markets, with the 3.5% yield completely offset by inflation, resulting in zero real returns.
Currently, a record $8.44 trillion is parked in money market funds, yielding approximately 3.5%, which is exactly on par with the current annual inflation rate (headline CPI) of about 3.5%, resulting
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Analysis indicates that Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) are currently the only asset guaranteeing a positive real yield.
This analysis, based on August 20th data, indicates that with current core PCE inflation at 3.3% and a 32% tax rate, the real after-tax return on a savings account is negative 0.72%. The real yield on
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US Treasury yields soar, with 10-year note hitting 5.125% and 2-year note topping 4.9%, threatening higher borrowing costs for consumers
Government debt costs leaped higher on Wednesday, driven by factors including a report showing increased inflation pressures, surging expectations for an October Fed rate hike, and weak demand at a 5-
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Federal Reserve Governor Barr supports further interest rate hikes, S&P Global's inflation indicator hits a new high since October 2022, and market expectations for a Fed rate hike in October rise to 71%.
Federal Reserve Governor Michael Barr stated on Wednesday that policymakers may need to further adjust policy to ensure inflation returns to target in a timely manner. On the same day, S&P Global's fl
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ECB's Lane: Eurozone HICP inflation is projected at 3.0% in 2026 and 2.5% in 2027.
In a speech in Geneva, Philip R. Lane, Member of the Executive Board of the European Central Bank, unveiled the ECB's September macroeconomic projections, forecasting HICP inflation for the Eurozone a
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McDonald's CEO expects high inflation and flat traffic to persist in restaurant industry
McDonald's CEO Chris Kempczinski stated on Wednesday that the company does not anticipate a change in these conditions, viewing them as the new operating environment. He noted that in the most recent
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Fed Governor Barr: AI Boom, Tariffs, and Energy Prices Fueling Inflation; Further Policy Adjustments Likely Needed
Federal Reserve Governor Michael Barr stated that the AI boom and price pressures related to tariffs and energy have contributed to “upward price pressures.” He added that given rising inflation risks
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U.S. September PMI data surged to a five-year high, with input costs reaching their highest since 2022, intensifying inflation concerns.
U.S. business activity accelerated significantly in September, with the S&P Global Manufacturing PMI rising to 57.0, the Services PMI to 58.7, and the Composite PMI to 58.4. All figures substantially
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Germany's largest trade union, IG Metall, is seeking a 5% wage increase for 3.7 million workers, putting new pressure on the European Central Bank to raise interest rates again.
Germany's IG Metall union will launch a new round of wage negotiations in October, demanding a 5% pay raise for approximately 3.7 million workers in the metal and electrical components industries to c
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Eastmoney Securities Research Institute Report: The world has not yet entered a phase of full tightening, and there is room to increase allocation to US Treasury bonds.
Eastmoney Securities Research Institute released a macro special report on September 23, outlining the characteristics and patterns of ten global synchronized tightening cycles since the 1970s. The re
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh responded to Donald Trump's demand for interest rate cuts to 1%, emphasizing that inflation has exceeded targets for five consecutive years and that rate hikes were unanimously approved by the committee.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh stated clearly at the press conference that inflation has exceeded the target for over five consecutive years, and this 25 basis point rate hike to the 3.75%-4% range al
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Analysts conclude their longest upgrade cycle in five years, holding a net negative view on U.S. corporate earnings prospects for the first time.
For the first time in months, equity analysts have turned net negative on the outlook for U.S. corporate earnings, reflecting concerns about the impact of inflation and high interest rates on company
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Hong Kong's August overall consumer prices rose 1.7% YoY, underlying inflation 1.9%
Hong Kong's overall consumer prices rose by 1.7% year-on-year in August, matching July's figure. The underlying inflation rate, which excludes one-off government relief measures, also remained unchang
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Nomura economists say Federal Reserve Chair Warsh's new inflation tracking method lacks predictive power
Economists at Nomura state that the new method Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh uses to gauge underlying inflation does not have better predictive power than core readings. Warsh revealed this method
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U.S. Treasury yields held steady in early trading, oil prices fluctuated, and the market focused on speeches by Federal Reserve officials.
U.S. Treasury yields were largely stable in early trading on Wednesday, with the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield at 4.963%, the 2-year Treasury yield at 4.771%, and the 30-year Treasury yield at 5.3%
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Oaktree Capital's Howard Marks warns: Out-of-control US fiscal discipline is the fundamental reason for rising interest rates, with the current deficit at about 6% of GDP.
Oaktree Capital co-founder Howard Marks stated in his latest memo on Tuesday that the uncontrolled fiscal discipline in the U.S. is the fundamental reason for rising long-term interest rates, and that
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Boston Fed President Collins warns inflation could remain 'notably' above 2% target
Boston Federal Reserve President Susan Collins stated that there is "an increased likelihood" of inflation staying "notably" above the Federal Reserve's 2% target. She explained her reasoning for back
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Singapore Core Inflation Rises Third Month to 2.2% in August, Highest Since 2024
Singapore's core inflation, which excludes housing and private transportation costs, accelerated to 2.2% year-on-year in August, marking the third consecutive monthly increase and reaching its highest
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Soaring diesel prices are costing European drivers an extra €203 million per day.
Soaring diesel prices are costing European drivers an extra €203 million per day, with the cost of filling up a tank increasing by 40% since the beginning of the year.
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ADB Warns: Asian Inflationary Pressures to Persist Until 2027
ADB Warns: Asian Inflationary Pressures to Persist Until 2027
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U.S. Stocks Mixed as AI Buzz Stokes Tech Gains to Record Highs, Energy Inflation Fears Linger
U.S. Stocks Mixed as AI Buzz Stokes Tech Gains to Record Highs, Energy Inflation Fears Linger
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Citigroup Survey: Inflation Overtakes Tariffs as Family Offices' Top Concern, Wealthy Flock to Gold and US Equities
Inflation has supplanted trade wars and tariffs as the top risk concern for ultra-high-net-worth individuals this year, with interest rate changes and global financial system stability closely followi
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Richmond Fed President Barkin warned that inflationary pressures will take time to subside, and there is a risk of high inflation becoming entrenched.
Richmond Fed President Barkin warned that inflationary pressures will take time to subside, and there is a risk of high inflation becoming entrenched.
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Fed’s Collins Says Last Week’s Rate Hike Will Help Return Inflation to Goal
Federal Reserve Bank of Boston President Susan Collins said she supported last week’s decision to raise interest rates, which she said would help bring inflation back to the central bank’s 2% target.
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Demand Surges at South African Bond Auction Ahead of Rate Call
Demand surged at an auction of South African government bonds as investors sought relatively high yields ahead of inflation data and a central bank policy meeting scheduled for later this week.
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ARK Invest CEO Cathie Wood dismisses Fed rate-hike fears, expects tech innovation to drive stronger growth and lower inflation
ARK Invest CEO Cathie Wood states that higher interest rates will not derail the technology boom, arguing that rapid innovation will drive stronger economic growth. Wood anticipates the current tech r
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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