Inflation
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The U.S. Treasury's $6 billion long-bond buyback concluded on Thursday, with the scale below expectations. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield briefly rose to 4.94%, a new high since October 2023.
On Thursday, September 10, Eastern Time, the U.S. Treasury confirmed that the maximum size of its long-term bond buyback operation for the day was $6 billion. Although this amount was three times larg
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Fed Whisperer Nick Timiraos: Initial core PCE forecast range is 0.22%-0.26%, due to higher-than-usual uncertainty from NIPA revisions.
Fed Whisperer Nick Timiraos: Initial core PCE forecast range is 0.22%-0.26%, due to higher-than-usual uncertainty from NIPA revisions.
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Analysts say inflation pressures have led to an excessive recent sell-off in restaurant stocks, and they are optimistic about the significant upside potential of several stocks in the sector.
MarketWatch reported that recent inflationary pressures have led to a sell-off in restaurant operators' stocks, but many sell-side analysts believe this weakness is an overreaction and are bullish on
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MasterCraft Boat Holdings' Q4 earnings exceeded expectations, but the company anticipates a 5%-10% decline in retail market demand over the next six months.
MasterCraft Boat Holdings (MCFT) reported in its Q4 FY2026 earnings call that the company's performance exceeded expectations, thanks to strict channel management and the launch of its new generation
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European Bond Selloff Deepens as ECB Flags Inflationary Risks
A selloff in European bonds extended after European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde flagged risks to inflation, adding to investors’ ongoing concerns about elevated energy prices.
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Reuters Poll: Most Strategists Expect US 10-Year Government Bond Yield to Rise to 5% Within Three Months
A Reuters poll of 31 bond strategists found that 17 of them expect the U.S. 10-year government bond yield could reach 5% within the next three months. The yield recently climbed to 4.86%, primarily dr
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CNBC reports: Amid rising interest rates and bond market volatility, investors are seeking yield sources beyond traditional bonds.
CNBC reported that due to bond market uncertainties and persistently rising inflation-driven interest rates, some investors are looking beyond traditional bonds for yield, turning to alternative strat
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US 10-year Treasury yield rises to 4.91%, highest since 2023, as Brent crude oil jumps to $105
The US 10-year Treasury yield rose to 4.91%, marking its highest level since 2023. Concurrently, the 30-year Treasury yield climbed to 5.35%. Treasury prices were under pressure as Brent crude oil sur
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U.S. August PPI rose 0.4% month-over-month, meeting market expectations.
U.S. August Producer Price Index (PPI) rose 0.4% month-over-month, in line with Dow Jones consensus estimates. Investors are closely watching a series of key inflation reports to assess the Federal Re
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Analysis: The Federal Reserve faces a dilemma in its September decision, torn between raising rates and holding steady. Kevin Warsh's hawkish remarks and strong employment data support a rate hike, but cooling inflation and doubts about the reliability of employment data argue against it.
Wallstreetcn.com analysis indicates that as the Federal Reserve's September 16 FOMC meeting approaches, the debate over interest rate hikes is intensifying. The federal funds futures market shows an a
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Bitcoin and Ethereum prices retreated, with Bitcoin down 0.2% to $77,941.56 and Ethereum down 0.7% to $2,464.92, as the market focuses on inflation data.
As of 7:19 AM ET, Bitcoin's price fell to $77,941.56, down 0.2% from Wednesday's opening price; Ethereum's price dropped to $2,464.92, down 0.7% from Wednesday's opening price. Both cryptocurrencies h
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The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) raised its 2027 U.S. diesel price forecast by 8.2% to $4.40/gallon, citing tightening global supply leading to inventory declines.
The EIA, in its September Short-Term Energy Outlook report, stated that it has raised its 2027 retail diesel price forecast from $4.07 per gallon to $4.40. Concurrently, the 2026 retail diesel price f
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Analysis suggests Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh's speech was overinterpreted by the market; Friday's inflation report becomes key for rate hikes.
Markets have overreacted to Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh's Jackson Hole speech, with investors perceiving a higher likelihood of interest rate hikes and beginning to price in increases that Warsh ne
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Bank of America analysts say a "credibility shock" hit Wall Street after Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh's latest interest rate decision.
Bank of America's economics team noted that the market's muted reaction to Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's July 29 press conference led to a "central bank inflation credibility shock." Warsh re
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US August PPI accelerated to 5.4% YoY, exceeding expectations, with core PPI at 4.6% YoY, leading to a sharp increase in Federal Reserve rate hike expectations.
Data released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics on Thursday showed that the Producer Price Index (PPI) for August rose by 5.4% year-on-year, exceeding market expectations of 5.3% and significantly
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Key Gauge of US Producer Prices Rises Less Than Forecast
A key measure of US producer prices in August was lower than forecast, offering limited guidance as Federal Reserve officials debate whether to raise interest rates next week.
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US stocks opened mixed, with the Dow edging up as it awaited inflation data, while TSMC fell due to its monthly sales figures.
U.S. stocks opened mixed on Thursday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average seeing a slight gain, as the market awaits key inflation data. Meanwhile, NVIDIA chipmaker TSMC's stock fell after it releas
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U.S. August wholesale costs rose 0.4% month-over-month, as the Iran conflict and rising oil prices pushed inflation higher again.
U.S. government data released on Thursday showed that the Producer Price Index (PPI) rose 0.4% month-over-month in August, primarily driven by an increase in gasoline prices. This follows two months o
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US Core PPI YoY 4.6%, in line with expectations of 4.6%, prior 4.3% (revised from 4.2%).
Core PPI YoY: 4.6%, expected 4.6%, prior 4.3% (revised from 4.2%), in line with expectations Core PPI MoM: 0.2%, expected 0.3%, prior 0.3% (revised from 0.2%), below expectations PPI: 157.41, expected
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US August PPI YoY 5.4%, above expectations of 5.3%, prior (revised) 4.8%
US August PPI YoY 5.4% (expected 5.3%, revised prior 4.8%, above expectations); PPI MoM 0.4% (expected 0.4%, revised prior 0.1%, in line with expectations).
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U.S. August Producer Price Index (PPI) rose 5.4% year-on-year, above expectations of 5.3%.
U.S. August Producer Price Index (PPI) rose 5.4% year-on-year, above expectations of 5.3%.
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The European Central Bank (ECB) has raised its inflation forecasts for 2027 and 2028, projecting headline inflation to be 2.5% in 2027.
The latest European Central Bank (ECB) staff projections show headline inflation averaging 3.0% in 2026, 2.5% in 2027, and 2.1% in 2028. Compared to June, the 2026 projection is unchanged, but the 202
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The European Central Bank (ECB) raised its three key interest rates by 25 basis points, with the deposit facility rate increasing to 2.50%, effective September 16.
The Governing Council of the European Central Bank has decided to raise the deposit facility rate, the main refinancing operations rate, and the marginal lending facility rate to 2.50%, 2.65%, and 2.9
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U.S. equity futures were little changed in early Thursday trading, as investors focused on PPI data and Oracle's AI earnings report. Oil prices continued to rise due to signals of war in Iran, exacerbating inflation concerns.
U.S. equity futures were little changed early Thursday as investors awaited inflation data (PPI) and Oracle's earnings, which will test their tolerance for AI spending risks. Meanwhile, oil prices con
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Federal Reserve Governor Barr supports further interest rate hikes, S&P Global's inflation indicator hits a new high since October 2022, and market expectations for a Fed rate hike in October rise to 71%.
Federal Reserve Governor Michael Barr stated on Wednesday that policymakers may need to further adjust policy to ensure inflation returns to target in a timely manner. On the same day, S&P Global's fl
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ECB's Lane: Eurozone HICP inflation is projected at 3.0% in 2026 and 2.5% in 2027.
In a speech in Geneva, Philip R. Lane, Member of the Executive Board of the European Central Bank, unveiled the ECB's September macroeconomic projections, forecasting HICP inflation for the Eurozone a
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McDonald's CEO expects high inflation and flat traffic to persist in restaurant industry
McDonald's CEO Chris Kempczinski stated on Wednesday that the company does not anticipate a change in these conditions, viewing them as the new operating environment. He noted that in the most recent
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Fed Governor Barr: AI Boom, Tariffs, and Energy Prices Fueling Inflation; Further Policy Adjustments Likely Needed
Federal Reserve Governor Michael Barr stated that the AI boom and price pressures related to tariffs and energy have contributed to “upward price pressures.” He added that given rising inflation risks
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U.S. September PMI data surged to a five-year high, with input costs reaching their highest since 2022, intensifying inflation concerns.
U.S. business activity accelerated significantly in September, with the S&P Global Manufacturing PMI rising to 57.0, the Services PMI to 58.7, and the Composite PMI to 58.4. All figures substantially
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Germany's largest trade union, IG Metall, is seeking a 5% wage increase for 3.7 million workers, putting new pressure on the European Central Bank to raise interest rates again.
Germany's IG Metall union will launch a new round of wage negotiations in October, demanding a 5% pay raise for approximately 3.7 million workers in the metal and electrical components industries to c
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Eastmoney Securities Research Institute Report: The world has not yet entered a phase of full tightening, and there is room to increase allocation to US Treasury bonds.
Eastmoney Securities Research Institute released a macro special report on September 23, outlining the characteristics and patterns of ten global synchronized tightening cycles since the 1970s. The re
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh responded to Donald Trump's demand for interest rate cuts to 1%, emphasizing that inflation has exceeded targets for five consecutive years and that rate hikes were unanimously approved by the committee.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh stated clearly at the press conference that inflation has exceeded the target for over five consecutive years, and this 25 basis point rate hike to the 3.75%-4% range al
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Analysts conclude their longest upgrade cycle in five years, holding a net negative view on U.S. corporate earnings prospects for the first time.
For the first time in months, equity analysts have turned net negative on the outlook for U.S. corporate earnings, reflecting concerns about the impact of inflation and high interest rates on company
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Hong Kong's August overall consumer prices rose 1.7% YoY, underlying inflation 1.9%
Hong Kong's overall consumer prices rose by 1.7% year-on-year in August, matching July's figure. The underlying inflation rate, which excludes one-off government relief measures, also remained unchang
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Nomura economists say Federal Reserve Chair Warsh's new inflation tracking method lacks predictive power
Economists at Nomura state that the new method Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh uses to gauge underlying inflation does not have better predictive power than core readings. Warsh revealed this method
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U.S. Treasury yields held steady in early trading, oil prices fluctuated, and the market focused on speeches by Federal Reserve officials.
U.S. Treasury yields were largely stable in early trading on Wednesday, with the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield at 4.963%, the 2-year Treasury yield at 4.771%, and the 30-year Treasury yield at 5.3%
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Oaktree Capital's Howard Marks warns: Out-of-control US fiscal discipline is the fundamental reason for rising interest rates, with the current deficit at about 6% of GDP.
Oaktree Capital co-founder Howard Marks stated in his latest memo on Tuesday that the uncontrolled fiscal discipline in the U.S. is the fundamental reason for rising long-term interest rates, and that
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Boston Fed President Collins warns inflation could remain 'notably' above 2% target
Boston Federal Reserve President Susan Collins stated that there is "an increased likelihood" of inflation staying "notably" above the Federal Reserve's 2% target. She explained her reasoning for back
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Singapore Core Inflation Rises Third Month to 2.2% in August, Highest Since 2024
Singapore's core inflation, which excludes housing and private transportation costs, accelerated to 2.2% year-on-year in August, marking the third consecutive monthly increase and reaching its highest
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Soaring diesel prices are costing European drivers an extra €203 million per day.
Soaring diesel prices are costing European drivers an extra €203 million per day, with the cost of filling up a tank increasing by 40% since the beginning of the year.
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ADB Warns: Asian Inflationary Pressures to Persist Until 2027
ADB Warns: Asian Inflationary Pressures to Persist Until 2027
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U.S. Stocks Mixed as AI Buzz Stokes Tech Gains to Record Highs, Energy Inflation Fears Linger
U.S. Stocks Mixed as AI Buzz Stokes Tech Gains to Record Highs, Energy Inflation Fears Linger
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Citigroup Survey: Inflation Overtakes Tariffs as Family Offices' Top Concern, Wealthy Flock to Gold and US Equities
Inflation has supplanted trade wars and tariffs as the top risk concern for ultra-high-net-worth individuals this year, with interest rate changes and global financial system stability closely followi
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Richmond Fed President Barkin warned that inflationary pressures will take time to subside, and there is a risk of high inflation becoming entrenched.
Richmond Fed President Barkin warned that inflationary pressures will take time to subside, and there is a risk of high inflation becoming entrenched.
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Fed’s Collins Says Last Week’s Rate Hike Will Help Return Inflation to Goal
Federal Reserve Bank of Boston President Susan Collins said she supported last week’s decision to raise interest rates, which she said would help bring inflation back to the central bank’s 2% target.
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Demand Surges at South African Bond Auction Ahead of Rate Call
Demand surged at an auction of South African government bonds as investors sought relatively high yields ahead of inflation data and a central bank policy meeting scheduled for later this week.
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ARK Invest CEO Cathie Wood dismisses Fed rate-hike fears, expects tech innovation to drive stronger growth and lower inflation
ARK Invest CEO Cathie Wood states that higher interest rates will not derail the technology boom, arguing that rapid innovation will drive stronger economic growth. Wood anticipates the current tech r
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U.S. Treasury yields retreated as the market focused on ADP employment data and speeches by Federal Reserve officials. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated that all Iranian airlines would be shut down starting Wednesday.
The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield fell 2 basis points to 4.943%, the 2-year yield dropped 1 basis point to 4.741%, and the 30-year yield declined 2 basis points to 5.272%. Investors are awaiting th
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
Inflation
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