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Interest rate hike
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Yields on two-year U.S. Treasury bonds hit a 17-month high, as the market anticipates a 39-basis-point rate hike by December
Svmuu News: The yield on two-year U.S. Treasury notes hit a 17-month high of 4.2393%, while federal funds rate futures indicate that the market expects a 39-basis-point rate hike by December.
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Strategist: Federal Reserve—A rate hike in July is unlikely
Svmuu News: Investors are increasingly concerned that the Federal Reserve’s next policy decision could be a 25-basis-point rate hike, possibly as early as this month, but Phil Orlando, chief market st
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Federal Reserve The probability that interest rates will remain unchanged in July is 74.9%
Svmuu News Federal Reserve The probability of interest rates remaining unchanged in July is 74.9%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 25.1%. Federal Reserve The prob
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SMBC Nikko Securities: Bank of Japan (BOJ)s Expected to Raise Interest Rates in October
Svmuu News: SMBC Nikko Securities economist Yoshimasa Maruyama stated that, given the results of Thursday’s meeting of branch governors of the Bank of Japan (BOJ), the Bank of Japan (BOJ) may still be
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Barclays: Federal Reserves May Remain Unchanged Until the End of 2027
Svmuu News: According to Barclays’ baseline forecast, the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged through the end of 2027. However, Barclays’ strategists still believe the risks are tilted
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Bank of Korea Governor: Interest Rates Need to Be Raised at the Appropriate Time
Svmuu News: Shin Hyun-song, governor of the Bank of Korea, said interest rates need to be raised at the appropriate time.
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South Korean Think Tank: Chip Boom Offsets Manufacturing Slump; South Korean Economy Remains on Track for Recovery
Svmuu News: A South Korean government-affiliated think tank said Wednesday that the South Korean economy remains on a recovery track, with the boom in the chip industry offsetting the slowdown in the
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Bitget CFD Chief Analyst: Expectations for Interest Rate Hikes Are Cooling; Technical Analysis Will Fully Take Over Market Trends
Svmuu News: Lewis Huang, Chief Analyst of Bitget CFD, pointed out during a live online broadcast titled “Interest Rate Hike Expectations Cool: Technical Analysis Takes Over the Trend” that global fina
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Federal Reserve The probability that interest rates will remain unchanged in July is 74.3%
Svmuu News Federal Reserve The probability of interest rates remaining unchanged in July is 74.3%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 25.7%. Federal Reserve The prob
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Federal Reserve The probability that interest rates will remain unchanged in July is 77%
Svmuu News: Data shows that, according to Federal Reserve, the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 77%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25
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BNP Paribas: Federal Reserve—The likelihood of action in July has decreased
Svmuu News: Isabelle Mateos i Lago, chief economist at BNP Paribas, said, “If the July nonfarm payrolls figure is very strong—nearing or exceeding 130,000—then I think the July meeting will be full of
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Allianz Analyst: Federal Reserve May Have to Raise Interest Rates in September
Svmuu News: Ludovic Subran, chief economist at Allianz, said, “The U.S. nonfarm payrolls data was actually weak, but I still believe inflation will peak above 3.7%, and that artificial intelligence, f
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Analysis: Active buying by long-term holders has helped BTC form short-term support, but caution is still warranted regarding potential cycle lows.
Svmuu News: 10x Research published an analysis noting that stronger-than-expected U.S. employment data caused temporary price volatility in Bitcoin,and ETF outflows also intensified selling pressure.
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Bank Santander: Despite Weak June Employment Data, Federal Reserves Will Continue to Focus on Inflation
Svmuu News: Evercore ISI stated, “Employment data has returned to normal, and the Federal Reserve will continue to focus on inflation.” Economists believe the Federal Reserve will view the weak June e
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Analysis: Nonfarm Payrolls Data Weakens but Still Shows Growth; Federal Reserve’s Decision to Hold Rates Is Reassessed
Svmuu News: Analyst Eric Merlis said, “June’s nonfarm payrolls fell significantly short of expectations, in sharp contrast to the string of upward surprises earlier this year, but the labor market con
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Analysis: Gold Prices Boosted by Nonfarm Payroll Data and Recent Remarks by Warsh
Svmuu News: Lower-than-expected U.S. nonfarm payroll data has boosted gold prices, which are currently up 2% after falling slightly prior to the report’s release. Data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor St
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Surprise Nonfarm Payrolls Data Dampens Rate Hike Expectations; U.S. Treasury Yields Drop in Response
Svmuu News: The weaker-than-expected nonfarm payrolls report prompted traders to scale back their expectations for interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve in the coming months, causing U.S. Treasur
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Analysis: Weak nonfarm payrolls data have dampened expectations of a rate hike by the Federal Reserve, causing bond prices to rise.
Svmuu News: Following a weaker-than-expected nonfarm payrolls report, U.S. Treasury prices rose as traders scaled back their expectations for interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve in the coming m
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Nonfarm Payrolls Surprise to the Downside; Market Bets on Rate Hike Delay Until Year-End
Svmuu News: U.S. June nonfarm payroll data showed that, despite a decline in the unemployment rate, hiring slowed significantly in June, dampening the initial momentum of job growth this year.Accordin
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The market is scaling back bets on interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve
Svmuu News: U.S. short-term interest rate futures rose sharply following the release of the nonfarm payrolls data, as the market scaled back its bets on Federal Reserve raising interest rates. The mar
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Ahead of the nonfarm payrolls report, the Federal Reserve's probability of keeping interest rates unchanged in July stands at 68.5%.
Svmuu News: According to CME’s “Federal Reserve”: Federal Reserve The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 68.5%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 ba
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Bank of Japan (BOJ), a private-sector member of Japan’s Council on Economic and Fiscal Policy: Interest rates should continue to rise at a moderate pace
Svmuu News: Toshihiro Nagahama, a private-sector member of Japan’s Council on Economic and Fiscal Policy: Bank of Japan (BOJ) Interest rates should continue to rise at a moderate pace. Moderate Bank o
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh declined to say whether interest rates would be raised in July
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh declined to comment on whether Federal Reserve might raise interest rates at its July meeting.“I hope that when we meet in four weeks, we’ll have a full ‘in-
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Federal Reserve The probability of interest rates remaining unchanged in July is 66.3%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 33.7%.
Svmuu News: According to CME’s “Federal Reserve”: Federal Reserve The probability of interest rates remaining unchanged in July is 66.3%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis po
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stated that they expect the Federal Reserve to skip the October meeting after its September rate hike
Goldman Sachs' economic research team, in their preview report for the October FOMC meeting, stated that they expect the Federal Reserve to skip the October meeting after its September rate hike, but
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Goldman Sachs warns that the market may be unprepared for either a December rate hike or no hike from the Federal Reserve
Goldman Sachs warns that the market may be unprepared for either a December rate hike or no hike from the Federal Reserve, potentially triggering a new risk repricing. Cosimo Codacci-Pisanelli, a stra
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Gold futures fell 1.10% to $3,980.80 per ounce, dropping below the $4,000 mark, as inflation concerns and interest rate hike expectations triggered a sell-off, with a weekly decline of nearly 4%.
Gold futures fell 1.10% to $3,980.80 per ounce, breaching the $4,000 mark, as inflation concerns and interest rate hike expectations triggered a sell-off, leading to a nearly 4% weekly decline. Rising
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U.S. Treasury yields saw their largest single-day drop since the Silicon Valley Bank crisis, as the market pushed back expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike to January next year.
On Thursday, the U.S. Treasury market experienced its most significant single-day rally in three years, driven by a triple whammy of AI tech stock sell-offs, escalating French sovereign debt concerns,
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Deutsche Bank expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged next week, as Warsh faces the challenge of solid inflation expectations.
Deutsche Bank expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged at next week's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. The bank's Chief U.S. Economist, Matthew Luzzetti, noted that de
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Japan's core CPI for September rose to 2.1%, exceeding 2% for the first time this year; over 80% of economists expect the Bank of Japan (BOJ) to raise interest rates in December.
Japan's core CPI rose 2.1% year-on-year in September, exceeding the Bank of Japan's 2% target for the first time in nine months, data from the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications showed to
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Japan's inflation rose above the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) target level for the first time this year, supporting expectations for a December rate hike.
Japan's inflation rose above the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) target level for the first time this year, supporting expectations for a December rate hike.
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Australian Treasurer Jim Chalmers stated that the country's economic growth could fall below the 1.75% forecast in the May budget, impacted by interest rate hikes and inflation.
Australian Treasurer Jim Chalmers stated that the country's economic growth could fall below the 1.75% forecast in the May budget, impacted by interest rate hikes and inflation.
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Markets are no longer fully pricing in a Federal Reserve rate hike by the end of 2026.
Markets are no longer fully pricing in a Federal Reserve rate hike by the end of 2026.
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Bitcoin slides towards $81,000 as rising oil prices above $110 revive rate-hike bets
Bitcoin's price slid on Thursday, erasing earlier gains, after oil prices jumped. The largest cryptocurrency was down by nearly 4% over a 24-hour period on Thursday in New York, trading as low as $81,
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The Philippine central bank raised interest rates by 50 basis points to 5.5% on Thursday to curb inflation, double the amount economists predicted, Nikkei Asia reported.
The Philippine central bank raised interest rates by 50 basis points to 5.5% on Thursday to curb inflation, double the amount economists predicted, Nikkei Asia reported.
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Bank of Korea maintains policy rate at 3%, following President Lee Jae-myung's call for increased housing supply.
The Bank of Korea announced on Thursday that it would keep its policy rate unchanged at 3%, in line with market expectations, following two consecutive rate hikes. This decision comes after President
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Sun Hung Kai Properties Sells Out 128 Hong Kong Apartments Amid Fed Rate Hike Expectations
Sun Hung Kai Properties (SHKP), one of Hong Kong's largest developers, sold out the latest batch of 128 apartments at its Sierra Sea project in the New Territories on Wednesday. The apartments were so
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UK September inflation jumps to 3.5%, highest since Oct 2025, fueling BoE rate hike bets; public debt surpasses £3 trillion
British consumer price inflation rose to 3.5% in September, up from 3.1% in August, exceeding economists' forecasts of 3.4% and the Bank of England's 3% prediction. This marks the highest inflation ra
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UK inflation jumps to 3.5% in September, highest in a year
U.K. inflation rose by a hotter-than-expected 3.5% in the 12 months to September, driven by surging motor fuel costs, cementing rate hike expectations. This marks a continuation of the upward trend, f
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US Housing Market Deteriorates in September, Flashing Warning Signs as Fed Weighs Rate Hikes
US housing data further deteriorated in September, with pending home sales hitting an all-time low since 2001, falling 7.3% month-over-month. Housing starts also declined 5.2% against expectations, wh
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Decrypt Analysis: Bitcoin Trades Below $83,000, Key Resistance and Support Levels in Focus
Decrypt's analysis indicates that Bitcoin is currently trading below $83,000, above both its short-term and long-term moving averages. The article lists key levels traders are watching: overhead resis
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Treasuries Rise as Oil Retreats From Highest Levels in Weeks, Prompting Traders to Trim Fed Rate Hike Bets
Treasuries rose as benchmark oil prices retreated from the highest levels in weeks, prompting traders to trim wagers on Federal Reserve interest-rate hikes over the coming year.
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The Bank of Japan (BOJ) may raise its core inflation forecast for fiscal year 2027, according to Reuters. The BOJ is expected to keep policy unchanged in October and could hike rates again as early as December.
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) may raise its core inflation forecast for fiscal year 2027, according to Reuters. The BOJ is expected to keep policy unchanged in October and could hike rates again as early as
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Ares Warns of Australian Private Credit Stress From Rising Rates Amid Struggling Real Estate Market
Peter Graf, partner and head of Asia direct lending at Ares Management Corp., warned that elevated interest rates, including Australia's central bank raising rates four times to 4.6% this year, threat
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Bank Indonesia faces mounting pressure to hike rates after MSCI downgrade threat
Bank Indonesia is under increasing pressure to raise interest rates on Wednesday, as global index provider MSCI warned it may downgrade the country's stock market from emerging-market to standalone st
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Gold maintained its decline as energy prices fueled inflation concerns and impacted the Federal Reserve's rate hike path.
Gold maintained its decline as energy prices fueled inflation concerns and impacted the Federal Reserve's rate hike path.
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New Zealand Q3 inflation seen easing to 3.8%, but Q4 acceleration is forecast to drive more rate hikes
New Zealand's third-quarter consumer price index is expected to rise 3.8% year-on-year, down from 4.1% in Q2 and slightly below the Reserve Bank's September projection. However, economists anticipate
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Economists, Traders See Growing Bets for Bank of Canada Hike Next Week
More economists and traders expect the Bank of Canada to hike interest rates next week, after the central bank’s latest surveys showed inflation expectations rising.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Interest rate hike
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Deutsche Bank noted that the correction in U.S. tech stocks may not be over yet
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