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Interest rate hike
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UBS: First Monetary Policy Meeting of the Warsh Era Takes a Hawkish Turn; Expectations for Rate Hikes This Year May Be on the Aggressive Side
Svmuu News UBS noted in its latest report that the first monetary policy meeting following Kevin Warsh’s appointment as Chairman of the Federal Reserve sent a clearly hawkish signal, but market bets o
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ING Group: Warsh's Upcoming Speech May Boost the Dollar
Svmuu News: Chris Turner of ING Group stated in a report that if Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh focuses on price stability during his speech at the European Central Bank (ECB) forum in Sintra, Portuga
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Amid concerns over interest rate hikes, gold prices fell back below $40,000
Svmuu News: Gold prices fell back below $4,000 per ounce ahead of a speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Wash at the European Central Bank (ECB) forum in Portugal. Analysts at Saxo Bank stated, “The mar
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ITC: The yen's depreciation appears unusually gradual
Svmuu News: Sean Callow, Senior Forex Analyst at InTouch Capital Markets, said that the most striking aspect of the yen’s depreciation over the past few weeks has been the relatively smooth and orderl
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Federal Reserve Hamak: Will Not Prejudge Whether an Interest Rate Hike Is Needed in July
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Hamak stated that he would not prejudge whether an interest rate hike is needed in July, and that he currently sees no tensions in the dual mandate. (Jin Shi)
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Federal Reserve Hamak: Federal Reserve: A rate hike may need to be considered
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Hamak stated that the job market is nearing full employment and the outlook for growth is positive. Inflation remains too high, Federal Reserve and a rate hike may need to b
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Castle Securities: The AI Market Is Facing Greater Risks; Federal Reserve's Policies Will Become More Stringent
Svmuu News: Castle Securities stated that the AI market is facing greater risks, including weakening demand, declining returns, and increased political and regulatory scrutiny. Investors have underest
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Bank of America Securities: A Strong Nonfarm Payrolls Report May Lead the Market to Anticipate Three Rate Hikes in 2026
Svmuu News: On June 29, Bank of America Securities projected that U.S. nonfarm payrolls would rise significantly by 110,000 in June, driven primarily by moderate initial jobless claims and strong ADP
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South Korea's inflation rate may exceed 3% for the second consecutive month; June CPI is expected to rise 3.2% year-over-year
Svmuu News: A survey indicates that South Korea’s overall inflation rate may exceed 3% for the second consecutive month, surpassing the Bank of Korea’s 2% target. The median forecast of seven economis
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Federal Reserve Kashkari: In last week’s dot plot projections, nearly half of the officials expected at least one more rate hike this year
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Official Kashkari stated, “I am concerned about inflation; this is not just related to the situation in the Middle East, but is a manifestation of broader inflationary press
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Federal Reserve Kashkari: Expects One Rate Hike in 2026 and No Change in Interest Rates in 2027
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Kashkari said he expects one rate hike in 2026 and that rates will remain unchanged in 2027, noting that it remains to be seen how the absence of forward guidance will play
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U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar fell as inflation concerns eased
Svmuu News: As oil prices fell more than 3% and the market reassessed the outlook for U.S. interest rates, U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar declined. CME Group(CME) Federal Reserve’s monitoring too
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Economist: Tokyo CPI Data Unlikely to Accelerate Bank of Japan (BOJ) Interest Rate Hike
Svmuu News: Takuya Hoshino, an economist at the Dai-ichi Life Research Institute in Japan, said that consumer inflation in the Tokyo metropolitan area rose in June for the first time in eight months,
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Financial markets are betting on an interest rate hike as early as September, followed by a possible second hike
Svmuu News: Driven by rising energy prices resulting from the conflict in the Middle East, U.S. inflation continued to climb in May, with the annual PCE inflation rate surpassing the 4% threshold for
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U.S. stock index futures extended their gains as PCE data came in largely in line with expectations
Svmuu News: According to data from MSX.COM, U.S. stock index futures extended their gains as PCE data largely met expectations, bolstering market hopes that the Federal Reserve would not adopt an over
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Ahead of the PCE data release, the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in July stands at 65.8%
Svmuu News: According to CME’s “Federal Reserve”: Federal Reserve The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 65.8%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 ba
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Opinion: If U.S. PCE comes in stronger than expected, it could reverse the optimism sparked by Micron’s earnings report
Svmuu News: Ipek Ozkadskaya, senior market analyst at Ruixin Bank, said, “If the PCE data comes in stronger than expected, it could further encourage Federal Reserve to adopt a hawkish stance and reve
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Danske Bank expects Federal Reserve to raise interest rates at least twice
Svmuu News: In a report, Danske Bank Senior Analyst Kirstine Kundby-Nielsen and Chief Analyst Jens Peter Sorensen stated thatFederal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates twice, in December 2026
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Bank of Japan (BOJ) Policy Board Member: If the risk of inflation exceeding expectations materializes, it may be necessary to accelerate the pace of interest rate hikes.
Svmuu News Bank of Japan (BOJ) Policy Board Member Naoki Tamura: (Commenting on the possibility of consecutive rate hikes) If the risk of inflation exceeding expectations materializes, we may need to
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Federal Reserve The probability that interest rates will remain unchanged in July is 65.8%
Svmuu News: According to CME’s “Federal Reserve”: Federal Reserve The probability that interest rates will remain unchanged in July is 65.8%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basi
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Polymarket Launches New “Federal Reserve: Number of Interest Rate Hikes in 2026”
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer channel, Polymarket has launched a prediction event titled “Federal Reserve: Number of Interest Rate Hikes in 2026.” Looking at the interest rate path, the ma
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QCP: Market Risk Shifts from News-Driven to Execution Risk Phase
Svmuu News: QCP Capital’s latest weekly macro report indicates that global market risks are shifting from easing geopolitical tensions to more complex execution risks. Although the U.S. and Iran have
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Kazuo Ueda: As core inflation rises, interest rates will be raised further in the future
Svmuu News Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda said Wednesday that Japan’s economic growth may slow but will continue to recover moderately.The risk that inflation could exceed 2% remains, and the
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Serenity: This pullback appears to be a clear buying opportunity. I’m bullish on Micron, Intel, and TSMC
Svmuu News: Serenity posted, “To me personally, this pullback looks like a clear buying opportunity, with targets including Micron Technology (MU), Intel (INTC), and TSMC (TSM). This decline stems pri
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stated that they expect the Federal Reserve to skip the October meeting after its September rate hike
Goldman Sachs' economic research team, in their preview report for the October FOMC meeting, stated that they expect the Federal Reserve to skip the October meeting after its September rate hike, but
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Goldman Sachs warns that the market may be unprepared for either a December rate hike or no hike from the Federal Reserve
Goldman Sachs warns that the market may be unprepared for either a December rate hike or no hike from the Federal Reserve, potentially triggering a new risk repricing. Cosimo Codacci-Pisanelli, a stra
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Gold futures fell 1.10% to $3,980.80 per ounce, dropping below the $4,000 mark, as inflation concerns and interest rate hike expectations triggered a sell-off, with a weekly decline of nearly 4%.
Gold futures fell 1.10% to $3,980.80 per ounce, breaching the $4,000 mark, as inflation concerns and interest rate hike expectations triggered a sell-off, leading to a nearly 4% weekly decline. Rising
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U.S. Treasury yields saw their largest single-day drop since the Silicon Valley Bank crisis, as the market pushed back expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike to January next year.
On Thursday, the U.S. Treasury market experienced its most significant single-day rally in three years, driven by a triple whammy of AI tech stock sell-offs, escalating French sovereign debt concerns,
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Deutsche Bank expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged next week, as Warsh faces the challenge of solid inflation expectations.
Deutsche Bank expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged at next week's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. The bank's Chief U.S. Economist, Matthew Luzzetti, noted that de
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Japan's core CPI for September rose to 2.1%, exceeding 2% for the first time this year; over 80% of economists expect the Bank of Japan (BOJ) to raise interest rates in December.
Japan's core CPI rose 2.1% year-on-year in September, exceeding the Bank of Japan's 2% target for the first time in nine months, data from the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications showed to
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Japan's inflation rose above the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) target level for the first time this year, supporting expectations for a December rate hike.
Japan's inflation rose above the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) target level for the first time this year, supporting expectations for a December rate hike.
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Australian Treasurer Jim Chalmers stated that the country's economic growth could fall below the 1.75% forecast in the May budget, impacted by interest rate hikes and inflation.
Australian Treasurer Jim Chalmers stated that the country's economic growth could fall below the 1.75% forecast in the May budget, impacted by interest rate hikes and inflation.
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Markets are no longer fully pricing in a Federal Reserve rate hike by the end of 2026.
Markets are no longer fully pricing in a Federal Reserve rate hike by the end of 2026.
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Bitcoin slides towards $81,000 as rising oil prices above $110 revive rate-hike bets
Bitcoin's price slid on Thursday, erasing earlier gains, after oil prices jumped. The largest cryptocurrency was down by nearly 4% over a 24-hour period on Thursday in New York, trading as low as $81,
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The Philippine central bank raised interest rates by 50 basis points to 5.5% on Thursday to curb inflation, double the amount economists predicted, Nikkei Asia reported.
The Philippine central bank raised interest rates by 50 basis points to 5.5% on Thursday to curb inflation, double the amount economists predicted, Nikkei Asia reported.
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Bank of Korea maintains policy rate at 3%, following President Lee Jae-myung's call for increased housing supply.
The Bank of Korea announced on Thursday that it would keep its policy rate unchanged at 3%, in line with market expectations, following two consecutive rate hikes. This decision comes after President
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Sun Hung Kai Properties Sells Out 128 Hong Kong Apartments Amid Fed Rate Hike Expectations
Sun Hung Kai Properties (SHKP), one of Hong Kong's largest developers, sold out the latest batch of 128 apartments at its Sierra Sea project in the New Territories on Wednesday. The apartments were so
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UK September inflation jumps to 3.5%, highest since Oct 2025, fueling BoE rate hike bets; public debt surpasses £3 trillion
British consumer price inflation rose to 3.5% in September, up from 3.1% in August, exceeding economists' forecasts of 3.4% and the Bank of England's 3% prediction. This marks the highest inflation ra
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UK inflation jumps to 3.5% in September, highest in a year
U.K. inflation rose by a hotter-than-expected 3.5% in the 12 months to September, driven by surging motor fuel costs, cementing rate hike expectations. This marks a continuation of the upward trend, f
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US Housing Market Deteriorates in September, Flashing Warning Signs as Fed Weighs Rate Hikes
US housing data further deteriorated in September, with pending home sales hitting an all-time low since 2001, falling 7.3% month-over-month. Housing starts also declined 5.2% against expectations, wh
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Decrypt Analysis: Bitcoin Trades Below $83,000, Key Resistance and Support Levels in Focus
Decrypt's analysis indicates that Bitcoin is currently trading below $83,000, above both its short-term and long-term moving averages. The article lists key levels traders are watching: overhead resis
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Treasuries Rise as Oil Retreats From Highest Levels in Weeks, Prompting Traders to Trim Fed Rate Hike Bets
Treasuries rose as benchmark oil prices retreated from the highest levels in weeks, prompting traders to trim wagers on Federal Reserve interest-rate hikes over the coming year.
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The Bank of Japan (BOJ) may raise its core inflation forecast for fiscal year 2027, according to Reuters. The BOJ is expected to keep policy unchanged in October and could hike rates again as early as December.
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) may raise its core inflation forecast for fiscal year 2027, according to Reuters. The BOJ is expected to keep policy unchanged in October and could hike rates again as early as
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Ares Warns of Australian Private Credit Stress From Rising Rates Amid Struggling Real Estate Market
Peter Graf, partner and head of Asia direct lending at Ares Management Corp., warned that elevated interest rates, including Australia's central bank raising rates four times to 4.6% this year, threat
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Bank Indonesia faces mounting pressure to hike rates after MSCI downgrade threat
Bank Indonesia is under increasing pressure to raise interest rates on Wednesday, as global index provider MSCI warned it may downgrade the country's stock market from emerging-market to standalone st
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Gold maintained its decline as energy prices fueled inflation concerns and impacted the Federal Reserve's rate hike path.
Gold maintained its decline as energy prices fueled inflation concerns and impacted the Federal Reserve's rate hike path.
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New Zealand Q3 inflation seen easing to 3.8%, but Q4 acceleration is forecast to drive more rate hikes
New Zealand's third-quarter consumer price index is expected to rise 3.8% year-on-year, down from 4.1% in Q2 and slightly below the Reserve Bank's September projection. However, economists anticipate
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Economists, Traders See Growing Bets for Bank of Canada Hike Next Week
More economists and traders expect the Bank of Canada to hike interest rates next week, after the central bank’s latest surveys showed inflation expectations rising.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
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