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Kalshi
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Kalshi's $1.5B Equity Offering Three-Quarters Sold, Raising $1.12B
The offering, which lists 71 investors, relies on an exemption allowing certain private offerings without U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) registration.
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Kalshi has raised $1.12 billion through a private equity offering since April, according to its latest SEC filing.
The filing indicates that the derivatives exchange has secured $1.12 billion in capital since April. This development follows earlier reports this month that Kalshi was seeking to raise $750 million i
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Kalshi traders see low odds of major US crypto bill passing this year
Kalshi traders predict less than a 25% chance of the White House-backed Digital Assets Market Clarity Act becoming law by the end of this year, and less than a 50% chance of its implementation by Apri
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Kalshi seeks regulatory delay for Cboe's competing product
Kalshi seeks regulatory delay for Cboe's competing product
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Prediction markets doubt Treasury Secretary Bessent's bond interventions, see 10-year yield hitting new highs in 2026
Prediction market traders on platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket are skeptical that Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's bond interventions will significantly lower yields. Speculators on Kalshi see a
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Needham Says Crypto Rally Has Strong Momentum, Prediction Market Kalshi Expects Bitcoin to Reach $90,000 This Year
Needham stated that the cryptocurrency rebound is strong, believing that the large-scale sell-off has largely ended and investor attention is shifting towards digital assets. The prediction market Kal
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Prediction Market Kalshi Faces Bans in Multiple US States Amid Legal Battles, While CFTC Defends Industry and Proposes New Rules
Kalshi, a prediction market platform, is currently blocked for customers in Washington, Michigan, and Nevada, with Washington state authorities accusing the company of operating an illegal gambling bu
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Kalshi traders predict Bitcoin to end 2026 near current levels, around $75,000
Speculators on the prediction market platform estimate Bitcoin's price at the end of 2026 will be approximately $75,000, based on an average of contracts. This forecast suggests a slight decline from
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Prediction Markets Increasingly Skeptical on Near-Term US-Iran Nuclear Deal
Kalshi, a prediction market platform, currently prices the chances of a deal at 11% before March 1, 2027, 22% before January 1, 2028, and 35% before January 20, 2029.
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Research shows Bitcoin contracts on prediction market Kalshi increasingly lead Binance price discovery as BTC breaks $68,000
Research by financial forecasting firm Synth has found that the price movements of 15-minute Bitcoin contracts on Kalshi are increasingly predictive of subsequent Bitcoin price changes on Binance. Sin
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Cantor Fitzgerald Opens Kalshi Prediction Market Trading to Its ~3,000 Institutional Clients
The investment bank will help its institutional clients execute block event contracts on the CFTC-regulated Kalshi exchange. This move aims to increase institutional participation in prediction market
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Kalshi seeks to launch perpetual futures tied to equity indexes, including a "US500" perp linked to the MerQube U.S. Large Cap Index, according to a regulatory filing.
Kalshi seeks to launch perpetual futures tied to equity indexes, including a "US500" perp linked to the MerQube U.S. Large Cap Index, according to a regulatory filing.
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Prediction markets turn sharply skeptical on US-Iran nuclear deal, with Kalshi pricing odds at just 13% by March 2027
Prediction markets turn sharply skeptical on US-Iran nuclear deal, with Kalshi pricing odds at just 13% by March 2027
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Baltimore City Sues Kalshi, Polymarket, Coinbase, Robinhood, and Webull Over Alleged Illegal Sports Betting
Baltimore City Sues Kalshi, Polymarket, Coinbase, Robinhood, and Webull Over Alleged Illegal Sports Betting
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New York City Council Launches Investigation into Prediction Market Platforms, Including Kalshi, Polymarket, Coinbase, and Gemini Titan
The New York City Council has sent letters to Kalshi, Polymarket, Coinbase, and Gemini Titan, investigating these platforms for alleged use of "false, deceptive, or abusive marketing strategies" targe
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Kalshi becomes the first prediction market to stream full order books via DoubleZero Edge.
Prediction market platform Kalshi announced that it has become the first prediction market to distribute real-time, full order book data through its DoubleZero Edge service. This move will allow insti
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FlightAware drops lawsuit against Kalshi one day after filing
The flight tracker previously claimed that Kalshi improperly used its data and trademark to run prediction markets on flight cancellations.
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CFTC orders prediction market operator Kalshi to continue operating in New York State after the state filed a lawsuit seeking to block its services
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) announced that it has used its "emergency powers" to order prediction market operator Kalshi to continue operating in New York State. This follows
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KALSHI tops $4 billion in annualized revenue as it seeks $40 billion valuation.
KALSHI tops $4 billion in annualized revenue as it seeks $40 billion valuation.
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US-Iran nuclear deal odds hit new lows on Kalshi, with traders pricing just a 40% chance before 2028 and 50% before Jan. 20, 2029, with contracts sharply down from spring highs.
US-Iran nuclear deal odds hit new lows on Kalshi, with traders pricing just a 40% chance before 2028 and 50% before Jan. 20, 2029, with contracts sharply down from spring highs.
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FlightAware Sues Kalshi Over Alleged Unauthorized Data Use for Flight Cancellation Markets
FlightAware has sued Kalshi over alleged unauthorized data use for flight cancellation markets. FlightAware is also seeking a temporary restraining order to bar Kalshi from activities involving the fl
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Prediction markets platform Kalshi partners with Nasdaq to enhance trade surveillance, adopting Nasdaq's market surveillance tool amid regulatory scrutiny over alleged insider trading
The multi-year partnership aims to bolster monitoring and oversight of trading activity on Kalshi's platform. This move comes as prediction markets face increasing pressure from lawmakers following hi
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Kalshi prediction market valuation soars to $22 billion, institutional demand drives strong growth
Prediction market platform Kalshi has reached a valuation of $22 billion after completing a $1 billion Series F funding round in May 2026, doubling its valuation in just five months. This significant growth is primarily attributed to accelerating institutional demand, with institutional trading volume surging by 800% over the past six months. As a platform federally regulated by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), Kalshi has captured over 90% of the U.S. prediction market share and plans to utilize the new capital to expand its product suite, including block trading and risk products, to meet growing market demand. Despite a brief slowdown in overall industry growth, Kalshi itself has demonstrated strong growth momentum.
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Kalshi traders assign 66.9% probability of S&P 500 hitting 8,000 in 2026
Kalshi traders now assign a 66.9% probability that the S&P 500 reaches 8,000 in 2026, after the index rallied more than 5% in four sessions. The S&P 500 is currently just 3.6% below this milestone. Th
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Prediction market Kalshi now puts Democrats at 51% vs. Republicans at 49% in the race for Senate control, as the battle remains a true toss-up heading into November.
Prediction market Kalshi now puts Democrats at 51% vs. Republicans at 49% in the race for Senate control, as the battle remains a true toss-up heading into November.
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Prediction market traders expect U.S. gas prices to hit new highs for the year, with a 71% chance of surpassing $4.60/gallon
Traders on Kalshi also place 57% odds that prices will top $4.80 a gallon, and just over a 40% chance that they cross $5.00. This comes as U.S. oil prices are again above $100 per barrel, driven by es
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Prediction Market Kalshi Plans to Offer U.S. Single-Stock Perpetual Futures and Agriculture Commodities Trading
Kalshi, a prediction market, plans to allow customers to trade single-stock perpetual futures contracts in the U.S., including those linked to major U.S. stocks like Tesla and Nvidia. The company is a
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Prediction-market operator Kalshi plans to seek U.S. approval for 24/7 Tesla and Nvidia perpetual contracts
The move would expand one of crypto's biggest trading products into equities, amid ongoing regulatory disputes on Wall Street over such instruments. Kalshi intends to seek approval for approximately 6
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Europe’s top regulator ESMA questions Polymarket and Kalshi’s EU access, warning event contracts may fall under binary-options bans, MiCA or gambling laws
Europe’s top regulator ESMA questions Polymarket and Kalshi’s EU access, warning event contracts may fall under binary-options bans, MiCA or gambling laws
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Prediction market company Kalshi launches gold and silver perpetual contracts after CFTC approval.
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) this week approved prediction market company Kalshi to list perpetual contracts linked to precious metals gold and silver, with the new market goin
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Coinbase Adopts ION's Real-Time Trading Tech to Bolster Kalshi Prediction Market Infrastructure
The XTP for Event Contracts solution will enable real-time execution and processing, automated 24/7 operations, and the onboarding of tens of thousands of accounts per day for its event-contract clear
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UK regulator FCA weighs easing ban on financial prediction markets, reportedly held talks with trading platforms as Britons turn to Polymarket and Kalshi
The UK's Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) is reportedly considering easing its ban on financial prediction markets. The regulator held talks with trading platforms, as British citizens have increasin
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New Jersey petitions Supreme Court to hear prediction market case, raising stakes for industry
New Jersey last week filed a petition for a writ of certiorari with the U.S. Supreme Court, asking the high court to decide whether prediction markets' sports-related contracts are gambling products r
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Kalshi's US Web Traffic Soars 1,500%, Trading Volume Grows Even Faster Amid Mounting Regulatory Pressure
Kalshi's US Web Traffic Soars 1,500%, Trading Volume Grows Even Faster Amid Mounting Regulatory Pressure
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American Gaming Association Analysis Finds Underage Bettors Wagered Over $5 Billion on Kalshi Due to Sportsbook Restrictions
A new analysis by the American Gaming Association reveals that individuals under 21, who are restricted from most sportsbooks, have instead wagered over $5 billion on prediction market Kalshi.
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Michigan Court Orders Kalshi to Continue Blocking Sports Prediction Markets, Citing Violations of State Betting Law
A Michigan state court has issued a preliminary injunction requiring prediction markets platform Kalshi to continue blocking state residents from accessing sports-related event contracts. The order, i
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Kalshi to seek U.S. regulatory approval for WTI crude oil perpetual futures
Kalshi is preparing to seek U.S. regulatory approval for WTI crude oil perpetual futures, potentially as early as next week. If approved by the CFTC, Kalshi could launch the first oil-linked perpetual
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Kalshi and Polymarket’s combined volume falls 15% in August to $45.33 billion, marking first monthly decline in a year
The combined monthly volume at Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US fell 14.5% in August to $45.33 billion, marking the first decline since August 2025. Specifically, Kalshi recorded $37.17 billion in
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Prediction Market Traders See 50-50 Odds for U.S. Economy Adding Over 50,000 Jobs in August
Prediction market traders on platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket assign roughly 50% likelihood to the U.S. economy adding more than 50,000 jobs in August. This outlook implies a slightly lower job cr
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Kalshi reports nearly $13.7 billion in perpetual futures volume over past three weeks, almost double July's total
Prediction market platform Kalshi stated that its perpetual futures volume reached nearly $13.7 billion over the past three weeks, which is almost double the full-month volume recorded in July. The co
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Prediction market startup Kalshi permanently bans ex-US lawmaker George Santos from trading, imposes $71,356 penalty
Kalshi cited insider trading as the reason for the ban and penalty. The company had previously reported Santos to the U.S. Department of Justice in June after detecting suspicious trading activity fro
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Prediction Market Platform Kalshi Partners with Brokerage Alpaca to Expand Event Contracts to Global Investors
The partnership aims to bring Kalshi's event contracts to an international audience by leveraging Alpaca's financial infrastructure, which serves 14 million brokerage accounts globally through over 30
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Kalshi becomes exclusive prediction market partner of US Open, reportedly barring rival platforms from advertising at tournament and on ESPN broadcasts
Kalshi has signed an exclusive deal with the U.S. Tennis Association (USTA) for the US Open tennis tournament, whose main draw began Sunday. The agreement, which went into effect immediately, reported
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US Appeals Court Rules Kalshi Sports Prediction Contracts Are Sports Gambling, Not Federal Commodity Law Swaps
The U.S. Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals ruled on August 28, local time, that prediction contracts on sports events offered by prediction market company Kalshi are essentially sports betting, not swap
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Prediction market Kalshi shows a low probability of Federal Reserve Chair Warsh mentioning "bond market" or "rate cuts" at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium.
As of Thursday afternoon, prediction market traders put the probability of Warsh mentioning "bond market" at the Jackson Hole annual meeting early Friday at just 16%, "yield curve" at 8%, and "rate cu
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Donald Trump Jr. advised Republican state attorneys general not to fight prediction markets, NYT reports
The New York Times reported on Thursday that Donald Trump Jr., an advisor to two major prediction market platforms (Kalshi and Polymarket), told Republican attorneys general in March to back off the i
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Kalshi and The Weather Co. Join Forces on Climate Trades
The trading platform Kalshi is now getting input from The Weather Co., which operates a leading weather app, to verify increasingly popular climate-prediction markets. The partnership aims to broaden
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Connecticut sues Kalshi over sports event contracts
The lawsuit is part of a months-long legal feud. Kalshi's Head of Litigation, Jovy Dedaj, called the move "arbitrary and inconsistent enforcement," noting that other platforms continue to operate in t
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Kalshi prediction market valuation soars to $22 billion, institutional demand drives strong growth
Prediction market platform Kalshi has reached a valuation of $22 billion after completing a $1 billion Series F funding round in May 2026, doubling its valuation in just five months. This significant growth is primarily attributed to accelerating institutional demand, with institutional trading volume surging by 800% over the past six months. As a platform federally regulated by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), Kalshi has captured over 90% of the U.S. prediction market share and plans to utilize the new capital to expand its product suite, including block trading and risk products, to meet growing market demand. Despite a brief slowdown in overall industry growth, Kalshi itself has demonstrated strong growth momentum.
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Hyperliquid, Polymarket, and Kalshi: A Competitive Analysis of Prediction Markets and Perpetual Contracts
Decentralized perpetual contract giant Hyperliquid is entering the prediction market space with its HIP-4 proposal, directly challenging industry leaders Polymarket and regulated platform Kalshi. Meanwhile, Polymarket and Kalshi have also announced their expansion into perpetual contracts, intensifying the competition among the three. This article will delve into the unique advantages, technical architecture, regulatory status, and market data of each platform to explore the future direction of this multi-dimensional competition.
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