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Polymarket
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NEXTPredict Conference to Explore Prediction Market Development, Two CFTC Directors to Attend
The NEXTPredict conference will be held in New York from October 22-23, aiming to bring prediction markets to a wider audience. Two directors from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC),
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Polymarket CEO Hints at Crypto Token Launch at Token2049
Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan has fueled speculation about the prediction market launching its own token, teasing "a little something to say" at the upcoming Token2049 event in Singapore on October 7-8
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WSJ investigation reveals Polymarket's repeated compliance failures and fraud attacks
A Wall Street Journal investigation found repeated compliance failures, fraud attacks, and software glitches within Polymarket, a high-flying prediction market company. This included a major fraud att
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Galaxy Research Report: 69.2% of retail investor accounts on Polymarket International Platform are losing money, with total losses amounting to $338.9 million.
The analysis, based on Stork's on-chain settlement data, found that 69.2% of approximately 2.9 million "manually operated" retail investor accounts on the Polymarket international platform ultimately
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Prediction market Kalshi seeks $1 billion in funding at a $40 billion valuation, with Sequoia and Tiger Global reportedly in talks.
Prediction market platform Kalshi is in advanced talks with existing and new investors, including Tiger Global and Dragoneer, to raise approximately $1 billion. This funding round is expected to close
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Polymarket hires Goldman Sachs veteran Lisa Mantil as head of institutional growth
Lisa Mantil, who spent nearly three decades at Goldman Sachs, most recently as a partner and global head of the bank's ETF accelerator, will join the prediction market exchange's team to attract insti
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Polymarket wagers on bank failures, including Wells Fargo, JPMorgan, and Bank of America, draw FDIC scrutiny
Polymarket's bets on the likelihood of major banks like Wells Fargo & Co., JPMorgan Chase & Co., and Bank of America Corp. failing are reportedly drawing scrutiny from officials in Washington, accordi
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New York Accuses Polymarket US of Running ‘Unlicensed Gambling’
New York announced Thursday it was suing Polymarket US for allegedly running an illegal gambling operation, escalating the legal fight against prediction markets in the state.
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Bybit will list Polymarket (POLYMARKETUSDT) Pre-IPO Tradfi Perpetual Contract at 9:00 AM UTC on September 23.
Bybit will list Polymarket (POLYMARKETUSDT) Pre-IPO TradFi perpetual contracts, offering leveraged trading exposure to Polymarket ahead of its anticipated initial public offering (IPO). The contract w
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Prediction Market Trading Platforms: An Overview of Four Core Platforms
Prediction market platforms allow users to bet on or trade the outcomes of future events, aggregating collective intelligence to forecast trends. This article will delve into four core platforms: Kalshi, regulated by the U.S. CFTC; Polymarket, a crypto-native platform based on Polygon; Augur, a decentralized pioneer on Ethereum; and Zeitgeist, which employs a Futarchy governance model within the Kusama ecosystem. We will analyze their operational models, regulatory compliance, technical characteristics, and current development status to help readers understand the diverse landscape of this emerging field.
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Polymarket Prediction Market Plagued by Insider Trading: Regulatory Challenges Highlighted by Maduro Ousting Bets
Crypto prediction market Polymarket has recently drawn significant attention due to multiple insider trading allegations. In one instance, a U.S. Army sergeant allegedly used classified military operation information to accurately bet on the ousting of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, profiting over $400,000. This has led to criminal and civil lawsuits from the U.S. Department of Justice and the CFTC. Additionally, the platform has been involved in several other cases of trading based on internal information, highlighting the regulatory gaps and integrity challenges faced by prediction markets in their rapid development.
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Polymarket starts European lobbying blitz to win over financial watchdogs
The US prediction markets platform is seeking to be regulated as a financial services firm rather than under a patchwork of gambling legislation.
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Prediction Markets Kalshi and Polymarket Increasingly Upstage Election Polls in Forecasting Outcomes
Voters, donors, and media are increasingly using the betting platforms Kalshi and Polymarket to forecast election outcomes. Critics, however, warn of new risks to democracy posed by this trend.
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The Wall Street Journal: Polymarket's CEO reportedly instructed employees to continue expanding the business, stating that the company would pay a fine if regulators discovered a failed $10 million credit card fraud attempt.
The Wall Street Journal reported that in February, fraudsters linked stolen debit cards to Polymarket US accounts, attempting to transfer at least $10 million through betting and withdrawals. At one p
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Polymarket vs. Kalshi Valuation Showdown: An In-depth Analysis of Prediction Market Platform Investment Value
Decentralized prediction market Polymarket and regulated platform Kalshi are competing in the rapidly evolving event contracts sector. Polymarket is seeking a $21 billion valuation, while Kalshi is targeting $40 billion. This article will provide a comprehensive comparison of their valuations, regulatory compliance, market share, trading volume, revenue models, and potential risks, offering readers a complete perspective to explore which holds greater investment potential in the current market environment.
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South Korean police charge 26 Polymarket users for illegal gambling
The charges come after South Korea's media regulator blocked local access to the Polymarket platform last month, ruling that it offers illegal gambling services.
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Underdog sues Connecticut to stop sports prediction market crackdown
The lawsuit follows cease-and-desist orders the state issued to prediction market platforms, including Underdog, Polymarket, and Coinbase.
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The U.S. 10-year government bond yield rose to 4.97% on Monday, and Goldman Sachs expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates this week.
The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield rose to 4.97% on Monday, just 3 basis points shy of the 5% threshold, while the 30-year Treasury yield hovered at 5.35%. Brent crude prices climbed to $107 per barrel,
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Prediction markets are becoming more professionalized, making it harder for traders to profit, experts say
Experts note that the institutionalization of prediction markets is eroding the edge of skilled traders. According to an academic paper analyzing $13.76 billion in Polymarket trades, roughly 27% of do
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A Cluster of Polymarket Accounts Won ~$22,000 on Companies Audited by KPMG, Per Bubblemaps Analysis
A mysterious Polymarket user earned approximately $22,000 through a series of nearly perfect bets on the quarterly earnings of 18 companies audited by KPMG, including Wells Fargo, Home Depot, and Door
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Europe’s top regulator ESMA questions Polymarket and Kalshi’s EU access, warning event contracts may fall under binary-options bans, MiCA or gambling laws
Europe’s top regulator ESMA questions Polymarket and Kalshi’s EU access, warning event contracts may fall under binary-options bans, MiCA or gambling laws
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Polymarket, a crypto prediction market, has appointed Warren Jenson, former Amazon CFO, as its first Chief Financial Officer.
Polymarket announced the appointment of veteran executive Warren Jenson as its first Chief Financial Officer. Jenson previously served as CFO at Amazon and currently sits on the boards of companies su
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Adobe reports Q3 earnings after market close, with prediction markets betting on CEO Narayen's key phrases
Polymarket traders give Adobe roughly a 92% chance of beating the market's $6.08 non-GAAP EPS benchmark. On Kalshi, traders are betting on specific words CEO Shantanu Narayen and his team will say on
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Anthropic's IPO is still most likely to occur in October, with Polymarket data indicating a delay in the roadshow.
Polymarket data indicates that Anthropic's IPO is most likely to occur in October, with an implied probability of 63%, despite reports of a delayed roadshow. The roadshow is not expected to begin befo
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Polymarket Launches Ultra-Short-Term Crypto Prediction Markets on US Platform Amid CFTC Compliance Review
Polymarket has launched new Up/Down ultra-short-term crypto contracts on its U.S. platform. This move comes as the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) reviews Polymarket's compliance with
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Polymarket is investigating suspicious trades in the Israeli elections, raising concerns about potential insider trading in prediction markets.
Polymarket is investigating suspicious trades in the Israeli elections, raising concerns about potential insider trading in prediction markets.
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Polymarket generated $14 billion in trading volume from sports betting in the US within 30 days, while facing CFTC scrutiny.
According to DeFi Rate data, prediction market Polymarket's US platform recorded approximately $13.7 billion in notional trading volume in the 30 days ending October 26, with sports betting accounting
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Polymarket has added five-minute crypto contracts to its U.S. application, covering BTC, ETH, SOL, and XRP. These contracts are settled using CF Benchmarks prices and incur separate taker fees.
Polymarket has added five-minute crypto contracts to its U.S. application, covering BTC, ETH, SOL, and XRP. These contracts are settled using CF Benchmarks prices and incur separate taker fees.
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CFTC investigates Polymarket over U.S. user access
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) is investigating whether Polymarket violated its 2022 settlement agreement by failing to adequately block U.S. users from accessing its offshore pl
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NEXTPredict conference discusses prediction market expansion and applications
The NEXTPredict conference, held in New York from October 22nd to 23rd, brought together major prediction market exchanges, trading firms, and policymakers. JB Mackenzie, Vice President at Robinhood,
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Polymarket investigated dozens of midterm-election bets for possible insider trading and manipulation
Shana Bautista, Head of Global Intelligence and Investigations at prediction market platform Polymarket, told NPR that the company has investigated dozens of midterm election market bets involving pot
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Decrypt reported that experts pointed out that prediction markets severely misjudged the outcome of the Brazilian presidential election
Decrypt reported that experts pointed out that prediction markets severely misjudged the outcome of the Brazilian presidential election. Polymarket predicted Lula's chances of winning were only 20% be
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The National Basketball Association (NBA) has secured a prediction markets agreement with the U.S. derivatives regulator
The National Basketball Association (NBA) has secured a prediction markets agreement with the U.S. derivatives regulator, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), and partnered with leading fi
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The NBA has designated Kalshi and Polymarket as preferred prediction market exchanges. This agreement will provide Kalshi with official league data and NBA branding, while Polymarket has also received the same preferred designation.
The NBA has designated Kalshi and Polymarket as preferred prediction market exchanges. This agreement will provide Kalshi with official league data and NBA branding, while Polymarket has also received
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Bitcoin Price Bets Drive Record $2.7 Billion Weekly Volume on Kalshi and Polymarket Crypto Prediction Markets
Bloomberg, citing Dune Analytics data, reported that the weekly notional trading volume of crypto-related contracts on Kalshi and Polymarket reached a record $2.7 billion last week. This surge was pri
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Bloomberg Markets reports that prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket are outperforming traditional polls in election forecasting, but critics warn they pose new risks to democracy.
Bloomberg Markets reports that prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket are outperforming traditional polls in election forecasting, but critics warn they pose new risks to democracy.
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Polymarket, a decentralized prediction market platform, has fired its Head of Marketing, Matthew Modabber, according to the New York Post.
Polymarket, a decentralized prediction market platform, has fired its Chief Marketing Officer, Matthew Modabber, according to the New York Post. Modabber is also a close friend of the company's CEO, S
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According to prediction market Polymarket data, the probability of AI model company Anthropic going bankrupt by the end of 2028 is only 17%, despite its IPO draft showing a net loss of over $80.7 billion in the first half of 2026 and committed spending of up to $750 billion on computing infrastructure.
According to Wall Street Insights citing The Wall Street Journal, approximately $72 billion of Anthropic's $80.7 billion net loss was due to non-cash accounting adjustments, with an actual operating l
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Polymarket US and Kalshi Show Similar Taker Profits for 100-Contract Trades
A hypothetical buy at 40 cents and sale at 60 cents on both prediction market platforms produces nearly identical taker profits. However, resting orders and funding methods can alter this comparison,
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Polymarket US Sues Ohio to Block Sports-Contract Crackdown
The exchange seeks preliminary and permanent injunctions after Ohio demanded an immediate halt to sports contracts and written confirmation of compliance by Oct. 16.
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StarkWare Launches OffMarket Service, Enabling Private Transactions for Polymarket Users
StarkWare has opened OffMarket to the public, allowing Polymarket users to trade without publicly linking their positions to their accounts. The service leverages zero-knowledge technology on Starknet
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Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan again hinted at a potential token launch, fueling airdrop expectations.
Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan has once again hinted at a potential token launch, fueling market speculation about a possible airdrop, especially as more crypto startups opt for equity financing. Speaki
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Polymarket Token Tease Stands Out After Crypto’s Equity Pivot
Polymarket Token Tease Stands Out After Crypto’s Equity Pivot
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Blockchain data provider Bitquery's audit found that even with an 87% win rate for favored candidates on Polymarket in the 2026 US primaries, equal bets would still result in a 4% loss.
Blockchain data provider Bitquery's audit found that even with an 87% win rate for favored candidates on Polymarket in the 2026 US primaries, equal bets would still result in a 4% loss.
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Polymarket CEO Coplan stops short of mentioning a token at TOKEN2049
Traders had interpreted a Sunday post by Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan as a tease for a Polymarket token (POLY). However, at the TOKEN2049 conference, Coplan only described an on-chain asset tied to th
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Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan: Chasing 100x tokens is a game of "irrational exuberance"; traders are seeking more predictable prediction market opportunities.
Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan: Chasing 100x tokens is a game of "irrational exuberance"; traders are seeking more predictable prediction market opportunities.
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Polymarket Unveils Protocol V2, Targeting Full Mainnet Switchover on Nov 2
Polymarket Head of Protocol Rajath Alex announced Protocol V2, which replaces its legacy 2019 Gnosis CTF foundation. V2 unifies the system around a single ERC-1155 position contract, pUSD collateral,
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CFTC Accuses Polymarket of Insider Trading: $1.2 Million in Illegal Gains Reveals Regulatory Storm in Prediction Markets
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has recently taken multiple enforcement actions against the prediction market platform Polymarket and its users. Following a fine imposed on Polymarket in 2022, the CFTC and the U.S. Department of Justice filed lawsuits against two individuals in 2026, accusing them of illegally profiting approximately $1.2 million and over $400,000, respectively, by trading event contracts on Polymarket using insider information. These cases, coupled with the CFTC's re-examination of Polymarket's compliance this month, highlight regulators' growing concern over insider trading and platform compliance in prediction markets, signaling stricter legal scrutiny for the sector.
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2026 World Cup Review: How Polymarket Prediction Data Reflected Market Expectations and Outcomes
The 2026 FIFA World Cup concluded on July 19, with Spain ultimately claiming the championship. On Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market, the "World Cup Winner" event saw trading volume exceed $4.3 billion, making it the largest single sports event. Before the tournament, France and Spain were favorites, but on the eve of the final, Polymarket data showed Spain's probability of winning surged to 58%, which ultimately aligned with the outcome. This article will review how Polymarket data revealed the market's collective expectations for the event.
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Prediction Market Trading Platforms: An Overview of Four Core Platforms
Prediction market platforms allow users to bet on or trade the outcomes of future events, aggregating collective intelligence to forecast trends. This article will delve into four core platforms: Kalshi, regulated by the U.S. CFTC; Polymarket, a crypto-native platform based on Polygon; Augur, a decentralized pioneer on Ethereum; and Zeitgeist, which employs a Futarchy governance model within the Kusama ecosystem. We will analyze their operational models, regulatory compliance, technical characteristics, and current development status to help readers understand the diverse landscape of this emerging field.
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Polymarket Prediction Market Plagued by Insider Trading: Regulatory Challenges Highlighted by Maduro Ousting Bets
Crypto prediction market Polymarket has recently drawn significant attention due to multiple insider trading allegations. In one instance, a U.S. Army sergeant allegedly used classified military operation information to accurately bet on the ousting of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, profiting over $400,000. This has led to criminal and civil lawsuits from the U.S. Department of Justice and the CFTC. Additionally, the platform has been involved in several other cases of trading based on internal information, highlighting the regulatory gaps and integrity challenges faced by prediction markets in their rapid development.
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Polymarket vs. Kalshi Valuation Showdown: An In-depth Analysis of Prediction Market Platform Investment Value
Decentralized prediction market Polymarket and regulated platform Kalshi are competing in the rapidly evolving event contracts sector. Polymarket is seeking a $21 billion valuation, while Kalshi is targeting $40 billion. This article will provide a comprehensive comparison of their valuations, regulatory compliance, market share, trading volume, revenue models, and potential risks, offering readers a complete perspective to explore which holds greater investment potential in the current market environment.
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Polymarket Once Reached a Weekly Trading Volume Milestone of $2.1 Billion: Exploring Its Rise as the World's Largest Blockchain Prediction Market
Decentralized prediction market Polymarket set a new record in March 2026 with over $2.1 billion in weekly trading volume, solidifying its position as the world's largest blockchain prediction market. Founded in 2020 by Shayne Coplan, the platform operates on the Polygon network and uses USDC for transactions. Polymarket successfully operates compliantly in the United States by acquiring a CFTC-licensed entity and obtaining a "no-action" letter. Despite facing regulatory scrutiny and insider trading concerns, Polymarket has attracted prominent investors such as Intercontinental Exchange and established partnerships with X (Twitter) and Blockchain.com, continuously expanding its market influence.
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Hyperliquid, Polymarket, and Kalshi: A Competitive Analysis of Prediction Markets and Perpetual Contracts
Decentralized perpetual contract giant Hyperliquid is entering the prediction market space with its HIP-4 proposal, directly challenging industry leaders Polymarket and regulated platform Kalshi. Meanwhile, Polymarket and Kalshi have also announced their expansion into perpetual contracts, intensifying the competition among the three. This article will delve into the unique advantages, technical architecture, regulatory status, and market data of each platform to explore the future direction of this multi-dimensional competition.
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Polymarket: How the Prediction Market Giant Is Unlocking a Hundred-Billion-Level Fund Pool and Reaping the Benefits of Globalization
Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market platform, is rapidly emerging as a major force in the Web3 space. The platform allows users to predict and trade on the outcomes of global events; its trading volume has surged to the tens of billions of dollars, attracting a large number of users worldwide. This article will delve into Polymarket’s operational mechanisms, its staggering capital scale, and how it is achieving growth through a global strategy, while also addressing the regulatory challenges the platform faces.
Polymarket
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