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Federal Reserve
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US markets focus on oil, geopolitics, Treasury yields, and Fed positioning amid light data calendar
With a light US economic data calendar, market attention shifts to oil prices, Middle East geopolitics, Treasury yields, and the Federal Reserve's stance. Key events include Canada's CPI release at 8:
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Wall Street Strategists See Stock Rally Surviving Fed Rate Hike
Top Wall Street strategists are renewing bullish equity calls as stronger economic growth enables the market to weather an increase in interest rates.
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Financial Times: Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh Faces Pressure to Raise Rates, Potentially Leading to Policy Conflict with President Donald Trump
According to the Financial Times, Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh is facing market pressure to act on his inflation warnings, with investors broadly expecting the Federal Reserve to raise interest rate
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Copper Slips as Inflation Data Raises Bets on Fed Hiking Rates
Copper Slips as Inflation Data Raises Bets on Fed Hiking Rates
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Asian equities were under pressure on Monday as slowing AI development and soaring oil prices rekindled inflation concerns, with SK Hynix falling over 5% and SoftBank plummeting 11%.
Asian equities broadly opened lower on Monday, impacted by AI giants' calls to slow the pace of frontier model development and renewed inflation concerns fueled by soaring oil prices. South Korea's KO
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Stock futures slide and oil prices rise ahead of the Federal Reserve's rate decision.
Stock futures slide and oil prices rise ahead of the Federal Reserve's rate decision.
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Nikkei Asia: BOJ Governor Ueda and Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh will face tough tests this week as markets pressure interest rates.
With renewed inflation concerns and a global bond sell-off, investors are increasing pressure on policymakers to get ahead of inflation and convince markets they can keep pace with evolving expectatio
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MarketWatch Analysis: The 10-year and 30-year U.S. Treasury yields have risen by approximately 50 and 45 basis points, respectively, since late June, climbing back to their highest levels since 2007. The bond market is pushing for higher rates, even though Federal Reserve rate hikes may not lower gasoline prices.
MarketWatch analysis indicates that long-term U.S. Treasury yields have risen to their highest levels since 2007, increasing borrowing costs for households, businesses, and the U.S. government.
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Fed Whisperer Nick Timiraos Responds to Trump's Views on Fed Independence, Citing Greenspan's Historical Precedent of Rate Hikes Before Elections
Nick Timiraos retweeted a post, responding to Donald Trump's view that the Federal Reserve should remain independent and not raise interest rates before the election. Trump, through Kevin Hassett, sta
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To join America's top 10% of households, a net worth of approximately $2 million is required, according to the Federal Reserve's latest Survey of Consumer Finances (SCF).
The Federal Reserve's Survey of Consumer Finances (SCF) indicates that while the median American family has a net worth of $192,900, and the average is $1,063,700, a net worth of roughly $2 million is
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White House economic advisor Kevin Hassett stated that the White House would "100% support" the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision this week, but he and President Donald Trump see no reason for a rate hike.
White House economic advisor Kevin Hassett stated that the White House would "100% support" the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision this week, but he and President Donald Trump see no reason for
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Trump says the U.S. should have the lowest interest rate in the world, when asked about the Fed's decision next week.
Trump says the U.S. should have the lowest interest rate in the world, when asked about the Fed's decision next week.
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Emerging Markets Defy War, $100 Oil, and Rising Yields This Year, With Investors Expecting Rally to Continue Despite Fed Risk
Emerging Markets Defy War, $100 Oil, and Rising Yields This Year, With Investors Expecting Rally to Continue Despite Fed Risk
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Prices of nearly all dinner table items are climbing simultaneously, drawing Wall Street's attention
Rising crop prices are exacerbating the current inflation problem, extending beyond just oil and the Iran war. For investors, this signals a return to the real-asset trade, while for U.S. consumers an
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Economist says Fed rate hike is about Wall Street, not inflation
An economist argues that the Federal Reserve's anticipated rate hike next week is primarily driven by Wall Street concerns rather than inflation. This comes as Goldman Sachs late Friday became the las
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Citi Research Report: Current macro environment shows increased similarity to the 1988-1989 Federal Reserve tightening cycle; models increase exposure to risk assets and favor the US dollar.
Citigroup Research analysts Alex Saunders and Vinh Vo noted in their quantitative macro strategy report published on September 11 that although their macro model remains broadly in the "normal" range,
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The US 10-year government bond yield rose to 4.97%, a new high for 2023 and approaching 5%, exacerbating commercial real estate financing risks.
The U.S. 10-year government bond yield closed at 4.97% last weekend, rising 19 basis points during the week to reach its highest level since 2023, nearing the high seen in 2007. This trend has once ag
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Bitcoin fell to $77,300 on September 12, as hot August CPI data boosted Federal Reserve rate hike expectations, and spot ETFs saw net outflows for four consecutive days.
Yahoo Finance analysis indicates that Bitcoin fell to $77,300 on September 12, primarily due to three factors: the August core CPI data, released on September 11, exceeded expectations, pushing market
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Top Economist Komal Sri-Kumar Urges Fed to Hike Rates 50 Bps Next Week, Citing Bond Market Nearing 'Danger Zone'
Komal Sri-Kumar, president of Sri-Kumar Global Strategies, told CNBC on Friday, September 11, that the Federal Reserve should raise its policy rate by 50 basis points at its meeting next week. He note
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PNC Chief Investment Officer: Energy-driven inflation complicates Federal Reserve interest rate decisions, further tightening risks policy error
PNC Chief Investment Officer Amanda Agati stated on Bloomberg Television that energy-driven inflation is pushing market expectations for further Federal Reserve rate hikes, presenting the Fed with dif
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Bloomberg Economics Chief Economist Tom Orlik stated that high interest rates may become the new normal, and Kevin Warsh faces a critical test at next week's Federal Reserve meeting.
Tom Orlik, Chief Economist at Bloomberg Economics, stated that high interest rates could become the new normal, leading to rising debt costs for governments, businesses, and households that have accum
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ClearBridge Investments analyst Jeff Schulze stated that despite rising U.S. government bond yields, U.S. equities remain strong due to robust corporate earnings and the fact that the increase in yields reflects economic growth rather than surging inflation. On Friday, the 10-year U.S. government bond yield was reported at 4.93%.
Jeff Schulze, Head of Economic and Market Strategy at ClearBridge Investments, noted that the S&P 500 is only about 2% away from its all-time high, primarily due to a strong corporate earnings environ
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Goldman Sachs' latest research report: Rising interest rates do not equal a US stock market crash; earnings growth is the key to a bull market.
Goldman Sachs' latest research report on September 11 states that rising interest rates are not the end of the US stock bull market; earnings growth is the key driver. The firm believes that despite t
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Analysts expect the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by 25 basis points each in September, October, and December, for a total of three hikes, pushing the federal funds rate to 4.25%-4.5%.
Ian Lyngen, head of US rates strategy at BMO Capital Markets, expects the Federal Reserve to raise rates by 25 basis points this month, followed by additional hikes at the October and December meeting
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Fed's Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Likely Needed to Cool Prices, Policy May Still Be Stimulative
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President Alberto Musalem said additional interest rate increases may be needed to achieve the central bank’s inflation goal, adding that monetary policy may still be
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The Federal Reserve's preliminary SVB report has not been publicly released, requiring journalists to register for access; the current head of the Fed's supervision department previously served as an executive at the law firm reviewing the report, raising conflict of interest concerns.
Journalist Nick Timiraos tweeted that the Federal Reserve's preliminary report on Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) has not yet been made public through official Fed channels, and he had to register for a non
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Deutsche Bank macro strategists warn: Markets may again be underestimating the terminal interest rate after synchronized rate hikes by the world's three major central banks.
Deutsche Bank macro strategist Henry Allen warned on Monday that despite the Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank, and the Bank of Japan all raising interest rates in the past two weeks, the mar
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Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee: Higher interest rates will have to slow the economy to combat supply shocks, which will be "painful."
Austan Goolsbee stated that central banks have reached their limit in waiting for supply shocks, meaning higher interest rates will have to slow down sectors of the economy that may not be pushing up
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Bitcoin hit an eight-month high of $86,332 on Monday, with short liquidations exceeding $740 million, driven by falling oil prices and a retreat in US Treasury yields.
Bitcoin reached a high of $86,332 on Monday, marking an eight-month high and its first since January this year. Over the past 24 hours, total crypto market liquidations amounted to $877.31 million, wi
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Bitcoin price surges nearly 7% to break $86,000, shrugging off last week's setback for the Crypto-Asset Clarity Act.
Bitcoin's price briefly touched $86,247 in early New York trading on Monday, rising nearly 7% in the past 24 hours, despite the highly anticipated Crypto-Asset Clarity Act failing to pass through the
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Fed's Goolsbee Says 'Aggressive' Action Needed on Inflation, Citing Overheating Demand and Iran Supply Shock
Fed's Goolsbee Says 'Aggressive' Action Needed on Inflation, Citing Overheating Demand and Iran Supply Shock
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U.S. fuel prices are surging, with diesel nearing $6.50/gallon and gasoline rising to $4.48/gallon, which could push inflation expectations higher and reinforce the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance.
U.S. diesel prices have surged to nearly $6.50/gallon, up approximately 18% from the August average, while gasoline prices have climbed to $4.48/gallon. Consumer surveys have not yet fully reflected t
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US Treasury Secretary Bessent expresses confidence in Fed Chair Warsh regarding Fed rate hikes
US Treasury Secretary Bessent expresses confidence in Fed Chair Warsh regarding Fed rate hikes
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Fed's Goolsbee warns: Returning to 2% inflation target "will not be without pain," employment and wages may pay the price.
Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee stated on Monday that supply shocks have become more frequent and persistent in recent years, and the Federal Reserve can no longer simply "look through" them as
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Fed's Goolsbee: Rate cuts would be "no problem" if inflation clearly returns to 2%.
The Federal Reserve's Austan Goolsbee stated he would have "no problem" with cutting interest rates if inflation clearly returns to the 2% target. He believes the Fed is currently facing an inflation
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Bitcoin breaks $80,000 as $148 billion US liquidity shock fails to crack market
According to Federal Reserve data, the U.S. Treasury General Account increased by $148.003 billion before September 16, causing commercial bank deposits at the Federal Reserve to decrease by $114.971
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Bitcoin surges above $83,500, Monero (XMR) up 13%, as falling oil prices lift risk assets; Trump-Xi summit eyed
Bitcoin traded just under $84,000 on Monday, extending gains from late last week, with Monero's XMR leading larger tokens with a 13% rise. Broader risk assets also climbed, including S&P 500 and Nasda
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US Treasury yields ease on Monday, with 10-year note falling 3 bps to 4.967%
US Treasury yields were lower on Monday, tracking a global easing of government borrowing costs amid falling oil prices. The benchmark 10-year Treasury note yield fell by around 3 basis points to 4.96
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Citi Raises 10-Year U.S. Treasury Yield Forecast to 5.0% by Year-End
Citi's strategist Jason Williams explained that the world is now fundamentally different compared to the July FOMC, leading to the revised outlook. The bank assumes Fed rate hike pricing will remain u
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Bloomberg Markets Analysis: The market can handle the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance, but not uncertainty.
Bloomberg Markets analysis indicates that the Federal Reserve's increasing clarity in its commitment to combating inflation provides a bullish case for investors, but risks related to oil prices and a
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Fed and BoE step up scrutiny of banks' exposure to trading firms after Jane Street loss
The US Federal Reserve and the Bank of England are intensifying their questioning of prime brokers regarding banks' exposure to trading firms, following a loss at Jane Street and the blow-up of AI-foc
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Morgan Stanley: The core of Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh's policy lies in the balance sheet; the market may be overestimating the extent of interest rate hikes.
Morgan Stanley stated in its latest research report that the Federal Reserve's 25 basis point rate hike last week was not the start of a new tightening cycle, but rather a "policy fine-tuning" to main
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Asian stock markets generally rose on Monday, with the Hang Seng Index in Hong Kong once gaining 140 points during intraday trading; oil prices pulled back, with Brent crude falling 2.1% to $101.63.
Asian equities mostly rose on Monday, with chipmakers boosted by AI data demand, while better-than-expected crude oil supply from the Middle East eased market concerns about oil prices. Hong Kong's Ha
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Deutsche Bank: Gold Price Rally Driven by Reserve Management Institutions, Strait of Hormuz Conflict and Oil Price Decline Outweigh Federal Reserve Rate Hikes
Deutsche Bank's latest metal flow report indicates an anomalous rise in gold prices following the Federal Reserve's rate hike, despite no significant increase in volume from conventional buyers (comme
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Wall Street's three major banks predict the U.S. Treasury will issue approximately $1 trillion in short-term Treasury bills over the next year, posing a dilemma for Scott Bessent's policy.
Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase, and Goldman Sachs latest forecasts indicate that the U.S. Treasury will net borrow approximately $1 trillion through the issuance of short-term Treasury bills in the c
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Gold holds steady as traders weigh inflation and Federal Reserve rate hike prospects.
Gold prices held steady as traders weighed the risks of persistent inflation against the Federal Reserve's path for interest rate hikes. This follows the Fed's first rate hike since 2023, with a unani
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US Treasury investors are shifting to short-term bonds, betting that the Federal Reserve will succeed in curbing inflation.
U.S. government bond investors are shifting their focus to holding short-term government bonds, betting that the Federal Reserve will ultimately succeed in curbing inflation. This comes after the two-
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Oaktree's Howard Marks Prefers Less Fed Communication, Citing Chair Warsh's Efforts to Curtail Guidance
Oaktree's Howard Marks Prefers Less Fed Communication, Citing Chair Warsh's Efforts to Curtail Guidance
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
24H Trending
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XRP is testing the $1.50 resistance level, a key threshold that has capped its advances for roughly 230 days, with a break potentially leading to $1.80+
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JPMorgan CEO Dimon to Visit India This Week, Ramping Up Push for Deal Boom
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Seoul stocks rise 1.65% on chip gains despite Middle East tensions
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Binance Stock Trading Platform Adds 25 New Stocks
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Morgan Stanley’s Wilson Says US Stocks Risk 7% Drop in Near Term
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Novo Nordisk, the Danish pharmaceutical giant, saw its shares fall by 7% despite setting a $23 billion sales target for its weight-loss drug.
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A Hong Kong hotel has been put up for sale by Nanyang Commercial Bank for HK$1.87 billion after being taken over, reflecting a trend of converting hotels into student dormitories.
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US equity futures rise, led by AI stocks; oil prices fall over 2% to around $101; US Treasury yields decline; US and Chinese officials discuss AI national security "notification mechanism."
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Commodities trader Trafigura plans to float its supertanker arm Volare Shipping in Oslo, marking the business's first IPO
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Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) In-Depth Analysis: Global Progress and Impact
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