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Inflation
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Analyst: Don't expect Warsh to provide forward-looking guidance tonight
Svmuu News: Tonight, investors will once again hear from Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh, in his second public address since making his debut at the Fed’s policy meeting two weeks ago.However, investor
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ING Group: Warsh's Upcoming Speech May Boost the Dollar
Svmuu News: Chris Turner of ING Group stated in a report that if Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh focuses on price stability during his speech at the European Central Bank (ECB) forum in Sintra, Portuga
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Amid concerns over interest rate hikes, gold prices fell back below $40,000
Svmuu News: Gold prices fell back below $4,000 per ounce ahead of a speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Wash at the European Central Bank (ECB) forum in Portugal. Analysts at Saxo Bank stated, “The mar
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Federal Reserve Hamak: Federal Reserve: A rate hike may need to be considered
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Hamak stated that the job market is nearing full employment and the outlook for growth is positive. Inflation remains too high, Federal Reserve and a rate hike may need to b
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Cathie Wood: New AI Technologies Are Ushering in a Productivity Cycle; the Narrative of a Resurgence in Inflation Is Being Dampened by Macroeconomic Data
Svmuu News: Cathie Wood, founder of ARK Invest, shared her latest market outlook on X, stating that a series of recent macroeconomic data points are steadily alleviating market concerns about a resurg
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Gold is under pressure from Federal Reserve's hawkish stance and is expected to post its largest monthly decline since late 2008
Svmuu News: Gold prices have fallen and are expected to post their largest monthly decline since October 2008; on a quarterly basis, gold is also set to record its first quarterly decline since 2024,
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Castle Securities: The AI Market Is Facing Greater Risks; Federal Reserve's Policies Will Become More Stringent
Svmuu News: Castle Securities stated that the AI market is facing greater risks, including weakening demand, declining returns, and increased political and regulatory scrutiny. Investors have underest
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Citi: Raises Target for 10-Year U.S. Treasury Yield, but Remains Bullish on the Bond Market
Svmuu News: Citigroup interest rate strategists said in a report that they have slightly raised their year-end forecast for the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield to 3.9%, up from their previous target of 3.
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South Korea's inflation rate may exceed 3% for the second consecutive month; June CPI is expected to rise 3.2% year-over-year
Svmuu News: A survey indicates that South Korea’s overall inflation rate may exceed 3% for the second consecutive month, surpassing the Bank of Korea’s 2% target. The median forecast of seven economis
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Federal Reserve Kashkari: In last week’s dot plot projections, nearly half of the officials expected at least one more rate hike this year
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Official Kashkari stated, “I am concerned about inflation; this is not just related to the situation in the Middle East, but is a manifestation of broader inflationary press
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U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar fell as inflation concerns eased
Svmuu News: As oil prices fell more than 3% and the market reassessed the outlook for U.S. interest rates, U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar declined. CME Group(CME) Federal Reserve’s monitoring too
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Economist: Tokyo CPI Data Unlikely to Accelerate Bank of Japan (BOJ) Interest Rate Hike
Svmuu News: Takuya Hoshino, an economist at the Dai-ichi Life Research Institute in Japan, said that consumer inflation in the Tokyo metropolitan area rose in June for the first time in eight months,
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Federal Reserve Williams: The current monetary policy stance will help bring inflation back to 2%
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Williams stated that the current monetary policy stance is well-positioned to bring inflation back to Federal Reserve the 2% target, while also acknowledging that risks rema
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Economist: U.S. Core PCE Won't Fall Easily
Svmuu News: Following a 4.1% year-over-year increase in the PCE index in May, some economists expect this may mark the peak of price increases. However, Joseph Brusuelas, chief economist at RSM, said
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Anthony Pompliano: 9% inflation won’t become the norm; AGI is just around the corner
Svmuu News Bitcoin Anthony Pompliano, chairman of ProCap Financial, posted on X stating that,Mythos reportedly breached the U.S. National Security Agency’s (NSA) classified systems within hours, which
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U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar fell on the back of U.S. economic data, with the 10-year Treasury yield dropping to 4.371%.
Svmuu News: As U.S. data sent mixed signals and oil prices fell below pre-war levels, U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar declined. The year-over-year increase in the May PCE index was in line with av
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Financial markets are betting on an interest rate hike as early as September, followed by a possible second hike
Svmuu News: Driven by rising energy prices resulting from the conflict in the Middle East, U.S. inflation continued to climb in May, with the annual PCE inflation rate surpassing the 4% threshold for
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U.S. stock index futures extended their gains as PCE data came in largely in line with expectations
Svmuu News: According to data from MSX.COM, U.S. stock index futures extended their gains as PCE data largely met expectations, bolstering market hopes that the Federal Reserve would not adopt an over
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Spot gold has surged by nearly $30 in the short term and is currently trading at $4,010 per ounce.
Svmuu News: According to Gate data, following the release of U.S. PCE figures, spot gold surged by nearly $30 in a short period and is currently trading at $4,010 per ounce.
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The U.S. core PCE annual rate rose slightly to 3.4%, in line with market expectations.
Svmuu News: The U.S. core PCE price index for May came in at 3.4% year-over-year, in line with market expectations, marking its highest level since October 2023. The U.S. core PCE price index for May
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Bitcoin Panic in the derivatives market is mounting; core PCE may become a key catalyst for market movements
Svmuu News: Currently, Bitcoin risk appetite in the derivatives market has weakened significantly; investors are paying high premiums to hedge against downside risks, and overall market sentiment has
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Opinion: If U.S. PCE comes in stronger than expected, it could reverse the optimism sparked by Micron’s earnings report
Svmuu News: Ipek Ozkadskaya, senior market analyst at Ruixin Bank, said, “If the PCE data comes in stronger than expected, it could further encourage Federal Reserve to adopt a hawkish stance and reve
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Analysis: A rebound in tech stocks has boosted risk sentiment, and the Bitcoin has rebounded slightly after hitting a recent low.
Svmuu News: Following Micron’s release of optimistic financial results and Qualcomm’s positive earnings outlook, sentiment in the tech sector has clearly improved, driving a rebound in market risk app
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Bank of Japan (BOJ) Policy Board Member: If the risk of inflation exceeding expectations materializes, it may be necessary to accelerate the pace of interest rate hikes.
Svmuu News Bank of Japan (BOJ) Policy Board Member Naoki Tamura: (Commenting on the possibility of consecutive rate hikes) If the risk of inflation exceeding expectations materializes, we may need to
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Asian Stocks, Bonds Set to Decline Thursday on Inflation Jitters
The decline tracks Wall Street losses as an oil rally and stronger-than-expected US economic data fueled inflation concerns and bets on further interest-rate hikes. The yen, near a three-week low, wil
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US Treasury yields soar, with 10-year note hitting 5.125% and 2-year note topping 4.9%, threatening higher borrowing costs for consumers
Government debt costs leaped higher on Wednesday, driven by factors including a report showing increased inflation pressures, surging expectations for an October Fed rate hike, and weak demand at a 5-
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Federal Reserve Governor Barr supports further interest rate hikes, S&P Global's inflation indicator hits a new high since October 2022, and market expectations for a Fed rate hike in October rise to 71%.
Federal Reserve Governor Michael Barr stated on Wednesday that policymakers may need to further adjust policy to ensure inflation returns to target in a timely manner. On the same day, S&P Global's fl
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ECB's Lane: Eurozone HICP inflation is projected at 3.0% in 2026 and 2.5% in 2027.
In a speech in Geneva, Philip R. Lane, Member of the Executive Board of the European Central Bank, unveiled the ECB's September macroeconomic projections, forecasting HICP inflation for the Eurozone a
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McDonald's CEO expects high inflation and flat traffic to persist in restaurant industry
McDonald's CEO Chris Kempczinski stated on Wednesday that the company does not anticipate a change in these conditions, viewing them as the new operating environment. He noted that in the most recent
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Fed Governor Barr: AI Boom, Tariffs, and Energy Prices Fueling Inflation; Further Policy Adjustments Likely Needed
Federal Reserve Governor Michael Barr stated that the AI boom and price pressures related to tariffs and energy have contributed to “upward price pressures.” He added that given rising inflation risks
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U.S. September PMI data surged to a five-year high, with input costs reaching their highest since 2022, intensifying inflation concerns.
U.S. business activity accelerated significantly in September, with the S&P Global Manufacturing PMI rising to 57.0, the Services PMI to 58.7, and the Composite PMI to 58.4. All figures substantially
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Germany's largest trade union, IG Metall, is seeking a 5% wage increase for 3.7 million workers, putting new pressure on the European Central Bank to raise interest rates again.
Germany's IG Metall union will launch a new round of wage negotiations in October, demanding a 5% pay raise for approximately 3.7 million workers in the metal and electrical components industries to c
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Eastmoney Securities Research Institute Report: The world has not yet entered a phase of full tightening, and there is room to increase allocation to US Treasury bonds.
Eastmoney Securities Research Institute released a macro special report on September 23, outlining the characteristics and patterns of ten global synchronized tightening cycles since the 1970s. The re
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh responded to Donald Trump's demand for interest rate cuts to 1%, emphasizing that inflation has exceeded targets for five consecutive years and that rate hikes were unanimously approved by the committee.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh stated clearly at the press conference that inflation has exceeded the target for over five consecutive years, and this 25 basis point rate hike to the 3.75%-4% range al
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Analysts conclude their longest upgrade cycle in five years, holding a net negative view on U.S. corporate earnings prospects for the first time.
For the first time in months, equity analysts have turned net negative on the outlook for U.S. corporate earnings, reflecting concerns about the impact of inflation and high interest rates on company
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Hong Kong's August overall consumer prices rose 1.7% YoY, underlying inflation 1.9%
Hong Kong's overall consumer prices rose by 1.7% year-on-year in August, matching July's figure. The underlying inflation rate, which excludes one-off government relief measures, also remained unchang
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Nomura economists say Federal Reserve Chair Warsh's new inflation tracking method lacks predictive power
Economists at Nomura state that the new method Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh uses to gauge underlying inflation does not have better predictive power than core readings. Warsh revealed this method
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U.S. Treasury yields held steady in early trading, oil prices fluctuated, and the market focused on speeches by Federal Reserve officials.
U.S. Treasury yields were largely stable in early trading on Wednesday, with the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield at 4.963%, the 2-year Treasury yield at 4.771%, and the 30-year Treasury yield at 5.3%
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Oaktree Capital's Howard Marks warns: Out-of-control US fiscal discipline is the fundamental reason for rising interest rates, with the current deficit at about 6% of GDP.
Oaktree Capital co-founder Howard Marks stated in his latest memo on Tuesday that the uncontrolled fiscal discipline in the U.S. is the fundamental reason for rising long-term interest rates, and that
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Boston Fed President Collins warns inflation could remain 'notably' above 2% target
Boston Federal Reserve President Susan Collins stated that there is "an increased likelihood" of inflation staying "notably" above the Federal Reserve's 2% target. She explained her reasoning for back
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Singapore Core Inflation Rises Third Month to 2.2% in August, Highest Since 2024
Singapore's core inflation, which excludes housing and private transportation costs, accelerated to 2.2% year-on-year in August, marking the third consecutive monthly increase and reaching its highest
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Soaring diesel prices are costing European drivers an extra €203 million per day.
Soaring diesel prices are costing European drivers an extra €203 million per day, with the cost of filling up a tank increasing by 40% since the beginning of the year.
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ADB Warns: Asian Inflationary Pressures to Persist Until 2027
ADB Warns: Asian Inflationary Pressures to Persist Until 2027
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U.S. Stocks Mixed as AI Buzz Stokes Tech Gains to Record Highs, Energy Inflation Fears Linger
U.S. Stocks Mixed as AI Buzz Stokes Tech Gains to Record Highs, Energy Inflation Fears Linger
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Citigroup Survey: Inflation Overtakes Tariffs as Family Offices' Top Concern, Wealthy Flock to Gold and US Equities
Inflation has supplanted trade wars and tariffs as the top risk concern for ultra-high-net-worth individuals this year, with interest rate changes and global financial system stability closely followi
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Richmond Fed President Barkin warned that inflationary pressures will take time to subside, and there is a risk of high inflation becoming entrenched.
Richmond Fed President Barkin warned that inflationary pressures will take time to subside, and there is a risk of high inflation becoming entrenched.
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Fed’s Collins Says Last Week’s Rate Hike Will Help Return Inflation to Goal
Federal Reserve Bank of Boston President Susan Collins said she supported last week’s decision to raise interest rates, which she said would help bring inflation back to the central bank’s 2% target.
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Demand Surges at South African Bond Auction Ahead of Rate Call
Demand surged at an auction of South African government bonds as investors sought relatively high yields ahead of inflation data and a central bank policy meeting scheduled for later this week.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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