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Inflation
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US stocks were mixed on Wednesday, with positive economic data offset by high bond yields and oil prices.
U.S. stocks closed mixed on Wednesday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 falling, while the Nasdaq rose. This followed U.S. economic data showing Q2 GDP growth revised up by 0.7 percen
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Donald Trump stated that inflation data, excluding oil, has significantly decreased.
Donald Trump stated that inflation data, excluding oil, has significantly decreased.
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Goldman Sachs delays its forecast for the Federal Reserve's second rate hike of the year to December, not ruling out the possibility that no further hikes will be needed.
Goldman Sachs on Wednesday pushed back its forecast for a second Federal Reserve rate hike this year from October to December, while not ruling out the possibility that the Fed may ultimately decide n
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Fed Governor Cook states inflation has been too high for too long, remains committed to target while preserving labor market strength
Fed Governor Lisa Cook stated that inflation has been too high for too long, reiterating her commitment to bringing it back to target while preserving labor-market strength. Cook did not comment direc
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Goldman Sachs pushes next Fed hike forecast to December after softer inflation data.
The firm now says an October Fed hike is unlikely, with core PCE falling to 3.01% year-over-year, well below expectations. Goldman now forecasts 3.0% Q4/Q4 core inflation, compared to the Fed's median
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US Inflation Data Triggers Crypto Short Squeeze, Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP Drive 2633% Imbalance in Liquidations
According to U.Today, the latest US inflation data showed persistent price pressures, yet major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP saw price increases, triggering significant market vola
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ECB's Schnabel: We have raised interest rates by 50 basis points since June, bringing the deposit facility rate to 2.5%.
Isabel Schnabel, a member of the Executive Board of the European Central Bank (ECB), stated that the ECB's Governing Council has acted promptly since the outbreak of the Middle East conflict worsened
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US August inflation breadth cooled, with the share of the PCE basket with a six-month annualized inflation rate above 3% falling to 44%.
US August inflation breadth shows signs of cooling. While the revised core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) has slowed, 51% of the PCE basket goods still saw an annualized increase of 3% or mor
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Bitcoin broke above $85,000 after US August PCE inflation data came in below expectations, and the probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike dropped below 50%.
Bitcoin's price broke above $85,000 after the U.S. August Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index rose 3.4% year-over-year, below market expectations of 3.7%. This lower-than-expected infl
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Fed Insider Timiraos: PCE Report Doesn't Alter Known Trends, August Price Pressures Didn't Continue to Ease
Fed insider Nick Timiraos stated that the PCE report did not significantly alter the previously known trend regarding whether price pressures are genuinely easing or merely due to changes in measureme
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Global Bonds Face Worst Quarter Since 2024 Amid Inflation Fears Revived by $100 Oil
Global government bonds are about to finish their worst quarter since 2024, as the return of $100 oil revives the threat of an inflation shock to the world economy.
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Traders cut bets on a Federal Reserve October rate hike after PCE data came in below expectations.
Traders cut bets on a Federal Reserve October rate hike after PCE data came in below expectations.
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According to Fed insider Nick Timiraos: U.S. August core goods rose 0.03% month-over-month, housing rose 0.19% month-over-month, and core services (excluding housing) rose 0.36% month-over-month, the third highest monthly increase in over two years.
According to Fed insider Nick Timiraos: U.S. August core goods rose 0.03% month-over-month, housing rose 0.19% month-over-month, and core services (excluding housing) rose 0.36% month-over-month, the
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According to Fed source Nick Timiraos: U.S. core goods inflation has fallen from its March peak of 2.5% to approximately 2% in August.
According to Fed insider Nick Timiraos' analysis, U.S. core goods inflation, calculated on a 12-month basis, has fallen from its March peak of 2.5% to approximately 2% in August. He points out that th
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The U.S. Department of Energy announced the sale of 40 million barrels of crude oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, a move analysts say could impact Bitcoin's price.
The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) has opened a tender for an exchange (sale) of up to 40 million barrels of crude oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR), with bids due by October 6 and expec
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U.S. inflation-adjusted consumer spending rose 0.6% month-over-month in August, the largest increase since March 2025; the core PCE price index increased by only 0.2% month-over-month.
U.S. inflation-adjusted consumer spending rose 0.6% month-over-month in August, the largest monthly increase since March 2025. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge climbed 0.3% m
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Spot Gold extends gains after US PCE data, last up 0.6% at $4,206.29/oz
Spot Gold extends gains after US PCE data, last up 0.6% at $4,206.29/oz
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Fed’s preferred gauge showed August core inflation at 3.0%, much lighter than expected (Dow Jones consensus: 3.3%)
Fed’s preferred gauge showed August core inflation at 3.0%, much lighter than expected (Dow Jones consensus: 3.3%)
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US Core PCE Price Index QoQ 3.3%, expected 3.6%, prior 4.4%, below expectations
Core PCE Price Index QoQ: 3.3%, expected 3.6%, prior 4.4%, below expectations Release Time: 2026-09-30 12:30 UTC
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US PCE Price Index quarter-on-quarter 5%, expected 5.3%, previous 4.6%, below expectations
PCE Price Index QoQ: 5%, expected 5.3%, previous 4.6%, below expectations Release Time: 2026-09-30 12:30 UTC
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US PCE Price Index MoM 0.3%, expected 0.4%, prior 0.2%, below expectations
PCE Price Index MoM: 0.3%, expected 0.4%, prior 0.2%, below expectations Release Time: 2026-09-30 12:30 UTC
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US PCE Price Index YoY 3.4%, expected 3.7%, prior 3.7%, below expectations
PCE Price Index YoY: 3.4%, expected 3.7%, prior 3.7%, below expectations Release Time: 2026-09-30 12:30 UTC
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Global bond markets experienced their "darkest September," with U.S. Treasury yields surging to their highest levels since 2007, yet equity markets resisted the downturn.
The global bond market suffered a severe blow in September, recording its worst monthly performance in years. The 10-year US Treasury yield alone rose by over 45 basis points in the month, reaching ne
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Germany's CPI MoM was 0.6%, above the expected 0.5% and the previous 0.2%.
CPI MoM: 0.6%, expected 0.5%, previous 0.2%, above expectations Release Time: 2026-09-30 12:00 UTC
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San Francisco Fed President Daly: To fight inflation, further rate hikes may be needed in the future
San Francisco Fed President Daly: To fight inflation, further rate hikes may be needed in the future
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Fed's Daly calls October jobs report 'good news,' but expresses concern over inflation outlook
Federal Reserve official Mary Daly stated that the October employment report was "good news," expressing optimism about the U.S. labor market. However, she emphasized that wage growth is not running h
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U.S. November University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index rose to 51.0, beating expectations
The US November University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index rose to 51.0, beating the market expectation of 48.0. Specifically, the Current Economic Conditions Index came in at 51.0 (compared to 4
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Bank of England raises interest rates by 25 basis points to 4% and expects inflation to be near 5% next year
The Bank of England announced a 25-basis-point interest rate hike, bringing its benchmark rate to 4%. The current interest rate level reflects growing concerns over inflation exacerbated by persistent
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Bitcoin's rate-cut rally has stalled due to rising services inflation
Bitcoin's rate-cut relief rally has stalled due to surging service sector inflation. Although the October services prices index edged down to 73, its 12-month moving average reached 69.2, hitting the
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Analysts say that as a net energy exporter, Malaysia is attracting buyers into its government bonds to hedge against regional inflation.
Analysts say that as a net energy exporter, Malaysia is attracting buyers into its government bonds to hedge against regional inflation.
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Canada and Bank of Canada Renew Policy Framework to Focus on 2% Inflation Target
Canada and the Bank of Canada have renewed their policy framework, narrowing its focus on price stability and confirming that hitting its 2% inflation target is its most important priority.
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Reform UK leader Farage fears Trump will continue attacking Iran after the US midterm elections.
Reform UK leader and British Member of Parliament Nigel Farage has expressed concern that his political ally, US President Donald Trump, might launch further attacks on Iran following a defeat in the
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ECB President Lagarde: Energy shocks and AI are pulling the current situation in opposite directions
European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde stated that energy shocks and artificial intelligence are pulling the current economic situation in opposite directions, making it difficult to disent
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Richmond Fed President Barkin: The Federal Reserve still needs to raise interest rates in the future, but the pace will remain gradual
Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin said he expects the Federal Reserve will need to raise interest rates further in the future, though the exact magnitude and pace remain uncertain. In an interview wit
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Richmond Fed President Barkin: Inflation is the most critical risk currently facing the Federal Reserve
Richmond Fed President Barkin stated that inflation is the most significant risk currently facing the Federal Reserve, noting that inflation is neither accelerating nor declining, and monetary policy
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Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack: Must Maintain Restrictive Interest Rates to Cool Inflation
Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack said interest rates need to remain restrictive to bring inflation down to the central bank's target, and more frequent adjustments would help reduce the risk of po
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Moody's Analytics Chief Economist Zandi: Little Substantive Change Expected in US Economic Policy After Midterm Landslide for Democrats
Moody's Analytics Chief Economist Zandi said that following the Democrats' landslide victory in the midterm elections, he expects no changes to U.S. economic policy; policies such as tariffs, trade po
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Yardeni: US 10-year Treasury yields attractive at 5% amid cooling inflation
Yardeni: US 10-year Treasury yields attractive at 5% amid cooling inflation
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Philippines' October inflation rate rises to 7.8%, nearing four-year high
The Philippines' inflation rate rose to 7.8% in October, marking the fastest pace in nearly four years. This was primarily driven by the ongoing Middle East conflict, which pushed up fuel, electricity
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US Vice President JD Vance blamed the Republican midterm election defeats on the Iran war.
US Vice President JD Vance stated that the Republican Party's defeat in the midterms was due to voters who supported Donald Trump in 2024 shifting toward the Democrats, noting that internal polling sh
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International Policy Analyst: US Midterm Election Results Indicate War with Iran Has Become a Political Liability
Citing analysis from Negar Mortazavi, a senior researcher at the Center for International Policy, Al Jazeera's live updates noted that the US midterm election results indicate the US president cannot
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Political Analysts: US Midterm Election Results Reflect Public Discontent with Donald Trump's Policies and the War with Iran
Political analyst Rami Khouri stated that the results of the U.S. midterm elections reflect widespread public dissatisfaction with Donald Trump's policies, noting that the war with Iran has highlighte
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Political Analysts: US Midterm Election Results Reflect Public Protests Against Trump's Iran War and Economic Consequences
Political analyst Yousef Munayyer said in an interview with Al Jazeera that the U.S. midterm election results reflect widespread public anger over Donald Trump's war with Iran and its ensuing economic
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Eurozone October CPI rises to 4% year-on-year, hitting a three-year high
Eurozone October CPI rose to 4% year-on-year, hitting a three-year high. Data showed that the Eurozone's inflation rate in October climbed to 4% from 3.8% in September, marking the first time since Se
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Bloomberg: Private Survey Shows Unexpected Slowdown in China's Services Sector as Firms Cut Prices
According to Bloomberg, a private survey showed that growth in China's services sector unexpectedly slowed, hitting its first deceleration since July. Business confidence weakened, and firms lowered t
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White House: Prescription drug prices are falling at their fastest pace in over 60 years under the Trump administration, with a cumulative drop of 4.5% in 2026.
The White House stated that under President Donald Trump, prescription drug prices are falling at their fastest pace in decades, providing millions of Americans with tangible and measurable financial
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JetBlue raises checked bag fees for the third time in a year due to rising fuel costs
JetBlue has raised its checked bag fees for the third time in a year due to rising fuel costs. For off-peak travel, the fee for a first checked bag purchased more than 24 hours in advance by economy p
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Bloomberg: Macklem Says Carney's Fiscal Plan Has Not Added to Bank of Canada's Inflation Fight Difficulty
According to Bloomberg, Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem stated that Prime Minister Carney’s fiscal plan has not yet made it more difficult for the central bank to control inflation. Macklem told
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
Inflation
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