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Inflation
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Trump Kicks Off Midterm Election Campaign, Seeks to Boost Republican Prospects
Donald Trump kicked off a 32-day midterm election campaign on Thursday, holding rallies in Texas and Oklahoma to boost Republican prospects in the November elections. Trump's approval ratings are curr
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European bond markets experienced a "Black Thursday," with France's 10-year yield hitting a new high since 2002, and the UK's 30-year yield surpassing 6% for the first time.
The global bond market sell-off spread from US Treasuries to Europe, with European government bond yields surging and spreads widening rapidly on Thursday. France's 10-year government bond yield brief
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Oil prices rose despite the resumption of tanker traffic in the Strait of Hormuz, and the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield hit a 24-year high.
Global crude oil futures benchmarks rose 4.4% to $102.31 per barrel on Thursday, even as U.S. forces weakened Iran's control over the Strait of Hormuz, helping oil shipments rebound to pre-war levels,
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Dallas Federal Reserve President Logan: The Federal Reserve may need to raise interest rates by at least another 50 basis points to ensure inflation does not exceed the 2% target.
Dallas Federal Reserve President Lorie Logan stated that the Federal Reserve might need to raise interest rates by at least another 50 basis points to ensure inflation does not stabilize above the cen
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US factory costs spike in September, threatening Bitcoin’s rally
US manufacturers reported more widespread input-price increases in September, with the Institute for Supply Management’s (ISM) manufacturing prices index rising 6.8 points to 77.9 from August’s 71.1.
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Asian Stocks Poised to Fall as Oil Rallies on US-Iran Conflict Concerns
Asian stocks are expected to decline as oil prices surged due to the prospect of renewed conflict between the US and Iran, reviving concerns about the inflationary impact of higher energy prices. The
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Japan's Takaichi government pivots away from reflation amid US pressure on yen and fiscal and monetary policy
Japan's Takaichi government pivots away from reflation amid US pressure on yen and fiscal and monetary policy
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Trump says prices are “way down” from Biden administration levels and are “coming down rapidly”
Trump says prices are “way down” from Biden administration levels and are “coming down rapidly”
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Fed's Kashkari open to October rate hike, warns of more if economy stays strong
Federal Reserve's Neel Kashkari stated he has "no strong view" on an October rate hike and remains open-minded on the pace of tightening. His September projections indicated one more hike in 2026 and
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Federal Reserve Vice Chair Jefferson: Next Rate Decision May Take More Time, Future Actions Will Depend on Data
Federal Reserve Vice Chair Jefferson stated that the Federal Reserve "may need more time" before making its next interest rate decision, and future actions will be data-driven. He noted that inflation
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Bitcoin ended September with a 6.33% gain, breaking the "Red September Curse," and entered "Uptober" but faces challenges from Federal Reserve rate hikes and high US Treasury yields.
Bitcoin recorded a 6.33% gain in September, breaking the historical "Red September" curse, and entered the traditionally strong "Uptober" at a price of $83,823. However, the market is facing macroecon
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Trump: Interest rates can slow down growth. We want growth — and growth does not cause inflation.
Trump: Interest rates can slow down growth. We want growth — and growth does not cause inflation.
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Donald Trump told TIME magazine that the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy is doing more harm to the U.S. than inflation, and stated that certain levels of inflation could quickly pay off debt.
Donald Trump told TIME magazine that the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy is doing more harm to the U.S. than inflation, and stated that certain levels of inflation could quickly pay off debt.
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Economist Lacy Hunt warns the Federal Reserve may err, and expresses concern about inflation risks.
Lacy Hunt, an economist at Hoisington Investment Management, and his colleagues believe the Federal Reserve risks making a mistake and express concern about inflation. Hunt, who has been one of the mo
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"New Bond King" Gundlach warns of "surface prosperity, internal decay" in US stocks, and expresses concerns about hidden risks in private markets, fiscal deficits, and the dollar's status.
"New Bond King" Jeffrey Gundlach stated that the US stock market is outwardly prosperous but inwardly rotten, with 80% of S&P 500 components already in a technical correction and 39% in bear market te
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Eurozone Manufacturing PMI rose to a 52-month high of 52.9 in September, as renewed inflation pressure led the market to expect three rate hikes from the ECB.
According to the S&P Global data cited in the source, the eurozone manufacturing PMI rose to 52.9 in September, increasing for a third consecutive month and exceeding the initial reading of 52.7. New
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Steven Blitz, Chief US Economist at TS Lombard, warns: The Federal Reserve has committed a "cardinal sin," and the 10-year US Treasury yield could be heading towards 8%.
Steven Blitz, Chief US Economist at TS Lombard, warned that the Federal Reserve has committed a "cardinal sin," and the 10-year US Treasury yield could be heading towards 8%. In his latest report, "Or
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Global Crop Prices See Biggest Jump Since 2022, Threatening to Boost Inflation
Global agriculture prices notched their biggest quarterly jump since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in early 2022 on fresh tensions in the Black Sea region and extreme weather, in a potential headwind f
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Japan's inflation wave lifts prices on over 3,000 food and drink items from Thursday
Companies increased prices on more than 3,000 food and drink products from Thursday in response to higher wages, a weaker yen, and soaring energy and logistics costs.
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Pandora CEO Says US Demand Stabilizes at Low Levels as Inflation Concerns Mount
Pandora A/S CEO Berta de Pablos-Barbier said the company is seeing demand in the U.S. market stabilize at a low level as consumers grapple with inflation and high oil prices.
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Gold Steady as Softer Inflation Data Tempers Fed Rate-Hike Bets, though High Bond Yields Leave Door Open to Renewed Selling
Gold opened the month steady as softer inflation data lowered bets the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates at its next meeting, while high bond yields left the door open to renewed selling.
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India's central bank successfully attracted dollar inflows, but this has exacerbated the inflation fight, potentially necessitating a more hawkish monetary policy.
India's central bank successfully attracted dollar inflows, but this has exacerbated the inflation fight, potentially necessitating a more hawkish monetary policy.
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BOJ Summary of Opinions Suggests Rate Hike Amid Approaching Inflation Target
The Bank of Japan's Summary of Opinions from its September 17-18 Monetary Policy Meeting, released today, indicates that the central bank is suitable to raise its policy interest rate and adjust the d
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Asian equities are set to open mixed in October after a late reversal on Wall Street erased earlier gains driven by US inflation data; US oil maintains upward momentum.
Asian equities are set to open mixed in October after a late reversal on Wall Street erased earlier gains driven by US inflation data; US oil maintains upward momentum.
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San Francisco Fed President Daly: To fight inflation, further rate hikes may be needed in the future
San Francisco Fed President Daly: To fight inflation, further rate hikes may be needed in the future
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Fed's Daly calls October jobs report 'good news,' but expresses concern over inflation outlook
Federal Reserve official Mary Daly stated that the October employment report was "good news," expressing optimism about the U.S. labor market. However, she emphasized that wage growth is not running h
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U.S. November University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index rose to 51.0, beating expectations
The US November University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index rose to 51.0, beating the market expectation of 48.0. Specifically, the Current Economic Conditions Index came in at 51.0 (compared to 4
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Bank of England raises interest rates by 25 basis points to 4% and expects inflation to be near 5% next year
The Bank of England announced a 25-basis-point interest rate hike, bringing its benchmark rate to 4%. The current interest rate level reflects growing concerns over inflation exacerbated by persistent
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Bitcoin's rate-cut rally has stalled due to rising services inflation
Bitcoin's rate-cut relief rally has stalled due to surging service sector inflation. Although the October services prices index edged down to 73, its 12-month moving average reached 69.2, hitting the
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Analysts say that as a net energy exporter, Malaysia is attracting buyers into its government bonds to hedge against regional inflation.
Analysts say that as a net energy exporter, Malaysia is attracting buyers into its government bonds to hedge against regional inflation.
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Canada and Bank of Canada Renew Policy Framework to Focus on 2% Inflation Target
Canada and the Bank of Canada have renewed their policy framework, narrowing its focus on price stability and confirming that hitting its 2% inflation target is its most important priority.
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Reform UK leader Farage fears Trump will continue attacking Iran after the US midterm elections.
Reform UK leader and British Member of Parliament Nigel Farage has expressed concern that his political ally, US President Donald Trump, might launch further attacks on Iran following a defeat in the
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ECB President Lagarde: Energy shocks and AI are pulling the current situation in opposite directions
European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde stated that energy shocks and artificial intelligence are pulling the current economic situation in opposite directions, making it difficult to disent
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Richmond Fed President Barkin: The Federal Reserve still needs to raise interest rates in the future, but the pace will remain gradual
Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin said he expects the Federal Reserve will need to raise interest rates further in the future, though the exact magnitude and pace remain uncertain. In an interview wit
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Richmond Fed President Barkin: Inflation is the most critical risk currently facing the Federal Reserve
Richmond Fed President Barkin stated that inflation is the most significant risk currently facing the Federal Reserve, noting that inflation is neither accelerating nor declining, and monetary policy
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Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack: Must Maintain Restrictive Interest Rates to Cool Inflation
Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack said interest rates need to remain restrictive to bring inflation down to the central bank's target, and more frequent adjustments would help reduce the risk of po
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Moody's Analytics Chief Economist Zandi: Little Substantive Change Expected in US Economic Policy After Midterm Landslide for Democrats
Moody's Analytics Chief Economist Zandi said that following the Democrats' landslide victory in the midterm elections, he expects no changes to U.S. economic policy; policies such as tariffs, trade po
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Yardeni: US 10-year Treasury yields attractive at 5% amid cooling inflation
Yardeni: US 10-year Treasury yields attractive at 5% amid cooling inflation
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Philippines' October inflation rate rises to 7.8%, nearing four-year high
The Philippines' inflation rate rose to 7.8% in October, marking the fastest pace in nearly four years. This was primarily driven by the ongoing Middle East conflict, which pushed up fuel, electricity
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US Vice President JD Vance blamed the Republican midterm election defeats on the Iran war.
US Vice President JD Vance stated that the Republican Party's defeat in the midterms was due to voters who supported Donald Trump in 2024 shifting toward the Democrats, noting that internal polling sh
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International Policy Analyst: US Midterm Election Results Indicate War with Iran Has Become a Political Liability
Citing analysis from Negar Mortazavi, a senior researcher at the Center for International Policy, Al Jazeera's live updates noted that the US midterm election results indicate the US president cannot
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Political Analysts: US Midterm Election Results Reflect Public Discontent with Donald Trump's Policies and the War with Iran
Political analyst Rami Khouri stated that the results of the U.S. midterm elections reflect widespread public dissatisfaction with Donald Trump's policies, noting that the war with Iran has highlighte
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Political Analysts: US Midterm Election Results Reflect Public Protests Against Trump's Iran War and Economic Consequences
Political analyst Yousef Munayyer said in an interview with Al Jazeera that the U.S. midterm election results reflect widespread public anger over Donald Trump's war with Iran and its ensuing economic
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Eurozone October CPI rises to 4% year-on-year, hitting a three-year high
Eurozone October CPI rose to 4% year-on-year, hitting a three-year high. Data showed that the Eurozone's inflation rate in October climbed to 4% from 3.8% in September, marking the first time since Se
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Bloomberg: Private Survey Shows Unexpected Slowdown in China's Services Sector as Firms Cut Prices
According to Bloomberg, a private survey showed that growth in China's services sector unexpectedly slowed, hitting its first deceleration since July. Business confidence weakened, and firms lowered t
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White House: Prescription drug prices are falling at their fastest pace in over 60 years under the Trump administration, with a cumulative drop of 4.5% in 2026.
The White House stated that under President Donald Trump, prescription drug prices are falling at their fastest pace in decades, providing millions of Americans with tangible and measurable financial
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JetBlue raises checked bag fees for the third time in a year due to rising fuel costs
JetBlue has raised its checked bag fees for the third time in a year due to rising fuel costs. For off-peak travel, the fee for a first checked bag purchased more than 24 hours in advance by economy p
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Bloomberg: Macklem Says Carney's Fiscal Plan Has Not Added to Bank of Canada's Inflation Fight Difficulty
According to Bloomberg, Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem stated that Prime Minister Carney’s fiscal plan has not yet made it more difficult for the central bank to control inflation. Macklem told
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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