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Inflation
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Gold prices fell near a nine-week low as escalating tensions in the Strait of Hormuz fueled inflation concerns, and markets weighed the prospect of another Federal Reserve rate hike this year.
Gold prices fell near a nine-week low as escalating tensions in the Strait of Hormuz fueled inflation concerns, and markets weighed the prospect of another Federal Reserve rate hike this year.
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Peru's central bank unexpectedly kept interest rates unchanged, holding steady for the 13th consecutive month.
Peru's central bank unexpectedly kept borrowing costs unchanged for the 13th consecutive month, as policymakers anticipate the recent acceleration in inflation to be temporary.
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Asian Stocks Poised for Declines, Tracking Wall Street Moves, as Elevated Oil Prices Fuel Inflation Worries
Asian Stocks Poised for Declines, Tracking Wall Street Moves, as Elevated Oil Prices Fuel Inflation Worries
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Fed Minutes: Inflation risks lean to the upside, with energy prices and increased AI investment adding to upside risks.
The Federal Reserve's September meeting minutes revealed that almost all participants viewed inflation risks as skewed to the upside, with some officials noting that this upward bias had strengthened
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Australian Treasurer Chalmers: Australia will still increase defense spending and purchase Japanese frigates despite planned budget cuts in FY2026.
Australian Treasurer Jim Chalmers stated that despite planned budget cuts for the 2026 fiscal year, Australia will increase defense spending and fulfill its commitment to purchase Japanese warships. C
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New York Fed survey shows Americans increasingly pessimistic about their financial situation, inflation expectations worsen.
U.S. consumers expect inflation to rise further over the coming year and anticipate their financial situation will worsen, according to the New York Federal Reserve's monthly Survey of Consumer Expect
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Capital Economics: Central banks unlikely to hike as much as markets price
Capital Economics states that central banks are unlikely to raise rates as far as investors currently expect over the next year. The firm notes that while elevated bond yields have tightened financial
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Fed minutes show most officials expect another rate hike by year-end, but an October move is unlikely given recent inflation data
The Federal Reserve on Wednesday released minutes from its Sept. 15-16 policy meeting, revealing that most participants assessed another increase in the federal funds rate would likely be appropriate
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Fed Minutes Show Most Officials See Another Rate Hike by Year-End
The minutes from the Federal Reserve meeting revealed that all participants backed September’s 25 basis point rate hike. Most officials judged another increase would likely be appropriate by year-end.
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US oil trader makes $2bn tanker investment as carriers avoid Hormuz
An American oil trader has invested $2 billion in tankers, as shipping companies increasingly avoid the Strait of Hormuz. This move comes amid an American security push to boost Asian refining, driven
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Oil prices surge, reigniting inflation concerns, as U.S. Treasury yields hit a new high since 2002. U.S. stocks face pressure from elevated levels, with the Dow falling over 1%.
On Wednesday, the main theme in global financial markets shifted to "rising oil prices—inflation concerns—higher interest rates." International oil prices continued their upward trend, with Brent crud
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NY Fed: U.S. Consumers' 1-Year Inflation Expectations Jump to 3.9% in September, Highest Since May 2023
The New York Fed reported that three-year expectations edged up to 3.3% from 3.2%, while five-year expectations held at 3.0%. Households also anticipate faster spending and higher commodity prices, al
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FOMC minutes in focus as October hike odds fall to 20%
The FOMC minutes will be scrutinized for how firmly officials backed further rate hikes after September’s unanimous 25bp increase. October hike odds have fallen to around 20% from 55% after softer inf
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French 10-year bond yield surges 16 bps to multi-decade high, with Pimco CEO warning of 'critical situation'
France's benchmark 10-year OAT yield surged 16 basis points on Wednesday, reaching a multi-decade high and accumulating over 100 basis points of increase since the start of the year. This comes as stu
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US federal outlook: Home heating oil bills to rise 21% this winter, driven by tight global diesel market
The U.S. Energy Information Administration's (EIA) annual Winter Fuels Outlook, released Tuesday, projects that households using heating oil will spend an average of $2,115 from November through March
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Italian Economy Minister: Italy asks EU to consider inflation a reason for budget target deviation
Italian Economy Minister: Italy asks EU to consider inflation a reason for budget target deviation
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"New Bond King" Gundlach: The Federal Reserve is facing a "waterbed problem," and US Treasury yields could rise to 6%
Jeffrey Gundlach, founder and CEO of DoubleLine Capital, warned that the U.S. fiscal deficit and inflation are pushing the Federal Reserve into an unsolvable dilemma, where both rate hikes and cuts wo
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IMF chief Georgieva warns AI boom is inflationary, pushing up yields and public debt to near WWII levels
IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva stated that while AI is a key driver of global growth, the AI building boom is inflationary, contributing to surging bond yields in the U.S., Germany, and Ja
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Japan's real wages rose 1.5% year-on-year in August, marking eight consecutive months of increases. Subsidies and tax cuts provided a floor, while a wave of bankruptcies and 76% interest rate hike expectations put the central bank in a dilemma.
Japan's Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare announced on Wednesday that real cash earnings in August rose by 1.5% year-on-year, marking the eighth consecutive month of increases and the longest str
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The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) raised its key interest rate by 25 basis points to 5.50%, the first hike since 2023, to curb inflation.
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) on Wednesday raised its benchmark repo rate by 25 basis points to 5.50%, a one-year high, in line with economists' expectations in a Reuters poll. The move aims to curb
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US services price gauge hits four-year high in September, clouding Bitcoin’s rate-relief outlook
The US services price gauge rose to 74.0 in September, marking its highest reading since July 2022 and surpassing August's 72.6. This occurred even as the overall services PMI eased to 54.9 from 55.4,
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Spain's government has once again approved the Housing Law: a 2% cap on rent increases and mandatory lease renewals, sparking market concerns.
The Spanish government approved two emergency housing decrees on September 29, aimed at limiting rent increases and mandating lease renewals. Although Congress rejected these decrees on October 2, the
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Federal Reserve Vice Chair Bowman: Plans to restructure bank supervision framework and review updated asset thresholds to reflect inflation.
Federal Reserve Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman stated on Tuesday that the Federal Reserve plans a major overhaul of its bank supervisory system, consolidating the supervisory functions of
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New York Fed Study: Tariffs Contributed 2.9 Percentage Points to Goods Price Inflation by February 2026
A new study from the New York Fed, shared by Nick Timiraos, indicates that by February 2026, tariffs had contributed 2.9 percentage points to goods price inflation. Without these tariffs, goods prices
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San Francisco Fed President Daly: To fight inflation, further rate hikes may be needed in the future
San Francisco Fed President Daly: To fight inflation, further rate hikes may be needed in the future
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Fed's Daly calls October jobs report 'good news,' but expresses concern over inflation outlook
Federal Reserve official Mary Daly stated that the October employment report was "good news," expressing optimism about the U.S. labor market. However, she emphasized that wage growth is not running h
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U.S. November University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index rose to 51.0, beating expectations
The US November University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index rose to 51.0, beating the market expectation of 48.0. Specifically, the Current Economic Conditions Index came in at 51.0 (compared to 4
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Bank of England raises interest rates by 25 basis points to 4% and expects inflation to be near 5% next year
The Bank of England announced a 25-basis-point interest rate hike, bringing its benchmark rate to 4%. The current interest rate level reflects growing concerns over inflation exacerbated by persistent
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Bitcoin's rate-cut rally has stalled due to rising services inflation
Bitcoin's rate-cut relief rally has stalled due to surging service sector inflation. Although the October services prices index edged down to 73, its 12-month moving average reached 69.2, hitting the
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Analysts say that as a net energy exporter, Malaysia is attracting buyers into its government bonds to hedge against regional inflation.
Analysts say that as a net energy exporter, Malaysia is attracting buyers into its government bonds to hedge against regional inflation.
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Canada and Bank of Canada Renew Policy Framework to Focus on 2% Inflation Target
Canada and the Bank of Canada have renewed their policy framework, narrowing its focus on price stability and confirming that hitting its 2% inflation target is its most important priority.
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Reform UK leader Farage fears Trump will continue attacking Iran after the US midterm elections.
Reform UK leader and British Member of Parliament Nigel Farage has expressed concern that his political ally, US President Donald Trump, might launch further attacks on Iran following a defeat in the
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ECB President Lagarde: Energy shocks and AI are pulling the current situation in opposite directions
European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde stated that energy shocks and artificial intelligence are pulling the current economic situation in opposite directions, making it difficult to disent
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Richmond Fed President Barkin: The Federal Reserve still needs to raise interest rates in the future, but the pace will remain gradual
Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin said he expects the Federal Reserve will need to raise interest rates further in the future, though the exact magnitude and pace remain uncertain. In an interview wit
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Richmond Fed President Barkin: Inflation is the most critical risk currently facing the Federal Reserve
Richmond Fed President Barkin stated that inflation is the most significant risk currently facing the Federal Reserve, noting that inflation is neither accelerating nor declining, and monetary policy
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Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack: Must Maintain Restrictive Interest Rates to Cool Inflation
Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack said interest rates need to remain restrictive to bring inflation down to the central bank's target, and more frequent adjustments would help reduce the risk of po
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Moody's Analytics Chief Economist Zandi: Little Substantive Change Expected in US Economic Policy After Midterm Landslide for Democrats
Moody's Analytics Chief Economist Zandi said that following the Democrats' landslide victory in the midterm elections, he expects no changes to U.S. economic policy; policies such as tariffs, trade po
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Yardeni: US 10-year Treasury yields attractive at 5% amid cooling inflation
Yardeni: US 10-year Treasury yields attractive at 5% amid cooling inflation
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Philippines' October inflation rate rises to 7.8%, nearing four-year high
The Philippines' inflation rate rose to 7.8% in October, marking the fastest pace in nearly four years. This was primarily driven by the ongoing Middle East conflict, which pushed up fuel, electricity
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US Vice President JD Vance blamed the Republican midterm election defeats on the Iran war.
US Vice President JD Vance stated that the Republican Party's defeat in the midterms was due to voters who supported Donald Trump in 2024 shifting toward the Democrats, noting that internal polling sh
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International Policy Analyst: US Midterm Election Results Indicate War with Iran Has Become a Political Liability
Citing analysis from Negar Mortazavi, a senior researcher at the Center for International Policy, Al Jazeera's live updates noted that the US midterm election results indicate the US president cannot
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Political Analysts: US Midterm Election Results Reflect Public Discontent with Donald Trump's Policies and the War with Iran
Political analyst Rami Khouri stated that the results of the U.S. midterm elections reflect widespread public dissatisfaction with Donald Trump's policies, noting that the war with Iran has highlighte
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Political Analysts: US Midterm Election Results Reflect Public Protests Against Trump's Iran War and Economic Consequences
Political analyst Yousef Munayyer said in an interview with Al Jazeera that the U.S. midterm election results reflect widespread public anger over Donald Trump's war with Iran and its ensuing economic
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Eurozone October CPI rises to 4% year-on-year, hitting a three-year high
Eurozone October CPI rose to 4% year-on-year, hitting a three-year high. Data showed that the Eurozone's inflation rate in October climbed to 4% from 3.8% in September, marking the first time since Se
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Bloomberg: Private Survey Shows Unexpected Slowdown in China's Services Sector as Firms Cut Prices
According to Bloomberg, a private survey showed that growth in China's services sector unexpectedly slowed, hitting its first deceleration since July. Business confidence weakened, and firms lowered t
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White House: Prescription drug prices are falling at their fastest pace in over 60 years under the Trump administration, with a cumulative drop of 4.5% in 2026.
The White House stated that under President Donald Trump, prescription drug prices are falling at their fastest pace in decades, providing millions of Americans with tangible and measurable financial
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JetBlue raises checked bag fees for the third time in a year due to rising fuel costs
JetBlue has raised its checked bag fees for the third time in a year due to rising fuel costs. For off-peak travel, the fee for a first checked bag purchased more than 24 hours in advance by economy p
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Bloomberg: Macklem Says Carney's Fiscal Plan Has Not Added to Bank of Canada's Inflation Fight Difficulty
According to Bloomberg, Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem stated that Prime Minister Carney’s fiscal plan has not yet made it more difficult for the central bank to control inflation. Macklem told
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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