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Interest rate hike
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Japan's Two-Year Bond Yield Nears 2% as BOJ Rate Hike Bets Mount
Japan’s two-year government bond yield is closing in on the key 2% threshold as investors ramp up bets on further Bank of Japan rate hikes.
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Gold Declines as Hormuz Impasse Keeps Rate-Hike Bets Elevated
Gold dropped for a second consecutive week, as an impasse over the Strait of Hormuz kept energy costs elevated and maintained pressure on the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates further to combat
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Bloomberg: Bond Market Nears Economic Alarm as 10Y-2Y Yield Spread Shrinks to 17 Bps
The bond market is on the brink of signaling that Federal Reserve interest-rate hikes will likely lead to a US economic slowdown. The extra yield investors demand for 10-year Treasuries over two-year
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Hong Kong developers sell over 290 new flats as buyers lock in mortgages ahead of anticipated local rate hikes
Hong Kong developers have already sold more than 290 of the new flats they launched over the weekend, as buyers look to lock in mortgages ahead of an anticipated rise in interest rates later this year
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Goldman Sachs: US Stock Market's Year-End "Goldilocks" Rally May Ignite Early, No Need to Wait for Midterm Elections
Goldman Sachs analysts believe the year-end rally in global equities may ignite early, and investors do not need to wait for the US midterm elections to conclude before re-entering the market. Mark Wi
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Australia Home Auction Clearances Hit 10-Week Low Amid Rate Hike Threat
Australia's auction clearance rate fell to a 10-week low of 50.3% last week, with 1,428 homes taken to auction in capital cities, a 22.4% drop from the previous week. This decline, reported by propert
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Federal Reserve's Hammack: Rising Treasury Yields Reflect Economic Growth, US Debt, and Interest Rate Path
Cleveland Federal Reserve President Beth Hammack stated that higher long-term U.S. Treasury yields are driven by a strong growth outlook, concerns about government debt, and market expectations of fur
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Bloomberg: Despite rising bond yields, Middle East tensions, and Federal Reserve rate hikes, the most shorted US stocks are still poised for one of their best years ever.
Bloomberg reports that sustained increases in bond yields, the situation in the Middle East, and the Federal Reserve's actions to curb inflation should have diminished the appeal of the most shorted U
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh advocates for policy reform, with his emerging framework suggesting potential for further interest rate hikes.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh is pushing for policy reforms at the Federal Reserve, with his emerging policy framework hinting at potential further rate hikes. He has changed the Fed's communication
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Analysis indicates that the U.S. 10-year government bond yield has risen to 5.18%, reaching its highest investment return level since July 2007, surpassing rental properties.
Nick Gerli, CEO of a real estate data company, stated that the US 10-year Treasury yield has risen to 5.18% (closing at 5.11% on Wednesday), easily surpassing the 4.8% capitalization rate for single-f
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UBS: Market pricing for a Federal Reserve rate hike in October is too aggressive; core PCE inflation is expected to be revised down by 0.2 percentage points, and the Federal Reserve is unlikely to hike rates consecutively.
UBS Chief Investment Officer Mark Haefele and his team noted in their latest report that the actual extent of Federal Reserve policy tightening is likely to be less than what current market pricing su
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UBS Analysis: US Corporate Capital Expenditure Intentions Rebound from Bottom, Further Rate Hikes May Have Limited Economic Impact
UBS noted in a recent report that U.S. corporate investment has experienced a prolonged period of weakness, with current capital expenditure starting from a significantly lower base compared to past c
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Eurozone Bank Lending to Businesses Halved in August to €11 Billion, Signaling ECB Rate Hikes Hinder Investment
Eurozone Bank Lending to Businesses Halved in August to €11 Billion, Signaling ECB Rate Hikes Hinder Investment
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AI-Driven U.S. Economy Defies Rate Hikes and Surging Yields, Spooking Treasury Investors
The robust U.S. economy continues to power through inflation, tariffs, and higher borrowing costs, resisting a run-up in Treasury yields and a Fed rate increase. AI's potential returns appear so brigh
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Gold fell over 2% this week to $4,270/ounce, as the ongoing Iran standoff continued to fuel rate hike expectations.
Gold fell over 2% this week to $4,270/ounce, as the ongoing Iran standoff continued to fuel expectations of interest rate hikes. The U.S. and Iran remain deadlocked over restoring energy flows through
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U.S. Treasury yields surged, with the 10-year yield reaching its highest level since 2007 and the 30-year yield hitting a new high since 2004; Japan's 10-year yield also reached a 30-year high.
On Thursday, the US 10-year government bond yield rose to its highest level since 2007, and the 30-year government bond yield also reached its highest since 2004. In Asian trading hours, the Japanese
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh faces a new challenge: U.S. government bond yields are surging, with the 30-year Treasury yield hitting its highest level since 2004.
CNBC analysis indicates that the continuous rise in U.S. government bond yields, with the 30-year yield reaching its highest level since 2004, presents a policy dilemma for Federal Reserve Chairman Wa
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Kalshi predicts the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates 2.4 times this year, significantly higher than the 2.1 times predicted earlier this week.
Kalshi predicts the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates 2.4 times this year, significantly higher than the 2.1 times predicted earlier this week, indicating a notable hawkish repricing of market
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Experts say U.S. government bond yields soaring to multi-year highs could push up auto loan rates.
The U.S. 30-year government bond yield rose to 5.446% on Thursday, reaching a new high since 2004; the 10-year government bond yield also jumped to 5.15%, its highest level since 2006. Experts stated
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Richmond Fed President Barkin: Summer developments made it difficult for the Federal Reserve to maintain a "wait-and-see" stance on inflation, prompting last week's rate hike.
Richmond Federal Reserve President Barkin explained that the Fed's decision last week to raise interest rates was due to several developments since the summer that made a "wait-and-see" stance on infl
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Federal Reserve's Paulson: Moderate Further Rate Hikes May Be Needed
Philadelphia Fed President Anna Paulson stated that further interest rate hikes may be necessary to ensure inflation returns to the Federal Reserve's 2% target.
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Federal Reserve's Paulson: "Modest" further rate hikes may be needed to curb inflation
Philadelphia Fed President Anna Paulson said on Thursday that she and her colleagues may need to raise interest rates further to bring inflation back to target levels. In prepared remarks for a fintec
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Paulson from the Federal Reserve states that September's inflation reports were the driving force behind the recent rate hike.
Paulson from the Federal Reserve states that September's inflation reports were the driving force behind the recent rate hike.
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BCA Research: Fed Hikes Unlikely to Derail S&P 500, Maintains 8,100 Year-End Target
BCA Research stated that the S&P 500 has gained during every full Fed tightening cycle since 1980, with returns ranging from 4.4% to 28.4%. The firm expects just one or two more 25bp hikes, arguing mu
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Gold futures fell 1.10% to $3,980.80 per ounce, dropping below the $4,000 mark, as inflation concerns and interest rate hike expectations triggered a sell-off, with a weekly decline of nearly 4%.
Gold futures fell 1.10% to $3,980.80 per ounce, breaching the $4,000 mark, as inflation concerns and interest rate hike expectations triggered a sell-off, leading to a nearly 4% weekly decline. Rising
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U.S. Treasury yields saw their largest single-day drop since the Silicon Valley Bank crisis, as the market pushed back expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike to January next year.
On Thursday, the U.S. Treasury market experienced its most significant single-day rally in three years, driven by a triple whammy of AI tech stock sell-offs, escalating French sovereign debt concerns,
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Deutsche Bank expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged next week, as Warsh faces the challenge of solid inflation expectations.
Deutsche Bank expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged at next week's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. The bank's Chief U.S. Economist, Matthew Luzzetti, noted that de
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Japan's core CPI for September rose to 2.1%, exceeding 2% for the first time this year; over 80% of economists expect the Bank of Japan (BOJ) to raise interest rates in December.
Japan's core CPI rose 2.1% year-on-year in September, exceeding the Bank of Japan's 2% target for the first time in nine months, data from the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications showed to
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Japan's inflation rose above the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) target level for the first time this year, supporting expectations for a December rate hike.
Japan's inflation rose above the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) target level for the first time this year, supporting expectations for a December rate hike.
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Australian Treasurer Jim Chalmers stated that the country's economic growth could fall below the 1.75% forecast in the May budget, impacted by interest rate hikes and inflation.
Australian Treasurer Jim Chalmers stated that the country's economic growth could fall below the 1.75% forecast in the May budget, impacted by interest rate hikes and inflation.
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Markets are no longer fully pricing in a Federal Reserve rate hike by the end of 2026.
Markets are no longer fully pricing in a Federal Reserve rate hike by the end of 2026.
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Bitcoin slides towards $81,000 as rising oil prices above $110 revive rate-hike bets
Bitcoin's price slid on Thursday, erasing earlier gains, after oil prices jumped. The largest cryptocurrency was down by nearly 4% over a 24-hour period on Thursday in New York, trading as low as $81,
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The Philippine central bank raised interest rates by 50 basis points to 5.5% on Thursday to curb inflation, double the amount economists predicted, Nikkei Asia reported.
The Philippine central bank raised interest rates by 50 basis points to 5.5% on Thursday to curb inflation, double the amount economists predicted, Nikkei Asia reported.
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Bank of Korea maintains policy rate at 3%, following President Lee Jae-myung's call for increased housing supply.
The Bank of Korea announced on Thursday that it would keep its policy rate unchanged at 3%, in line with market expectations, following two consecutive rate hikes. This decision comes after President
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Sun Hung Kai Properties Sells Out 128 Hong Kong Apartments Amid Fed Rate Hike Expectations
Sun Hung Kai Properties (SHKP), one of Hong Kong's largest developers, sold out the latest batch of 128 apartments at its Sierra Sea project in the New Territories on Wednesday. The apartments were so
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UK September inflation jumps to 3.5%, highest since Oct 2025, fueling BoE rate hike bets; public debt surpasses £3 trillion
British consumer price inflation rose to 3.5% in September, up from 3.1% in August, exceeding economists' forecasts of 3.4% and the Bank of England's 3% prediction. This marks the highest inflation ra
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UK inflation jumps to 3.5% in September, highest in a year
U.K. inflation rose by a hotter-than-expected 3.5% in the 12 months to September, driven by surging motor fuel costs, cementing rate hike expectations. This marks a continuation of the upward trend, f
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US Housing Market Deteriorates in September, Flashing Warning Signs as Fed Weighs Rate Hikes
US housing data further deteriorated in September, with pending home sales hitting an all-time low since 2001, falling 7.3% month-over-month. Housing starts also declined 5.2% against expectations, wh
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Decrypt Analysis: Bitcoin Trades Below $83,000, Key Resistance and Support Levels in Focus
Decrypt's analysis indicates that Bitcoin is currently trading below $83,000, above both its short-term and long-term moving averages. The article lists key levels traders are watching: overhead resis
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Treasuries Rise as Oil Retreats From Highest Levels in Weeks, Prompting Traders to Trim Fed Rate Hike Bets
Treasuries rose as benchmark oil prices retreated from the highest levels in weeks, prompting traders to trim wagers on Federal Reserve interest-rate hikes over the coming year.
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The Bank of Japan (BOJ) may raise its core inflation forecast for fiscal year 2027, according to Reuters. The BOJ is expected to keep policy unchanged in October and could hike rates again as early as December.
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) may raise its core inflation forecast for fiscal year 2027, according to Reuters. The BOJ is expected to keep policy unchanged in October and could hike rates again as early as
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Ares Warns of Australian Private Credit Stress From Rising Rates Amid Struggling Real Estate Market
Peter Graf, partner and head of Asia direct lending at Ares Management Corp., warned that elevated interest rates, including Australia's central bank raising rates four times to 4.6% this year, threat
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Bank Indonesia faces mounting pressure to hike rates after MSCI downgrade threat
Bank Indonesia is under increasing pressure to raise interest rates on Wednesday, as global index provider MSCI warned it may downgrade the country's stock market from emerging-market to standalone st
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Gold maintained its decline as energy prices fueled inflation concerns and impacted the Federal Reserve's rate hike path.
Gold maintained its decline as energy prices fueled inflation concerns and impacted the Federal Reserve's rate hike path.
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New Zealand Q3 inflation seen easing to 3.8%, but Q4 acceleration is forecast to drive more rate hikes
New Zealand's third-quarter consumer price index is expected to rise 3.8% year-on-year, down from 4.1% in Q2 and slightly below the Reserve Bank's September projection. However, economists anticipate
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Economists, Traders See Growing Bets for Bank of Canada Hike Next Week
More economists and traders expect the Bank of Canada to hike interest rates next week, after the central bank’s latest surveys showed inflation expectations rising.
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Bitcoin hovers around $82,000, testing key support amid rising oil prices, U.S. Treasury yields breaking 5%, and an AI stock sell-off.
Bitcoin hovered near $82,000 on Monday, up about 1% for the day, following weekend attacks on oil tankers in the Persian Gulf and Russian crude facilities, which pushed Brent crude prices close to $10
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Bank of America Still Expects Fed Rate Hike on October 28
Bank of America maintains its forecast for a Fed rate hike on October 28, despite markets pricing in only a 20% probability. The bank warns that persistent inflation and strong economic activity could
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
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