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Polymarket
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Gambling markets show Anthropic's valuation growth prospects are better than OpenAI's, with an estimated valuation of $1.175 trillion by the end of the month.
Polymarket has opened a market on the private valuations of OpenAI and Anthropic by the end of August, based on prices reported by Nasdaq Private Market. Market data shows that OpenAI's valuation mark
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Hyperliquid, Polymarket, and Kalshi: A Competitive Analysis of Prediction Markets and Perpetual Contracts
Decentralized perpetual contract giant Hyperliquid is entering the prediction market space with its HIP-4 proposal, directly challenging industry leaders Polymarket and regulated platform Kalshi. Meanwhile, Polymarket and Kalshi have also announced their expansion into perpetual contracts, intensifying the competition among the three. This article will delve into the unique advantages, technical architecture, regulatory status, and market data of each platform to explore the future direction of this multi-dimensional competition.
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Blockchain prediction market Polymarket targets $20 billion valuation in new funding round, months after closing a $15 billion round that included a $600 million investment from Intercontine
The move comes as competition intensifies in the prediction market sector, with rival Kalshi reportedly seeking new capital at a $40 billion valuation.
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Kalshi and Polymarket's Combined Volume Reaches All-Time High in July, Surpassing $50 Billion
Notably, Polymarket US's volume rose 54% in July, while the main Polymarket platform's volume fell 26% compared to June.
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Crypto legal news this week: FTX case progresses, former congressman ordered to pay $35,000 for manipulative trading
This week's crypto legal developments include a case related to the defunct crypto exchange FTX moving forward, a soldier seeking to dismiss a case over a Polymarket bet, and a former congressman bein
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Federal Judge Blocks Minnesota's Prediction Market Ban, a Win for Kalshi and Polymarket
A federal judge issued a preliminary injunction on Monday, blocking the U.S. state of Minnesota from enforcing its new law banning prediction markets. This decision marks a win for prediction market p
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Federal Judge Pauses Minnesota's Prediction Market Ban, Citing Likely Conflict with Commodity Exchange Act
A federal judge has paused Minnesota's law criminalizing prediction markets, ruling that it would likely violate the federal Commodity Exchange Act. This decision comes after prediction market platfor
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On Polymarket, the probability of the "76ers winning the 2027 NBA Championship" has risen to 14%, up 7% from the previous week.
According to PPP’s prediction market tracking, the probability of the 76ers winning the 2027 NBA Championship on Polymarket has risen to 14%, up 7% from the previous week; the Thunder’s probability of
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Polymarket data showing nearly $9 million in open interest indicates that traders assign a 17% probability to Ethereum reaching $3,000 by 2026.
Svmuu News: On Polymarket, the trading volume for the “Will Ethereum Reach $1,000 or $3,000 First?” contract was $95,300,with traders pricing the $1,000 outcome at 54 cents and the $3,000 outcome at 5
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On Polymarket, the probability that WTI crude oil will break through $95 per barrel in July has dropped to 53%, down 16% over the past 24 hours.
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket prediction event titled “WTI Crude Oil Price in July,” the probability of WTI crude oil breaking through $95 per barrel has dropped t
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On Polymarket, the probability that “SpaceX’s Starship will conduct its 13th test flight on July 24” has risen to 77%, up 16% over the past 24 hours.
According to PPP prediction market tools, the probability on Polymarket that “SpaceX’s Starship will conduct its 13th test flight on July 24” has risen to 77%, up 16% over the past 24 hours; The proba
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Wisconsin Warns That Those Who Trade Election Contracts May Lose Their Right to Vote in the Same Election; Kalshi Calls It Voter Suppression
Svmuu News: The Wisconsin Election Commission has stated that residents who purchase contracts related to a specific election on Kalshi or Polymarket may lose their eligibility to vote in that same el
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On Polymarket, the probability of the U.S. and Iran reaching a "two-week ceasefire" by August 31 is currently reported at 51%, down 3% from the previous week.
According to PPP prediction market monitoring, in the prediction event on Polymarket titled “When will the U.S. and Iran reach a two-week ceasefire?”, the probability for August 14 is currently report
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DraftKings Co-Founder Questions Kalshi's $22 Billion Valuation and Financial Credibility
Svmuu News: Matt Kalish, CEO of HARDSCOPE and co-founder of DraftKings, posted on X, using the sudden departure of Kalshi’s CFO as an opportunity to satirize and question the company’s $22 billion val
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Approximately $9 million in funds of unknown origin were deposited into George Cottrell’s Polymarket account
Svmuu News: George Cottrell’s account on Polymarket received two deposits of unknown origin in October 2024, totaling approximately $9 million.of which $7 million came from an OKX exchange wallet and
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Polymarket Will Challenge the Nationwide Website Blockade in France
Svmuu News: Polymarket has announced it will challenge France’s site-wide block against it, noting that the platform has disabled trading functions in France since November 2024. French regulators sta
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On Polymarket, the probability that WTI crude oil will break through $95 per barrel in July has risen to 48%, with a 20% increase over the past 24 hours.
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket prediction event titled “WTI Crude Oil Price in July,” the probability of WTI crude oil breaking through $95 per barrel has reached 4
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Polymarket reports a preliminary probability of 61% that “the next Claude Opus model will be released on July 23, 2026,” up 51% over the past 24 hours.
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, the probability that “the next Claude Opus model will be released on July 23, 2026” is currently reported at 61% on Polymarket, up 51% over the past 24
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Kalshi and Polymarket's combined trading volume exceeded $44 billion in 2025
Svmuu News: Kalshi and Polymarket processed a combined trading volume of over $44 billion in 2025. As of April 2026, the two platforms’ combined monthly trading volume had risen to $24 billion, exceed
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A "smart money" investor bought $30,000 worth of LPL Stage 3 after JDG defeated AL
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket prediction event “LPL Stage 3: JDG vs. AL,” “smart money” with profits exceeding $470,000 (0xe405483ff60ab58ce973479d3317045549fec67e
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On Polymarket, the probability that “the CLARITY Act will be signed into law in 2026” has dropped to 38%, down 9% over the past 24 hours.
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, the probability that “the CLARITY Act will be signed into law in 2026” on Polymarket is currently reported at 38%, down 9% over the past 24 hours. Alth
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A "smart money" investor has bet over $190,000 on a South Korean professional soccer match, predicting that Seoul FC will defeat Pohang Steelers.
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket prediction event for the “South Korean professional soccer match between Seoul FC and Pohang Steelers,” smart money accounts (address
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Polymarket Expresses Disappointment Over France's Decision to Block the Website
Svmuu News: Polymarket posted on X, expressing disappointment with the French gambling regulator’s decision to unilaterally block its website and stating its intention to challenge the ruling through
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Prediction Market Reports $113.8 Billion in Nominal Trading Volume for the Second Quarter; Talos Integrates Kalshi Trading
Svmuu News: Talos, an institutional crypto trading platform, has integrated with prediction market operator Kalshi, allowing select clients to trade Kalshi’s event contracts and crypto perpetual contr
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Polymarket Launches Ultra-Short-Term Crypto Prediction Markets on US Platform Amid CFTC Compliance Review
Polymarket has launched new Up/Down ultra-short-term crypto contracts on its U.S. platform. This move comes as the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) reviews Polymarket's compliance with
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Polymarket is investigating suspicious trades in the Israeli elections, raising concerns about potential insider trading in prediction markets.
Polymarket is investigating suspicious trades in the Israeli elections, raising concerns about potential insider trading in prediction markets.
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Polymarket generated $14 billion in trading volume from sports betting in the US within 30 days, while facing CFTC scrutiny.
According to DeFi Rate data, prediction market Polymarket's US platform recorded approximately $13.7 billion in notional trading volume in the 30 days ending October 26, with sports betting accounting
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Polymarket has added five-minute crypto contracts to its U.S. application, covering BTC, ETH, SOL, and XRP. These contracts are settled using CF Benchmarks prices and incur separate taker fees.
Polymarket has added five-minute crypto contracts to its U.S. application, covering BTC, ETH, SOL, and XRP. These contracts are settled using CF Benchmarks prices and incur separate taker fees.
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CFTC investigates Polymarket over U.S. user access
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) is investigating whether Polymarket violated its 2022 settlement agreement by failing to adequately block U.S. users from accessing its offshore pl
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NEXTPredict conference discusses prediction market expansion and applications
The NEXTPredict conference, held in New York from October 22nd to 23rd, brought together major prediction market exchanges, trading firms, and policymakers. JB Mackenzie, Vice President at Robinhood,
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Polymarket investigated dozens of midterm-election bets for possible insider trading and manipulation
Shana Bautista, Head of Global Intelligence and Investigations at prediction market platform Polymarket, told NPR that the company has investigated dozens of midterm election market bets involving pot
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Decrypt reported that experts pointed out that prediction markets severely misjudged the outcome of the Brazilian presidential election
Decrypt reported that experts pointed out that prediction markets severely misjudged the outcome of the Brazilian presidential election. Polymarket predicted Lula's chances of winning were only 20% be
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The National Basketball Association (NBA) has secured a prediction markets agreement with the U.S. derivatives regulator
The National Basketball Association (NBA) has secured a prediction markets agreement with the U.S. derivatives regulator, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), and partnered with leading fi
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The NBA has designated Kalshi and Polymarket as preferred prediction market exchanges. This agreement will provide Kalshi with official league data and NBA branding, while Polymarket has also received the same preferred designation.
The NBA has designated Kalshi and Polymarket as preferred prediction market exchanges. This agreement will provide Kalshi with official league data and NBA branding, while Polymarket has also received
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Bitcoin price bets drive record $2.7 billion weekly trading volume on crypto prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket
Crypto-related contracts on Kalshi and Polymarket reached a record weekly nominal trading volume of $2.7 billion last week, Bloomberg reported, citing Dune Analytics data. This surge was primarily dri
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Bloomberg Markets reports that prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket are outperforming traditional polls in election forecasting, but critics warn they pose new risks to democracy.
Bloomberg Markets reports that prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket are outperforming traditional polls in election forecasting, but critics warn they pose new risks to democracy.
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Polymarket, a decentralized prediction market platform, has fired its Head of Marketing, Matthew Modabber, according to the New York Post.
Polymarket, a decentralized prediction market platform, has fired its Chief Marketing Officer, Matthew Modabber, according to the New York Post. Modabber is also a close friend of the company's CEO, S
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According to prediction market Polymarket data, the probability of AI model company Anthropic going bankrupt by the end of 2028 is only 17%, despite its IPO draft showing a net loss of over $80.7 billion in the first half of 2026 and committed spending of up to $750 billion on computing infrastructure.
According to Wall Street Insights citing The Wall Street Journal, approximately $72 billion of Anthropic's $80.7 billion net loss was due to non-cash accounting adjustments, with an actual operating l
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Polymarket US and Kalshi Show Similar Taker Profits for 100-Contract Trades
A hypothetical buy at 40 cents and sale at 60 cents on both prediction market platforms produces nearly identical taker profits. However, resting orders and funding methods can alter this comparison,
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Polymarket US Sues Ohio to Block Sports-Contract Crackdown
The exchange seeks preliminary and permanent injunctions after Ohio demanded an immediate halt to sports contracts and written confirmation of compliance by Oct. 16.
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StarkWare Launches OffMarket Service, Enabling Private Transactions for Polymarket Users
StarkWare has opened OffMarket to the public, allowing Polymarket users to trade without publicly linking their positions to their accounts. The service leverages zero-knowledge technology on Starknet
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Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan again hinted at a potential token launch, fueling airdrop expectations.
Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan has once again hinted at a potential token launch, fueling market speculation about a possible airdrop, especially as more crypto startups opt for equity financing. Speaki
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Polymarket Token Tease Stands Out After Crypto’s Equity Pivot
Polymarket Token Tease Stands Out After Crypto’s Equity Pivot
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Blockchain data provider Bitquery's audit found that even with an 87% win rate for favored candidates on Polymarket in the 2026 US primaries, equal bets would still result in a 4% loss.
Blockchain data provider Bitquery's audit found that even with an 87% win rate for favored candidates on Polymarket in the 2026 US primaries, equal bets would still result in a 4% loss.
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Polymarket CEO Coplan stops short of mentioning a token at TOKEN2049
Traders had interpreted a Sunday post by Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan as a tease for a Polymarket token (POLY). However, at the TOKEN2049 conference, Coplan only described an on-chain asset tied to th
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Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan: Chasing 100x tokens is a game of "irrational exuberance"; traders are seeking more predictable prediction market opportunities.
Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan: Chasing 100x tokens is a game of "irrational exuberance"; traders are seeking more predictable prediction market opportunities.
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Polymarket Unveils Protocol V2, Targeting Full Mainnet Switchover on Nov 2
Polymarket Head of Protocol Rajath Alex announced Protocol V2, which replaces its legacy 2019 Gnosis CTF foundation. V2 unifies the system around a single ERC-1155 position contract, pUSD collateral,
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CFTC Accuses Polymarket of Insider Trading: $1.2 Million in Illegal Gains Reveals Regulatory Storm in Prediction Markets
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has recently taken multiple enforcement actions against the prediction market platform Polymarket and its users. Following a fine imposed on Polymarket in 2022, the CFTC and the U.S. Department of Justice filed lawsuits against two individuals in 2026, accusing them of illegally profiting approximately $1.2 million and over $400,000, respectively, by trading event contracts on Polymarket using insider information. These cases, coupled with the CFTC's re-examination of Polymarket's compliance this month, highlight regulators' growing concern over insider trading and platform compliance in prediction markets, signaling stricter legal scrutiny for the sector.
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2026 World Cup Review: How Polymarket Prediction Data Reflected Market Expectations and Outcomes
The 2026 FIFA World Cup concluded on July 19, with Spain ultimately claiming the championship. On Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market, the "World Cup Winner" event saw trading volume exceed $4.3 billion, making it the largest single sports event. Before the tournament, France and Spain were favorites, but on the eve of the final, Polymarket data showed Spain's probability of winning surged to 58%, which ultimately aligned with the outcome. This article will review how Polymarket data revealed the market's collective expectations for the event.
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Prediction Market Trading Platforms: An Overview of Four Core Platforms
Prediction market platforms allow users to bet on or trade the outcomes of future events, aggregating collective intelligence to forecast trends. This article will delve into four core platforms: Kalshi, regulated by the U.S. CFTC; Polymarket, a crypto-native platform based on Polygon; Augur, a decentralized pioneer on Ethereum; and Zeitgeist, which employs a Futarchy governance model within the Kusama ecosystem. We will analyze their operational models, regulatory compliance, technical characteristics, and current development status to help readers understand the diverse landscape of this emerging field.
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Polymarket Prediction Market Plagued by Insider Trading: Regulatory Challenges Highlighted by Maduro Ousting Bets
Crypto prediction market Polymarket has recently drawn significant attention due to multiple insider trading allegations. In one instance, a U.S. Army sergeant allegedly used classified military operation information to accurately bet on the ousting of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, profiting over $400,000. This has led to criminal and civil lawsuits from the U.S. Department of Justice and the CFTC. Additionally, the platform has been involved in several other cases of trading based on internal information, highlighting the regulatory gaps and integrity challenges faced by prediction markets in their rapid development.
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Polymarket vs. Kalshi Valuation Showdown: An In-depth Analysis of Prediction Market Platform Investment Value
Decentralized prediction market Polymarket and regulated platform Kalshi are competing in the rapidly evolving event contracts sector. Polymarket is seeking a $21 billion valuation, while Kalshi is targeting $40 billion. This article will provide a comprehensive comparison of their valuations, regulatory compliance, market share, trading volume, revenue models, and potential risks, offering readers a complete perspective to explore which holds greater investment potential in the current market environment.
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Polymarket Once Reached a Weekly Trading Volume Milestone of $2.1 Billion: Exploring Its Rise as the World's Largest Blockchain Prediction Market
Decentralized prediction market Polymarket set a new record in March 2026 with over $2.1 billion in weekly trading volume, solidifying its position as the world's largest blockchain prediction market. Founded in 2020 by Shayne Coplan, the platform operates on the Polygon network and uses USDC for transactions. Polymarket successfully operates compliantly in the United States by acquiring a CFTC-licensed entity and obtaining a "no-action" letter. Despite facing regulatory scrutiny and insider trading concerns, Polymarket has attracted prominent investors such as Intercontinental Exchange and established partnerships with X (Twitter) and Blockchain.com, continuously expanding its market influence.
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Hyperliquid, Polymarket, and Kalshi: A Competitive Analysis of Prediction Markets and Perpetual Contracts
Decentralized perpetual contract giant Hyperliquid is entering the prediction market space with its HIP-4 proposal, directly challenging industry leaders Polymarket and regulated platform Kalshi. Meanwhile, Polymarket and Kalshi have also announced their expansion into perpetual contracts, intensifying the competition among the three. This article will delve into the unique advantages, technical architecture, regulatory status, and market data of each platform to explore the future direction of this multi-dimensional competition.
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Polymarket: How the Prediction Market Giant Is Unlocking a Hundred-Billion-Level Fund Pool and Reaping the Benefits of Globalization
Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market platform, is rapidly emerging as a major force in the Web3 space. The platform allows users to predict and trade on the outcomes of global events; its trading volume has surged to the tens of billions of dollars, attracting a large number of users worldwide. This article will delve into Polymarket’s operational mechanisms, its staggering capital scale, and how it is achieving growth through a global strategy, while also addressing the regulatory challenges the platform faces.
Polymarket
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