Federal Reserve
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Bitcoin and crypto stocks fall ahead of CLARITY Act Senate vote and Fed rate decision
Bitcoin is trading around $76,431, down 2.19% over 24 hours, while Ether fell 1.8% and Solana dropped 1.02%. Crypto-linked stocks also saw declines, with Coinbase down 6.11%, Robinhood 3.83%, Circle 8
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MarketWatch analysis: The Fed faces a decision on whether the two-decade era of low interest rates is over
Global bond yields are touching multiyear highs, and as the Federal Reserve meets this week to set interest-rate policy, officials will have to discuss whether this is a repricing back to pre-2007/08
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Analyst: Corporate Earnings Resilience Is the Top Reason to Buy and Hold Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI)
The analyst noted that despite persistent inflation, rising Treasury yields, and a 90% probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike this week, corporate earnings have shown significant resilience and ar
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MarketWatch Analysis: Gold's movement is starting to be influenced by factors such as the Federal Reserve's credibility, rather than just inflation.
MarketWatch analysis suggests that gold is currently weighing the Federal Reserve's credibility, rather than just traditional price drivers such as inflation and interest rates. The US August Consumer
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Wall Street Banks Overwhelmingly Expect Fed September Hike; Most Forecast 50bps Total Tightening in 2026, While BofA, Deutsche Bank and RBC See 75bps
According to a WSJ survey, nearly every major Wall Street bank now expects the Federal Reserve to raise rates in September. Most forecast 50 basis points of total tightening in 2026, while Bank of Ame
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Wall Street investors are looking to the Federal Reserve's dot plot this week to predict the extent of future increases in borrowing costs.
Wall Street investors are looking to the Federal Reserve's dot plot this week to predict the extent of future increases in borrowing costs.
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Fed Chairman Warsh and Treasury Secretary Bessent Face Credibility Tests as 10-Year Treasury Yield Holds Near 5%
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh is tasked with fighting inflation, while Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent serves as the nation's top bond salesman. With the 10-year Treasury yield holding near 5%
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Carlyle's Thomas: Federal Reserve Faces "Immense Pressure" to Hike Rates by 25 Basis Points, AI Investment Slowdown "More Likely"
Jason Thomas, Head of Global Research and Investment Strategy at Carlyle Group, stated during the Carlyle Global Investor Conference in Washington that the Federal Reserve faces "immense pressure" to
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U.S. gasoline prices rose 16.2 cents weekly to $4.319/gallon, with diesel surging 31.8 cents to $6.285/gallon, adding fresh pressure on consumers and inflation.
The sharp increase in U.S. fuel prices, with regular gasoline now $1.151 higher than a year ago and diesel up $2.546 year-over-year, could reinforce inflation concerns ahead of upcoming Federal Reserv
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CNBC analyst Santoli: AI's "adolescence" is over, market narrative shifts to risk, public is cool on tech, order backlog forecasts are questionable
CNBC analyst Santoli stated that the "adolescence" of artificial intelligence has ended, and the market narrative has shifted to focus on risks. The public holds a cool attitude towards the tech secto
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Bitcoin fell to $76,931 and Ethereum dropped to $2,480, as the market focuses on the Federal Reserve meeting.
At 7:24 AM ET on September 15, Bitcoin's price fell to $76,931.56, and Ethereum dropped to $2,480.37. Cryptocurrency prices declined ahead of the Federal Reserve's two-day interest rate meeting. The C
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Silver prices fell below $64 on Tuesday, now trading at $63.60 per ounce, as the market widely anticipates an interest rate hike ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting.
Silver December futures opened at $63.76 per ounce on Tuesday, down 0.6% from Monday's closing price, and further declined to $63.60 during the session. The market widely expects the Federal Reserve t
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Gold prices hit multi-week lows, opening at $4340.30 per ounce on Tuesday ET, as U.S. Treasury yields rose to their highest level since 2007.
Gold futures opened at $4340.30 per ounce on Tuesday, down 0.3% from Monday's close, and further declined to $4315.30 during the session. Meanwhile, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rose to its highest
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CNBC survey: Majority of respondents now forecast the Fed will hike rates at least twice over the next year
The survey indicates a significant shift from last month, when only 46% expected a hike. Approximately three quarters of respondents believe the inflation problem is broader than just energy prices, w
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The U.S. Treasury will auction $13 billion in 20-year bonds today, and the first day of the FOMC meeting will convene.
Today's 20-year Treasury re-opening is the largest market test within the fixed-income segment. Given that long-term yields are already elevated, demand at this auction will significantly impact the m
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The Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates by another 25 basis points this week, with CoreWeave and IREN facing different interest rate risks.
Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan Chase anticipate a 25 basis point interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve this week, with the futures market pricing in a probability of approximately 90%. Analysis indica
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WSJ Market Analysis: Bond Yields Could Come Down as Fast as They’ve Climbed, Driven by Expectations for Fed Actions
The Wall Street Journal's market analysis suggests that the main reason for rising bond yields is the likely increase in short-term interest rates, with expectations for the Federal Reserve's actions
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Standard Chartered Bank's report predicts the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged at its September FOMC meeting, contrary to the market's 88% expectation of a 25 basis point hike.
Standard Chartered Bank released a report on September 14, explicitly stating its judgment that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, deeming the
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Global bond markets face a "perfect storm": 10-year US Treasury yields break 5% to hit a new high since 2007, Japanese and South Korean stock markets fall collectively, and Brent crude rises nearly 2% again.
On Tuesday, the U.S. 10-year government bond yield rose by as much as 4 basis points to 5.02%, touching this level for the first time since 2007, triggering a global bond market sell-off. Japan's 30-y
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The U.S. 10-year government bond yield rose to 5.025%, a new high since 2007.
The benchmark yield rose over 6 basis points on Tuesday, as the sell-off in U.S. government bonds intensified ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision.
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Musk reposted a tweet, quoting Milton Friedman's view that the government exacerbated the Great Depression.
The tweet states that Friedman believed the Federal Reserve worsened the Great Depression and emphasizes that governments tend to expand failures, while private markets punish and eliminate them.
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Goldman Sachs' head of hedge fund sales, Pasquariello: Zero-day options suppress US stock volatility, S&P 500 sets longest low volatility record since the pandemic; remains bullish on tech and energy.
Tony Pasquariello, head of hedge fund sales at Goldman Sachs, noted in his latest market macro report that zero-day options (0-DTE) are locking the S&P 500's intraday volatility into an unusually narr
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Bitcoin fell to $77,800 as the Senate's Digital Asset Market Clarity Act vote approaches and oil prices rise.
Bitcoin retreated from Monday's high of $79,000 and is currently trading around $77,800. The U.S. Senate is scheduled to hold a procedural vote on Tuesday on the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act, whic
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Oil and US 10-year Treasury yields correlation hits 7-year high of 0.96, signaling market pressure amid inflation shock
The one-month rolling correlation between front-month West Texas Intermediate crude and the 10-year Treasury yield has climbed to 0.96, the strongest positive relationship since June 2019, according t
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US companies, especially manufacturers and retailers, are being squeezed by tariffs, soaring fuel costs from Iran war, and rising interest rates
American companies, particularly those in manufacturing, auto supply, retail, and transportation, are facing a triple squeeze. Tariffs under Trump's trade policies are increasing raw material costs, t
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Bitcoin this week withstood the dual impact of the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike and the failure of the Clarity Act, with market analysts stating that it is independent of Washington, and the SEC has introduced "innovation exemptions."
Despite widespread market expectations that a Federal Reserve rate hike and the failure of the CLARITY Act in the Senate would trigger a broad sell-off in crypto markets, Bitcoin showed resilience thi
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China's LPR (Loan Prime Rate) has remained unchanged for 16 consecutive months, with the 1-year LPR at 3.0% and the over-5-year LPR at 3.5%. A publication overseen by the central bank stated that "the necessity of directly lowering policy interest rates is not high."
The People's Bank of China (PBOC) authorized the National Interbank Funding Center to announce the latest Loan Prime Rates (LPRs) on September 20. The one-year LPR is 3.0%, and the over-five-year LPR
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Goldman Sachs: Market "pricing in 4 rate hikes" is overly pessimistic, expects only two rate hikes in this cycle.
Goldman Sachs strategists Dominic Wilson and Josh Schiffrin stated in a September 17 podcast that the current market pricing of four Federal Reserve rate hikes is overly pessimistic, and they believe
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Musk retweeted a post, quoting economist Friedman's view that the Federal Reserve "deliberately caused the Great Depression."
Musk retweeted a post from FinanceLancelot, which quoted economist Milton Friedman's views on the Great Depression of 1929, stating that the Federal Reserve "deliberately caused the Great Depression."
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MarketWatch analysis: Warsh's Fed aims to tame inflation to 2% by 2029 with slightly higher rates, and Wall Street now believes it
MarketWatch analysis indicates that after more than five years of previous attempts, Federal Reserve leaders believe they can reduce the inflation rate to 2% by 2029 with only slightly higher U.S. int
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Bitcoin's price has recovered above $80,000, following a decline triggered by the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike and the stalled CLEAR Act.
Bitcoin's price fell from the low $80,000 range to approximately $75,000 at the beginning of the month, influenced by the Federal Reserve's first interest rate hike since 2023 (a 25 basis point increa
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Hedge funds are bullish on the JPY for the first time since July 2025, holding approximately $1.6 billion in positions, according to CFTC data.
Leveraged traders have unwound their previous short positions in the Japanese Yen and started building bullish positions, now holding approximately JPY 251 billion (about $1.6 billion) in long Yen pos
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On-chain data shows that Morgan Stanley's Bitcoin ETF has not experienced outflows this month, having purchased $51.5 million in BTC over the past 20 trading days.
On-chain intelligence platform Arkham data shows that Morgan Stanley's Bitcoin ETF (MSBT) has not recorded any outflows this month, accumulating $51.5 million in Bitcoin purchases over the past 20 tra
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WSJ analysis suggests healthy economy and reduced tech issuance could support corporate bonds, advising against counting them out despite Fed rate hikes.
WSJ analysis suggests healthy economy and reduced tech issuance could support corporate bonds, advising against counting them out despite Fed rate hikes.
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The dollar had its strongest week since June after the Federal Reserve's rate hike, with the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rising 1.1% this week.
The Federal Reserve announced its first interest rate hike in over three years this week, explicitly signaling more to come, which has become a core driver of dollar strength. JPMorgan Chase, Standard
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Citibank Analysis: The Bank of Japan's dovish dissent and the Federal Reserve's rate hikes will accelerate its rate-hiking process, bringing forward the terminal rate achievement to July 2027.
Citibank Japan economist Sosuke Nakamura released a report stating that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) raised its policy rate from 1.00% to 1.25% at its September meeting as expected, but two dovish dissenti
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Analysis suggests Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh is steering decision-making logic towards monetarism, abandoning the neutral interest rate anchor.
Analysts point out that Warsh's characterization of the neutral rate as a purely academic discussion is akin to dismantling the Federal Reserve's policy positioning system, which has been in operation
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CNBC host Cramer expects a relatively calm week on Wall Street, but September has historically been tough.
CNBC host Jim Cramer said on Friday that investors could be in for a relatively calm period next week as Wall Street navigates a historically difficult September. He noted that this week, the Dow fell
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Wall Street concluded a volatile week with major indices showing flat performance on Friday.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average recorded its third consecutive weekly decline, while the Nasdaq Composite Index saw a slight gain. This week, Wall Street was impacted by calls from AI leaders to slow
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Dollar surges to its best weekly performance since June, driven by US central bank's signal for more rate hikes
The dollar is poised for its best weekly performance in three months after the US central bank signaled more interest-rate hikes are to come.
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MarketWatch analysis suggests investors' best move after Fed rate hike is to do nothing, as stocks should still outperform bonds.
MarketWatch analysis suggests investors' best move after Fed rate hike is to do nothing, as stocks should still outperform bonds. This is because the equity risk premium, which measures how much stock
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Fed Chair Warsh's "dose of accommodation" remark sparks Wall Street speculation on further rate hikes
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's description of this week's quarter-point interest rate hike as merely removing "a dose of accommodation" has led Wall Street to question the extent of future rat
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U.S. manufacturing output unexpectedly fell 0.3% in August, the first decline this year, with capacity utilization dropping to a five-month low.
U.S. manufacturing output fell 0.3% in August, far below economists' forecast of a 0.3% increase and the first decline this year, data from the Federal Reserve showed on Friday. Factory capacity utili
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Inflation drives BOJ, Fed, ECB into historic alignment on rate hikes
The Bank of Japan's decision on Friday to join the U.S. and European central banks in rate hikes signals a new normal as they grapple with inflation amid political pressure and the impact of artificia
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Bank of America strategists warn: Investors should prepare for a Federal Reserve led by Warsh to raise the benchmark interest rate above 5%.
Bank of America strategists warn: Investors should prepare for a Federal Reserve led by Warsh to raise the benchmark interest rate above 5%.
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Federal Reserve Board terminates enforcement action against SNB Bancshares and Bank of Eufaula
The Federal Reserve Board announced on Friday the termination of a written agreement with SNB Bancshares, Inc. and Bank of Eufaula, Oklahoma, which was originally dated August 7, 2024, and officially
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The Federal Reserve has taken enforcement actions against three former bank employees for misappropriation of customer funds, misuse of funds, and check fraud.
The Federal Reserve Board announced at 11:00 AM ET on Friday that it has taken enforcement actions against Charles Alan Wright, a former employee of Northstar Bank (alleged misappropriation of custome
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Federal Reserve's Bowman: Third-party reports challenge claims that social media amplified Silicon Valley Bank's run, defending the 2018 regulatory law, contrary to previous Fed reports.
Federal Reserve Vice Chair Michelle Bowman detailed the preliminary findings of a third-party review into the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank. She stated that the report challenges the narrative that
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
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