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Inflation
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Japan's inflation rate dips 0.1 percentage point after CPI revision, extending streak of undershooting BOJ's 2% target to six months
Japan's inflation rate dips 0.1 percentage point after CPI revision, extending streak of undershooting BOJ's 2% target to six months
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Bloomberg economists expect the US core CPI year-over-year growth to slow to 2% in July, a new low since March 2021, supporting the Federal Reserve's decision to keep interest rates unchanged in September.
Bloomberg economists, including Anna Wong, noted in their latest weekly outlook report that market expectations for a September rate hike by the Federal Reserve have cooled following the unexpectedly
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Meredith Whitney says U.S. credit card balances are growing in line with inflation.
Meredith Whitney, CEO of Meredith Whitney Advisory Group, said in an interview with Bloomberg that U.S. consumers' credit card balances are growing in line with inflation. She also discussed the curre
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New York Fed: US consumers' one-year inflation expectation for July slightly decreased to 3.6%, unemployment expectation rose
The New York Fed's Survey of Consumer Expectations, released on Friday, showed that U.S. consumers' inflation expectations for the year ahead slightly decreased from 3.7% in June to 3.6%. However, inf
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Nick Timiraos of The Wall Street Journal: The Federal Reserve's independence is at a "critical juncture" amid discussions of interest rate hikes.
Nick Timiraos of The Wall Street Journal commented that the Federal Reserve's independence is at an "interesting moment," as unlike last year's discussions around rate cuts, the question now is whethe
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Bank of America still expects the Fed to raise rates by 75 basis points this year, starting in September, despite weaker July jobs data showing payrolls fell 23,000.
Bank of America still expects the Fed to raise rates by 75 basis points this year, starting in September, despite weaker July jobs data showing payrolls fell 23,000. The bank noted that prior months'
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Goldman Sachs Chief Economist Jan Hatzius said upcoming inflation data will be more important to the Federal Reserve than employment figures, and he expects inflation to continue to slow.
Goldman Sachs Chief Economist Jan Hatzius said upcoming inflation data will be more important to the Federal Reserve than employment figures, and he expects inflation to continue to slow.
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NY Fed: US Consumers' Inflation Expectations for July Show Little Change
The Federal Reserve Bank of New York's latest Survey of Consumer Expectations report indicates that Americans' outlook for inflation in July was largely unchanged from the prior month. Consumers now e
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Fed's Barkin: Doesn't think there is wage inflation right now.
Fed's Barkin: Doesn't think there is wage inflation right now.
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Nick Timiraos: July employment report is complex for Fed to interpret; evidence of non-reaccelerating labor market could temper next month's rate hike case, but inflation data remains key.
Nick Timiraos comments that the July employment report presents a complex picture for the Federal Reserve, noting that new evidence of a non-reaccelerating labor market could weaken the argument for a
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Philippines Q2 GDP growth unexpectedly slows to 2.3%
The Philippine economy unexpectedly slowed to 2.3% in the second quarter, as the protracted Middle East conflict pushed up inflation and dragged down consumer spending and investment.
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem Calls for 'Meaningful Restraint' on Inflation
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President Alberto Musalem stated that policymakers cannot afford to tolerate higher inflation while waiting for the possibility of stronger productivity growth. He ma
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Asian Stocks Set to Slip on Iran Concerns, Oil Climbs
Asian stocks are poised to edge lower on Friday as a resurgence in geopolitical tensions, particularly concerning Iran, has jolted global markets. This has led to a decline in equities and bonds, whil
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Analysis: Trump's close relationship with Fed Chair Kevin Warsh creates economic risks for the central bank's independence
An analysis suggests that former President Trump's reported repeated phone calls to Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh, treating him as an ally, could complicate the central bank's efforts to demonstrate indepe
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JPMorgan Chase Asset Management's Aronov says rate hikes are expected if inflation continues to climb
Oksana Aronov, head of alternative fixed income strategies at JPMorgan Chase Asset Management, said in a Bloomberg interview that central banks are expected to raise interest rates if inflation contin
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Bank of America: Lower-Income Jobs and Wages Outpaced Higher Earners in July, Signaling Shift Beyond 'K-Shaped' Economy
Bank of America reports that lower-income households saw 3% year-over-year job growth in July, compared to 1% for higher-income workers. Additionally, after-tax wage growth for lower-income households
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Bank of America Warns Fed Chair Warsh Faces 'Credibility Shock' After FOMC Split Decision
Bank of America cautioned that Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh is facing an emerging-market-style "credibility shock" following the FOMC's 9-3 split decision to hold the fed funds upper bound at 3.7
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U.S. Senator Elizabeth Warren questioned the Federal Reserve's upcoming adjustment to its PCE inflation measurement method, which could lower reported inflation by about 0.2 percentage points.
U.S. Senator Elizabeth Warren is seeking details on upcoming adjustments to the Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index. The new metho
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Fed Chair Kevin Warsh stated the central bank has "no tolerance" for persistently elevated inflation, leading to an 840-point drop in the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, presiding over his second meeting, maintained current interest rates. He reiterated in a session with Congress that he and his committee "have no tolerance for persistently elev
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JPMorgan Chase CEO Dimon warns: AI infrastructure construction will push up capital demand, potentially leading to persistent inflation and long-term higher interest rates, becoming an "uninvited guest" in the global economy.
Dimon said on Wednesday that "huge infrastructure needs" such as global deficits, wars, remilitarization, and the construction of massive AI data centers will drive up capital demand, which could keep
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Kenvue's Q2 adjusted profit was 31 cents per share, with sales of $3.96 billion, both falling short of market expectations, as inflation, tariffs, and exchange rate costs squeezed profit margins.
Kenvue's second-quarter adjusted profit was 31 cents per share, slightly below analysts' average expectation of 32 cents; sales increased by 3% to $3.96 billion, also slightly below analysts' expectat
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Invesco analysis suggests that the Federal Reserve is not behind the curve, and current interest rates are still restrictive or neutral.
Invesco noted that its estimated neutral interest rate is between 3.5% and 4.0%, which is close to the Federal Reserve's current policy range of 3.50% to 3.75%. The institution also stated that inflat
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Fed Governor Kevin Warsh is open to a September rate hike if upcoming inflation data comes in hot and markets increase expectations for higher borrowing costs, according to people familiar w
Fed Governor Kevin Warsh is open to a September rate hike if upcoming inflation data comes in hot and markets increase expectations for higher borrowing costs, according to people familiar with his th
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Bloomberg Strategist Simon White: After S&P 500 Reaches New Highs, Nasdaq Composite May Follow with Short Covering Momentum, But Beware of "Bull Trap"
Bloomberg macro strategist Simon White points out that the S&P 500 index has continuously broken through historical highs driven by short covering, rising by 1.5% and 1.8% on Monday and Tuesday this w
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Asian Stocks, Bonds Set to Decline Thursday on Inflation Jitters
The decline tracks Wall Street losses as an oil rally and stronger-than-expected US economic data fueled inflation concerns and bets on further interest-rate hikes. The yen, near a three-week low, wil
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US Treasury yields soar, with 10-year note hitting 5.125% and 2-year note topping 4.9%, threatening higher borrowing costs for consumers
Government debt costs leaped higher on Wednesday, driven by factors including a report showing increased inflation pressures, surging expectations for an October Fed rate hike, and weak demand at a 5-
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Federal Reserve Governor Barr supports further interest rate hikes, S&P Global's inflation indicator hits a new high since October 2022, and market expectations for a Fed rate hike in October rise to 71%.
Federal Reserve Governor Michael Barr stated on Wednesday that policymakers may need to further adjust policy to ensure inflation returns to target in a timely manner. On the same day, S&P Global's fl
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ECB's Lane: Eurozone HICP inflation is projected at 3.0% in 2026 and 2.5% in 2027.
In a speech in Geneva, Philip R. Lane, Member of the Executive Board of the European Central Bank, unveiled the ECB's September macroeconomic projections, forecasting HICP inflation for the Eurozone a
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McDonald's CEO expects high inflation and flat traffic to persist in restaurant industry
McDonald's CEO Chris Kempczinski stated on Wednesday that the company does not anticipate a change in these conditions, viewing them as the new operating environment. He noted that in the most recent
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Fed Governor Barr: AI Boom, Tariffs, and Energy Prices Fueling Inflation; Further Policy Adjustments Likely Needed
Federal Reserve Governor Michael Barr stated that the AI boom and price pressures related to tariffs and energy have contributed to “upward price pressures.” He added that given rising inflation risks
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U.S. September PMI data surged to a five-year high, with input costs reaching their highest since 2022, intensifying inflation concerns.
U.S. business activity accelerated significantly in September, with the S&P Global Manufacturing PMI rising to 57.0, the Services PMI to 58.7, and the Composite PMI to 58.4. All figures substantially
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Germany's largest trade union, IG Metall, is seeking a 5% wage increase for 3.7 million workers, putting new pressure on the European Central Bank to raise interest rates again.
Germany's IG Metall union will launch a new round of wage negotiations in October, demanding a 5% pay raise for approximately 3.7 million workers in the metal and electrical components industries to c
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Eastmoney Securities Research Institute Report: The world has not yet entered a phase of full tightening, and there is room to increase allocation to US Treasury bonds.
Eastmoney Securities Research Institute released a macro special report on September 23, outlining the characteristics and patterns of ten global synchronized tightening cycles since the 1970s. The re
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh responded to Donald Trump's demand for interest rate cuts to 1%, emphasizing that inflation has exceeded targets for five consecutive years and that rate hikes were unanimously approved by the committee.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh stated clearly at the press conference that inflation has exceeded the target for over five consecutive years, and this 25 basis point rate hike to the 3.75%-4% range al
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Analysts conclude their longest upgrade cycle in five years, holding a net negative view on U.S. corporate earnings prospects for the first time.
For the first time in months, equity analysts have turned net negative on the outlook for U.S. corporate earnings, reflecting concerns about the impact of inflation and high interest rates on company
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Hong Kong's August overall consumer prices rose 1.7% YoY, underlying inflation 1.9%
Hong Kong's overall consumer prices rose by 1.7% year-on-year in August, matching July's figure. The underlying inflation rate, which excludes one-off government relief measures, also remained unchang
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Nomura economists say Federal Reserve Chair Warsh's new inflation tracking method lacks predictive power
Economists at Nomura state that the new method Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh uses to gauge underlying inflation does not have better predictive power than core readings. Warsh revealed this method
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U.S. Treasury yields held steady in early trading, oil prices fluctuated, and the market focused on speeches by Federal Reserve officials.
U.S. Treasury yields were largely stable in early trading on Wednesday, with the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield at 4.963%, the 2-year Treasury yield at 4.771%, and the 30-year Treasury yield at 5.3%
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Oaktree Capital's Howard Marks warns: Out-of-control US fiscal discipline is the fundamental reason for rising interest rates, with the current deficit at about 6% of GDP.
Oaktree Capital co-founder Howard Marks stated in his latest memo on Tuesday that the uncontrolled fiscal discipline in the U.S. is the fundamental reason for rising long-term interest rates, and that
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Boston Fed President Collins warns inflation could remain 'notably' above 2% target
Boston Federal Reserve President Susan Collins stated that there is "an increased likelihood" of inflation staying "notably" above the Federal Reserve's 2% target. She explained her reasoning for back
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Singapore Core Inflation Rises Third Month to 2.2% in August, Highest Since 2024
Singapore's core inflation, which excludes housing and private transportation costs, accelerated to 2.2% year-on-year in August, marking the third consecutive monthly increase and reaching its highest
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Soaring diesel prices are costing European drivers an extra €203 million per day.
Soaring diesel prices are costing European drivers an extra €203 million per day, with the cost of filling up a tank increasing by 40% since the beginning of the year.
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ADB Warns: Asian Inflationary Pressures to Persist Until 2027
ADB Warns: Asian Inflationary Pressures to Persist Until 2027
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U.S. Stocks Mixed as AI Buzz Stokes Tech Gains to Record Highs, Energy Inflation Fears Linger
U.S. Stocks Mixed as AI Buzz Stokes Tech Gains to Record Highs, Energy Inflation Fears Linger
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Citigroup Survey: Inflation Overtakes Tariffs as Family Offices' Top Concern, Wealthy Flock to Gold and US Equities
Inflation has supplanted trade wars and tariffs as the top risk concern for ultra-high-net-worth individuals this year, with interest rate changes and global financial system stability closely followi
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Richmond Fed President Barkin warned that inflationary pressures will take time to subside, and there is a risk of high inflation becoming entrenched.
Richmond Fed President Barkin warned that inflationary pressures will take time to subside, and there is a risk of high inflation becoming entrenched.
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Fed’s Collins Says Last Week’s Rate Hike Will Help Return Inflation to Goal
Federal Reserve Bank of Boston President Susan Collins said she supported last week’s decision to raise interest rates, which she said would help bring inflation back to the central bank’s 2% target.
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Demand Surges at South African Bond Auction Ahead of Rate Call
Demand surged at an auction of South African government bonds as investors sought relatively high yields ahead of inflation data and a central bank policy meeting scheduled for later this week.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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