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Inflation
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U.S. July core PCE price index rose 3.3% year-on-year and 0.2% month-on-month, as sticky inflation divided Federal Reserve officials on the eve of the Jackson Hole meeting.
Data released by the U.S. Department of Commerce showed that the core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index rose 3.3% year-on-year in July, flat with June and in line with expectations.
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US July core PCE rose 0.25% month-on-month, an annualized increase of 2.99%, and a 12-month change rate of 3.34%.
U.S. July core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) rose 0.25% month-over-month, with an annualized increase of 2.99%. This is largely consistent with the July 2025 data, keeping the 12-month chang
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US July annual PCE inflation unexpectedly held steady at 3.7%, remaining well above Fed's 2% target for 65th straight month
The Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, increased 3.7% in the 12 months through July, unchanged from June. This figure exceeded economists'
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Core PCE Price Index Shows No Relief From Price Pressures Ahead of Fed Chairman Warsh's Jackson Hole Speech, S&P 500 Futures Dip
The Federal Reserve's primary inflation gauge, the core PCE price index, indicated persistent price pressures, setting a high bar for Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh's upcoming speech at the annual Jackson H
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US Core PCE Rises 0.2% in July, Consumer Spending Stalls
The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation metric, the core PCE price index (excluding food and energy), rose 0.2% month-over-month in July and advanced 3.3% from a year ago. Inflation-adjusted consume
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US July PCE Index rose 0.2% month-on-month, higher than expected, sparking market concerns about a potential Federal Reserve rate hike.
Data released by the U.S. Department of Commerce on Wednesday showed that the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index rose by 0.2% month-over-month in July, higher than the 0.1% predicted
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US July PCE Price Index rises 0.2% M/M and 3.7% Y/Y, both exceeding estimates; Core PCE matches expectations at 0.2% M/M and 3.3% Y/Y
The US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index for July increased by 0.2% month-over-month, surpassing the estimated 0.1% rise. Annually, the PCE Price Index climbed 3.7%, also above the 3
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Gold price pulls back from morning high of $4,730.90 to $4,674.60 as of 7:51 a.m. ET on Wednesday
Gold December futures opened at $4,715.70 per troy ounce on Wednesday, up 0.5% from Tuesday's close, and briefly touched $4,730.90 in early trading. The precious metal has rallied following the U.S. T
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Dow futures steady, S&P 500 futures dip 0.1% as Wall Street awaits inflation data; Nvidia earnings due after close
Dow Jones Industrial Average futures traded mixed on Wednesday, while S&P 500 futures dipped 0.1% and Nasdaq-100 futures declined, as investors braced for a key inflation report. Meanwhile, Nvidia (NV
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CoinDesk identifies three key catalysts that could influence Bitcoin's next move this week, including US July PCE data, Nvidia's Q2 earnings, and Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's Jackson Hole speech.
CoinDesk's 'Daybook' newsletter highlights these macro events as crucial for Bitcoin's price action. The US July Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) reading, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflat
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U.S. July PCE inflation data will be released tonight, with core and overall inflation rates expected to remain above 3%.
The U.S. will release July Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation data later on Wednesday (26th). The market expects annualized core and headline inflation rates to remain above 3%, far exc
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Economist MacAdam from Capital Economics: European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Schnabel emphasizes need for further rate hikes to tackle inflation risks
Simon MacAdam, Deputy Chief Global Economist at Capital Economics, stated on Bloomberg that European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Isabel Schnabel emphasized the need for further interes
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U.S. stock futures hold steady ahead of key inflation data and NVIDIA earnings, core PCE expected to remain at 3.3%
Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 index futures were largely flat in pre-market trading, while Nasdaq100 index futures fell 0.2%. Investors are awaiting the release of personal consumption expe
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AUD/USD rose to a three-month high of 0.71865 after data showed Australia's core inflation exceeded expectations.
The AUD/USD rose 0.22% on Wednesday after Australia's trimmed mean CPI, the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) preferred measure of inflation, rose to an annual rate of 3.6%, exceeding expectations. An
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The policy objectives of the U.S. Treasury and the Federal Reserve are now clearly diverging, and the market is focused on Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's speech at Jackson Hole this Friday.
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced last week that the scale of long-term Treasury buybacks would at least double, an attempt to suppress continuously rising long-end yields, but with limi
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US PCE inflation data due today at 8:30 a.m. ET, with headline PCE expected to ease to 3.6% and core PCE forecast to remain at 3.3%
US PCE inflation data due today at 8:30 a.m. ET, with headline PCE expected to ease to 3.6% and core PCE forecast to remain at 3.3%. The Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge could shape interes
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Bitcoin's rally loses momentum around $80,000, up 22% since Aug. 20, as traders await US inflation data and Fed signals
Bitcoin's rally loses momentum around $80,000, up 22% since Aug. 20, as traders await US inflation data and Fed signals. Strong ETF inflows have supported the rally, but profit-taking and overbought c
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Fundstrat's Tom Lee says S&P 500 needs to clear three hurdles this week to rally towards 7,900-8,000
Fundstrat managing partner and research head Tom Lee believes the S&P 500 benchmark could rally towards the 7,900 to 8,000 level if the market successfully navigates three major events this week. Thes
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Oil Prices Fall, Nasdaq Futures Decline Ahead of NVIDIA Earnings and US Inflation Data
Oil prices fell in early European trading, with global benchmarks dropping below $87 a barrel, after Iranian and Omani diplomats discussed a framework for reopening the Strait of Hormuz, boosting opti
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Bitcoin Rally Stalls at $80,000 as Traders Await Inflation Data
Bitcoin Rally Stalls at $80,000 as Traders Await Inflation Data
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Natural Gas Eclipses Oil as Key Inflation Risk for European Debt
Natural gas has become the biggest concern for European bond traders, surpassing oil, as depleted supplies of the key fuel threaten a resurgence in inflation.
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European Central Bank (ECB) Executive Board member Schnabel: Eurozone economy more resilient than expected, inflation risks not receding, rate hikes cannot wait
European Central Bank (ECB) Executive Board member Isabel Schnabel told Bloomberg on Tuesday that upside risks to inflation remain unabated, and interest rates must be raised further, given the Middle
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DXY edged higher, as markets await the US July PCE data and the Jackson Hole Symposium.
The DXY (US Dollar Index) rose 0.1% to 98.997, as the market closely watches the US July Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, to be released a
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HSBC warns: Geopolitical conflicts and extreme weather double shock, global grain supply and demand gap to be largest since 2006/07, grain prices have surged 30%
HSBC's latest report indicates that, influenced by the Middle East conflict, the escalation of the Russia-Ukraine war, and the strengthening El Niño phenomenon, a global grain supply-demand deficit is
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US Treasury yields soar, with 10-year note hitting 5.125% and 2-year note topping 4.9%, threatening higher borrowing costs for consumers
Government debt costs leaped higher on Wednesday, driven by factors including a report showing increased inflation pressures, surging expectations for an October Fed rate hike, and weak demand at a 5-
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Federal Reserve Governor Barr supports further interest rate hikes, S&P Global's inflation indicator hits a new high since October 2022, and market expectations for a Fed rate hike in October rise to 71%.
Federal Reserve Governor Michael Barr stated on Wednesday that policymakers may need to further adjust policy to ensure inflation returns to target in a timely manner. On the same day, S&P Global's fl
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ECB's Lane: Eurozone HICP inflation is projected at 3.0% in 2026 and 2.5% in 2027.
In a speech in Geneva, Philip R. Lane, Member of the Executive Board of the European Central Bank, unveiled the ECB's September macroeconomic projections, forecasting HICP inflation for the Eurozone a
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McDonald's CEO expects high inflation and flat traffic to persist in restaurant industry
McDonald's CEO Chris Kempczinski stated on Wednesday that the company does not anticipate a change in these conditions, viewing them as the new operating environment. He noted that in the most recent
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Fed Governor Barr: AI Boom, Tariffs, and Energy Prices Fueling Inflation; Further Policy Adjustments Likely Needed
Federal Reserve Governor Michael Barr stated that the AI boom and price pressures related to tariffs and energy have contributed to “upward price pressures.” He added that given rising inflation risks
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U.S. September PMI data surged to a five-year high, with input costs reaching their highest since 2022, intensifying inflation concerns.
U.S. business activity accelerated significantly in September, with the S&P Global Manufacturing PMI rising to 57.0, the Services PMI to 58.7, and the Composite PMI to 58.4. All figures substantially
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Germany's largest trade union, IG Metall, is seeking a 5% wage increase for 3.7 million workers, putting new pressure on the European Central Bank to raise interest rates again.
Germany's IG Metall union will launch a new round of wage negotiations in October, demanding a 5% pay raise for approximately 3.7 million workers in the metal and electrical components industries to c
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Eastmoney Securities Research Institute Report: The world has not yet entered a phase of full tightening, and there is room to increase allocation to US Treasury bonds.
Eastmoney Securities Research Institute released a macro special report on September 23, outlining the characteristics and patterns of ten global synchronized tightening cycles since the 1970s. The re
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh responded to Donald Trump's demand for interest rate cuts to 1%, emphasizing that inflation has exceeded targets for five consecutive years and that rate hikes were unanimously approved by the committee.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh stated clearly at the press conference that inflation has exceeded the target for over five consecutive years, and this 25 basis point rate hike to the 3.75%-4% range al
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Analysts conclude their longest upgrade cycle in five years, holding a net negative view on U.S. corporate earnings prospects for the first time.
For the first time in months, equity analysts have turned net negative on the outlook for U.S. corporate earnings, reflecting concerns about the impact of inflation and high interest rates on company
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Hong Kong's August overall consumer prices rose 1.7% YoY, underlying inflation 1.9%
Hong Kong's overall consumer prices rose by 1.7% year-on-year in August, matching July's figure. The underlying inflation rate, which excludes one-off government relief measures, also remained unchang
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Nomura economists say Federal Reserve Chair Warsh's new inflation tracking method lacks predictive power
Economists at Nomura state that the new method Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh uses to gauge underlying inflation does not have better predictive power than core readings. Warsh revealed this method
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U.S. Treasury yields held steady in early trading, oil prices fluctuated, and the market focused on speeches by Federal Reserve officials.
U.S. Treasury yields were largely stable in early trading on Wednesday, with the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield at 4.963%, the 2-year Treasury yield at 4.771%, and the 30-year Treasury yield at 5.3%
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Oaktree Capital's Howard Marks warns: Out-of-control US fiscal discipline is the fundamental reason for rising interest rates, with the current deficit at about 6% of GDP.
Oaktree Capital co-founder Howard Marks stated in his latest memo on Tuesday that the uncontrolled fiscal discipline in the U.S. is the fundamental reason for rising long-term interest rates, and that
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Boston Fed President Collins warns inflation could remain 'notably' above 2% target
Boston Federal Reserve President Susan Collins stated that there is "an increased likelihood" of inflation staying "notably" above the Federal Reserve's 2% target. She explained her reasoning for back
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Singapore Core Inflation Rises Third Month to 2.2% in August, Highest Since 2024
Singapore's core inflation, which excludes housing and private transportation costs, accelerated to 2.2% year-on-year in August, marking the third consecutive monthly increase and reaching its highest
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Soaring diesel prices are costing European drivers an extra €203 million per day.
Soaring diesel prices are costing European drivers an extra €203 million per day, with the cost of filling up a tank increasing by 40% since the beginning of the year.
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ADB Warns: Asian Inflationary Pressures to Persist Until 2027
ADB Warns: Asian Inflationary Pressures to Persist Until 2027
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U.S. Stocks Mixed as AI Buzz Stokes Tech Gains to Record Highs, Energy Inflation Fears Linger
U.S. Stocks Mixed as AI Buzz Stokes Tech Gains to Record Highs, Energy Inflation Fears Linger
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Citigroup Survey: Inflation Overtakes Tariffs as Family Offices' Top Concern, Wealthy Flock to Gold and US Equities
Inflation has supplanted trade wars and tariffs as the top risk concern for ultra-high-net-worth individuals this year, with interest rate changes and global financial system stability closely followi
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Richmond Fed President Barkin warned that inflationary pressures will take time to subside, and there is a risk of high inflation becoming entrenched.
Richmond Fed President Barkin warned that inflationary pressures will take time to subside, and there is a risk of high inflation becoming entrenched.
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Fed’s Collins Says Last Week’s Rate Hike Will Help Return Inflation to Goal
Federal Reserve Bank of Boston President Susan Collins said she supported last week’s decision to raise interest rates, which she said would help bring inflation back to the central bank’s 2% target.
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Demand Surges at South African Bond Auction Ahead of Rate Call
Demand surged at an auction of South African government bonds as investors sought relatively high yields ahead of inflation data and a central bank policy meeting scheduled for later this week.
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ARK Invest CEO Cathie Wood dismisses Fed rate-hike fears, expects tech innovation to drive stronger growth and lower inflation
ARK Invest CEO Cathie Wood states that higher interest rates will not derail the technology boom, arguing that rapid innovation will drive stronger economic growth. Wood anticipates the current tech r
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
Inflation
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