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Interest rate hike
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Fed Governor Lisa Cook voted to hold rates steady last week, citing potential for reduced price pressures, but warns she is "prepared to act" if disinflation signs don't continue soon.
Cook stated that given several years of above-target inflation, the Federal Reserve does not have the luxury to wait longer in the current environment, suggesting a low bar for future rate hikes.
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Market and Wall Street's outlook on the Federal Reserve's September interest rate decision is divided, with Kalshi showing the probabilities of a pause and a 25 basis point hike both close to 50%.
Specifically, data from the prediction platform Kalshi shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in September is 49%, the probability of a 25 basis point hike is 47%
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Bank of America CEO Moynihan Reiterates Forecast for Three Fed Rate Hikes in September, October, and December
Brian Moynihan stated that the bank's forecast is based on a strong labor market and the need for inflation to ease further. He also highlighted that spending patterns between higher- and lower-income
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Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari says 'now is the time to start slowly moving' rates up, advocating a gradual approach potentially starting in September.
Kashkari believes higher interest rates are needed to curb inflation and prevent more drastic increases later. He was one of three dissenters at last week's Federal Open Market Committee meeting who f
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DeItaone reports: Fed's Kashkari says he is not calling for a dramatic increase in rates
DeItaone reports: Fed's Kashkari says he is not calling for a dramatic increase in rates
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Analysis points out that the DXY is in a delicate intermediate state at the 100 mark, with insufficient downward momentum in the short term or limited rebound.
Wall Street Insights analysis points out that after the Japanese Yen intervention shakeout, the DXY has returned to the 100 mark. Currently, based on FX option positions, the US-non-US interest rate d
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Kansas City Fed President Schmid (non-voter) states tighter policy is needed to bring inflation to 2%, becoming the fifth Fed president to express desire for rate hikes since last week's mee
Schmid believes the current monetary policy stance is not restrictive, "given the strength of demand and investment," and that a tighter policy will be required to achieve the Fed's 2% inflation objec
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Markets view Fed's inflation credibility with skepticism, seeing "all hat, no cattle" as 30-year Treasury yield hits highest since 2007
Despite Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's recent pledge to deliver 2% inflation and "not a whisper more," markets responded with a clear warning, pushing long-dated bond yields higher. The 30-yea
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US ISM manufacturing index hits 4-year high of 55.6, S&P 500 profit margins reach record 16.7% in Q2 2026, fueling speculation Fed could raise rates in 2026
The Institute for Supply Management's (ISM) manufacturing index climbed to 55.6, its highest reading since May 2022 and the seventh consecutive month of expansion. Concurrently, S&P 500 net profit mar
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Fed insider Nick Timiraos relayed: Bessent's monetary policy stance has shifted from favoring "rate cuts" in January to favoring "no rate hikes" in August.
Fed insider Nick Timiraos relayed: Bessent's monetary policy stance has shifted from favoring "rate cuts" in January to favoring "no rate hikes" in August.
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Treasuries Rose on Tuesday as Falling Oil Prices Trimmed Expectations for More Than One Fed Rate Hike in the Coming Year
Oil prices fell due to signs of progress toward a diplomatic resolution of the Iran war, which in turn curbed expectations for aggressive Federal Reserve interest-rate hikes.
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Bank of Korea meeting minutes show the majority of members supported further rate hikes, as inflation, growth threats, and financial stability risks continue to accumulate.
Bank of Korea meeting minutes show the majority of members supported further rate hikes, as inflation, growth threats, and financial stability risks continue to accumulate.
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Gold Holds Steady as Middle East Talks Weigh on Fed Rate Hike Outlook
Gold moved in a narrow range as traders monitored talks in the Middle East for signs of progress that would ease pressure on the US Federal Reserve to raise interest rates.
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10x Research: Bitcoin May Hit Bear Market Bottom in August, But Rising US Treasury Yields May Force the Federal Reserve to Hike Rates in September
Crypto research firm 10x Research points out that Bitcoin might confirm a bear market bottom in August, even though rising US government bond yields could force the Federal Reserve to hike interest ra
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BNP Paribas Expects U.S. Treasury Yields to Rise, Forecasts Three Fed Hikes Starting in December
The bank argues investors will continue to question the Fed's credibility after last week's decision to hold rates steady despite three dissenting votes for a hike.
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Short-Dated JGBs Fall on Growing BOJ Rate-Increase Expectations
Short-dated Japanese government bonds (JGBs) fell in price terms, driven by growing market expectations for an interest rate increase by the Bank of Japan.
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Analysis Suggests Bitcoin Could Drop to $58,281 in August, Historically Its Weakest Month
An analysis by Yahoo Finance indicates that Bitcoin (BTC) could fall to $58,281 by the end of August, based on its historical median August loss of 7.49%. Bitcoin has closed August in the red in nine
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SoFi Technologies (SOFI) Stock Drops 13% Despite Reporting Record Q2 Revenue of $1.2B (+40% YoY) and EPS of $0.12 (+50%)
SoFi Technologies (NASDAQ: SOFI) reported record second-quarter results, with adjusted net revenue increasing 40% year-over-year to $1.2 billion and adjusted earnings per share (EPS) rising 50% to $0.
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Fed Hawks Push for More Rate Hikes, Driving US 10-Year Yield to 4.727% (Highest Since Jan 2025); BOJ Holds Rates But Signals Future Hikes
Several Federal Reserve officials, including Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan, Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack, and Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari, publicly advocated for further interes
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Fed Governor Lorie Logan Backs Immediate 25 Basis Point Rate Hike, Citing Inflation Off Track from 2% Target
US Federal Reserve Governor Lorie Logan stated her preference for an immediate 25 basis point rate hike, arguing that inflation is not on track to sustainably return to the Fed's 2% target. Logan emph
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Bitcoin and Ethereum prices pull back after strong opening, following pause in US airstrikes in Iran
Bitcoin and Ethereum prices retreated on Friday morning, July 31, 2026, after a strong opening. Bitcoin, which opened 1.3% higher than Thursday, fell to $63,652.09, while Ethereum, up 0.4% at open, dr
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Fed Dissenters Explain Support for Higher Rates, Citing Persistent Inflation
Federal Reserve officials who dissented from the recent policy decision explained their rationale for backing higher interest rates, pointing to inflation having exceeded the Fed's 2% target for over
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Fed Holds Rates Steady, But Market Odds for a September Hike Rise to 53%
The US Federal Reserve maintained its interest rates, but market expectations for a September rate hike have increased. Despite the Fed holding rates steady and offering no guidance, Kalshi now prices
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Cleveland Fed President Hammack preferred to take action at recent meeting, viewing current policy as not restrictive enough.
Cleveland Fed President Hammack preferred to take action at recent meeting, viewing current policy as not restrictive enough.
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Goldman Sachs warns that the market may be unprepared for either a December rate hike or no hike from the Federal Reserve
Goldman Sachs warns that the market may be unprepared for either a December rate hike or no hike from the Federal Reserve, potentially triggering a new risk repricing. Cosimo Codacci-Pisanelli, a stra
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Gold futures fell 1.10% to $3,980.80 per ounce, dropping below the $4,000 mark, as inflation concerns and interest rate hike expectations triggered a sell-off, with a weekly decline of nearly 4%.
Gold futures fell 1.10% to $3,980.80 per ounce, breaching the $4,000 mark, as inflation concerns and interest rate hike expectations triggered a sell-off, leading to a nearly 4% weekly decline. Rising
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U.S. Treasury yields saw their largest single-day drop since the Silicon Valley Bank crisis, as the market pushed back expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike to January next year.
On Thursday, the U.S. Treasury market experienced its most significant single-day rally in three years, driven by a triple whammy of AI tech stock sell-offs, escalating French sovereign debt concerns,
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Deutsche Bank expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged next week, as Warsh faces the challenge of solid inflation expectations.
Deutsche Bank expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged at next week's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. The bank's Chief U.S. Economist, Matthew Luzzetti, noted that de
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Japan's core CPI for September rose to 2.1%, exceeding 2% for the first time this year; over 80% of economists expect the Bank of Japan (BOJ) to raise interest rates in December.
Japan's core CPI rose 2.1% year-on-year in September, exceeding the Bank of Japan's 2% target for the first time in nine months, data from the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications showed to
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Japan's inflation rose above the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) target level for the first time this year, supporting expectations for a December rate hike.
Japan's inflation rose above the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) target level for the first time this year, supporting expectations for a December rate hike.
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Australian Treasurer Jim Chalmers stated that the country's economic growth could fall below the 1.75% forecast in the May budget, impacted by interest rate hikes and inflation.
Australian Treasurer Jim Chalmers stated that the country's economic growth could fall below the 1.75% forecast in the May budget, impacted by interest rate hikes and inflation.
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Markets are no longer fully pricing in a Federal Reserve rate hike by the end of 2026.
Markets are no longer fully pricing in a Federal Reserve rate hike by the end of 2026.
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Bitcoin slides towards $81,000 as rising oil prices above $110 revive rate-hike bets
Bitcoin's price slid on Thursday, erasing earlier gains, after oil prices jumped. The largest cryptocurrency was down by nearly 4% over a 24-hour period on Thursday in New York, trading as low as $81,
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The Philippine central bank raised interest rates by 50 basis points to 5.5% on Thursday to curb inflation, double the amount economists predicted, Nikkei Asia reported.
The Philippine central bank raised interest rates by 50 basis points to 5.5% on Thursday to curb inflation, double the amount economists predicted, Nikkei Asia reported.
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Bank of Korea maintains policy rate at 3%, following President Lee Jae-myung's call for increased housing supply.
The Bank of Korea announced on Thursday that it would keep its policy rate unchanged at 3%, in line with market expectations, following two consecutive rate hikes. This decision comes after President
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Sun Hung Kai Properties Sells Out 128 Hong Kong Apartments Amid Fed Rate Hike Expectations
Sun Hung Kai Properties (SHKP), one of Hong Kong's largest developers, sold out the latest batch of 128 apartments at its Sierra Sea project in the New Territories on Wednesday. The apartments were so
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UK September inflation jumps to 3.5%, highest since Oct 2025, fueling BoE rate hike bets; public debt surpasses £3 trillion
British consumer price inflation rose to 3.5% in September, up from 3.1% in August, exceeding economists' forecasts of 3.4% and the Bank of England's 3% prediction. This marks the highest inflation ra
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UK inflation jumps to 3.5% in September, highest in a year
U.K. inflation rose by a hotter-than-expected 3.5% in the 12 months to September, driven by surging motor fuel costs, cementing rate hike expectations. This marks a continuation of the upward trend, f
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US Housing Market Deteriorates in September, Flashing Warning Signs as Fed Weighs Rate Hikes
US housing data further deteriorated in September, with pending home sales hitting an all-time low since 2001, falling 7.3% month-over-month. Housing starts also declined 5.2% against expectations, wh
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Decrypt Analysis: Bitcoin Trades Below $83,000, Key Resistance and Support Levels in Focus
Decrypt's analysis indicates that Bitcoin is currently trading below $83,000, above both its short-term and long-term moving averages. The article lists key levels traders are watching: overhead resis
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Treasuries Rise as Oil Retreats From Highest Levels in Weeks, Prompting Traders to Trim Fed Rate Hike Bets
Treasuries rose as benchmark oil prices retreated from the highest levels in weeks, prompting traders to trim wagers on Federal Reserve interest-rate hikes over the coming year.
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The Bank of Japan (BOJ) may raise its core inflation forecast for fiscal year 2027, according to Reuters. The BOJ is expected to keep policy unchanged in October and could hike rates again as early as December.
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) may raise its core inflation forecast for fiscal year 2027, according to Reuters. The BOJ is expected to keep policy unchanged in October and could hike rates again as early as
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Ares Warns of Australian Private Credit Stress From Rising Rates Amid Struggling Real Estate Market
Peter Graf, partner and head of Asia direct lending at Ares Management Corp., warned that elevated interest rates, including Australia's central bank raising rates four times to 4.6% this year, threat
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Bank Indonesia faces mounting pressure to hike rates after MSCI downgrade threat
Bank Indonesia is under increasing pressure to raise interest rates on Wednesday, as global index provider MSCI warned it may downgrade the country's stock market from emerging-market to standalone st
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Gold maintained its decline as energy prices fueled inflation concerns and impacted the Federal Reserve's rate hike path.
Gold maintained its decline as energy prices fueled inflation concerns and impacted the Federal Reserve's rate hike path.
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New Zealand Q3 inflation seen easing to 3.8%, but Q4 acceleration is forecast to drive more rate hikes
New Zealand's third-quarter consumer price index is expected to rise 3.8% year-on-year, down from 4.1% in Q2 and slightly below the Reserve Bank's September projection. However, economists anticipate
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Economists, Traders See Growing Bets for Bank of Canada Hike Next Week
More economists and traders expect the Bank of Canada to hike interest rates next week, after the central bank’s latest surveys showed inflation expectations rising.
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Bitcoin hovers around $82,000, testing key support amid rising oil prices, U.S. Treasury yields breaking 5%, and an AI stock sell-off.
Bitcoin hovered near $82,000 on Monday, up about 1% for the day, following weekend attacks on oil tankers in the Persian Gulf and Russian crude facilities, which pushed Brent crude prices close to $10
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Interest rate hike
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