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Interest rate hike
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U.S. Stocks Edge Lower as Consumer Confidence Sinks, Offset by Fed Official's Caution Against Hasty Rate Hikes
U.S. stocks ended modestly lower on Tuesday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 131.6 points, or 0.26%, to 51349.92. The S&P 500 slipped 12.85 points, or 0.17%, to 7670.84, and the Nasdaq shed 22.8
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Fed's preferred inflation gauge PCE due Wednesday, expected to show persistent price pressures and strong consumer spending
The personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, the Federal Reserve's primary inflation gauge, is expected to show increases of 0.3% month-over-month for both all-items and core levels. On an
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Federal Reserve Vice Chair Williams pushed back against market expectations for an October rate hike, stating there is "no urgency to act" and that "it may be appropriate to raise rates one more time later this year."
Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Vice Chairman John Williams explicitly pushed back against market pricing for an October rate hike, stating there is "no urgency to act" and the Federal Reserve ha
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Emerging economies' central banks struggle to raise interest rates despite inflation
Emerging economies' central banks are grappling with how to respond to inflation, with some, like India, holding off on rate hikes. This is due to concerns over an economic slowdown, compounded by El
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Euro falls to 16-month low as hawkish Fed-hike bets boost dollar
The euro fell to its weakest level in 16 months, driven by expectations that the Federal Reserve will further boost interest rates, which supports the US dollar.
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Fed Governor Barr Sees More Rate Hikes Ahead, Warns of Increased Inflation Risks and No Clear Path to 2% Target
Federal Reserve Governor Michael Barr stated that further policy adjustments are likely necessary, citing increased inflation risks and receding labor-market risks. Barr anticipates U.S. economic grow
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Futures markets price 70.3% chance of another Fed rate hike ahead of key US economic data
Futures markets indicate a 70.3% chance of another quarter-point Fed rate increase, up from 55.4% a week ago and 17.7% a month ago, according to CME's FedWatch tool. This comes ahead of upcoming US ec
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Deutsche Bank expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by 25 basis points each in December and March next year, not ruling out a rate hike in October.
Following the surge in U.S. Treasury yields, the market is closely watching statements from Federal Reserve officials. Deutsche Bank stated that policymakers generally hold a hawkish stance and expect
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Eunis Chan and Angela Leong sell luxury Hong Kong properties amid rate hike concerns; Chan's Mid-Levels flat sold for HK$32.25 million, profiting 130%
Model-actress Eunis Chan Ka-yung sold a two-bedroom Mid-Levels flat for HK$32.25 million (US$4.1 million), making a profit of about 130 per cent. Businesswoman and Macau legislator Angela Leong On-kei
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U.S. Treasury yields dip early Tuesday, with 10-year note down 1 bp to 5.2278%
U.S. Treasury yields dipped early Tuesday amid persistent concerns over inflationary pressures. The 10-year U.S. Treasury note yield fell about 1 basis point to 5.2278%, while the 30-year Treasury bon
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UBS: The market is overestimating the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates in October before the election; historical data shows no October rate hikes in 35 years.
UBS analyst Simon Penn noted in a Monday morning report that while the market is currently pricing in about a 69% probability of a rate hike at the October 28 meeting, this expectation significantly o
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Australia's central bank raises interest rates to 15-year high, marking fourth hike this year
Australia's central bank on Tuesday raised interest rates to their highest level in 15 years, the fourth hike this year, as the country continues to battle inflation exacerbated by global price shocks
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Citi Research: Employment Data Unlikely to Alter Federal Reserve's October Rate Hike Expectations; September Core CPI Becomes Key
Citigroup Research noted in a September 28 report that the Federal Reserve's policy reaction function has become more sensitive to immediate inflation data and energy prices. The bank anticipates that
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Australia's Household Spending Was Flat in August as Sport Outlays Slipped, Signaling Weakening Demand Ahead of Expected Rate Hike
Australia's household spending was flat in August, suggesting a weakening of demand in the economy as the Reserve Bank is expected to resume raising interest rates later today. Outlays for sport slipp
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Global bond yields are nearing 4% for the first time since 2007, with overall US Treasury rates hitting a 20-year high.
On Monday, as oil prices rose, government bond yields across all maturities climbed by 7 to 8 basis points, pushing the Bloomberg Global Aggregate Bond Index close to 4% for the first time since 2007.
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Asian Bonds Expected to Decline as Oil Fans Inflation Fears
Asian bonds are poised to track Treasuries lower, driven by elevated oil prices, increased inflation concerns, and market bets on further Federal Reserve interest-rate hikes.
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ECB's Lagarde: Rising long-term interest rates will curb growth and inflation; market expectations for an October rate hike fall to below 40%.
European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde stated on Monday that the significant rise in long-term interest rates would slow economic growth and curb inflation to an extent greater than t
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Fed Governor Cook Expects Continued Inflationary Pressure from AI Buildout, Higher Oil Prices, and Middle East Conflict
Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook stated that in the coming months, she anticipates sustained inflationary pressure stemming from the ongoing AI buildout, elevated oil prices, and supply chain disrup
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ECB President Lagarde: ECB raised three key interest rates by 25 basis points at its monetary policy meeting earlier this month.
ECB President Lagarde: ECB raised three key interest rates by 25 basis points at its monetary policy meeting earlier this month.
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Ackman Warns: Federal Reserve Rate Hikes May Be a Mistake, AI Boom Is Undermining the Hikes' Dampening Effect on Investment Demand, and Could Drive Up Inflation
Billionaire investor Bill Ackman recently posted on X, stating that the AI arms race is driving tech giants to continuously expand capital expenditures. Even with rising financing costs, companies are
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Chile bond traders focus on the Fed's rate hike outlook amid market pressures
Of all the factors buffeting Chile’s bond market at the moment, it’s the Federal Reserve and the outlook for further rate hikes in the world’s largest economy that are capturing the most attention.
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This week's key U.S. economic data is expected to strengthen the case for an October rate hike.
Key economic reports due this week are expected to further confirm the strengthening U.S. economy, bolstering the arguments of several Federal Reserve officials for higher interest rates, according to
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Brent crude oil surpassed $100/barrel, rising over 2.5% intraday; spot gold fell below $4150/ounce, and spot silver dropped 5.01%.
High oil prices combined with strengthening U.S. economic activity are reinforcing market expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain high interest rates or even continue to raise them, puttin
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Pimco is bullish on Australian bonds, believing the market has over-discounted interest rate hikes.
Pimco is taking an increasingly constructive stance on Australian bonds, believing that the market has overestimated interest rate hike expectations in the face of a slowing local economy.
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Gold futures fell 1.10% to $3,980.80 per ounce, dropping below the $4,000 mark, as inflation concerns and interest rate hike expectations triggered a sell-off, with a weekly decline of nearly 4%.
Gold futures fell 1.10% to $3,980.80 per ounce, breaching the $4,000 mark, as inflation concerns and interest rate hike expectations triggered a sell-off, leading to a nearly 4% weekly decline. Rising
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U.S. Treasury yields saw their largest single-day drop since the Silicon Valley Bank crisis, as the market pushed back expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike to January next year.
On Thursday, the U.S. Treasury market experienced its most significant single-day rally in three years, driven by a triple whammy of AI tech stock sell-offs, escalating French sovereign debt concerns,
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Deutsche Bank expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged next week, as Warsh faces the challenge of solid inflation expectations.
Deutsche Bank expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged at next week's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. The bank's Chief U.S. Economist, Matthew Luzzetti, noted that de
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Japan's core CPI for September rose to 2.1%, exceeding 2% for the first time this year; over 80% of economists expect the Bank of Japan (BOJ) to raise interest rates in December.
Japan's core CPI rose 2.1% year-on-year in September, exceeding the Bank of Japan's 2% target for the first time in nine months, data from the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications showed to
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Japan's inflation rose above the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) target level for the first time this year, supporting expectations for a December rate hike.
Japan's inflation rose above the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) target level for the first time this year, supporting expectations for a December rate hike.
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Australian Treasurer Jim Chalmers stated that the country's economic growth could fall below the 1.75% forecast in the May budget, impacted by interest rate hikes and inflation.
Australian Treasurer Jim Chalmers stated that the country's economic growth could fall below the 1.75% forecast in the May budget, impacted by interest rate hikes and inflation.
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Markets are no longer fully pricing in a Federal Reserve rate hike by the end of 2026.
Markets are no longer fully pricing in a Federal Reserve rate hike by the end of 2026.
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Bitcoin slides towards $81,000 as rising oil prices above $110 revive rate-hike bets
Bitcoin's price slid on Thursday, erasing earlier gains, after oil prices jumped. The largest cryptocurrency was down by nearly 4% over a 24-hour period on Thursday in New York, trading as low as $81,
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The Philippine central bank raised interest rates by 50 basis points to 5.5% on Thursday to curb inflation, double the amount economists predicted, Nikkei Asia reported.
The Philippine central bank raised interest rates by 50 basis points to 5.5% on Thursday to curb inflation, double the amount economists predicted, Nikkei Asia reported.
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Bank of Korea maintains policy rate at 3%, following President Lee Jae-myung's call for increased housing supply.
The Bank of Korea announced on Thursday that it would keep its policy rate unchanged at 3%, in line with market expectations, following two consecutive rate hikes. This decision comes after President
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Sun Hung Kai Properties Sells Out 128 Hong Kong Apartments Amid Fed Rate Hike Expectations
Sun Hung Kai Properties (SHKP), one of Hong Kong's largest developers, sold out the latest batch of 128 apartments at its Sierra Sea project in the New Territories on Wednesday. The apartments were so
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UK September inflation jumps to 3.5%, highest since Oct 2025, fueling BoE rate hike bets; public debt surpasses £3 trillion
British consumer price inflation rose to 3.5% in September, up from 3.1% in August, exceeding economists' forecasts of 3.4% and the Bank of England's 3% prediction. This marks the highest inflation ra
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UK inflation jumps to 3.5% in September, highest in a year
U.K. inflation rose by a hotter-than-expected 3.5% in the 12 months to September, driven by surging motor fuel costs, cementing rate hike expectations. This marks a continuation of the upward trend, f
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US Housing Market Deteriorates in September, Flashing Warning Signs as Fed Weighs Rate Hikes
US housing data further deteriorated in September, with pending home sales hitting an all-time low since 2001, falling 7.3% month-over-month. Housing starts also declined 5.2% against expectations, wh
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Decrypt Analysis: Bitcoin Trades Below $83,000, Key Resistance and Support Levels in Focus
Decrypt's analysis indicates that Bitcoin is currently trading below $83,000, above both its short-term and long-term moving averages. The article lists key levels traders are watching: overhead resis
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Treasuries Rise as Oil Retreats From Highest Levels in Weeks, Prompting Traders to Trim Fed Rate Hike Bets
Treasuries rose as benchmark oil prices retreated from the highest levels in weeks, prompting traders to trim wagers on Federal Reserve interest-rate hikes over the coming year.
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The Bank of Japan (BOJ) may raise its core inflation forecast for fiscal year 2027, according to Reuters. The BOJ is expected to keep policy unchanged in October and could hike rates again as early as December.
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) may raise its core inflation forecast for fiscal year 2027, according to Reuters. The BOJ is expected to keep policy unchanged in October and could hike rates again as early as
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Ares Warns of Australian Private Credit Stress From Rising Rates Amid Struggling Real Estate Market
Peter Graf, partner and head of Asia direct lending at Ares Management Corp., warned that elevated interest rates, including Australia's central bank raising rates four times to 4.6% this year, threat
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Bank Indonesia faces mounting pressure to hike rates after MSCI downgrade threat
Bank Indonesia is under increasing pressure to raise interest rates on Wednesday, as global index provider MSCI warned it may downgrade the country's stock market from emerging-market to standalone st
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Gold maintained its decline as energy prices fueled inflation concerns and impacted the Federal Reserve's rate hike path.
Gold maintained its decline as energy prices fueled inflation concerns and impacted the Federal Reserve's rate hike path.
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New Zealand Q3 inflation seen easing to 3.8%, but Q4 acceleration is forecast to drive more rate hikes
New Zealand's third-quarter consumer price index is expected to rise 3.8% year-on-year, down from 4.1% in Q2 and slightly below the Reserve Bank's September projection. However, economists anticipate
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Economists, Traders See Growing Bets for Bank of Canada Hike Next Week
More economists and traders expect the Bank of Canada to hike interest rates next week, after the central bank’s latest surveys showed inflation expectations rising.
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Bitcoin hovers around $82,000, testing key support amid rising oil prices, U.S. Treasury yields breaking 5%, and an AI stock sell-off.
Bitcoin hovered near $82,000 on Monday, up about 1% for the day, following weekend attacks on oil tankers in the Persian Gulf and Russian crude facilities, which pushed Brent crude prices close to $10
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Bank of America Still Expects Fed Rate Hike on October 28
Bank of America maintains its forecast for a Fed rate hike on October 28, despite markets pricing in only a 20% probability. The bank warns that persistent inflation and strong economic activity could
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
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